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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 27, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Bulls38%9096
17Thunder62%9486
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 29.1
37.2
35.2
5
19%
8
6
2
1
0
2
2
6
0-0
-
1-7
3-7
14%
43%
1-6
17%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.8
37.0
35.4
17
53%
4
1
1
1
1
3
1
3
0-0
-
4-12
6-12
33%
47%
3-4
75%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.3
37.0
35.7
26
57%
3
7
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
13-22
9-18
59%
48%
0-1
0%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.6
35.3
27.1
4
33%
15
0
0
1
2
1
2
13
0-0
-
2-6
4-8
33%
48%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 24.9
27.3
22.6
13
62%
11
2
4
1
2
1
5
6
1-1
100%
6-10
3-6
60%
50%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 30.1
21.9
28.8
4
41%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
46%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 33.8
20.7
19.2
14
65%
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
2-5
40%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.4
18.5
23.0
13
77%
5
1
1
1
2
5
3
2
1-1
100%
6-8
3-7
75%
44%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.9
5.2
6.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-1
0%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.1
13.9
0
1-2
40%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.3
4.0
0
0-1
39%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 39.2
2.0
0
0-0
36%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 34.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.4
43.4
38.6
24
57%
9
2
0
1
0
1
4
5
4-5
80%
7-12
5-10
58%
49%
2-7
29%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 21.3
40.3
39.8
28
55%
11
5
2
1
3
4
3
8
12-15
80%
5-14
8-17
36%
51%
2-5
40%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.7
33.6
23.9
6
44%
5
2
1
1
1
1
0
5
1-2
50%
1-4
1-3
25%
48%
1-2
50%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.2
30.9
30.6
10
44%
2
7
1
1
0
4
0
2
0-1
0%
5-11
5-12
45%
44%
0-0
-
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.5
17.7
21.2
4
40%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
50%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 29.3
21.3
17.6
0
0%
2
1
1
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
56%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 20.4
18.5
25.7
8
40%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-6
2-5
17%
45%
2-4
50%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 20.4
17.2
17.1
4
29%
5
0
0
0
2
1
3
2
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
52%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.6
17.1
16.8
2
20%
2
2
2
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
46%
0-1
0%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 20.9
4.0
0
1-1
51%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 31.8
3.4
0
0-1
52%
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 37.1
3.1
0
0-1
42%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.4
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 23.9
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 33.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.