FinalWin Prob.pScore
651%102
97
1349%101
92
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
101.09698.1
HOU logo HOU
96.89593.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN97
100%
92
0%
Q4 - 0:03.0HOUBrooks 33' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (22 PTS)97
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:08.0DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)97
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:08.0DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 296
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:09.0DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)96
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:17.0DENSmith 13' Running Jump Shot (22 PTS)96
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)94
98.6%
89
1.4%
Q4 - 0:40.0HOUMISS Brooks Free Throw 1 of 194
98.5%
89
1.5%
Q4 - 0:44.0DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)94
99.2%
87
0.8%
Q4 - 0:44.0DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 293
99.1%
87
0.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)93
99.1%
87
0.9%
Q4 - 0:50.0HOUMISS Scola 18' Jump Shot93
98.9%
87
1.1%
Q4 - 0:58.0DENBillups Foul Turnover (P5.T17)93
97.6%
87
2.4%
Q4 - 1:18HOUBrooks 29' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)93
98.1%
87
1.9%
Q4 - 1:38HOUScola REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)93
98.9%
84
1.1%
Q4 - 1:40DENMISS Smith 18' Step Back Jump Shot93
99.0%
84
1.0%
Q4 - 2:01HOUScola Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T16)93
99.3%
84
0.7%
Q4 - 2:04DENScola STEAL (2 STL)93
98.7%
84
1.3%
Q4 - 2:24HOULowry Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T15)93
99.3%
84
0.7%
Q4 - 2:37DENAriza STEAL (2 STL)93
98.7%
84
1.3%
Q4 - 2:58DENNuggets Rebound93
98.9%
84
1.1%
Q4 - 2:58HOUMISS Landry 6' Jump Shot93
98.7%
84
1.3%
Q4 - 3:18DENBillups 14' Pullup Jump Shot (21 PTS)93
98.2%
84
1.8%
Q4 - 3:33HOUScola REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)91
95.0%
84
5.0%
Q4 - 3:33HOUScola Layup (20 PTS)91
95.0%
84
5.0%
Q4 - 3:35HOUMISS Scola Layup91
97.3%
82
2.7%
Q4 - 3:48DENMartin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)91
96.6%
82
3.4%
Q4 - 3:48DENMartin Putback Slam Dunk (12 PTS)91
96.6%
82
3.4%
Q4 - 3:49DENMISS Smith 29' 3PT Jump Shot89
93.8%
82
6.2%
Q4 - 4:15DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)89
95.4%
82
4.6%
Q4 - 4:16HOUMISS Brooks 16' Step Back Jump Shot89
94.9%
82
5.1%
Q4 - 4:26HOUROCKETS Rebound89
93.3%
82
6.7%
Q4 - 4:26DENMISS Lawson 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
94.1%
82
5.9%
Q4 - 4:53HOUScola 13' Jump Shot (18 PTS)89
95.6%
82
4.4%
Q4 - 5:04HOUBrooks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
95.1%
80
4.9%
Q4 - 5:06DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
95.6%
80
4.4%
Q4 - 5:15DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)89
96.5%
80
3.5%
Q4 - 5:17HOUMISS Ariza 9' Running Jump Shot89
96.2%
80
3.8%
Q4 - 5:40DENSmith 29' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)89
95.2%
80
4.8%
Q4 - 6:03DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
89.1%
80
10.9%
Q4 - 6:04HOUMISS Battier Layup86
88.1%
80
11.9%
Q4 - 6:19DENSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)86
85.6%
80
14.4%
Q4 - 6:37DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)83
76.9%
80
23.1%
Q4 - 6:38HOUMISS Landry 21' Jump Shot83
75.1%
80
24.9%
Q4 - 6:57DENBillups 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (19 PTS)83
70.7%
80
29.3%
Q4 - 7:11DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
63.7%
80
36.3%
Q4 - 7:12HOUMISS Hayes Reverse Layup81
61.5%
80
38.5%
Q4 - 7:17HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)81
56.4%
80
43.6%
Q4 - 7:19HOUMISS Brooks 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
61.5%
80
38.5%
Q4 - 7:31HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)81
56.4%
80
43.6%
Q4 - 7:31DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 181
57.4%
80
42.6%
Q4 - 7:34DENNuggets Rebound79
50.1%
80
49.9%
Q4 - 7:35DENHayes BLOCK (2 BLK)79
44.8%
80
55.2%
Q4 - 7:39DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)79
50.1%
80
49.9%
Q4 - 7:40HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)79
42.6%
80
57.4%
Q4 - 7:40HOUMISS Battier Tip Shot79
47.8%
80
52.2%
Q4 - 7:43HOUMISS Battier 12' Running Jump Shot79
47.8%
80
52.2%
Q4 - 8:06HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)79
44.0%
80
56.0%
Q4 - 8:07DENMISS Afflalo 17' Jump Shot79
45.9%
80
54.1%
Q4 - 8:26DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)79
50.2%
80
49.8%
Q4 - 8:28HOUMISS Landry 19' Jump Shot79
48.3%
80
51.7%
Q4 - 8:40HOUBrooks Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)79
43.9%
80
56.1%
Q4 - 8:57DENLawson 5' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)79
50.3%
79
49.7%
Q4 - 9:18DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
44.5%
79
55.5%
Q4 - 9:20HOUMISS Brooks Driving Layup77
42.8%
79
57.2%
Q4 - 9:33DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
40.5%
79
59.5%
Q4 - 9:33HOUROCKETS Rebound77
38.8%
79
61.2%
Q4 - 9:34DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)77
44.5%
79
55.5%
Q4 - 9:34DENBattier BLOCK (1 BLK)77
40.5%
79
59.5%
Q4 - 9:37DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
44.5%
79
55.5%
Q4 - 9:45DENAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)77
40.5%
79
59.5%
Q4 - 9:51HOUBudinger Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)77
44.5%
79
55.5%
Q4 - 10:03DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)77
39.3%
79
60.7%
Q4 - 10:03DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 276
38.0%
79
62.0%
Q4 - 10:26HOUBrooks 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)76
39.4%
79
60.6%
Q4 - 10:41DENAfflalo Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T14)76
50.4%
76
49.6%
Q4 - 10:49HOUBrooks Layup (10 PTS)76
56.1%
76
43.9%
Q4 - 11:02DENSmith 17' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)76
61.1%
74
38.9%
Q4 - 11:16DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
55.8%
74
44.2%
Q4 - 11:17HOUMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
54.2%
74
45.8%
Q4 - 11:43DENLawson 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)74
50.6%
74
49.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN72
45.1%
74
54.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound72
45.1%
74
54.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMISS Smith 48' 3PT Jump Shot72
41.6%
74
58.4%
Q3 - 0:05.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)72
45.3%
74
54.7%
Q3 - 0:05.0HOUMISS Lowry Free Throw 2 of 272
44.6%
74
55.4%
Q3 - 0:05.0HOULowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)72
41.2%
74
58.8%
Q3 - 0:17.0HOUScola REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)72
45.8%
73
54.2%
Q3 - 0:18.0HOUMISS Ariza 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
48.9%
73
51.1%
Q3 - 0:37.0DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)72
45.7%
73
54.3%
Q3 - 0:37.0DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)71
44.8%
73
55.2%
Q3 - 0:46.0HOUAriza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Lowry 7 AST)70
40.3%
73
59.7%
Q3 - 0:51.0HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)70
50.8%
70
49.2%
Q3 - 0:52.0DENMISS Martin 20' Jump Shot70
52.2%
70
47.8%
Q3 - 1:14HOUAndersen 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Scola 2 AST)70
55.1%
70
44.9%
Q3 - 1:32DENBillups Foul Turnover (P3.T13)70
60.3%
68
39.7%
Q3 - 1:36DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)70
64.5%
68
35.5%
Q3 - 1:37HOUMISS Ariza Reverse Layup70
63.3%
68
36.7%
Q3 - 1:57HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)70
60.3%
68
39.7%
Q3 - 1:58DENMISS Smith 28' 3PT Jump Shot70
61.6%
68
38.4%
Q3 - 2:26HOUScola Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)70
64.0%
68
36.0%
Q3 - 2:48DENMartin 8' Hook Shot (10 PTS)70
72.2%
65
27.8%
Q3 - 3:05HOULandry Foul Turnover (P4.T13)68
68.0%
65
32.0%
Q3 - 3:17HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)68
63.7%
65
36.3%
Q3 - 3:19DENMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
65.0%
65
35.0%
Q3 - 3:24DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)68
68.0%
65
32.0%
Q3 - 3:25HOUMISS Lowry Driving Layup68
66.7%
65
33.3%
Q3 - 3:33HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)68
63.7%
65
36.3%
Q3 - 3:34DENMISS Smith 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot68
65.0%
65
35.0%
Q3 - 3:41DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
68.0%
65
32.0%
Q3 - 3:42HOUMISS Budinger 15' Jump Shot68
66.7%
65
33.3%
Q3 - 3:58DENBillups Layup (17 PTS)68
63.7%
65
36.3%
Q3 - 4:01HOUBudinger Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)66
59.6%
65
40.4%
Q3 - 4:16DENMartin 4' Driving Jump Shot (8 PTS)66
54.6%
65
45.4%
Q3 - 4:32HOULandry Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)64
51.0%
65
49.0%
Q3 - 4:48DENMartin 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS)64
45.9%
65
54.1%
Q3 - 5:07HOULandry 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Lowry 6 AST)62
42.1%
65
57.9%
Q3 - 5:44DENSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)62
45.7%
63
54.3%
Q3 - 6:01DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
38.7%
63
61.3%
Q3 - 6:03HOUMISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
37.4%
63
62.6%
Q3 - 6:16DENBillups Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)59
34.4%
63
65.6%
Q3 - 6:25DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
38.6%
63
61.4%
Q3 - 6:27HOUMISS Ariza 18' Step Back Jump Shot59
37.3%
63
62.7%
Q3 - 6:40DENAfflalo Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T11)59
34.4%
63
65.6%
Q3 - 6:58HOUAriza Layup (16 PTS)59
38.6%
63
61.4%
Q3 - 7:06DENNene Layup (15 PTS)59
42.2%
61
57.8%
Q3 - 7:23HOUAriza Layup (14 PTS)57
38.8%
61
61.2%
Q3 - 7:45DENGraham Slam Dunk (7 PTS)57
42.2%
59
57.8%
Q3 - 7:58HOUJump Ball Scola vs. Martin: Tip to Graham55
38.8%
59
61.2%
Q3 - 8:07HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)55
35.2%
59
64.8%
Q3 - 8:08DENMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot55
36.3%
59
63.7%
Q3 - 8:31HOUHayes 8' Hook Shot (8 PTS)55
39.0%
59
61.0%
Q3 - 8:53DENAfflalo Foul Turnover (P1.T10)55
42.3%
57
57.7%
Q3 - 8:57DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)55
46.3%
57
53.7%
Q3 - 8:58DENMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
43.5%
57
56.5%
Q3 - 9:05DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
46.4%
57
53.6%
Q3 - 9:08HOUMISS Ariza 18' Jump Shot55
45.3%
57
54.7%
Q3 - 9:15HOUROCKETS Rebound55
42.7%
57
57.3%
Q3 - 9:15HOUMISS Hayes Layup55
45.3%
57
54.7%
Q3 - 9:23HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
42.7%
57
57.3%
Q3 - 9:23DENMISS Billups Free Throw 1 of 155
43.2%
57
56.8%
Q3 - 9:33DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)53
39.2%
57
60.8%
Q3 - 9:34HOUMISS Scola Layup53
38.1%
57
61.9%
Q3 - 9:54DENNene Foul Turnover (P4.T9)53
35.6%
57
64.4%
Q3 - 10:04DENGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
39.6%
57
60.4%
Q3 - 10:05HOUMISS Ariza 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot53
38.6%
57
61.4%
Q3 - 10:21HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)53
36.2%
57
63.8%
Q3 - 10:21DENMISS Billups Free Throw 3 of 353
36.6%
57
63.4%
Q3 - 10:21DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 3 (13 PTS)53
39.2%
57
60.8%
Q3 - 10:21DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 3 (12 PTS)52
38.8%
57
61.2%
Q3 - 10:42HOUBrooks 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ariza 3 AST)51
33.0%
57
67.0%
Q3 - 10:51DENGraham Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)51
39.5%
54
60.5%
Q3 - 10:51DENMISS Graham Free Throw 1 of 250
39.0%
54
61.0%
Q3 - 10:59DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
39.6%
54
60.4%
Q3 - 11:01HOUMISS Scola 10' Hook Shot50
39.1%
54
60.9%
Q3 - 11:10HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
36.7%
54
63.3%
Q3 - 11:11DENMISS Graham 3PT Jump Shot50
37.7%
54
62.3%
Q3 - 11:39HOUBrooks 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hayes 1 AST)50
40.1%
54
59.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN50
46.7%
51
53.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)50
50.4%
51
49.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0HOUMISS Lowry 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot50
49.4%
51
50.6%
Q2 - 0:08.0DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)50
47.6%
51
52.4%
Q2 - 0:08.0DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)49
46.8%
51
53.2%
Q2 - 0:29.0HOUScola Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)48
43.5%
51
56.5%
Q2 - 0:29.0HOUScola Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)48
44.3%
50
55.7%
Q2 - 0:34.0HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
47.6%
49
52.4%
Q2 - 0:35.0DENMISS Afflalo Driving Layup48
48.4%
49
51.6%
Q2 - 0:46.0HOULowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)48
50.2%
49
49.8%
Q2 - 0:46.0HOUMISS Lowry Free Throw 1 of 248
50.9%
48
49.1%
Q2 - 1:08DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)48
51.2%
48
48.8%
Q2 - 1:08DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)47
50.3%
48
49.7%
Q2 - 1:23HOUAriza Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Lowry 5 AST)46
47.0%
48
53.0%
Q2 - 1:26HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
51.2%
46
48.8%
Q2 - 1:28DENMISS Martin 8' Hook Shot46
51.9%
46
48.1%
Q2 - 1:40DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
53.6%
46
46.4%
Q2 - 1:41HOUMISS Scola 19' Jump Shot46
52.8%
46
47.2%
Q2 - 1:57HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
51.2%
46
48.8%
Q2 - 1:59DENMISS Billups 11' Jump Shot46
51.9%
46
48.1%
Q2 - 2:10DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)46
54.0%
46
46.0%
Q2 - 2:11HOUMISS Ariza 18' Fadeaway Jumper46
52.9%
46
47.1%
Q2 - 2:22DENBillups 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)46
50.6%
46
49.4%
Q2 - 2:27DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)43
44.3%
46
55.7%
Q2 - 2:28HOUMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
43.3%
46
56.7%
Q2 - 2:50DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)43
41.1%
46
58.9%
Q2 - 2:50DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 242
40.3%
46
59.7%
Q2 - 3:02HOUBattier 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)42
41.9%
46
58.1%
Q2 - 3:24DENNene Foul Turnover (P3.T8)42
44.3%
44
55.7%
Q2 - 3:26DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
48.0%
44
52.0%
Q2 - 3:29HOUMISS Lowry 28' 3PT Jump Shot42
46.9%
44
53.1%
Q2 - 3:41HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
44.3%
44
55.7%
Q2 - 3:42DENMISS Billups 7' Jump Shot42
45.4%
44
54.6%
Q2 - 3:56HOUHayes Layup (6 PTS) (Lowry 4 AST)42
48.0%
44
52.0%
Q2 - 4:12DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)42
50.6%
42
49.4%
Q2 - 4:12DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)41
49.8%
42
50.2%
Q2 - 4:20HOUHayes Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Lowry 3 AST)40
47.8%
42
52.2%
Q2 - 4:40DENSmith Foul Turnover (P2.T7)40
50.6%
40
49.4%
Q2 - 5:01HOULowry Driving Layup (8 PTS)40
53.9%
40
46.1%
Q2 - 5:16DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)40
56.9%
38
43.1%
Q2 - 5:16DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)39
56.7%
38
43.3%
Q2 - 5:19DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
53.9%
38
46.1%
Q2 - 5:21HOUMISS Ariza Driving Layup38
53.0%
38
47.0%
Q2 - 5:37DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)38
51.0%
38
49.0%
Q2 - 5:37DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)37
50.2%
38
49.8%
Q2 - 5:38HOUScola Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)36
47.9%
38
52.1%
Q2 - 5:55DENNene Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)36
45.0%
38
55.0%
Q2 - 6:09HOUScola Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)36
48.2%
38
51.8%
Q2 - 6:09HOUMISS Scola Free Throw 1 of 236
48.9%
37
51.1%
Q2 - 6:32DENSmith Slam Dunk (4 PTS)36
47.7%
37
52.3%
Q2 - 6:36HOUHayes Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)34
45.3%
37
54.7%
Q2 - 6:51DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)34
42.0%
37
58.0%
Q2 - 6:51DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)33
41.3%
37
58.7%
Q2 - 7:14HOUHayes Layup (2 PTS)32
39.8%
37
60.2%
Q2 - 7:16HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
42.5%
35
57.5%
Q2 - 7:17HOUMISS Budinger Layup32
44.5%
35
55.5%
Q2 - 7:42DENNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)32
42.4%
35
57.6%
Q2 - 8:04HOULandry Foul Turnover (P2.T7)29
37.6%
35
62.4%
Q2 - 8:12DENLawson Driving Layup (2 PTS)29
35.0%
35
65.0%
Q2 - 8:18DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
32.6%
35
67.4%
Q2 - 8:19DENHayes BLOCK (1 BLK)27
30.9%
35
69.1%
Q2 - 8:25DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
32.6%
35
67.4%
Q2 - 8:27HOUMISS Budinger 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
31.8%
35
68.2%
Q2 - 8:32DENLowry STEAL (1 STL)27
30.1%
35
69.9%
Q2 - 8:36HOULandry Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)27
32.5%
35
67.5%
Q2 - 8:50DENNene Dunk (7 PTS)27
30.1%
35
69.9%
Q2 - 9:16HOULowry Driving Layup (6 PTS)25
28.3%
35
71.7%
Q2 - 9:32DENNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)25
30.4%
33
69.6%
Q2 - 9:53HOUBrooks 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
26.2%
33
73.8%
Q2 - 10:11DENSmith Driving Layup (2 PTS)22
28.5%
31
71.5%
Q2 - 10:30HOULowry Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)20
26.6%
31
73.4%
Q2 - 10:32HOUAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
24.4%
31
75.6%
Q2 - 10:33DENMISS Afflalo 20' Jump Shot20
25.1%
31
74.9%
Q2 - 10:40DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
26.6%
31
73.4%
Q2 - 10:41HOUMISS Landry 18' Jump Shot20
25.9%
31
74.1%
Q2 - 11:00DENNene Layup (2 PTS)20
24.4%
31
75.6%
Q2 - 11:13DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
23.2%
31
76.8%
Q2 - 11:15HOUMISS Lowry 6' Jump Shot18
22.6%
31
77.4%
Q2 - 11:28DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
21.3%
31
78.7%
Q2 - 11:28DENAndersen Tip Shot (2 PTS)18
21.3%
31
78.7%
Q2 - 11:30DENMISS Lawson Layup16
18.6%
31
81.4%
Q2 - 11:32DENNuggets Rebound16
19.7%
31
80.3%
Q2 - 11:34HOUMISS Budinger Layup16
19.2%
31
80.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN16
18.1%
31
81.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUAriza 18' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)16
19.7%
31
80.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0DENAriza STEAL (1 STL)16
22.2%
29
77.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0HOUAriza Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)16
23.6%
29
76.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0HOUMISS Ariza Free Throw 1 of 216
24.1%
28
75.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
24.0%
28
76.0%
Q1 - 0:02.0DENMISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
24.4%
28
75.6%
Q1 - 0:23.0HOULandry Layup (5 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)16
25.4%
28
74.6%
Q1 - 0:31.0HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)16
27.7%
26
72.3%
Q1 - 0:32.0DENMISS Smith Driving Layup16
28.2%
26
71.8%
Q1 - 0:38.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)16
29.3%
26
70.7%
Q1 - 0:39.0HOUMISS Ariza 13' Jump Shot16
28.8%
26
71.2%
Q1 - 1:00HOUBudinger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
27.6%
26
72.4%
Q1 - 1:02DENMISS Smith 23' Jump Shot16
28.9%
26
71.1%
Q1 - 1:11HOULowry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)16
29.9%
26
70.1%
Q1 - 1:19HOULowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
28.5%
26
71.5%
Q1 - 1:21DENMISS Billups 18' Jump Shot16
28.9%
26
71.1%
Q1 - 1:34HOULowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
29.8%
26
70.2%
Q1 - 1:34HOULowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
30.2%
25
69.8%
Q1 - 1:54HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
32.5%
24
67.5%
Q1 - 1:54DENMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 216
32.7%
24
67.3%
Q1 - 1:54DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 216
34.1%
24
65.9%
Q1 - 2:00DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
34.0%
24
66.0%
Q1 - 2:02HOUMISS Scola 6' Hook Shot16
34.1%
24
65.9%
Q1 - 2:20DENMartin Driving Layup (4 PTS)16
32.8%
24
67.2%
Q1 - 2:36HOUBudinger 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Scola 1 AST)14
30.5%
24
69.5%
Q1 - 2:46HOULandry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
32.8%
22
67.2%
Q1 - 2:47DENMISS Martin 9' Jump Hook Shot14
33.4%
22
66.6%
Q1 - 3:04HOULandry Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)14
35.1%
22
64.9%
Q1 - 3:04HOULandry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
39.4%
19
60.6%
Q1 - 3:06HOUMISS Scola Finger Roll Layup14
41.0%
19
59.0%
Q1 - 3:33DENBillups Driving Layup (6 PTS)14
39.4%
19
60.6%
Q1 - 3:43HOULowry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)12
37.2%
19
62.8%
Q1 - 3:49HOULowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
35.1%
19
64.9%
Q1 - 3:51HOUMISS Ariza 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
36.5%
19
63.5%
Q1 - 3:57HOULowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
35.1%
19
64.9%
Q1 - 3:59DENMISS Smith 20' Pullup Jump Shot12
35.7%
19
64.3%
Q1 - 4:07DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
37.5%
19
62.5%
Q1 - 4:08HOUMISS Lowry 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
36.9%
19
63.1%
Q1 - 4:24DENMartin Dunk (2 PTS)12
35.3%
19
64.7%
Q1 - 4:25DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
33.4%
19
66.6%
Q1 - 4:27DENScola BLOCK (1 BLK)10
32.0%
19
68.0%
Q1 - 4:36DENGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
33.4%
19
66.6%
Q1 - 4:38HOUMISS Battier 10' Jump Hook Shot10
32.8%
19
67.2%
Q1 - 4:56DENGraham Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
31.3%
19
68.7%
Q1 - 4:56DENGraham Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
31.0%
19
69.0%
Q1 - 5:10HOUScola Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)8
30.1%
19
69.9%
Q1 - 5:10HOUScola Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)8
30.5%
18
69.5%
Q1 - 5:14HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
31.8%
17
68.2%
Q1 - 5:15DENMISS Graham 10' Turnaround Jump Shot8
32.4%
17
67.6%
Q1 - 5:27DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
33.8%
17
66.2%
Q1 - 5:29HOUMISS Scola 20' Jump Shot8
33.2%
17
66.8%
Q1 - 5:45HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
31.7%
17
68.3%
Q1 - 5:49HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
31.7%
17
68.3%
Q1 - 5:49HOUMISS Scola Tip Shot8
33.2%
17
66.8%
Q1 - 5:50HOUMISS Ariza Driving Layup8
33.2%
17
66.8%
Q1 - 6:03DENBillups Layup (4 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)8
32.1%
17
67.9%
Q1 - 6:21HOUAriza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST)6
30.4%
17
69.6%
Q1 - 6:27DENScola STEAL (1 STL)6
34.0%
14
66.0%
Q1 - 6:38HOUScola Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)6
36.0%
14
64.0%
Q1 - 6:54DENGraham 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)6
34.0%
14
66.0%
Q1 - 7:04DENNuggets Rebound4
32.6%
14
67.4%
Q1 - 7:05DENMISS Billups 21' Jump Shot4
31.2%
14
68.8%
Q1 - 7:20DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
32.5%
14
67.5%
Q1 - 7:20HOUMISS Scola Free Throw 1 of 14
32.3%
14
67.7%
Q1 - 7:30DENNene Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)4
34.3%
12
65.7%
Q1 - 7:41HOULowry Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
36.3%
12
63.7%
Q1 - 7:57DENAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
38.1%
10
61.9%
Q1 - 7:57DENAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
37.7%
10
62.3%
Q1 - 7:59DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
36.3%
10
63.7%
Q1 - 8:01DENMISS Martin 20' Jump Shot2
35.1%
10
64.9%
Q1 - 8:18HOUScola Layup (6 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST)2
36.4%
10
63.6%
Q1 - 8:21HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
38.4%
8
61.6%
Q1 - 8:23DENMISS Martin 8' Jump Hook Shot2
39.0%
8
61.0%
Q1 - 8:46HOUHayes Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)2
40.3%
8
59.7%
Q1 - 9:06HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
39.2%
8
60.8%
Q1 - 9:08DENMISS Graham 16' Pullup Jump Shot2
39.7%
8
60.3%
Q1 - 9:22HOUAriza Driving Layup (4 PTS)2
41.0%
8
59.0%
Q1 - 9:28DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
43.0%
6
57.0%
Q1 - 9:28DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
42.8%
6
57.2%
Q1 - 9:44DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
40.9%
6
59.1%
Q1 - 9:46HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
40.4%
6
59.6%
Q1 - 10:04HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
39.7%
6
60.3%
Q1 - 10:05DENMISS Graham 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
40.3%
6
59.7%
Q1 - 10:23HOUScola Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)0
41.7%
6
58.3%
Q1 - 10:30HOUBrooks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
43.3%
4
56.7%
Q1 - 10:31DENMISS Billups 8' Running Jump Shot0
43.9%
4
56.1%
Q1 - 10:39HOUAriza Layup (2 PTS)0
45.4%
4
54.6%
Q1 - 10:58DENNuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)0
47.1%
2
52.9%
Q1 - 10:59DENNuggets Rebound0
49.1%
2
50.9%
Q1 - 10:59DENMISS Afflalo 21' Pullup Jump Shot0
47.7%
2
52.3%
Q1 - 11:26HOUScola 7' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)0
49.2%
2
50.8%
Q1 - 11:42HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
50.9%
0
49.1%
Q1 - 11:44DENMISS Nene 12' Turnaround Jump Shot0
51.4%
0
48.6%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Scola vs. Nene: Tip to Martin0
52.6%
0
47.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.03 51.6%
HOU
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
19
27
70%
HOU
18
33
55%
Midrange
DEN
9
28
32%
HOU
11
31
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
4
6.0
17
24%
35%
HOU
7
10.5
19
37%
55%
Free Throws
DEN
29
39
74%
HOU
13
19
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith2255%11.0 / 20
C. Billups2155%10.5 / 19
Nene1890%9.0 / 10
K. Martin1250%6.0 / 12
T. Lawson850%4.0 / 8
J. Graham744%3.5 / 8
C. Andersen788%3.5 / 4
A. Afflalo213%1.0 / 8
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Brooks22100%11.0 / 11
L. Scola2053%10.0 / 19
T. Ariza1943%9.5 / 22
K. Lowry1042%5.0 / 12
C. Hayes867%4.0 / 6
C. Landry750%3.5 / 7
S. Battier214%1.0 / 7
C. Budinger220%1.0 / 5
D. Andersen2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
80
+12
-16
92
HOU
79
+10
-16
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.03 51.6%
HOU
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.9
107.6
DEN 101.0
HOU 96.8 +4.2
Pace
94.7
94.1
DEN 98.1 +5.1
HOU 93.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
15.0
DEN 14.7 +0.8
HOU 15.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.9%
49.4%
DEN 47.2%
HOU 47.6% +0.4%
TO %
14.2%
14.5%
DEN 16.0%
HOU 14.9% +1.1%
ORB %
26.1%
27.0%
DEN 21.1% +2.0%
HOU 19.1%
FTrt
37.6
29.2
DEN 54.2 +31.3
HOU 22.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.0%
57.9%
DEN 21.9%
HOU 36.1% +14.2%
STL %
8.7%
7.5%
DEN 11.5% +6.2%
HOU 5.3%
BLK %
7.9%
5.8%
DEN 4.7%
HOU 9.1% +4.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.9%
52.5%
DEN 51.6% +0.5%
HOU 51.1%
Rim FG%
61.0%
55.7%
DEN 70.4% +15.9%
HOU 54.5%
Mid FG%
39.6%
40.4%
DEN 32.1%
HOU 35.5% +3.4%
3P %
35.9%
35.1%
DEN 23.5%
HOU 36.8% +13.3%
FT %
77.2%
77.3%
DEN 74.4% +6.0%
HOU 68.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.5%
37.3%
DEN 37.5%
HOU 39.8% +2.3%
Mid Att. %
39.8%
36.2%
DEN 38.9%
HOU 37.3% +1.5%
3P Att. %
22.7%
26.5%
DEN 23.6% +0.7%
HOU 22.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENHOU
Possessions9695
Possession Minutes23.524.5
Points9792
Rebounds4639
Assists713
Steals115
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)16 (1)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (4)9 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (2)30 (2)
Field Goals32-7236-83
At-the-Rim FG19-2718-33
Midrange FG9-2811-31
2-Point FG28-5529-64
3-Point FG4-177-19
Free Throws29-3913-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 210 · 33
39.1
21
55%
4
4
3
0
5
5
0
4
6-8
75%
6-12
50%
1-4
25%
F · 6'9" 225 · 32
35.5
12
50%
15
0
1
2
0
4
3
12
0-0
-
6-11
55%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 250 · 27
35.0
18
90%
5
1
3
0
5
4
1
4
6-9
67%
6-7
86%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 24
24.6
2
13%
6
0
0
0
3
4
2
4
2-2
100%
0-6
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 230 · 28
18.7
7
44%
2
0
1
0
0
4
0
2
3-4
75%
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 24
38.0
22
55%
5
2
3
0
2
2
0
5
5-8
63%
4-8
50%
3-8
38%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32
25.4
7
88%
8
0
0
1
1
1
1
7
5-6
83%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 195 · 22
23.8
8
50%
1
0
0
0
0
3
1
0
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 255 · 32
G · 6'1" 190 · 35
C · 7'0" 247 · 24
F · 6'8" 225 · 26
#15 · F · 6'8" 240 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
52%
46
7
11
3
16
0
8
38
29-39
74%
28-55
51%
4-17
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.