FinalWin Prob.pScore
937%96
90
563%100
105
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
101.18991.1
SAS logo SAS
115.49189.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS90
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:20.0SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)90
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:22.0ATLMISS Evans 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0SASBlair Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)90
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0ATLEvans Layup (5 PTS) (Crawford 2 AST)90
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0SASMISS Mason Jr. 22' Jump Shot88
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:08SASBlair REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)88
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10ATLMISS West Free Throw 2 of 288
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10ATLMISS West Free Throw 1 of 288
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10ATLHawks Rebound88
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10ATLMISS Evans 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)88
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25SASBonner 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)88
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Shot88
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:48SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:10 Def:17)88
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:50ATLMISS Teague 16' Jump Shot88
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:04SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)88
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 2:04SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)88
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:17SASHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)88
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:18SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Shot88
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:43ATLHorford 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)88
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:52ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)86
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:54SASMISS Ginobili 15' Jump Shot86
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:15SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:10 Def:16)86
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:16ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot86
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:32SASHill 1' Alley Oop Dunk (16 PTS) (Jefferson 3 AST)86
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 3:37ATLGinobili STEAL (1 STL)86
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 3:47SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)86
0.7%
99
99.3%
Q4 - 3:47SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)86
0.8%
98
99.2%
Q4 - 4:07ATLJohnson 7' Jump Shot (31 PTS)86
1.0%
97
99.0%
Q4 - 4:19ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
0.7%
97
99.3%
Q4 - 4:21SASMISS Duncan 5' Running Jump Shot84
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q4 - 4:41ATLJohnson 13' Jump Bank Shot (29 PTS)84
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 4:52ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 4:54SASMISS Mason Jr. 20' Jump Shot82
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 5:08SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 5:09ATLMISS Crawford 3PT Jump Shot82
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 5:25SASMason Jr. 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Duncan 6 AST)82
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q4 - 5:51ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)82
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 5:51ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)81
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 5:59ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)80
0.6%
95
99.4%
Q4 - 6:00SASMISS Jefferson 19' Jump Shot80
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 6:01SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:10 Def:15)80
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 6:02SASMISS Duncan 2' Tip Shot80
0.9%
95
99.1%
Q4 - 6:03SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:9 Def:15)80
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 6:05SASMISS Duncan 2' Tip Shot80
0.9%
95
99.1%
Q4 - 6:08SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:8 Def:15)80
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 6:08SASMISS Duncan 1' Layup80
0.9%
95
99.1%
Q4 - 6:18SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:7 Def:15)80
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 6:20ATLMISS Johnson Layup80
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 6:36SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)80
1.0%
95
99.0%
Q4 - 6:36SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)80
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 6:51SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:7 Def:14)80
1.3%
93
98.7%
Q4 - 6:52ATLMISS Johnson 10' Jump Shot80
1.4%
93
98.6%
Q4 - 7:09ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
2.3%
93
97.7%
Q4 - 7:10SASMISS Jefferson 18' Jump Shot80
2.1%
93
97.9%
Q4 - 7:24SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:7 Def:13)80
1.7%
93
98.3%
Q4 - 7:26ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:7 Def:9)80
2.3%
93
97.7%
Q4 - 7:26ATLMISS Smith 1' Tip Shot80
1.9%
93
98.1%
Q4 - 7:28ATLMISS Smith 2' Layup80
1.9%
93
98.1%
Q4 - 7:49SASMcDyess 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)80
2.3%
93
97.7%
Q4 - 7:58ATLCrawford Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)80
2.9%
91
97.1%
Q4 - 8:19SASMcDyess 1' Layup (15 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)80
4.8%
91
95.2%
Q4 - 8:26SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
6.2%
89
93.8%
Q4 - 8:27ATLMISS Smith 2' Layup80
6.6%
89
93.4%
Q4 - 8:33SASHill Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)80
7.7%
89
92.3%
Q4 - 8:53ATLPachulia Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)80
6.1%
89
93.9%
Q4 - 8:53ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)80
7.7%
89
92.3%
Q4 - 8:55ATLMISS Crawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
6.6%
89
93.4%
Q4 - 9:02SASMcDyess Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)80
9.0%
89
91.0%
Q4 - 9:22ATLCrawford 18' Pullup Jump Shot (25 PTS)80
7.2%
89
92.8%
Q4 - 9:40ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)78
5.7%
89
94.3%
Q4 - 9:41SASMISS Bonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
5.3%
89
94.7%
Q4 - 10:00ATLCrawford 18' Step Back Jump Shot (23 PTS)78
4.5%
89
95.5%
Q4 - 10:17ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)76
4.2%
89
95.8%
Q4 - 10:18SASMISS Bonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
3.9%
89
96.1%
Q4 - 10:32SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)76
3.4%
89
96.6%
Q4 - 10:32SASMISS Bonner 3PT Jump Shot76
3.9%
89
96.1%
Q4 - 10:51SASBlair REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)76
3.3%
89
96.7%
Q4 - 10:52ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 276
3.4%
89
96.6%
Q4 - 10:52ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 276
3.9%
89
96.1%
Q4 - 11:05SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)76
4.8%
89
95.2%
Q4 - 11:05SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)76
4.9%
88
95.1%
Q4 - 11:12SASBlair REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)76
5.9%
87
94.1%
Q4 - 11:13ATLMISS Crawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
6.2%
87
93.8%
Q4 - 11:36ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)76
7.1%
87
92.9%
Q4 - 11:37SASMISS Blair 3' Jump Shot76
6.7%
87
93.3%
Q4 - 11:54ATLJohnson 1' Layup (27 PTS)76
5.8%
87
94.2%
Q4 - 11:56SASBlair Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)74
4.7%
87
95.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL74
3.9%
87
96.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
4.7%
87
95.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Bank Shot74
4.5%
87
95.5%
Q3 - 0:03.0ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)74
4.4%
87
95.6%
Q3 - 0:03.0SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)74
5.3%
87
94.7%
Q3 - 0:03.0SASMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 274
5.5%
86
94.5%
Q3 - 0:04.0ATLCrawford 2' Driving Layup (21 PTS)74
5.4%
86
94.6%
Q3 - 0:10.0SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)72
4.3%
86
95.7%
Q3 - 0:10.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:7 Def:12)72
3.6%
86
96.4%
Q3 - 0:10.0SASMISS Ginobili 15' Jump Shot72
4.1%
86
95.9%
Q3 - 0:31.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:6 Def:12)72
3.6%
86
96.4%
Q3 - 0:33.0ATLDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)72
3.8%
86
96.2%
Q3 - 0:50.0SASHill 21' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)72
4.3%
86
95.7%
Q3 - 1:09ATLCrawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Smith 7 AST)72
5.7%
84
94.3%
Q3 - 1:15ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)69
3.9%
84
96.1%
Q3 - 1:17SASMISS Bonner 3' Jump Shot69
3.7%
84
96.3%
Q3 - 1:33ATLJohnson 16' Step Back Jump Shot (25 PTS)69
3.2%
84
96.8%
Q3 - 1:57SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)67
2.6%
84
97.4%
Q3 - 2:15ATLJohnson Layup (23 PTS) (Smith 6 AST)67
4.3%
81
95.7%
Q3 - 2:29ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)65
3.6%
81
96.4%
Q3 - 2:29SASMISS Mahinmi Free Throw 2 of 265
3.5%
81
96.5%
Q3 - 2:29SASMISS Mahinmi Free Throw 1 of 265
3.1%
81
96.9%
Q3 - 2:44ATLCrawford 2' Layup (16 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)65
3.0%
81
97.0%
Q3 - 2:50ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
2.5%
81
97.5%
Q3 - 2:51SASMISS Parker 5' Floating Jump Shot63
2.3%
81
97.7%
Q3 - 3:13SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
2.3%
81
97.7%
Q3 - 3:15ATLHill BLOCK (1 BLK)63
2.5%
81
97.5%
Q3 - 3:20ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)63
2.8%
81
97.2%
Q3 - 3:21SASMISS Duncan 4' Running Jump Shot63
2.7%
81
97.3%
Q3 - 3:26SASSPURS Rebound63
2.3%
81
97.7%
Q3 - 3:27SASMISS Duncan 11' Turnaround Bank Shot63
2.7%
81
97.3%
Q3 - 3:44SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
2.3%
81
97.7%
Q3 - 3:45ATLMISS Horford 8' Turnaround Jump Shot63
2.5%
81
97.5%
Q3 - 4:01SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)63
3.1%
81
96.9%
Q3 - 4:18ATLJohnson 2' Layup (21 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)63
4.2%
78
95.8%
Q3 - 4:23SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4)61
3.7%
78
96.3%
Q3 - 4:30SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
3.0%
78
97.0%
Q3 - 4:31ATLMISS Horford 16' Jump Shot61
3.2%
78
96.8%
Q3 - 4:45SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:6 Def:11)61
3.6%
78
96.4%
Q3 - 4:45SASDuncan 1' Layup (12 PTS)61
3.6%
78
96.4%
Q3 - 4:46SASMISS Ginobili 7' Running Jump Shot61
4.8%
76
95.2%
Q3 - 5:01ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)61
4.6%
76
95.4%
Q3 - 5:01ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 260
4.5%
76
95.5%
Q3 - 5:16SASMcDyess Dunk (13 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)60
4.6%
76
95.4%
Q3 - 5:32ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)60
5.3%
74
94.7%
Q3 - 5:53ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)56
3.3%
74
96.7%
Q3 - 5:54SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot56
3.2%
74
96.8%
Q3 - 6:17ATLWilliams Layup (9 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)56
3.1%
74
96.9%
Q3 - 6:37ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)54
2.7%
74
97.3%
Q3 - 6:38SASMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot54
2.5%
74
97.5%
Q3 - 7:02ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)54
2.6%
74
97.4%
Q3 - 7:02ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 253
2.5%
74
97.5%
Q3 - 7:05ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)53
2.6%
74
97.4%
Q3 - 7:06ATLMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
2.3%
74
97.7%
Q3 - 7:15SASJefferson 2' Finger Roll Layup (11 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)53
2.6%
74
97.4%
Q3 - 7:25SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:11)53
3.0%
72
97.0%
Q3 - 7:26ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot53
3.1%
72
96.9%
Q3 - 7:33ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
3.5%
72
96.5%
Q3 - 7:34SASMISS Bogans 3PT Jump Shot53
3.3%
72
96.7%
Q3 - 7:53ATLJohnson 22' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)53
3.0%
72
97.0%
Q3 - 8:09SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)51
2.7%
72
97.3%
Q3 - 8:09SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)51
2.8%
71
97.2%
Q3 - 8:24ATLHorford 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)51
3.1%
70
96.9%
Q3 - 8:27ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)49
2.7%
70
97.3%
Q3 - 8:28ATLMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot49
2.5%
70
97.5%
Q3 - 8:44ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)49
2.7%
70
97.3%
Q3 - 8:45SASMISS McDyess Free Throw 1 of 149
2.7%
70
97.3%
Q3 - 8:56ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
3.1%
68
96.9%
Q3 - 8:56ATLWilliams Tip Shot (7 PTS)49
3.1%
68
96.9%
Q3 - 8:58ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)47
2.7%
68
97.3%
Q3 - 8:58ATLMISS Horford 1' Tip Shot47
2.4%
68
97.6%
Q3 - 8:59ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot47
2.4%
68
97.6%
Q3 - 9:03ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)47
2.9%
68
97.1%
Q3 - 9:05ATLMISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
2.6%
68
97.4%
Q3 - 9:31SASJefferson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T3)47
2.9%
68
97.1%
Q3 - 9:40SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)47
2.5%
68
97.5%
Q3 - 9:41ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot47
2.6%
68
97.4%
Q3 - 9:57SASParker Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T2)47
2.9%
68
97.1%
Q3 - 10:01SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)47
2.7%
68
97.3%
Q3 - 10:02ATLMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
2.9%
68
97.1%
Q3 - 10:26SASMcDyess 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)47
3.1%
68
96.9%
Q3 - 10:45SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)47
3.6%
66
96.4%
Q3 - 10:46SASMISS McDyess 17' Jump Shot47
4.0%
66
96.0%
Q3 - 10:55SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)47
3.6%
66
96.4%
Q3 - 10:56ATLMISS Bibby 21' Jump Shot47
3.7%
66
96.3%
Q3 - 11:14ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
4.4%
66
95.6%
Q3 - 11:15SASMISS Jefferson 3PT Jump Shot47
4.3%
66
95.7%
Q3 - 11:37ATLJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)47
3.8%
66
96.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL44
3.0%
66
97.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound44
3.0%
66
97.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLMISS West 41' 3PT Jump Shot44
2.7%
66
97.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
3.0%
66
97.0%
Q2 - 0:02.0SASMISS Ginobili Driving Layup44
3.1%
66
96.9%
Q2 - 0:09.0ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)44
2.9%
66
97.1%
Q2 - 0:09.0ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)43
2.9%
66
97.1%
Q2 - 0:20.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)42
2.5%
66
97.5%
Q2 - 0:22.0SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Shot42
2.4%
66
97.6%
Q2 - 0:34.0ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)42
2.2%
66
97.8%
Q2 - 0:34.0ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)41
2.1%
66
97.9%
Q2 - 0:44.0SASDuncan 2' Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)40
1.9%
66
98.1%
Q2 - 0:59.0ATLCrawford 3' Layup (10 PTS)40
2.2%
64
97.8%
Q2 - 1:04ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
2.0%
64
98.0%
Q2 - 1:06SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
2.0%
64
98.0%
Q2 - 1:22ATLWilliams 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (3 PTS)38
1.8%
64
98.2%
Q2 - 1:42SASDuncan 1' Running Dunk (6 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)36
1.6%
64
98.4%
Q2 - 1:54ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)36
1.8%
62
98.2%
Q2 - 1:58ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)36
2.0%
62
98.0%
Q2 - 2:00SASMISS Duncan 2' Running Layup36
2.0%
62
98.0%
Q2 - 2:05SASBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
1.9%
62
98.1%
Q2 - 2:07ATLMISS Pachulia 1' Layup36
2.0%
62
98.0%
Q2 - 2:08ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
2.2%
62
97.8%
Q2 - 2:09ATLMISS Pachulia 2' Layup36
2.0%
62
98.0%
Q2 - 2:22SASMcDyess 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)36
2.2%
62
97.8%
Q2 - 2:26SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)36
2.5%
60
97.5%
Q2 - 2:29SASMISS Ginobili 11' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot36
2.7%
60
97.3%
Q2 - 2:49ATLJohnson 9' Turnaround Fadeaway (14 PTS)36
2.5%
60
97.5%
Q2 - 3:15SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)34
2.4%
60
97.6%
Q2 - 3:35ATLSmith 1' Dunk (9 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)34
3.0%
57
97.0%
Q2 - 3:48SASBogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)32
2.7%
57
97.3%
Q2 - 4:05SASBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
3.6%
54
96.4%
Q2 - 4:06ATLGinobili BLOCK (1 BLK)32
3.7%
54
96.3%
Q2 - 4:13SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)32
4.1%
54
95.9%
Q2 - 4:18SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)32
3.6%
54
96.4%
Q2 - 4:18SASMISS Duncan 3' Layup32
3.9%
54
96.1%
Q2 - 4:38ATLJohnson 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS)32
3.6%
54
96.4%
Q2 - 4:58SASMason Jr. 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)30
3.2%
54
96.8%
Q2 - 5:05SASSPURS Rebound30
3.9%
52
96.1%
Q2 - 5:05SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot30
4.2%
52
95.8%
Q2 - 5:18SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)30
3.8%
52
96.2%
Q2 - 5:19ATLMISS Crawford 16' Jump Shot30
4.0%
52
96.0%
Q2 - 5:28ATLCrawford Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)30
4.3%
52
95.7%
Q2 - 5:36ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)29
3.8%
52
96.2%
Q2 - 5:37ATLMISS Bibby 13' Step Back Jump Shot29
3.5%
52
96.5%
Q2 - 5:45ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)29
3.8%
52
96.2%
Q2 - 5:47SASMISS Mason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
3.7%
52
96.3%
Q2 - 6:03ATLCrawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)29
3.7%
52
96.3%
Q2 - 6:15SASHill 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)26
3.0%
52
97.0%
Q2 - 6:25SASSPURS Rebound26
3.3%
50
96.7%
Q2 - 6:26SASMISS Hill 2' Layup26
3.6%
50
96.4%
Q2 - 6:36SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)26
3.2%
50
96.8%
Q2 - 6:37ATLMISS Horford 7' Jump Shot26
3.4%
50
96.6%
Q2 - 6:59SASHill 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bonner 2 AST)26
3.7%
50
96.3%
Q2 - 7:09SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
4.8%
47
95.2%
Q2 - 7:11ATLMISS Horford 9' Turnaround Jump Shot26
5.0%
47
95.0%
Q2 - 7:33SASHill 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)26
5.4%
47
94.6%
Q2 - 7:43SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
5.9%
45
94.1%
Q2 - 7:45ATLMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
6.2%
45
93.8%
Q2 - 7:49ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)26
6.7%
45
93.3%
Q2 - 7:51ATLMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot26
6.2%
45
93.8%
Q2 - 8:14SASJefferson 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)26
7.1%
45
92.9%
Q2 - 8:21SASBlair REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)26
7.8%
43
92.2%
Q2 - 8:23ATLMason Jr. BLOCK (1 BLK)26
8.0%
43
92.0%
Q2 - 8:34SASGinobili 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)26
8.6%
43
91.4%
Q2 - 8:49SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
9.5%
41
90.5%
Q2 - 8:52ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
10.5%
41
89.5%
Q2 - 8:52ATLMISS Smith 2' Putback Layup26
9.8%
41
90.2%
Q2 - 8:54ATLMISS Crawford 10' Jump Shot26
9.8%
41
90.2%
Q2 - 9:13SASJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)26
10.8%
41
89.2%
Q2 - 9:13SASMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 226
11.0%
40
89.0%
Q2 - 9:31ATLCrawford 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)26
10.7%
40
89.3%
Q2 - 9:43SASBlair REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)24
9.8%
40
90.2%
Q2 - 9:43SASBlair Tip Shot (4 PTS)24
9.8%
40
90.2%
Q2 - 9:44SASMISS Blair 2' Tip Shot24
11.5%
38
88.5%
Q2 - 9:45SASBlair REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)24
10.7%
38
89.3%
Q2 - 9:47SASMISS Ginobili 3' Layup24
11.5%
38
88.5%
Q2 - 9:48SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
10.7%
38
89.3%
Q2 - 9:50SASMISS Mason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
11.5%
38
88.5%
Q2 - 10:02SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
11.0%
38
89.0%
Q2 - 10:03ATLMISS Smith 9' Turnaround Jump Shot24
11.4%
38
88.6%
Q2 - 10:27SASJefferson 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)24
12.2%
38
87.8%
Q2 - 10:41SASSPURS Rebound24
13.2%
36
86.8%
Q2 - 10:41ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 224
13.4%
36
86.6%
Q2 - 10:41ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
14.2%
36
85.8%
Q2 - 10:41ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
13.3%
36
86.7%
Q2 - 10:43ATLMISS Crawford 17' Jump Shot23
12.4%
36
87.6%
Q2 - 10:50ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
13.3%
36
86.7%
Q2 - 10:52SASMISS Ginobili 6' Driving Bank Shot23
12.9%
36
87.1%
Q2 - 11:06ATLCrawford 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)23
12.4%
36
87.6%
Q2 - 11:17ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
11.4%
36
88.6%
Q2 - 11:19SASMISS Jefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
11.1%
36
88.9%
Q2 - 11:43SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)21
10.4%
36
89.6%
Q2 - 11:45ATLMISS Crawford 9' Running Jump Shot21
10.7%
36
89.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL21
11.4%
36
88.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)21
11.4%
36
88.6%
Q1 - 0:04.0ATLEvans 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)21
14.1%
33
85.9%
Q1 - 0:25.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
11.6%
33
88.4%
Q1 - 0:26.0SASMISS Parker 1' Reverse Layup18
11.4%
33
88.6%
Q1 - 0:29.0SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)18
10.9%
33
89.1%
Q1 - 0:31.0SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot18
11.4%
33
88.6%
Q1 - 0:42.0SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
10.9%
33
89.1%
Q1 - 0:45.0SASMISS Bonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
11.4%
33
88.6%
Q1 - 0:59.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)18
10.8%
33
89.2%
Q1 - 1:00ATLMISS Crawford 16' Jump Shot18
11.1%
33
88.9%
Q1 - 1:15SASBlair 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)18
12.1%
33
87.9%
Q1 - 1:21SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)18
13.4%
31
86.6%
Q1 - 1:22ATLMISS Johnson 5' Driving Jump Shot18
13.7%
31
86.3%
Q1 - 1:37SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)18
14.2%
31
85.8%
Q1 - 1:37SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)18
14.5%
30
85.5%
Q1 - 1:48ATLJohnson 12' Jump Shot (10 PTS)18
15.8%
29
84.2%
Q1 - 1:58ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
14.2%
29
85.8%
Q1 - 1:59SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot16
14.0%
29
86.0%
Q1 - 2:14ATLEvans Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)16
13.7%
29
86.3%
Q1 - 2:33SASParker Layup (7 PTS) (Bogans 1 AST)16
14.7%
29
85.3%
Q1 - 2:37ATLBlair STEAL (1 STL)16
16.1%
27
83.9%
Q1 - 2:57SASGinobili 4' Driving Layup (4 PTS)16
17.2%
27
82.8%
Q1 - 3:11ATLJohnson 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS)16
18.7%
25
81.3%
Q1 - 3:32SASDuncan 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Blair 1 AST)14
17.4%
25
82.6%
Q1 - 3:59ATLSmith 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)14
18.7%
23
81.3%
Q1 - 4:03ATLHawks Rebound12
17.7%
23
82.3%
Q1 - 4:06ATLMISS Johnson 8' Jump Shot12
16.7%
23
83.3%
Q1 - 4:26SASGinobili 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)12
17.6%
23
82.4%
Q1 - 4:29SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)12
18.9%
21
81.1%
Q1 - 4:31SASMISS Parker 14' Step Back Jump Shot12
19.9%
21
80.1%
Q1 - 4:50SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)12
18.9%
21
81.1%
Q1 - 4:51ATLMISS Horford 10' Jump Shot12
19.3%
21
80.7%
Q1 - 5:07ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)12
20.8%
21
79.2%
Q1 - 5:08SASMISS McDyess Free Throw 2 of 212
20.6%
21
79.4%
Q1 - 5:08SASMcDyess Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)12
19.8%
21
80.2%
Q1 - 5:12SASBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
20.6%
20
79.4%
Q1 - 5:17ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
21.1%
20
78.9%
Q1 - 5:28SASBogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)12
22.2%
20
77.8%
Q1 - 5:35SASBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
25.2%
17
74.8%
Q1 - 5:36ATLMISS Horford 9' Turnaround Jump Shot12
25.7%
17
74.3%
Q1 - 5:51SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)12
27.0%
17
73.0%
Q1 - 5:51SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 212
27.4%
16
72.6%
Q1 - 6:02SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)12
26.8%
16
73.2%
Q1 - 6:02ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 212
27.1%
16
72.9%
Q1 - 6:02ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)12
28.0%
16
72.0%
Q1 - 6:06ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
26.9%
16
73.1%
Q1 - 6:08SASMISS Ginobili 3' Driving Layup11
26.4%
16
73.6%
Q1 - 6:32ATLJohnson 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)11
25.2%
16
74.8%
Q1 - 6:36ATLHawks Rebound9
23.7%
16
76.3%
Q1 - 6:36ATLMcDyess BLOCK (1 BLK)9
22.6%
16
77.4%
Q1 - 6:43ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
23.7%
16
76.3%
Q1 - 6:45SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)9
22.1%
16
77.9%
Q1 - 6:45SASMISS Duncan 3' Tip Shot9
23.2%
16
76.8%
Q1 - 6:47SASMISS Hill 18' Jump Shot9
23.2%
16
76.8%
Q1 - 7:05ATLJohnson 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)9
22.2%
16
77.8%
Q1 - 7:20SASHill Layup (4 PTS)7
20.9%
16
79.1%
Q1 - 7:24SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
22.2%
14
77.8%
Q1 - 7:26ATLMISS Horford 13' Jump Shot7
22.6%
14
77.4%
Q1 - 7:41SASParker 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)7
23.7%
14
76.3%
Q1 - 7:47SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
25.2%
12
74.8%
Q1 - 7:47ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 27
25.4%
12
74.6%
Q1 - 7:47ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
26.5%
12
73.5%
Q1 - 7:55ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
25.3%
12
74.7%
Q1 - 7:56SASMISS Hill 3' Layup6
24.8%
12
75.2%
Q1 - 8:06SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
23.7%
12
76.3%
Q1 - 8:07ATLMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot6
24.1%
12
75.9%
Q1 - 8:32SASJefferson 2' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)6
25.2%
12
74.8%
Q1 - 8:48ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
26.8%
10
73.2%
Q1 - 8:48ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
26.3%
10
73.7%
Q1 - 9:10SASMcDyess 2' Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)4
25.5%
10
74.5%
Q1 - 9:25ATLSmith 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
27.1%
8
72.9%
Q1 - 9:50SASParker 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)2
25.5%
8
74.5%
Q1 - 9:55SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
27.1%
6
72.9%
Q1 - 9:57ATLMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
27.6%
6
72.4%
Q1 - 10:21SASJefferson 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)2
29.0%
6
71.0%
Q1 - 10:37SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
30.4%
4
69.6%
Q1 - 10:38ATLMISS Bibby 14' Jump Shot2
31.0%
4
69.0%
Q1 - 11:01SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
32.0%
4
68.0%
Q1 - 11:01SASMcDyess 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)2
32.0%
4
68.0%
Q1 - 11:02SASMISS Parker 3' Layup2
34.6%
2
65.4%
Q1 - 11:08SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
33.6%
2
66.4%
Q1 - 11:09ATLMISS Bibby 14' Jump Shot2
34.0%
2
66.0%
Q1 - 11:19ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
35.0%
2
65.0%
Q1 - 11:21SASMISS Parker 5' Running Jump Shot2
34.6%
2
65.4%
Q1 - 11:32ATLJohnson 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)2
33.6%
2
66.4%
Q1 - 11:49SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
32.0%
2
68.0%
Q1 - 11:49SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
32.3%
1
67.7%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Smith: Tip to Parker0
33.6%
0
66.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.88 44.1%
SAS
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
14
27
52%
SAS
24
44
55%
Midrange
ATL
16
41
39%
SAS
12
32
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
5
7.5
20
25%
38%
SAS
4
6.0
16
25%
38%
Free Throws
ATL
15
24
63%
SAS
21
28
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson3160%15.5 / 26
J. Crawford2566%12.5 / 19
J. Smith1447%7.0 / 15
M. Williams1050%5.0 / 10
M. Evans563%2.5 / 4
A. Horford420%2.0 / 10
Z. Pachulia113%0.5 / 4
M. Bibby0-0.0 / 7
J. Teague0-0.0 / 1
J. Smith0-0.0 / 1
M. West0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2142%10.5 / 25
A. McDyess1785%8.5 / 10
G. Hill1673%8.0 / 11
M. Ginobili1441%7.0 / 17
R. Jefferson1155%5.5 / 10
T. Parker1045%5.0 / 11
K. Bogans6100%3.0 / 3
D. Blair450%2.0 / 4
R. Mason Jr.433%2.0 / 6
M. Bonner217%1.0 / 6
I. Mahinmi0-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
82
+16
-7
98
SAS
83
+22
-8
105
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.88 44.1%
SAS
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.2
110.4
ATL 101.1
SAS 115.4 +14.3
Pace
89.9
91.5
ATL 91.1 +1.3
SAS 89.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.0
ATL 15.8 +0.2
SAS 16.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
51.5%
ATL 42.6%
SAS 45.7% +3.1%
TO %
12.7%
14.1%
ATL 6.6% +1.3%
SAS 7.9%
ORB %
28.3%
26.8%
ATL 22.6%
SAS 36.5% +13.9%
FTrt
28.1
29.6
ATL 27.3
SAS 30.4 +3.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.2%
58.1%
ATL 42.9%
SAS 72.5% +29.6%
STL %
8.0%
6.9%
ATL 6.7% +4.5%
SAS 2.2%
BLK %
7.9%
6.9%
ATL 5.3%
SAS 7.4% +2.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.3%
54.0%
ATL 44.1%
SAS 49.5% +5.4%
Rim FG%
60.8%
62.2%
ATL 51.9%
SAS 54.5% +2.6%
Mid FG%
40.6%
40.7%
ATL 39.0% +1.5%
SAS 37.5%
3P %
36.0%
35.8%
ATL 25.0%
SAS 25.0%
FT %
75.9%
74.0%
ATL 62.5%
SAS 75.0% +12.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.5%
36.1%
ATL 30.7%
SAS 47.8% +17.1%
Mid Att. %
43.1%
40.6%
ATL 46.6%
SAS 34.8% +11.8%
3P Att. %
21.4%
23.2%
ATL 22.7% +5.3%
SAS 17.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLSAS
Possessions8991
Possession Minutes23.424.3
Points90105
Rebounds4560
Assists1529
Steals62
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)7 (0)8 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (4)19 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (0)41 (1)
Field Goals35-8840-92
At-the-Rim FG14-2724-44
Midrange FG16-4112-32
2-Point FG30-6836-76
3-Point FG5-204-16
Free Throws15-2421-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 225 · 24
40.4
14
47%
16
7
2
1
2
4
7
9
8-12
67%
3-9
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 240 · 29
40.3
31
60%
4
2
3
0
2
3
0
4
0-0
-
14-21
67%
1-5
20%
C · 6'10" 245 · 24
29.2
4
20%
9
1
0
2
0
5
1
8
0-0
-
2-10
20%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 195 · 32
26.6
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-3
0%
F · 6'9" 237 · 24
23.4
10
50%
4
1
0
1
0
2
1
3
4-6
67%
3-5
60%
0-2
0%
G · 6'5" 185 · 30
35.1
25
66%
3
2
0
0
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
7-13
54%
3-6
50%
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31
15.3
5
63%
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
C · 6'11" 270 · 26
14.9
1
13%
5
0
0
0
1
2
3
2
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 189 · 22
6.0
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 35
4.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 26
2.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
0-0
-
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 275 · 24
2.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#34 · C · 7'0" 255 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
90
44%
45
15
6
4
7
0
12
33
15-24
63%
30-68
44%
5-20
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.