FinalWin Prob.pScore
1653%94
92
2547%93
65
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
113.68178.4
DET logo DET
82.37981.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET92
100%
65
0%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)92
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 0:24.0DETMISS Villanueva Free Throw 2 of 292
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 0:24.0DETVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)92
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIABrown STEAL (2 STL)92
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 0:46.0DETAtkins Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)92
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 1:02MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)92
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 1:02MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)91
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 1:19DETVillanueva Driving Layup (14 PTS)90
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 1:26MIAArroyo 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)90
99.9%
62
0.1%
Q4 - 1:28MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)88
99.9%
62
0.1%
Q4 - 1:29MIAMISS Cook 19' Jump Shot88
99.9%
62
0.1%
Q4 - 1:43DETVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)88
99.9%
62
0.1%
Q4 - 1:43DETMISS Villanueva Free Throw 1 of 288
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 2:00MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cook 2 AST)88
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 2:00MIACook REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)85
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 2:02MIADaye BLOCK (1 BLK)85
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 2:22DETVillanueva 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jerebko 1 AST)85
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 2:44MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)85
99.9%
59
0.1%
Q4 - 3:05MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)82
99.9%
59
0.1%
Q4 - 3:08DETMISS Brown Layup82
99.9%
59
0.1%
Q4 - 3:11DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
99.9%
59
0.1%
Q4 - 3:13MIAJerebko BLOCK (1 BLK)82
99.9%
59
0.1%
Q4 - 3:17MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)82
99.9%
59
0.1%
Q4 - 3:18MIAMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot82
99.9%
59
0.1%
Q4 - 3:44DETJerebko Dunk (4 PTS) (Atkins 3 AST)82
99.9%
59
0.1%
Q4 - 3:49MIAVillanueva STEAL (2 STL)82
99.9%
57
0.1%
Q4 - 4:10MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
99.9%
57
0.1%
Q4 - 4:11DETMISS Daye 18' Jump Shot82
99.9%
57
0.1%
Q4 - 4:22MIAJones Foul Turnover (P1.T15)82
99.9%
57
0.1%
Q4 - 4:37DETVillanueva Dunk (9 PTS)82
99.9%
57
0.1%
Q4 - 4:41MIAVillanueva STEAL (1 STL)82
99.9%
55
0.1%
Q4 - 4:51MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)82
99.9%
55
0.1%
Q4 - 4:52DETMISS Daye 13' Jump Shot82
99.9%
55
0.1%
Q4 - 5:06MIAArroyo Traveling Turnover (P1.T13)82
99.9%
55
0.1%
Q4 - 5:21DETJerebko 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Atkins 2 AST)82
99.9%
55
0.1%
Q4 - 5:36MIACook Tip Shot (5 PTS)82
99.9%
53
0.1%
Q4 - 5:37MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
99.9%
53
0.1%
Q4 - 5:38MIAMISS Cook 7' Running Jump Shot80
99.9%
53
0.1%
Q4 - 5:45MIAHeat Rebound80
99.9%
53
0.1%
Q4 - 5:47MIAMISS Magloire Tip Shot80
99.9%
53
0.1%
Q4 - 5:48MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)80
99.9%
53
0.1%
Q4 - 5:49MIAMISS Magloire Layup80
99.9%
53
0.1%
Q4 - 6:04MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
99.9%
53
0.1%
Q4 - 6:05DETMISS Brown Free Throw 2 of 280
99.9%
53
0.1%
Q4 - 6:05DETBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)80
99.9%
53
0.1%
Q4 - 6:26MIAArroyo 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wright 3 AST)80
99.9%
52
0.1%
Q4 - 6:49DETHamilton 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)78
99.9%
52
0.1%
Q4 - 6:53DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
99.9%
50
0.1%
Q4 - 6:54DETMISS Brown Free Throw 2 of 278
99.9%
50
0.1%
Q4 - 6:54DETMISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 278
99.9%
50
0.1%
Q4 - 7:13MIAHaslem Tip Shot (16 PTS)78
99.9%
50
0.1%
Q4 - 7:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)76
99.9%
50
0.1%
Q4 - 7:15MIAMISS Arroyo Layup76
99.9%
50
0.1%
Q4 - 7:37DETPrince 8' Running Hook Shot (10 PTS)76
99.9%
50
0.1%
Q4 - 7:56MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)76
99.9%
48
0.1%
Q4 - 8:22DETVillanueva Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)76
99.9%
48
0.1%
Q4 - 8:48MIAMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)76
99.9%
48
0.1%
Q4 - 8:48MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 275
99.9%
48
0.1%
Q4 - 9:08MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
99.9%
48
0.1%
Q4 - 9:09DETMISS Villanueva 17' Jump Shot75
99.9%
48
0.1%
Q4 - 9:29MIABrown STEAL (1 STL)75
99.9%
48
0.1%
Q4 - 9:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)75
99.9%
48
0.1%
Q4 - 9:41DETMISS Villanueva 8' Hook Shot75
99.9%
48
0.1%
Q4 - 9:59MIAWright 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS)75
99.9%
48
0.1%
Q4 - 10:19MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)73
99.7%
48
0.3%
Q4 - 10:21DETMISS Stuckey 9' Running Jump Shot73
99.7%
48
0.3%
Q4 - 10:42MIAHaslem 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Alston 7 AST)73
99.7%
48
0.3%
Q4 - 11:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)71
99.5%
48
0.5%
Q4 - 11:06DETMISS Hamilton 15' Jump Bank Shot71
99.4%
48
0.6%
Q4 - 11:28DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
99.4%
48
0.6%
Q4 - 11:29MIAMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot71
99.4%
48
0.6%
Q4 - 11:40MIAHeat Rebound71
99.5%
48
0.5%
Q4 - 11:40MIAVillanueva BLOCK (1 BLK)71
99.4%
48
0.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA71
99.5%
48
0.5%
Q3 - 0:02.0DETGordon 7' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)71
99.3%
48
0.7%
Q3 - 0:18.0MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T10)71
99.5%
46
0.5%
Q3 - 0:33.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)71
99.6%
46
0.4%
Q3 - 0:34.0DETMISS Brown Free Throw 2 of 271
99.5%
46
0.5%
Q3 - 0:34.0DETMISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 271
99.5%
46
0.5%
Q3 - 0:45.0MIAWright Layup (10 PTS) (O'Neal 4 AST)71
99.5%
46
0.5%
Q3 - 0:48.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)69
99.3%
46
0.7%
Q3 - 0:49.0DETMISS Jerebko Layup69
99.3%
46
0.7%
Q3 - 1:04MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)69
99.1%
46
0.9%
Q3 - 1:04MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)68
99.0%
46
1.0%
Q3 - 1:12MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
98.8%
46
1.2%
Q3 - 1:13DETMISS Gordon 18' Jump Shot67
98.8%
46
1.2%
Q3 - 1:21DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
98.6%
46
1.4%
Q3 - 1:22MIAMISS Wade 19' Turnaround Jump Shot67
98.7%
46
1.3%
Q3 - 1:42DETGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)67
98.8%
46
1.2%
Q3 - 1:42DETGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)67
98.9%
45
1.1%
Q3 - 2:00MIAWade 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Alston 6 AST)67
99.1%
44
0.9%
Q3 - 2:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)64
98.3%
44
1.7%
Q3 - 2:10DETMISS Jerebko Layup64
98.2%
44
1.8%
Q3 - 2:16DETBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
98.0%
44
2.0%
Q3 - 2:17MIAMISS Alston 10' Running Jump Shot64
98.1%
44
1.9%
Q3 - 2:40DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)64
98.3%
44
1.7%
Q3 - 2:52MIARichardson 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)64
98.0%
44
2.0%
Q3 - 3:13DETPrince Alley Oop Layup (8 PTS) (Hamilton 5 AST)62
97.3%
44
2.7%
Q3 - 3:24MIARichardson Tip Shot (5 PTS)62
97.7%
42
2.3%
Q3 - 3:26MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)60
97.3%
42
2.7%
Q3 - 3:27MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot60
96.9%
42
3.1%
Q3 - 3:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)60
97.3%
42
2.7%
Q3 - 3:41DETMISS Gordon 17' Jump Shot60
97.1%
42
2.9%
Q3 - 3:58MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)60
96.7%
42
3.3%
Q3 - 4:02MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)57
95.0%
42
5.0%
Q3 - 4:03MIAMISS Alston 20' Jump Shot57
94.3%
42
5.7%
Q3 - 4:32DETWallace Layup (6 PTS) (Hamilton 4 AST)57
95.1%
42
4.9%
Q3 - 4:47MIAO'Neal 18' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)57
95.7%
40
4.3%
Q3 - 5:08DETVillanueva Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)55
94.4%
40
5.6%
Q3 - 5:23MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)55
93.3%
40
6.7%
Q3 - 5:23MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)54
93.1%
40
6.9%
Q3 - 5:38DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)53
92.4%
40
7.6%
Q3 - 5:38DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)53
92.6%
39
7.4%
Q3 - 5:42DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
93.4%
38
6.6%
Q3 - 5:43DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot53
94.1%
38
5.9%
Q3 - 5:56DETPISTONS Rebound53
93.4%
38
6.6%
Q3 - 5:57MIAMISS O'Neal 3' Hook Shot53
93.7%
38
6.3%
Q3 - 6:18DETStuckey Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T9)53
93.9%
38
6.1%
Q3 - 6:29MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)53
92.8%
38
7.2%
Q3 - 6:46DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)50
90.5%
38
9.5%
Q3 - 6:46DETPISTONS Rebound50
88.8%
38
11.2%
Q3 - 6:47DETMISS Wallace 8' Hook Shot50
90.0%
38
10.0%
Q3 - 7:13MIAWade Foul Turnover (P3.T9)50
87.8%
38
12.2%
Q3 - 7:19MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)50
89.5%
38
10.5%
Q3 - 7:20DETMISS Hamilton 9' Jump Shot50
89.1%
38
10.9%
Q3 - 7:44MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T8)50
87.9%
38
12.1%
Q3 - 7:57DETPrince Foul Turnover (P1.T7)50
89.6%
38
10.4%
Q3 - 8:01DETWilcox REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)50
87.4%
38
12.6%
Q3 - 8:02DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot50
88.6%
38
11.4%
Q3 - 8:27MIAWade 27' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)50
87.4%
38
12.6%
Q3 - 8:34MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)47
83.8%
38
16.2%
Q3 - 8:35DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot47
83.2%
38
16.8%
Q3 - 8:50DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
81.5%
38
18.5%
Q3 - 8:51MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot47
82.3%
38
17.7%
Q3 - 9:14MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)47
83.4%
38
16.6%
Q3 - 9:15DETMISS Hamilton 18' Pullup Jump Shot47
82.8%
38
17.2%
Q3 - 9:19DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
81.2%
38
18.8%
Q3 - 9:20MIAMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot47
81.9%
38
18.1%
Q3 - 9:33MIAHeat Rebound47
83.4%
38
16.6%
Q3 - 9:34MIAMISS Wade 17' Turnaround Jump Shot47
81.9%
38
18.1%
Q3 - 9:52DETWallace Layup (4 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)47
83.4%
38
16.6%
Q3 - 10:07DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
84.7%
36
15.3%
Q3 - 10:09DETMISS Wilcox 15' Jump Shot47
86.0%
36
14.0%
Q3 - 10:33DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)47
84.8%
36
15.2%
Q3 - 10:34MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
85.3%
36
14.7%
Q3 - 10:55MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)47
86.6%
36
13.4%
Q3 - 10:56DETMISS Prince 16' Jump Shot47
86.1%
36
13.9%
Q3 - 11:18DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
84.2%
36
15.8%
Q3 - 11:18MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 247
84.5%
36
15.5%
Q3 - 11:18MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 247
85.7%
36
14.3%
Q3 - 11:21MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
86.1%
36
13.9%
Q3 - 11:22DETMISS Stuckey Layup47
85.6%
36
14.4%
Q3 - 11:32DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
84.3%
36
15.7%
Q3 - 11:33MIAMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot47
84.8%
36
15.2%
Q3 - 11:49MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
86.1%
36
13.9%
Q3 - 11:50DETMISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot47
85.6%
36
14.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA47
84.3%
36
15.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound47
86.1%
36
13.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Haslem Layup47
84.4%
36
15.6%
Q2 - 0:17.0DETWilcox Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)47
85.3%
36
14.7%
Q2 - 0:30.0DETWilcox REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
88.7%
33
11.3%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Alston 18' Jump Shot47
89.0%
33
11.0%
Q2 - 0:55.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)47
89.7%
33
10.3%
Q2 - 0:56.0MIAMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot47
89.0%
33
11.0%
Q2 - 1:16MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)47
89.3%
33
10.7%
Q2 - 1:17MIAMISS O'Neal Layup47
88.7%
33
11.3%
Q2 - 1:18MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
89.3%
33
10.7%
Q2 - 1:20MIAMISS Alston 22' Jump Shot47
88.7%
33
11.3%
Q2 - 1:48DETPrince Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)47
89.3%
33
10.7%
Q2 - 1:52DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
90.8%
31
9.2%
Q2 - 1:53MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Jump Shot47
91.1%
31
8.9%
Q2 - 2:18DETStuckey Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)47
91.3%
31
8.7%
Q2 - 2:43MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)47
90.2%
31
9.8%
Q2 - 2:55MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
89.1%
31
10.9%
Q2 - 2:56DETMISS Hamilton 3PT Jump Shot45
88.7%
31
11.3%
Q2 - 3:20MIAWright 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)45
87.3%
31
12.7%
Q2 - 3:37MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)42
84.5%
31
15.5%
Q2 - 3:39DETMISS Stuckey 17' Jump Shot42
83.9%
31
16.1%
Q2 - 4:06MIAAlston 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)42
82.0%
31
18.0%
Q2 - 4:28MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
80.3%
31
19.7%
Q2 - 4:29DETMISS Wilcox 15' Jump Shot40
79.7%
31
20.3%
Q2 - 4:49DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)40
78.1%
31
21.9%
Q2 - 4:50MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 240
78.4%
31
21.6%
Q2 - 4:50MIAMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)40
79.4%
31
20.6%
Q2 - 5:08MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
77.9%
31
22.1%
Q2 - 5:09DETMISS Villanueva 17' Jump Shot39
77.3%
31
22.7%
Q2 - 5:30MIAO'Neal 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)39
75.8%
31
24.2%
Q2 - 5:45MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
73.5%
31
26.5%
Q2 - 5:46DETMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot37
72.8%
31
27.2%
Q2 - 6:13MIAO'Neal 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)37
70.4%
31
29.6%
Q2 - 6:23MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
68.4%
31
31.6%
Q2 - 6:24DETMISS Villanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
67.5%
31
32.5%
Q2 - 6:43MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)35
65.4%
31
34.6%
Q2 - 6:55DETStuckey Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)35
68.4%
31
31.6%
Q2 - 7:04MIAStuckey STEAL (1 STL)35
65.5%
31
34.5%
Q2 - 7:06MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)35
68.1%
31
31.9%
Q2 - 7:07MIAMISS Cook 19' Jump Shot35
66.3%
31
33.7%
Q2 - 7:15MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
68.1%
31
31.9%
Q2 - 7:17DETMISS Stuckey Layup35
67.3%
31
32.7%
Q2 - 7:25DETPISTONS Rebound35
65.5%
31
34.5%
Q2 - 7:26MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
66.3%
31
33.7%
Q2 - 7:44DETGordon 21' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)35
68.1%
31
31.9%
Q2 - 8:05MIAAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)35
69.8%
29
30.2%
Q2 - 8:38DETVillanueva 11' Turnaround Hook Shot (7 PTS)35
72.2%
29
27.8%
Q2 - 8:54MIAWright Tip Shot (5 PTS)35
74.3%
27
25.7%
Q2 - 8:56MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
72.2%
27
27.8%
Q2 - 8:57MIAMISS Wright 8' Jump Bank Shot33
70.6%
27
29.4%
Q2 - 9:08DETGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)33
71.7%
27
28.3%
Q2 - 9:13MIAJerebko STEAL (1 STL)33
69.4%
27
30.6%
Q2 - 9:28MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
71.7%
27
28.3%
Q2 - 9:29DETMISS Villanueva 5' Hook Shot33
71.0%
27
29.0%
Q2 - 9:49MIAO'Neal 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)33
69.4%
27
30.6%
Q2 - 10:09DETGordon Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)31
66.9%
27
33.1%
Q2 - 10:16DETGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
64.4%
27
35.6%
Q2 - 10:17MIAMISS O'Neal 17' Turnaround Jump Shot31
65.2%
27
34.8%
Q2 - 10:38DETGordon 15' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)31
67.0%
27
33.0%
Q2 - 11:04MIACook 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)31
68.7%
25
31.3%
Q2 - 11:22DETGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
64.2%
25
35.8%
Q2 - 11:22DETGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
64.5%
24
35.5%
Q2 - 11:37MIAChalmers Layup (2 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)28
66.4%
23
33.6%
Q2 - 11:42DETJerebko Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)26
64.2%
23
35.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA26
61.8%
23
38.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
64.3%
23
35.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETMISS Maxiell 15' Jump Shot26
62.9%
23
37.1%
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)26
61.6%
23
38.4%
Q1 - 0:31.0DETVillanueva 19' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)26
63.5%
23
36.5%
Q1 - 0:44.0DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
66.2%
21
33.8%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot26
66.7%
21
33.3%
Q1 - 1:13DETVillanueva 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Atkins 1 AST)26
67.5%
21
32.5%
Q1 - 1:34MIAWright 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)26
72.1%
18
27.9%
Q1 - 1:52MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
67.5%
18
32.5%
Q1 - 1:53DETMISS Hamilton 20' Jump Shot23
67.1%
18
32.9%
Q1 - 2:16MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)23
65.8%
18
34.2%
Q1 - 2:16MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)22
65.3%
18
34.7%
Q1 - 2:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
63.3%
18
36.7%
Q1 - 2:24DETMISS Prince 15' Turnaround Jump Shot21
62.7%
18
37.3%
Q1 - 2:49MIAHaslem Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)21
61.5%
18
38.5%
Q1 - 3:13DETWilcox Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)19
59.2%
18
40.8%
Q1 - 3:19MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)19
61.3%
16
38.7%
Q1 - 3:19MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)18
60.9%
16
39.1%
Q1 - 3:39DETHamilton 18' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)17
59.2%
16
40.8%
Q1 - 3:45DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
61.3%
14
38.7%
Q1 - 3:46MIAMISS Richardson 5' Jump Bank Shot17
62.0%
14
38.0%
Q1 - 4:01DETHamilton 6' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)17
63.2%
14
36.8%
Q1 - 4:21MIAHaslem Tip Shot (6 PTS)17
65.1%
12
34.9%
Q1 - 4:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
63.2%
12
36.8%
Q1 - 4:23MIAMISS Anthony Layup15
61.7%
12
38.3%
Q1 - 4:26MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)15
63.2%
12
36.8%
Q1 - 4:26MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 115
61.3%
12
38.7%
Q1 - 4:31MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
59.0%
12
41.0%
Q1 - 4:32MIAMISS Wade 27' 3PT Jump Shot13
57.4%
12
42.6%
Q1 - 4:55MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
59.0%
12
41.0%
Q1 - 4:56DETMISS Prince 22' Jump Shot13
58.3%
12
41.7%
Q1 - 5:21MIAWade 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)13
56.3%
12
43.7%
Q1 - 5:50DETStuckey 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
54.4%
12
45.6%
Q1 - 6:08DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
56.4%
10
43.6%
Q1 - 6:09MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot11
57.1%
10
42.9%
Q1 - 6:26DETPrince 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
58.6%
10
41.4%
Q1 - 6:48MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)11
60.5%
8
39.5%
Q1 - 7:10DETWilcox 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)9
58.6%
8
41.4%
Q1 - 7:18DETPISTONS Rebound9
60.5%
6
39.5%
Q1 - 7:19DETMISS Wilcox Layup9
62.0%
6
38.0%
Q1 - 7:20DETWilcox REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
60.5%
6
39.5%
Q1 - 7:21DETMISS Prince 18' Jump Shot9
62.0%
6
38.0%
Q1 - 7:46MIAWade 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)9
60.5%
6
39.5%
Q1 - 7:57DETHamilton Layup (2 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)6
56.6%
6
43.4%
Q1 - 8:19MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)6
58.7%
4
41.3%
Q1 - 8:22MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
56.6%
4
43.4%
Q1 - 8:24MIAMISS Richardson Layup4
55.2%
4
44.8%
Q1 - 8:29DETStuckey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
56.6%
4
43.4%
Q1 - 8:44MIAPrince STEAL (1 STL)4
54.6%
4
45.4%
Q1 - 8:55MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
56.6%
4
43.4%
Q1 - 8:56DETMISS Stuckey 18' Jump Shot4
56.0%
4
44.0%
Q1 - 9:12DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
55.1%
4
44.9%
Q1 - 9:14MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Bank Shot4
55.7%
4
44.3%
Q1 - 9:31DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
57.0%
4
43.0%
Q1 - 9:31DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
57.3%
3
42.7%
Q1 - 9:35DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Haslem: Tip to Stuckey4
59.0%
2
41.0%
Q1 - 10:01DETWallace Tip Shot (2 PTS)4
60.6%
2
39.4%
Q1 - 10:03DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)4
62.1%
0
37.9%
Q1 - 10:04DETMISS Prince 6' Running Hook Shot4
63.5%
0
36.5%
Q1 - 10:25MIAAnthony Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)4
62.2%
0
37.8%
Q1 - 10:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
60.6%
0
39.4%
Q1 - 10:44DETMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot2
60.0%
0
40.0%
Q1 - 11:01MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
58.4%
0
41.6%
Q1 - 11:14MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
56.7%
0
43.3%
Q1 - 11:15DETMISS Wallace Layup0
56.2%
0
43.8%
Q1 - 11:18DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
55.1%
0
44.9%
Q1 - 11:20DETMISS Wilcox Dunk0
56.2%
0
43.8%
Q1 - 11:40DETWilcox REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
55.1%
0
44.9%
Q1 - 11:41MIAMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot0
55.6%
0
44.4%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. O'Neal: Tip to Alston0
56.7%
0
43.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.5%
DET
0.84 42.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
10
21
48%
DET
11
20
55%
Midrange
MIA
15
37
41%
DET
14
42
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
10
15.0
15
67%
100%
DET
1
1.5
4
25%
38%
Free Throws
MIA
12
17
71%
DET
12
19
63%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2279%11.0 / 14
U. Haslem1662%8.0 / 13
D. Wright1286%6.0 / 7
J. O'Neal1042%5.0 / 12
D. Cook857%4.0 / 7
Q. Richardson750%3.5 / 7
J. Anthony467%2.0 / 3
C. Arroyo450%2.0 / 4
J. Jones3150%1.5 / 1
R. Alston214%1.0 / 7
J. Magloire220%1.0 / 5
M. Chalmers2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Villanueva1558%7.5 / 13
T. Prince1050%5.0 / 10
B. Gordon1063%5.0 / 8
R. Hamilton829%4.0 / 14
C. Wilcox750%3.5 / 7
B. Wallace660%3.0 / 5
R. Stuckey429%2.0 / 7
J. Jerebko450%2.0 / 4
K. Brown113%0.5 / 4
J. Maxiell0-0.0 / 1
A. Daye0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
65
+21
-16
86
DET
67
+9
-12
76
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.5%
DET
0.84 42.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.7
105.4
MIA 113.6
DET 82.3 +31.3
Pace
89.6
88.8
MIA 78.4
DET 81.8 +3.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
16.7
MIA 18.4
DET 17.6 +0.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.6%
47.4%
MIA 54.8% +14.6%
DET 40.2%
TO %
13.6%
14.2%
MIA 18.3%
DET 14.9% +3.4%
ORB %
26.0%
30.4%
MIA 48.6% +31.9%
DET 16.7%
FTrt
29.6
30.3
MIA 23.3
DET 28.8 +5.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.9%
54.1%
MIA 65.7% +15.7%
DET 50.0%
STL %
8.1%
8.2%
MIA 6.2%
DET 8.9% +2.7%
BLK %
9.4%
6.7%
MIA 6.5% +1.3%
DET 5.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
49.9%
MIA 53.5% +11.3%
DET 42.2%
Rim FG%
62.0%
57.1%
MIA 47.6%
DET 55.0% +7.4%
Mid FG%
40.8%
40.5%
MIA 40.5% +7.2%
DET 33.3%
3P %
34.6%
31.4%
MIA 66.7% +41.7%
DET 25.0%
FT %
75.2%
72.8%
MIA 70.6% +7.4%
DET 63.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.8%
34.1%
MIA 28.8%
DET 30.3% +1.5%
Mid Att. %
48.3%
47.9%
MIA 50.7% +13.0%
DET 63.6%
3P Att. %
21.9%
18.0%
MIA 20.5% +14.5%
DET 6.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIADET
Possessions8179
Possession Minutes24.823.2
Points9265
Rebounds5225
Assists2313
Steals57
Blocks43
Turnovers (Team)16 (2)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)17 (4)7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (0)18 (2)
Field Goals35-7326-66
At-the-Rim FG10-2111-20
Midrange FG15-3714-42
2-Point FG25-5825-62
3-Point FG10-151-4
Free Throws12-1712-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 175 · 34
27.3
2
14%
2
7
1
1
2
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 255 · 31
24.9
10
42%
11
4
0
2
3
3
3
8
2-2
100%
4-11
36%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 28
24.0
22
79%
4
3
1
0
3
2
0
4
4-7
57%
3-6
50%
4-5
80%
F · 6'9" 245 · 27
21.7
4
67%
5
0
0
1
0
2
2
3
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 228 · 30
20.7
7
50%
3
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 235 · 30
27.0
16
62%
8
1
0
0
1
2
3
5
2-2
100%
7-12
58%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 23
24.0
8
57%
5
2
0
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-5
20%
2-2
100%
C · 6'11" 265 · 32
22.5
2
20%
8
0
0
0
0
2
2
6
2-4
50%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24
21.6
12
86%
4
3
1
0
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
2-2
100%
G · 6'2" 190 · 24
11.3
2
100%
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 31
9.5
4
50%
1
0
0
0
4
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29
5.8
3
150%
0
0
1
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
#30 · F · 6'9" 235 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#9 · F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
54%
52
23
5
4
16
0
17
35
12-17
71%
25-58
43%
10-15
67%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.