FinalWin Prob.pScore
456%98
84
1844%96
101
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
94.48995.9
OKC logo OKC
111.09184.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

ThunderNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

ThunderNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENOKC
Q4 - 0:00.0OKC84
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)84
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:15.0DENMISS Petro 20' Jump Shot84
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:18.0DENNuggets Rebound84
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:18.0DENMISS Graham 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:26.0DENPetro REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0OKCMISS Ibaka 17' Jump Shot84
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0DENAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)84
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0DENAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)83
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0DENAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0DENIbaka BLOCK (2 BLK)82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:03OKCMullens Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25OKCHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26DENMISS Lawson 19' Jump Shot82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:33OKCHarden 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Maynor 3 AST)82
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:57DENAfflalo 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)82
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:21OKCHarden 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Maynor 2 AST)79
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:45DENAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)79
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:50DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:50OKCMISS Ollie 17' Jump Shot76
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:15DENAllen 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)76
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:31OKCTHUNDER Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)74
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:56OKCGreen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)74
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:57DENMISS Lawson Driving Layup74
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:13OKCSefolosha Layup (8 PTS) (Durant 4 AST)74
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:28DENLawson Driving Layup (5 PTS)74
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 4:43OKCCollison 16' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS) (Sefolosha 3 AST)72
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 5:06OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)72
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:07DENMISS Allen 9' Jump Shot72
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 5:30OKCWestbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)72
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 5:30OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)72
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 5:40OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)72
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 5:41DENMISS Lawson 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 5:49DENAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)72
0.4%
90
99.6%
Q4 - 5:50OKCMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot72
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 6:14DENAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)72
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 6:14DENAllen Tip Shot (2 PTS)72
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 6:15DENAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)70
0.4%
90
99.6%
Q4 - 6:15DENMISS Allen Tip Shot70
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 6:16DENMISS Nene 5' Hook Shot70
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 6:36OKCDurant Layup (30 PTS)70
0.4%
90
99.6%
Q4 - 6:40OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q4 - 6:41DENCollison BLOCK (1 BLK)70
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q4 - 6:56DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q4 - 6:56OKCMISS Collison Free Throw 2 of 270
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 6:56OKCCollison Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)70
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q4 - 6:56DENAllen Foul Turnover (P1.T23)70
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q4 - 6:56DENNuggets Rebound70
0.9%
87
99.1%
Q4 - 6:57DENMISS Afflalo 18' Step Back Jump Shot70
0.7%
87
99.3%
Q4 - 7:23OKCDurant 16' Jump Shot (28 PTS)70
1.4%
87
98.6%
Q4 - 7:37DENBillups Foul Turnover (P6.T22)70
1.8%
85
98.2%
Q4 - 7:47OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)70
2.3%
85
97.7%
Q4 - 7:47OKCCollison Tip Shot (7 PTS)70
2.3%
85
97.7%
Q4 - 7:48OKCMISS Ibaka Layup70
3.7%
83
96.3%
Q4 - 8:00DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)70
3.0%
83
97.0%
Q4 - 8:00DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)69
2.9%
83
97.1%
Q4 - 8:24OKCWestbrook Driving Layup (10 PTS)68
3.2%
83
96.8%
Q4 - 8:41OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)68
4.1%
81
95.9%
Q4 - 8:42DENMISS Billups 16' Jump Shot68
4.4%
81
95.6%
Q4 - 8:58DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
5.2%
81
94.8%
Q4 - 9:00OKCMISS Westbrook Free Throw 2 of 268
5.0%
81
95.0%
Q4 - 9:00OKCMISS Westbrook Free Throw 1 of 268
4.2%
81
95.8%
Q4 - 9:07OKCTHUNDER Rebound68
5.3%
81
94.7%
Q4 - 9:09OKCMISS Westbrook 17' Jump Shot68
6.1%
81
93.9%
Q4 - 9:26DENNene Layup (10 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)68
5.2%
81
94.8%
Q4 - 9:37DENNuggets Rebound66
4.1%
81
95.9%
Q4 - 9:39OKCMISS Harden 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
3.8%
81
96.2%
Q4 - 9:58DENSmith Foul Turnover (P2.T21)66
3.3%
81
96.7%
Q4 - 10:04DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
5.0%
81
95.0%
Q4 - 10:05OKCMISS Harden 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
4.7%
81
95.3%
Q4 - 10:23DENBillups Free Throw 3 of 3 (17 PTS)66
4.0%
81
96.0%
Q4 - 10:23DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 3 (16 PTS)65
3.9%
81
96.1%
Q4 - 10:23DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 3 (15 PTS)64
3.8%
81
96.2%
Q4 - 10:39OKCGreen Reverse Layup (15 PTS) (Collison 2 AST)63
2.6%
81
97.4%
Q4 - 11:07DENLawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)63
4.0%
79
96.0%
Q4 - 11:33DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
2.6%
79
97.4%
Q4 - 11:35OKCMISS Harden Dunk60
2.4%
79
97.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN60
2.1%
79
97.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound60
2.6%
79
97.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0DENMISS Lawson 38' 3PT Jump Shot60
2.7%
79
97.3%
Q3 - 0:02.0OKCDurant Traveling Turnover (P2.T12)60
3.1%
79
96.9%
Q3 - 0:08.0DENSmith Foul Turnover (P1.T20)60
2.6%
79
97.4%
Q3 - 0:13.0DENNuggets Rebound60
3.1%
79
96.9%
Q3 - 0:13.0DENMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
2.7%
79
97.3%
Q3 - 0:32.0OKCHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)60
3.1%
79
96.9%
Q3 - 0:32.0OKCMISS Harden Free Throw 1 of 260
3.2%
78
96.8%
Q3 - 0:53.0DENMartin Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T19)60
3.1%
78
96.9%
Q3 - 1:05OKCIbaka Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)60
4.2%
78
95.8%
Q3 - 1:13DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
3.7%
78
96.3%
Q3 - 1:13OKCMaynor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
3.5%
78
96.5%
Q3 - 1:33OKCHarden 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Durant 3 AST)60
4.2%
78
95.8%
Q3 - 1:40DENMaynor STEAL (1 STL)60
6.1%
75
93.9%
Q3 - 2:02OKCCollison Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)60
8.3%
75
91.7%
Q3 - 2:14OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
11.6%
72
88.4%
Q3 - 2:15DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)60
13.7%
72
86.3%
Q3 - 2:15DENMISS Martin Tip Shot60
12.2%
72
87.8%
Q3 - 2:16DENMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot60
12.2%
72
87.8%
Q3 - 2:26DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)60
13.6%
72
86.4%
Q3 - 2:28OKCMISS Collison 8' Jump Shot60
13.0%
72
87.0%
Q3 - 2:29OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)60
11.6%
72
88.4%
Q3 - 2:30OKCMISS Ibaka 13' Step Back Jump Shot60
13.0%
72
87.0%
Q3 - 2:48DENLawson Traveling Turnover (P2.T17)60
11.5%
72
88.5%
Q3 - 3:00OKCDurant Reverse Layup (26 PTS) (Westbrook 7 AST)60
13.6%
72
86.4%
Q3 - 3:20DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)60
17.4%
70
82.6%
Q3 - 3:34OKCKrstic 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Westbrook 6 AST)57
12.9%
70
87.1%
Q3 - 3:44OKCKrstic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
14.9%
68
85.1%
Q3 - 3:45DENMISS Martin 19' Jump Shot57
15.7%
68
84.3%
Q3 - 4:10OKCDurant 8' Jump Shot (24 PTS)57
18.4%
68
81.6%
Q3 - 4:26DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)57
20.7%
66
79.3%
Q3 - 4:26DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 256
19.8%
66
80.2%
Q3 - 4:42OKCGreen 10' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)56
21.2%
66
78.8%
Q3 - 5:06DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)56
24.6%
64
75.4%
Q3 - 5:06DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)55
23.8%
64
76.2%
Q3 - 5:14DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
22.0%
64
78.0%
Q3 - 5:15OKCMISS Krstic 18' Jump Shot54
21.0%
64
79.0%
Q3 - 5:28OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
18.8%
64
81.2%
Q3 - 5:29DENMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
19.7%
64
80.3%
Q3 - 5:35DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
21.9%
64
78.1%
Q3 - 5:36OKCMISS Green 19' Jump Shot54
20.9%
64
79.1%
Q3 - 5:49DENMartin Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)54
18.8%
64
81.2%
Q3 - 6:05DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)54
23.2%
64
76.8%
Q3 - 6:06OKCMISS Durant Free Throw 2 of 254
22.8%
64
77.2%
Q3 - 6:06OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)54
20.7%
64
79.3%
Q3 - 6:21OKCKrstic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
22.8%
63
77.2%
Q3 - 6:22DENMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot54
23.8%
63
76.2%
Q3 - 6:43OKCWestbrook 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)54
26.1%
63
73.9%
Q3 - 6:54OKCTHUNDER Rebound54
28.9%
61
71.1%
Q3 - 6:54OKCMISS Krstic Layup54
31.6%
61
68.4%
Q3 - 7:12DENBillups Driving Layup (14 PTS)54
29.9%
61
70.1%
Q3 - 7:26DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)52
27.0%
61
73.0%
Q3 - 7:28OKCMISS Durant 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
26.0%
61
74.0%
Q3 - 7:36DENAfflalo Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)52
23.8%
61
76.2%
Q3 - 7:41DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
27.0%
61
73.0%
Q3 - 7:42OKCMISS Krstic Layup52
26.0%
61
74.0%
Q3 - 7:43OKCKrstic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
23.8%
61
76.2%
Q3 - 7:44OKCMISS Green Layup52
26.0%
61
74.0%
Q3 - 8:03OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
24.4%
61
75.6%
Q3 - 8:05DENMISS Graham 15' Jump Shot52
25.4%
61
74.6%
Q3 - 8:09OKCSefolosha Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)52
27.6%
61
72.4%
Q3 - 8:12DENSefolosha STEAL (3 STL)52
24.4%
61
75.6%
Q3 - 8:33OKCSefolosha Dunk (6 PTS)52
27.5%
61
72.5%
Q3 - 8:36DENSefolosha STEAL (2 STL)52
30.4%
59
69.6%
Q3 - 8:53OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
34.0%
59
66.0%
Q3 - 8:53OKCSefolosha Tip Shot (4 PTS)52
34.0%
59
66.0%
Q3 - 8:54OKCMISS Westbrook 13' Jump Shot52
39.9%
57
60.1%
Q3 - 9:14DENNuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)52
37.9%
57
62.1%
Q3 - 9:14DENNuggets Rebound52
41.5%
57
58.5%
Q3 - 9:14DENMISS Martin 12' Step Back Jump Shot52
39.0%
57
61.0%
Q3 - 9:41OKCDurant 11' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Green 1 AST)52
41.5%
57
58.5%
Q3 - 10:00DENAfflalo 23' Jump Shot (5 PTS)52
45.0%
55
55.0%
Q3 - 10:27OKCDurant Driving Slam Dunk (19 PTS)50
42.1%
55
57.9%
Q3 - 10:35OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
45.6%
53
54.4%
Q3 - 10:36DENMISS Billups 16' Step Back Jump Shot50
46.7%
53
53.3%
Q3 - 10:51OKCGreen Layup (11 PTS) (Sefolosha 2 AST)50
49.2%
53
50.8%
Q3 - 11:10DENMartin 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)50
53.1%
51
46.9%
Q3 - 11:19DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
49.8%
51
50.2%
Q3 - 11:19OKCMISS Westbrook 19' Jump Shot48
48.7%
51
51.3%
Q3 - 11:42DENAfflalo 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)48
46.1%
51
53.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0OKC45
39.5%
51
60.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0OKCTHUNDER Rebound45
36.0%
51
64.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0OKCMISS Durant 19' Jump Shot45
39.2%
51
60.8%
Q2 - 0:15.0DENBillups Foul Turnover (P3.T11)45
37.5%
51
62.5%
Q2 - 0:32.0OKCWestbrook Driving Layup (6 PTS)45
39.9%
51
60.1%
Q2 - 0:36.0DENMartin 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)45
43.9%
49
56.1%
Q2 - 0:46.0OKCWestbrook 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)43
39.9%
49
60.1%
Q2 - 1:04DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)43
44.5%
47
55.5%
Q2 - 1:04DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)42
44.2%
47
55.8%
Q2 - 1:11DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
40.5%
47
59.5%
Q2 - 1:11OKCMISS Krstic 19' Jump Shot41
39.8%
47
60.2%
Q2 - 1:21DENMartin Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)41
38.1%
47
61.9%
Q2 - 1:37OKCGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Krstic 1 AST)41
40.4%
47
59.6%
Q2 - 1:59OKCKrstic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
47.8%
44
52.2%
Q2 - 2:00DENMISS Nene Layup41
48.5%
44
51.5%
Q2 - 2:20OKCKrstic Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)41
50.9%
44
49.1%
Q2 - 2:38DENBillups Driving Layup (10 PTS)41
57.2%
41
42.8%
Q2 - 2:52OKCDurant 11' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Westbrook 5 AST)39
54.1%
41
45.9%
Q2 - 2:57OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
57.2%
39
42.8%
Q2 - 2:58DENMISS Nene 6' Jump Shot39
58.2%
39
41.8%
Q2 - 3:11DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
60.9%
39
39.1%
Q2 - 3:11OKCMISS Krstic Free Throw 2 of 239
60.4%
39
39.6%
Q2 - 3:11OKCKrstic Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)39
58.5%
39
41.5%
Q2 - 3:35DENSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)39
60.3%
38
39.7%
Q2 - 3:45DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
54.7%
38
45.3%
Q2 - 3:46OKCMISS Krstic 14' Jump Shot36
53.6%
38
46.4%
Q2 - 4:01DENMartin Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)36
51.3%
38
48.7%
Q2 - 4:24OKCGreen 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Westbrook 4 AST)36
54.7%
38
45.3%
Q2 - 4:36OKCGreen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)36
57.4%
36
42.6%
Q2 - 4:37DENMISS Nene Layup36
58.4%
36
41.6%
Q2 - 4:58OKCKrstic 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Westbrook 3 AST)36
60.7%
36
39.3%
Q2 - 5:14DENGraham Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)36
63.6%
34
36.4%
Q2 - 5:14DENGraham Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)35
63.1%
34
36.9%
Q2 - 5:18DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
60.7%
34
39.3%
Q2 - 5:21OKCMISS Durant 20' Jump Shot34
59.8%
34
40.2%
Q2 - 5:35OKCTHUNDER Rebound34
57.8%
34
42.2%
Q2 - 5:35DENMISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot34
58.7%
34
41.3%
Q2 - 6:01OKCIbaka 4' Driving Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Durant 2 AST)34
60.7%
34
39.3%
Q2 - 6:13OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
62.9%
32
37.1%
Q2 - 6:15DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
63.9%
32
36.1%
Q2 - 6:34DENNuggets Rebound34
66.1%
32
33.9%
Q2 - 6:34OKCMISS Westbrook 8' Jump Shot34
65.2%
32
34.8%
Q2 - 6:52DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)34
63.0%
32
37.0%
Q2 - 7:05DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
58.0%
32
42.0%
Q2 - 7:07OKCMISS Durant 23' Jump Shot31
57.1%
32
42.9%
Q2 - 7:32DENSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)31
55.1%
32
44.9%
Q2 - 7:45DENNuggets Rebound28
49.5%
32
50.5%
Q2 - 7:45DENMISS Smith 4' Jump Shot28
47.5%
32
52.5%
Q2 - 8:02OKCTHUNDER Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)28
49.8%
32
50.2%
Q2 - 8:26DENAndersen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)28
47.0%
32
53.0%
Q2 - 8:51DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
49.8%
32
50.2%
Q2 - 8:52OKCMISS Maynor 23' Jump Shot28
49.0%
32
51.0%
Q2 - 9:05OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)28
47.1%
32
52.9%
Q2 - 9:06DENMISS Smith 11' Jump Shot28
48.0%
32
52.0%
Q2 - 9:18OKCHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)28
49.9%
32
50.1%
Q2 - 9:40OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
47.1%
32
52.9%
Q2 - 9:42DENIbaka BLOCK (1 BLK)28
48.0%
32
52.0%
Q2 - 9:59OKCTHUNDER Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)28
49.9%
32
50.1%
Q2 - 10:23OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
47.2%
32
52.8%
Q2 - 10:24DENMISS Andersen 18' Jump Shot28
48.1%
32
51.9%
Q2 - 10:46OKCHarden 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Maynor 1 AST)28
50.1%
32
49.9%
Q2 - 10:58DENMartin 5' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS)28
55.0%
29
45.0%
Q2 - 11:23OKCMaynor 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ibaka 1 AST)26
52.6%
29
47.4%
Q2 - 11:32OKCTHUNDER Rebound26
55.1%
27
44.9%
Q2 - 11:33OKCMISS Harden Driving Layup26
56.9%
27
43.1%
Q2 - 11:48DENCollison STEAL (1 STL)26
55.1%
27
44.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0OKC26
57.7%
27
42.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
55.1%
27
44.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0OKCMISS Maynor 22' Jump Shot26
56.9%
27
43.1%
Q1 - 0:21.0DENAfflalo Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)26
55.3%
27
44.7%
Q1 - 0:32.0OKCCollison 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS)26
57.2%
27
42.8%
Q1 - 0:35.0OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
60.1%
25
39.9%
Q1 - 0:36.0OKCMISS Maynor Running Layup26
61.4%
25
38.6%
Q1 - 0:46.0DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)26
60.1%
25
39.9%
Q1 - 0:46.0DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)25
59.3%
25
40.7%
Q1 - 0:55.0OKCIbaka Layup (2 PTS) (Durant 1 AST)24
57.3%
25
42.7%
Q1 - 1:05OKCMaynor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
60.3%
23
39.7%
Q1 - 1:06DENMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot24
60.8%
23
39.2%
Q1 - 1:25OKCDurant 11' Jump Shot (15 PTS)24
61.8%
23
38.2%
Q1 - 1:41OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
64.7%
21
35.3%
Q1 - 1:43DENDurant BLOCK (1 BLK)24
65.2%
21
34.8%
Q1 - 1:47OKCMaynor Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)24
66.2%
21
33.8%
Q1 - 1:55OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
64.7%
21
35.3%
Q1 - 1:56DENMISS Andersen Layup24
65.2%
21
34.8%
Q1 - 2:08OKCHarden Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T5)24
66.4%
21
33.6%
Q1 - 2:19DENSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)24
64.6%
21
35.4%
Q1 - 2:29DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
59.8%
21
40.2%
Q1 - 2:30OKCMISS Maynor 15' Jump Shot21
59.3%
21
40.7%
Q1 - 2:54DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)21
57.9%
21
42.1%
Q1 - 2:54DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 220
57.4%
21
42.6%
Q1 - 3:12OKCDurant Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS)20
58.0%
21
42.0%
Q1 - 3:17DENHarden STEAL (1 STL)20
60.2%
19
39.8%
Q1 - 3:34OKCWestbrook Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Harden 1 AST)20
62.4%
19
37.6%
Q1 - 3:40OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
64.5%
17
35.5%
Q1 - 3:41DENMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
65.2%
17
34.8%
Q1 - 3:47OKCWestbrook Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)20
66.6%
17
33.4%
Q1 - 4:07DENSmith 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
64.2%
17
35.8%
Q1 - 4:25OKCDurant Layup (11 PTS) (Collison 1 AST)18
62.3%
17
37.7%
Q1 - 4:33OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
64.2%
15
35.8%
Q1 - 4:34DENMISS Martin 8' Jump Shot18
64.9%
15
35.1%
Q1 - 4:49OKCDurant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)18
66.4%
15
33.6%
Q1 - 5:06DENBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)18
63.7%
15
36.3%
Q1 - 5:21OKCGreen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)15
59.9%
15
40.1%
Q1 - 5:21OKCGreen Tip Shot (4 PTS)15
59.9%
15
40.1%
Q1 - 5:22OKCMISS Westbrook Layup15
63.3%
13
36.7%
Q1 - 5:35OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
61.7%
13
38.3%
Q1 - 5:36DENMISS Martin 1' Layup15
62.4%
13
37.6%
Q1 - 5:59OKCDurant Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)15
64.0%
13
36.0%
Q1 - 5:59OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)15
64.2%
12
35.8%
Q1 - 6:13DENBillups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Graham 2 AST)15
65.7%
11
34.3%
Q1 - 6:19DENGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
61.9%
11
38.1%
Q1 - 6:20OKCMISS Sefolosha Driving Layup12
61.3%
11
38.7%
Q1 - 6:32DENNene Layup (6 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)12
59.8%
11
40.2%
Q1 - 6:51OKCDurant 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)10
57.8%
11
42.2%
Q1 - 7:06DENMartin 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)10
61.9%
8
38.1%
Q1 - 7:14OKCGreen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)8
60.0%
8
40.0%
Q1 - 7:16OKCGreen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)8
57.9%
8
42.1%
Q1 - 7:17OKCMISS Krstic 19' Jump Shot8
59.3%
8
40.7%
Q1 - 7:32DENDurant STEAL (1 STL)8
57.9%
8
42.1%
Q1 - 7:50OKCSefolosha Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Westbrook 2 AST)8
60.0%
8
40.0%
Q1 - 8:06DENMartin 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)8
62.1%
6
37.9%
Q1 - 8:23OKCDurant Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
60.1%
6
39.9%
Q1 - 8:23OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)6
60.3%
5
39.7%
Q1 - 8:26OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
62.1%
4
37.9%
Q1 - 8:28DENMISS Billups 6' Jump Shot6
62.7%
4
37.3%
Q1 - 8:37DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
64.0%
4
36.0%
Q1 - 8:38OKCMISS Durant 8' Running Jump Shot6
63.4%
4
36.6%
Q1 - 8:54DENGraham Foul Turnover (P1.T3)6
62.1%
4
37.9%
Q1 - 8:59DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
64.0%
4
36.0%
Q1 - 9:01OKCMISS Green 8' Floating Jump Shot6
63.7%
4
36.3%
Q1 - 9:19DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
62.5%
4
37.5%
Q1 - 9:19DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
62.3%
4
37.7%
Q1 - 9:24DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
60.5%
4
39.5%
Q1 - 9:25OKCMISS Durant 17' Jump Shot4
59.9%
4
40.1%
Q1 - 9:35OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
58.6%
4
41.4%
Q1 - 9:35DENMISS Afflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
59.2%
4
40.8%
Q1 - 9:45DENGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
60.5%
4
39.5%
Q1 - 9:46OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
58.6%
4
41.4%
Q1 - 9:46OKCMISS Durant Tip Shot4
59.9%
4
40.1%
Q1 - 9:48OKCMISS Westbrook Layup4
59.9%
4
40.1%
Q1 - 9:54DENGreen STEAL (1 STL)4
58.6%
4
41.4%
Q1 - 10:14OKCDurant 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Westbrook 1 AST)4
60.5%
4
39.5%
Q1 - 10:28DENNene Layup (4 PTS) (Graham 1 AST)4
62.1%
2
37.9%
Q1 - 10:41OKCWestbrook Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
60.5%
2
39.5%
Q1 - 10:46DENSefolosha STEAL (1 STL)2
58.5%
2
41.5%
Q1 - 11:02DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
60.3%
2
39.7%
Q1 - 11:03OKCMISS Krstic 19' Jump Shot2
59.8%
2
40.2%
Q1 - 11:19DENNene Layup (2 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)2
58.7%
2
41.3%
Q1 - 11:32OKCGreen Putback Layup (2 PTS)0
57.0%
2
43.0%
Q1 - 11:34OKCGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
58.7%
0
41.3%
Q1 - 11:35OKCMISS Sefolosha 15' Jump Shot0
59.8%
0
40.2%
Q1 - 12:00OKCJump Ball Green vs. Nene: Tip to Westbrook0
58.6%
0
41.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.06 53.2%
OKC
1.06 53.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
10
22
45%
OKC
23
34
68%
Midrange
DEN
7
24
29%
OKC
14
38
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
10
15.0
21
48%
71%
OKC
5
7.5
9
56%
83%
Free Throws
DEN
20
22
91%
OKC
12
18
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Billups1979%9.5 / 12
J. Smith1856%9.0 / 16
K. Martin1354%6.5 / 12
A. Afflalo1169%5.5 / 8
Nene1056%5.0 / 9
M. Allen650%3.0 / 6
T. Lawson536%2.5 / 7
J. Graham233%1.0 / 3
C. Andersen0-0.0 / 2
J. Petro0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
OKC logo Thunder
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Durant3068%15.0 / 22
J. Green1568%7.5 / 11
R. Westbrook1246%6.0 / 13
J. Harden1267%6.0 / 9
N. Collison1083%5.0 / 6
T. Sefolosha867%4.0 / 6
N. Krstic836%4.0 / 11
S. Ibaka440%2.0 / 5
E. Maynor220%1.0 / 5
K. Ollie0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
67
+10
-22
77
OKC
80
+14
-11
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.06 53.2%
OKC
1.06 53.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.9
108.1
DEN 94.4 +16.6
OKC 111.0
Pace
94.7
93.3
DEN 95.9 +10.9
OKC 84.9
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
15.5
DEN 15.0 +1.9
OKC 17.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.9%
49.4%
DEN 47.8%
OKC 54.9% +7.1%
TO %
14.2%
15.1%
DEN 23.1%
OKC 13.6% +9.5%
ORB %
26.1%
28.6%
DEN 12.1%
OKC 27.0% +14.9%
FTrt
37.6
33.3
DEN 32.8 +10.6
OKC 22.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.0%
53.5%
DEN 63.0% +5.9%
OKC 57.1%
STL %
8.7%
8.5%
DEN 7.9%
OKC 8.8% +0.9%
BLK %
7.9%
9.1%
DEN 5.6%
OKC 8.7% +3.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.9%
53.1%
DEN 53.2%
OKC 53.2%
Rim FG%
61.0%
59.3%
DEN 45.5%
OKC 67.6% +22.1%
Mid FG%
39.6%
40.5%
DEN 29.2%
OKC 36.8% +7.6%
3P %
35.9%
34.0%
DEN 47.6%
OKC 55.6% +8.0%
FT %
77.2%
80.5%
DEN 90.9% +24.2%
OKC 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.5%
36.7%
DEN 32.8%
OKC 42.0% +9.1%
Mid Att. %
39.8%
44.7%
DEN 35.8% +11.1%
OKC 46.9%
3P Att. %
22.7%
18.5%
DEN 31.3% +20.2%
OKC 11.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENOKC
Possessions8991
Possession Minutes22.325.7
Points84101
Rebounds3139
Assists1724
Steals78
Blocks44
Turnovers (Team)22 (1)11 (3)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (6)10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (2)29 (1)
Field Goals27-6742-81
At-the-Rim FG10-2223-34
Midrange FG7-2414-38
2-Point FG17-4637-72
3-Point FG10-215-9
Free Throws20-2212-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 210 · 24
34.9
11
69%
2
2
1
0
2
4
0
2
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
2-4
50%
G · 6'3" 210 · 33
32.9
19
79%
5
7
2
0
6
4
0
5
9-9
100%
2-5
40%
2-3
67%
C · 6'11" 250 · 27
32.7
10
56%
2
1
0
1
2
1
0
2
2-2
100%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 32
31.4
13
54%
9
1
0
0
4
2
1
8
3-4
75%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 230 · 28
21.2
2
33%
2
2
0
0
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 24
29.3
18
56%
3
0
2
0
2
4
0
3
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
5-10
50%
G · 5'11" 195 · 22
25.8
5
36%
1
3
1
0
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
1-3
33%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32
16.4
0
0%
2
0
0
3
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 255 · 32
12.0
6
50%
4
1
0
0
1
3
3
1
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 247 · 24
3.5
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 35
F · 6'8" 225 · 26
#15 · F · 6'8" 240 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
84
53%
31
17
7
4
22
0
4
27
20-22
91%
17-46
37%
10-21
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.