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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 29, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Trail Blazers41%95100
13Rockets59%98104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 24.5
41.5
39.1
20
49%
7
2
1
1
4
1
1
6
6-8
75%
7-17
7-15
41%
49%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 37.0
34.9
31.7
8
58%
6
0
0
0
0
0
1
5
2-2
100%
3-6
4-7
50%
48%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.4
23.4
19.9
11
54%
2
3
0
0
0
2
0
2
5-5
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
44%
0-1
0%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 23.2
21.4
32.8
2
14%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
45%
0-5
0%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 33.9
20.8
30.7
2
17%
3
3
0
1
0
2
3
0
0-0
-
1-5
5-10
20%
48%
0-1
0%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 21.1
27.6
17.0
12
72%
9
5
1
1
0
1
2
7
3-3
100%
3-3
1-3
100%
51%
1-4
25%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 29.9
26.4
19.7
14
70%
1
9
1
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
4-6
1-3
67%
44%
2-4
50%
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 24.8
25.5
24.3
25
82%
5
3
1
1
1
3
0
5
2-3
67%
4-8
1-3
50%
46%
5-6
83%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.8
15.8
9.7
6
50%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-6
1-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 22.8
2.8
11.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-0
-
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 25.5
10.3
0
2-3
50%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 21.5
1.5
0
0-0
43%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 22.0
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 25.4
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 30.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 25.0
43.6
29.8
33
65%
4
7
2
1
0
6
0
4
8-10
80%
8-12
4-8
67%
46%
3-9
33%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 24.6
39.3
32.8
12
47%
4
3
2
2
0
2
0
4
1-4
25%
4-9
4-7
44%
49%
1-2
50%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 29.7
37.3
33.7
12
55%
8
0
1
1
0
0
2
6
2-2
100%
5-10
7-13
50%
53%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 31.4
35.0
26.9
8
59%
8
2
0
1
0
1
3
5
3-4
75%
1-3
1-3
33%
49%
1-2
50%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 26.6
18.8
21.0
4
50%
5
2
0
1
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 26.4
29.6
25.5
21
55%
5
0
1
0
1
1
4
1
9-14
64%
6-13
5-9
46%
56%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 21.7
16.2
22.3
2
15%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-4
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
0-3
0%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 23.8
10.9
29.2
11
75%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
3-3
100%
4-4
2-5
100%
47%
0-2
0%
David Andersen
· 6'11" 247 · 29.6
9.2
10.2
1
57%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
1-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 29.2
1.2
0
0-0
42%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 26.1
1.2
0
0-0
50%
Will Conroy
G · 6'2" 195 · 27.1
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 30.7
Jermaine Taylor
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.1
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 29.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.