FinalWin Prob.pScore
930%95
86
370%102
104
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
96.68988.9
ORL logo ORL
119.58787.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL86
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:22.0ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)86
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:22.0ATLMISS Teague 20' Jump Shot86
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:33.0ORLPietrus 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)86
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:46.0ATLTeague Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)86
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0ORLRedick Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)84
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:01ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)84
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:01ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)83
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12ORLLewis 5' Jump Hook Shot (17 PTS)82
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:28ATLSmith 8' Jump Shot (14 PTS)82
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:45ORLLewis Layup (15 PTS)80
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:03ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:05ATLMISS Evans 19' Jump Shot80
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:17ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:19ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:33ORLMAGIC Rebound80
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:33ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:36ATLCollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)80
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:38ATLMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot80
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:54ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)80
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:56ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 180
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:17ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 280
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:17ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)80
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:40ORLMAGIC Rebound79
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:40ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)79
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:40ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 279
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 3:55ATLSmith Slam Dunk (11 PTS)79
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:57ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:58ATLMISS Smith Layup77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:14ORLAnderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Redick 7 AST)77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:29ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:17)77
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 4:30ATLMISS Crawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 4:52ORLAnderson Layup (13 PTS)77
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 5:07ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:16)77
0.7%
90
99.3%
Q4 - 5:08ATLMISS Johnson 7' Jump Shot77
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q4 - 5:24ORLHoward 6' Jump Hook Shot (28 PTS)77
1.0%
90
99.0%
Q4 - 5:44ATLCrawford Driving Layup (19 PTS)77
1.3%
88
98.7%
Q4 - 6:00ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P4.T10)75
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q4 - 6:19ATLJohnson 5' Floating Jump Shot (19 PTS)75
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q4 - 6:35ORLWilliams Driving Layup (2 PTS)73
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 6:47ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)73
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q4 - 6:47ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 272
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q4 - 7:06ORLAnderson Dunk (11 PTS) (Pietrus 1 AST)72
1.4%
86
98.6%
Q4 - 7:28ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:15)72
1.8%
84
98.2%
Q4 - 7:29ATLMISS Horford 4' Hook Shot72
2.0%
84
98.0%
Q4 - 7:44ORLRedick 10' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)72
2.4%
84
97.6%
Q4 - 8:02ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
3.9%
82
96.1%
Q4 - 8:03ATLMISS Smith 8' Jump Hook Shot72
4.2%
82
95.8%
Q4 - 8:18ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)72
4.9%
82
95.1%
Q4 - 8:18ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 272
5.3%
81
94.7%
Q4 - 8:43ATLJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)72
4.9%
81
95.1%
Q4 - 8:59ORLAnderson Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Redick 6 AST)69
2.9%
81
97.1%
Q4 - 9:09ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:14)69
4.6%
79
95.4%
Q4 - 9:11ATLMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
4.9%
79
95.1%
Q4 - 9:29ATLHawks Rebound69
5.7%
79
94.3%
Q4 - 9:31ATLMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
4.9%
79
95.1%
Q4 - 9:41ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
5.6%
79
94.4%
Q4 - 9:42ORLMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
5.3%
79
94.7%
Q4 - 10:17ATLPachulia Foul Turnover (P1.T10)69
5.1%
79
94.9%
Q4 - 10:21ATLWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
6.3%
79
93.7%
Q4 - 10:22ORLMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot69
5.9%
79
94.1%
Q4 - 10:34ATLCrawford 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS)69
5.0%
79
95.0%
Q4 - 10:42ORLRedick Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)67
4.1%
79
95.9%
Q4 - 10:59ATLWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)67
3.3%
79
96.7%
Q4 - 10:59ATLWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)66
3.0%
79
97.0%
Q4 - 11:01ORLHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)65
3.0%
79
97.0%
Q4 - 11:19ATLPachulia 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Crawford 2 AST)65
2.5%
79
97.5%
Q4 - 11:42ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)63
2.0%
79
98.0%
Q4 - 11:42ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)63
2.1%
78
97.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL63
2.5%
77
97.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound63
3.0%
77
97.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Crawford 49' 3PT Jump Shot63
2.6%
77
97.4%
Q3 - 0:02.0ORLCarter 23' Jump Shot (6 PTS)63
3.4%
77
96.6%
Q3 - 0:18.0ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)63
4.2%
75
95.8%
Q3 - 0:18.0ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)62
4.1%
75
95.9%
Q3 - 0:33.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)61
3.4%
75
96.6%
Q3 - 0:34.0ORLMISS Carter Free Throw 2 of 261
3.3%
75
96.7%
Q3 - 0:34.0ORLCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)61
2.8%
75
97.2%
Q3 - 0:44.0ATLCrawford Free Throw 3 of 3 (13 PTS)61
3.4%
74
96.6%
Q3 - 0:44.0ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 3 (12 PTS)60
3.3%
74
96.7%
Q3 - 0:44.0ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 3 (11 PTS)59
3.2%
74
96.8%
Q3 - 0:51.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
2.3%
74
97.7%
Q3 - 0:52.0ORLMISS Barnes 3PT Jump Shot58
2.1%
74
97.9%
Q3 - 1:00ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
1.9%
74
98.1%
Q3 - 1:01ATLMISS Johnson 7' Floating Jump Shot58
2.2%
74
97.8%
Q3 - 1:11ORLMAGIC Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)58
2.5%
74
97.5%
Q3 - 1:11ORLMAGIC Rebound58
2.1%
74
97.9%
Q3 - 1:11ORLMISS Carter Layup58
2.3%
74
97.7%
Q3 - 1:38ATLSmith Driving Layup (9 PTS)58
2.1%
74
97.9%
Q3 - 1:57ORLBarnes Layup (4 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)56
1.7%
74
98.3%
Q3 - 2:16ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:13)56
2.3%
72
97.7%
Q3 - 2:17ATLMISS Evans 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot56
2.4%
72
97.6%
Q3 - 2:37ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)56
2.7%
72
97.3%
Q3 - 2:37ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)56
2.8%
71
97.2%
Q3 - 2:42ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)56
3.3%
70
96.7%
Q3 - 2:43ATLMISS Smith 7' Jump Hook Shot56
3.5%
70
96.5%
Q3 - 2:57ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
3.9%
70
96.1%
Q3 - 2:59ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
3.7%
70
96.3%
Q3 - 3:07ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)56
3.6%
70
96.4%
Q3 - 3:08ATLMISS Evans 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
3.8%
70
96.2%
Q3 - 3:27ORLHoward Reverse Layup (23 PTS)56
4.3%
70
95.7%
Q3 - 3:44ATLJohnson Driving Layup (13 PTS)56
5.0%
68
95.0%
Q3 - 3:56ATLHawks Rebound54
4.3%
68
95.7%
Q3 - 3:58ATLMISS Evans 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
3.7%
68
96.3%
Q3 - 4:18ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)54
4.6%
68
95.4%
Q3 - 4:22ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)54
6.2%
65
93.8%
Q3 - 4:23ATLMISS Bibby 3PT Jump Shot54
6.6%
65
93.4%
Q3 - 4:49ORLHoward 5' Jump Hook Shot (18 PTS)54
7.5%
65
92.5%
Q3 - 5:09ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)54
8.9%
63
91.1%
Q3 - 5:10ATLMISS Bibby 18' Jump Shot54
9.3%
63
90.7%
Q3 - 5:28ORLLewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Barnes 2 AST)54
10.5%
63
89.5%
Q3 - 5:31ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
13.9%
60
86.1%
Q3 - 5:32ORLMISS Howard 8' Jump Hook Shot54
15.5%
60
84.5%
Q3 - 5:51ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
13.9%
60
86.1%
Q3 - 5:52ATLMISS Horford 8' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot54
14.6%
60
85.4%
Q3 - 6:12ORLNelson 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS)54
16.5%
60
83.5%
Q3 - 6:21ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)54
18.5%
58
81.5%
Q3 - 6:22ATLMISS Smith 9' Jump Hook Shot54
19.4%
58
80.6%
Q3 - 6:43ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)54
21.4%
58
78.6%
Q3 - 6:43ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 254
22.3%
57
77.7%
Q3 - 6:53ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
21.1%
57
78.9%
Q3 - 6:54ATLMISS Horford 17' Jump Shot54
22.0%
57
78.0%
Q3 - 7:02ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
24.0%
57
76.0%
Q3 - 7:03ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
23.1%
57
76.9%
Q3 - 7:22ATLBibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST)54
21.1%
57
78.9%
Q3 - 7:31ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)51
16.6%
57
83.4%
Q3 - 7:32ORLMISS Howard 8' Hook Shot51
15.9%
57
84.1%
Q3 - 7:45ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)51
14.4%
57
85.6%
Q3 - 7:46ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
15.0%
57
85.0%
Q3 - 7:53ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
16.6%
57
83.4%
Q3 - 7:54ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
15.9%
57
84.1%
Q3 - 8:27ATLJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)51
14.5%
57
85.5%
Q3 - 8:38ORLNelson Layup (12 PTS) (Barnes 1 AST)48
11.2%
57
88.8%
Q3 - 8:42ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)48
12.7%
55
87.3%
Q3 - 8:45ATLHoward BLOCK (3 BLK)48
13.3%
55
86.7%
Q3 - 8:54ATLMISS Bibby Free Throw Technical48
14.6%
55
85.4%
Q3 - 9:05ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)48
14.7%
55
85.3%
Q3 - 9:26ATLWilliams 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)48
12.9%
55
87.1%
Q3 - 9:35ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
11.4%
55
88.6%
Q3 - 9:36ORLMISS Carter 3PT Jump Shot46
10.9%
55
89.1%
Q3 - 9:54ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
9.9%
55
90.1%
Q3 - 9:55ATLMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot46
10.3%
55
89.7%
Q3 - 10:22ORLLewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)46
11.6%
55
88.4%
Q3 - 10:33ATLHoward STEAL (1 STL)46
14.8%
52
85.2%
Q3 - 10:38ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
16.8%
52
83.2%
Q3 - 10:39ORLMISS Howard 9' Jump Hook Shot46
16.2%
52
83.8%
Q3 - 11:01ATLBibby 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)46
15.0%
52
85.0%
Q3 - 11:18ORLHoward 5' Hook Shot (15 PTS)44
13.4%
52
86.6%
Q3 - 11:34ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
15.0%
50
85.0%
Q3 - 11:35ATLMISS Bibby 3PT Jump Shot44
15.5%
50
84.5%
Q3 - 12:00ORLNelson Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)44
16.9%
50
83.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL44
19.0%
49
81.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound44
19.0%
49
81.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Crawford 47' 3PT Jump Shot44
17.5%
49
82.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0ORLNelson Free Throw 3 of 3 (9 PTS)44
19.0%
49
81.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 3 (8 PTS)44
19.3%
48
80.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 3 (7 PTS)44
19.6%
47
80.4%
Q2 - 0:05.0ATLCrawford 10' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)44
24.0%
46
76.0%
Q2 - 0:22.0ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
21.1%
46
78.9%
Q2 - 0:23.0ORLMISS Pietrus 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
20.6%
46
79.4%
Q2 - 0:37.0ATLHorford 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)42
19.4%
46
80.6%
Q2 - 0:58.0ORLHoward 7' Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Redick 5 AST)40
17.0%
46
83.0%
Q2 - 1:19ATLJohnson 7' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS)40
19.5%
44
80.5%
Q2 - 1:49ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (11 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)38
17.0%
44
83.0%
Q2 - 2:01ATLSmith Layup (7 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)38
19.1%
42
80.9%
Q2 - 2:07ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
17.4%
42
82.6%
Q2 - 2:08ORLMISS Pietrus 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
16.8%
42
83.2%
Q2 - 2:26ATLJohnson 12' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)36
15.5%
42
84.5%
Q2 - 2:51ORLHoward Layup (9 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)34
13.9%
42
86.1%
Q2 - 2:58ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
15.5%
40
84.5%
Q2 - 2:59ATLMISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
16.0%
40
84.0%
Q2 - 3:12ORLNelson 11' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)34
17.5%
40
82.5%
Q2 - 3:35ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)34
19.0%
38
81.0%
Q2 - 3:35ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 233
18.5%
38
81.5%
Q2 - 3:40ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
19.4%
38
80.6%
Q2 - 3:42ORLMISS Anderson 5' Fadeaway Jumper33
18.7%
38
81.3%
Q2 - 3:45ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
17.2%
38
82.8%
Q2 - 3:46ORLMISS Pietrus 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
18.7%
38
81.3%
Q2 - 4:08ATLSmith 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)33
17.3%
38
82.7%
Q2 - 4:19ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
15.7%
38
84.3%
Q2 - 4:21ORLMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
15.2%
38
84.8%
Q2 - 4:42ATLHorford Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)31
14.0%
38
86.0%
Q2 - 4:58ORLAnderson 10' Jump Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Redick 4 AST)31
15.7%
38
84.3%
Q2 - 5:10ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
17.6%
36
82.4%
Q2 - 5:11ATLMISS Johnson 13' Jump Shot31
18.1%
36
81.9%
Q2 - 5:27ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
19.3%
36
80.7%
Q2 - 5:29ORLMISS Pietrus 6' Running Jump Shot31
18.7%
36
81.3%
Q2 - 5:47ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)31
17.5%
36
82.5%
Q2 - 5:48ORLMISS Redick 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
18.7%
36
81.3%
Q2 - 5:52ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
17.5%
36
82.5%
Q2 - 5:54ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
18.7%
36
81.3%
Q2 - 6:08ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)31
17.6%
36
82.4%
Q2 - 6:29ORLRedick 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)31
19.6%
36
80.4%
Q2 - 6:44ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
23.2%
33
76.8%
Q2 - 6:45ATLMISS Evans Free Throw 3 of 331
23.5%
33
76.5%
Q2 - 6:45ATLEvans Free Throw 2 of 3 (5 PTS)31
25.0%
33
75.0%
Q2 - 6:45ATLEvans Free Throw 1 of 3 (4 PTS)30
24.6%
33
75.4%
Q2 - 7:03ORLAnderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Redick 3 AST)29
21.3%
33
78.7%
Q2 - 7:20ATLJohnson 10' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS)29
25.2%
30
74.8%
Q2 - 7:39ORLGortat Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)27
23.3%
30
76.7%
Q2 - 7:45ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
25.2%
28
74.8%
Q2 - 7:46ATLMISS Horford 8' Running Hook Shot27
25.9%
28
74.1%
Q2 - 8:08ORLRedick 22' Jump Shot (3 PTS)27
27.3%
28
72.7%
Q2 - 8:19ATLCrawford 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)27
29.5%
26
70.5%
Q2 - 8:40ORLAnderson Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Redick 2 AST)24
25.2%
26
74.8%
Q2 - 8:50ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
27.3%
24
72.7%
Q2 - 8:52ATLMISS Crawford 20' Jump Shot24
28.0%
24
72.0%
Q2 - 9:14ORLGortat Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)24
29.2%
24
70.8%
Q2 - 9:23ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
31.3%
22
68.7%
Q2 - 9:25ATLMISS Williams 3' Hook Shot24
32.1%
22
67.9%
Q2 - 9:44ATLCrawford Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)24
33.8%
22
66.2%
Q2 - 9:44ORLHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)23
31.5%
22
68.5%
Q2 - 9:51ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
29.1%
22
70.9%
Q2 - 9:52ATLMISS Crawford Driving Layup23
29.8%
22
70.2%
Q2 - 10:16ATLWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
31.5%
22
68.5%
Q2 - 10:17ATLMISS Crawford 20' Jump Shot23
29.8%
22
70.2%
Q2 - 10:39ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)23
31.5%
22
68.5%
Q2 - 10:40ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 223
31.1%
22
68.9%
Q2 - 10:40ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)23
30.0%
22
70.0%
Q2 - 11:00ATLCrawford Layup (4 PTS)23
31.2%
21
68.8%
Q2 - 11:05ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
29.1%
21
70.9%
Q2 - 11:06ORLMISS Anderson Layup21
28.4%
21
71.6%
Q2 - 11:08ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
27.0%
21
73.0%
Q2 - 11:12ORLMISS Redick Layup21
28.4%
21
71.6%
Q2 - 11:37ATLEvans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)21
27.0%
21
73.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL18
23.2%
21
76.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound18
23.2%
21
76.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Crawford 7' Floating Jump Shot18
21.9%
21
78.1%
Q1 - 0:22.0ORLLewis 14' Turnaround Fadeaway (5 PTS)18
22.9%
21
77.1%
Q1 - 0:39.0ATLSmith Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)18
25.1%
19
74.9%
Q1 - 0:44.0ORLWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)18
26.6%
19
73.4%
Q1 - 0:47.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)18
25.1%
19
74.9%
Q1 - 0:48.0ATLMISS Crawford 21' Jump Shot18
25.5%
19
74.5%
Q1 - 1:02ORLBarnes Layup (2 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)18
26.4%
19
73.6%
Q1 - 1:07ATLRedick STEAL (1 STL)18
28.9%
17
71.1%
Q1 - 1:12ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
30.3%
17
69.7%
Q1 - 1:13ORLMISS Howard Alley Oop Layup18
29.8%
17
70.2%
Q1 - 1:20ATLCrawford Layup (2 PTS)18
28.9%
17
71.1%
Q1 - 1:24ORLWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)16
26.4%
17
73.6%
Q1 - 1:30ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)16
25.1%
17
74.9%
Q1 - 1:32ATLHoward BLOCK (2 BLK)16
25.5%
17
74.5%
Q1 - 1:49ATLWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
26.4%
17
73.6%
Q1 - 1:50ORLMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
26.0%
17
74.0%
Q1 - 2:06ORLRedick Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)16
25.1%
17
74.9%
Q1 - 2:20ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)16
26.9%
16
73.1%
Q1 - 2:34ORLLewis 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)16
28.5%
16
71.5%
Q1 - 2:53ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
32.8%
13
67.2%
Q1 - 2:54ATLMISS Johnson 18' Turnaround Jump Shot16
33.3%
13
66.7%
Q1 - 3:07ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
34.4%
13
65.6%
Q1 - 3:08ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 216
34.1%
13
65.9%
Q1 - 3:08ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 216
33.0%
13
67.0%
Q1 - 3:14ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
32.3%
13
67.7%
Q1 - 3:15ATLMISS Bibby 15' Jump Shot16
32.9%
13
67.1%
Q1 - 3:21ATLHawks Rebound16
34.4%
13
65.6%
Q1 - 3:21ATLHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)16
32.9%
13
67.1%
Q1 - 3:39ORLCarter 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)16
34.4%
13
65.6%
Q1 - 3:55ATLCollins Foul Turnover (P1.T3)16
38.7%
10
61.3%
Q1 - 3:58ATLHawks Rebound16
40.9%
10
59.1%
Q1 - 3:58ATLMISS Williams Layup16
39.3%
10
60.7%
Q1 - 4:09ATLHawks Rebound16
39.9%
10
60.1%
Q1 - 4:10ATLMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
38.4%
10
61.6%
Q1 - 4:24ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
40.0%
10
60.0%
Q1 - 4:25ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
39.3%
10
60.7%
Q1 - 4:41ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
37.8%
10
62.2%
Q1 - 4:42ATLMISS Williams 7' Jump Shot16
38.4%
10
61.6%
Q1 - 4:56ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)16
40.0%
10
60.0%
Q1 - 4:56ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)16
40.8%
9
59.2%
Q1 - 4:56ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
42.1%
8
57.9%
Q1 - 4:58ORLMISS Howard Layup16
43.7%
8
56.3%
Q1 - 5:20ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
41.4%
8
58.6%
Q1 - 5:21ATLMISS Horford Layup16
42.1%
8
57.9%
Q1 - 5:35ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
43.8%
8
56.2%
Q1 - 5:35ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
44.5%
7
55.5%
Q1 - 5:55ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
45.7%
6
54.3%
Q1 - 5:55ATLJohnson Tip Shot (2 PTS)16
45.7%
6
54.3%
Q1 - 5:57ATLMISS Johnson Layup14
42.1%
6
57.9%
Q1 - 6:08ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
42.9%
6
57.1%
Q1 - 6:09ORLMISS Barnes 3PT Jump Shot14
42.2%
6
57.8%
Q1 - 6:21ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
40.8%
6
59.2%
Q1 - 6:22ATLMISS Bibby 16' Jump Shot14
41.4%
6
58.6%
Q1 - 6:37ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
43.0%
6
57.0%
Q1 - 6:38ORLMISS Carter 10' Jump Hook Shot14
42.3%
6
57.7%
Q1 - 6:56ATLWilliams Dunk (5 PTS)14
40.8%
6
59.2%
Q1 - 6:58ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)12
38.9%
6
61.1%
Q1 - 7:14ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
36.2%
6
63.8%
Q1 - 7:15ATLMISS Johnson 6' Running Jump Shot12
36.9%
6
63.1%
Q1 - 7:33ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
38.3%
6
61.7%
Q1 - 7:34ORLMISS Carter 10' Fadeaway Jumper12
37.7%
6
62.3%
Q1 - 7:50ATLBibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)12
36.3%
6
63.7%
Q1 - 8:08ATLHawks Rebound9
32.2%
6
67.8%
Q1 - 8:09ORLMISS Nelson Driving Layup9
31.6%
6
68.4%
Q1 - 8:17ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
30.4%
6
69.6%
Q1 - 8:18ATLMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot9
31.0%
6
69.0%
Q1 - 8:32ORLLewis Foul Turnover (P1.T1)9
32.2%
6
67.8%
Q1 - 8:45ATLCarter STEAL (1 STL)9
30.5%
6
69.5%
Q1 - 8:49ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
32.2%
6
67.8%
Q1 - 8:51ORLMISS Howard Layup9
31.7%
6
68.3%
Q1 - 9:01ATLWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)9
30.4%
6
69.6%
Q1 - 9:27ORLNelson Driving Layup (4 PTS)6
27.0%
6
73.0%
Q1 - 9:40ATLSmith Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)6
28.7%
4
71.3%
Q1 - 10:02ORLHoward Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)4
26.9%
4
73.1%
Q1 - 10:12ATLHorford Layup (2 PTS)4
28.2%
2
71.8%
Q1 - 10:13ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
26.9%
2
73.1%
Q1 - 10:16ATLMISS Williams Layup2
25.8%
2
74.2%
Q1 - 10:20ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
26.9%
2
73.1%
Q1 - 10:22ORLMISS Barnes 7' Fadeaway Bank Shot2
26.4%
2
73.6%
Q1 - 10:42ATLBibby 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)2
25.3%
2
74.7%
Q1 - 11:02ORLNelson 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
23.8%
2
76.2%
Q1 - 11:22ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)0
25.1%
0
74.9%
Q1 - 11:46ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
26.4%
0
73.6%
Q1 - 11:47ORLMISS Carter Driving Reverse Layup0
26.0%
0
74.0%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. Smith: Tip to Lewis0
25.1%
0
74.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.92 46.2%
ORL
1.22 61.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
13
23
57%
ORL
21
30
70%
Midrange
ATL
12
37
32%
ORL
11
19
58%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
7
10.5
21
33%
50%
ORL
7
10.5
23
30%
46%
Free Throws
ATL
15
20
75%
ORL
19
27
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson1956%9.5 / 17
J. Crawford1950%9.5 / 19
J. Smith1650%8.0 / 16
M. Bibby1050%5.0 / 10
M. Williams739%3.5 / 9
M. Evans542%2.5 / 6
A. Horford429%2.0 / 7
Z. Pachulia2100%1.0 / 1
M. West2100%1.0 / 1
J. Teague233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard3165%15.5 / 24
R. Lewis1777%8.5 / 11
R. Anderson1673%8.0 / 11
J. Nelson1488%7.0 / 8
J. Redick857%4.0 / 7
V. Carter638%3.0 / 8
M. Barnes440%2.0 / 5
M. Gortat4100%2.0 / 2
M. Pietrus220%1.0 / 5
J. Williams250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
80
+13
-9
93
ORL
77
+7
-10
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.92 46.2%
ORL
1.22 61.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.2
111.5
ATL 96.6 +22.9
ORL 119.5
Pace
89.9
92.0
ATL 88.9 +1.8
ORL 87.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.7
ATL 16.2 +0.3
ORL 16.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
53.6%
ATL 43.8%
ORL 59.0% +15.2%
TO %
12.7%
14.8%
ATL 10.0% +1.6%
ORL 11.6%
ORB %
28.3%
24.6%
ATL 11.9%
ORL 17.1% +5.2%
FTrt
28.1
34.0
ATL 24.7
ORL 37.5 +12.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.2%
53.7%
ATL 50.0%
ORL 51.3% +1.3%
STL %
8.0%
6.8%
ATL 6.7% +3.3%
ORL 3.4%
BLK %
7.9%
8.6%
ATL 8.2% +3.2%
ORL 5.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.3%
55.8%
ATL 46.2%
ORL 61.2% +15.0%
Rim FG%
60.8%
61.6%
ATL 56.5%
ORL 70.0% +13.5%
Mid FG%
40.6%
42.3%
ATL 32.4%
ORL 57.9% +25.5%
3P %
36.0%
37.5%
ATL 33.3% +2.9%
ORL 30.4%
FT %
75.9%
72.4%
ATL 75.0% +4.6%
ORL 70.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.5%
33.0%
ATL 28.4%
ORL 41.7% +13.3%
Mid Att. %
43.1%
32.0%
ATL 45.7%
ORL 26.4% +19.3%
3P Att. %
21.4%
35.0%
ATL 25.9%
ORL 31.9% +6.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.95 and 2.95.
Game TotalsATLORL
Possessions8987
Possession Minutes24.024.0
Points86104
Rebounds3443
Assists1620
Steals63
Blocks43
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (8)6 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (1)37 (2)
Field Goals32-8139-72
At-the-Rim FG13-2321-30
Midrange FG12-3711-19
2-Point FG25-6032-49
3-Point FG7-217-23
Free Throws15-2019-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 225 · 24
40.9
16
50%
6
2
1
4
2
2
1
5
4-6
67%
6-13
46%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 240 · 29
35.0
19
56%
6
7
0
0
1
2
1
5
1-2
50%
6-13
46%
2-3
67%
C · 6'10" 245 · 24
28.6
4
29%
4
1
0
0
1
3
1
3
0-0
-
2-7
29%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 237 · 24
26.9
7
39%
2
0
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
33%
1-3
33%
G · 6'2" 195 · 32
25.7
10
50%
4
3
0
0
2
3
0
4
0-1
0%
2-5
40%
2-5
40%
G · 6'5" 185 · 30
27.1
19
50%
1
2
1
0
1
1
0
1
6-6
100%
5-11
45%
1-6
17%
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31
19.2
5
42%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-3
67%
0-2
0%
1-3
33%
C · 6'11" 270 · 26
13.9
2
100%
6
0
0
0
1
6
0
6
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 26
13.1
2
100%
3
0
2
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 255 · 31
5.5
0
0%
1
0
1
0
1
4
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 189 · 22
4.2
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 35
#33 · C · 6'11" 275 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
86
46%
34
16
6
4
9
0
5
29
15-20
75%
25-60
42%
7-21
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.