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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 30, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Hawks30%9586
3Magic70%102104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 24.2
40.9
38.3
16
51%
6
2
1
1
4
2
1
5
4-6
67%
6-13
6-12
46%
49%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 28.6
35.0
39.6
19
56%
6
7
0
1
0
1
1
5
1-2
50%
6-13
7-15
46%
47%
2-3
67%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.7
28.6
34.7
4
29%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-7
5-10
29%
52%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 23.6
26.9
29.0
7
39%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
46%
1-3
33%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 31.7
25.7
18.8
10
48%
4
3
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-1
0%
2-5
1-3
40%
44%
2-5
40%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.9
27.1
33.2
19
48%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
6-6
100%
5-11
4-9
45%
45%
1-6
17%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.2
19.2
16.1
5
40%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-3
67%
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
1-3
33%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.0
13.9
14.1
2
100%
6
0
0
0
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
46%
0-0
-
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.6
13.1
2.8
2
114%
3
0
2
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 31.2
5.5
1.5
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
36%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 21.6
4.2
6.1
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
41%
0-1
0%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 34.5
4.8
0
1-1
45%
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 24.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.1
40.8
35.2
31
65%
19
2
1
1
3
4
1
18
11-18
61%
10-16
6-10
63%
59%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.5
30.8
34.5
17
78%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-3
3-6
100%
49%
3-7
43%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 28.0
26.8
27.3
14
80%
0
5
0
1
0
1
0
0
4-4
100%
5-6
3-7
83%
50%
0-1
0%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 29.9
23.7
25.5
4
40%
5
2
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
54%
0-2
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 33.0
22.0
28.5
6
38%
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
1-5
4-8
20%
47%
1-2
50%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.6
26.6
22.2
8
54%
2
7
1
0
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
47%
1-4
25%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 28.0
23.7
13.1
2
20%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
52%
0-3
0%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 34.2
21.2
19.0
2
50%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 21.7
17.3
9.7
16
73%
5
1
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
5-7
1-2
71%
49%
2-4
50%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 26.0
7.2
17.1
4
100%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
56%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 35.3
4.2
0
0-1
45%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 24.8
3.2
0
1-1
51%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 34.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.