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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 30, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Trail Blazers27%92114
5Mavericks73%100112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 24.5
47.3
39.5
21
48%
4
0
1
1
0
0
1
3
1-4
25%
10-20
7-15
50%
48%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 33.9
42.2
26.7
52
75%
5
2
2
1
0
2
1
4
7-8
88%
21-30
4-8
70%
46%
1-1
100%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 37.0
28.9
32.3
2
33%
12
1
0
0
0
1
3
9
0-0
-
1-3
4-7
33%
47%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.4
28.8
21.4
17
67%
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
7-9
3-7
78%
43%
0-2
0%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 23.2
23.7
28.4
4
52%
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
0-0
-
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 21.1
26.4
21.8
2
35%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
51%
0-1
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 29.9
24.9
22.5
10
50%
2
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
1-3
33%
43%
2-4
50%
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 24.8
17.2
24.6
3
35%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
3-3
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.8
13.5
12.2
1
57%
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-0
2-4
-
47%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 22.8
12.2
8.3
2
33%
6
0
0
0
2
1
1
5
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
51%
0-0
-
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 25.5
10.1
0
2-3
49%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 21.5
1.7
0
0-0
40%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 22.0
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 30.3
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 25.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 31.6
45.2
35.8
28
60%
9
2
1
1
0
2
0
9
10-10
100%
9-19
8-15
47%
51%
0-0
-
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 36.9
40.2
35.1
10
63%
4
10
1
2
2
2
2
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
45%
2-5
40%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.4
39.8
33.6
18
60%
4
5
1
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
5-9
4-8
56%
51%
2-5
40%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 31.7
27.4
32.5
12
55%
4
0
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
6-11
5-9
55%
54%
0-0
-
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 34.5
24.9
25.7
0
0%
3
1
0
0
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
3-4
0%
63%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 28.4
27.7
20.3
8
50%
6
1
0
0
1
1
5
1
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.6
26.0
19.5
13
51%
7
3
0
0
0
2
0
7
4-4
100%
3-9
2-5
33%
49%
1-2
50%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 29.8
25.5
22.3
17
52%
5
0
1
1
0
1
0
5
4-5
80%
5-13
3-7
38%
48%
1-1
100%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.9
6.1
8.5
3
104%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.6
2.0
4.9
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
1-1
100%
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.5
4.7
0
0-1
53%
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 28.8
4.0
0
0-1
43%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.9
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 29.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.