FinalWin Prob.pScore
2238%92
84
1962%96
95
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
94.48993.5
MIL logo MIL
103.39287.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL84
0%
95
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
0%
95
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Wright 28' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0MILJennings Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)84
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0MILJennings Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)84
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAMISS Cook 29' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0MILJennings Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)84
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0MILMISS Jennings Free Throw 1 of 284
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0MILJennings REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)84
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Wade 27' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)84
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:40.0MILJennings 27' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)84
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIAWright 27' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)84
2.4%
89
97.6%
Q4 - 1:09MILBogut Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T17)81
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q4 - 1:11MILBogut REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)81
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 1:13MILMISS Delfino 17' Jump Shot81
0.9%
89
99.1%
Q4 - 1:32MILDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)81
0.9%
89
99.1%
Q4 - 1:33MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
1.1%
89
98.9%
Q4 - 1:39MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)81
1.9%
89
98.1%
Q4 - 1:40MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
1.3%
89
98.7%
Q4 - 1:50MILWarrick Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)81
2.2%
89
97.8%
Q4 - 2:09MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)81
1.2%
89
98.8%
Q4 - 2:20MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 2:22MILMISS Warrick 16' Jump Shot78
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 2:36MIAO'Neal Dunk (15 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)78
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 2:55MILWarrick 19' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Jennings 5 AST)76
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 3:12MIAO'Neal 7' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)76
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q4 - 3:29MILWarrick 14' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Jennings 4 AST)74
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q4 - 3:53MIAO'Neal Dunk (11 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)74
1.0%
85
99.0%
Q4 - 4:09MILWarrick 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS)72
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q4 - 4:27MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)72
1.0%
83
99.0%
Q4 - 4:27MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)71
0.9%
83
99.1%
Q4 - 4:42MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)70
0.7%
83
99.3%
Q4 - 4:43MILMISS Jennings Running Layup70
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q4 - 5:01MILBUCKS Rebound70
0.9%
83
99.1%
Q4 - 5:02MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
1.0%
83
99.0%
Q4 - 5:09MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)70
1.2%
83
98.8%
Q4 - 5:12MILMISS Ilyasova Dunk70
1.1%
83
98.9%
Q4 - 5:22MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)70
0.9%
83
99.1%
Q4 - 5:22MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 269
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q4 - 5:30MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
0.9%
83
99.1%
Q4 - 5:32MILMISS Bogut 6' Hook Shot69
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q4 - 5:48MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)69
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q4 - 5:48MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 268
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q4 - 6:11MILDelfino Reverse Layup (16 PTS) (Bogut 2 AST)68
1.0%
83
99.0%
Q4 - 6:33MIAWright 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)68
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q4 - 6:53MILWarrick Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)65
0.7%
81
99.3%
Q4 - 6:53MILWarrick Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)65
0.8%
80
99.2%
Q4 - 7:06MIAWright Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)65
1.4%
79
98.6%
Q4 - 7:24MILBogut 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Stackhouse 3 AST)65
1.8%
79
98.2%
Q4 - 7:44MILJennings REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
2.3%
77
97.7%
Q4 - 7:45MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot65
2.5%
77
97.5%
Q4 - 8:04MILDelfino Dunk (14 PTS)65
3.9%
77
96.1%
Q4 - 8:08MIADelfino STEAL (1 STL)65
5.0%
75
95.0%
Q4 - 8:15MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
6.3%
75
93.7%
Q4 - 8:16MILMISS Jennings 14' Jump Shot65
5.9%
75
94.1%
Q4 - 8:39MIAWright 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)65
4.9%
75
95.1%
Q4 - 8:49MILDelfino Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)63
3.8%
75
96.2%
Q4 - 9:01MILStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
3.8%
75
96.2%
Q4 - 9:02MIAMISS Cook 15' Jump Shot63
4.1%
75
95.9%
Q4 - 9:15MILMISS Jennings Free Throw Technical63
4.7%
75
95.3%
Q4 - 9:16MILWarrick REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)63
4.7%
75
95.3%
Q4 - 9:16MILWarrick Tip Shot (14 PTS)63
4.7%
75
95.3%
Q4 - 9:17MILMISS Warrick Layup63
6.9%
73
93.1%
Q4 - 9:29MILJennings REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
5.9%
73
94.1%
Q4 - 9:30MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)63
7.3%
73
92.7%
Q4 - 9:30MIAMISS Wright Tip Shot63
6.3%
73
93.7%
Q4 - 9:31MIAMISS Arroyo 16' Jump Shot63
6.3%
73
93.7%
Q4 - 9:44MILDelfino Free Throw 3 of 3 (12 PTS)63
7.3%
73
92.7%
Q4 - 9:44MILDelfino Free Throw 2 of 3 (11 PTS)63
7.6%
72
92.4%
Q4 - 9:44MILMISS Delfino Free Throw 1 of 363
8.0%
71
92.0%
Q4 - 9:59MIAArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)63
9.2%
71
90.8%
Q4 - 9:59MIAMISS Arroyo Free Throw 1 of 262
8.8%
71
91.2%
Q4 - 10:11MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)62
10.0%
71
90.0%
Q4 - 10:12MILMISS Warrick 10' Jump Shot62
9.4%
71
90.6%
Q4 - 10:36MIAArroyo 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)62
8.1%
71
91.9%
Q4 - 10:42MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
6.6%
71
93.4%
Q4 - 10:43MIAMISS Richardson 19' Jump Shot60
5.7%
71
94.3%
Q4 - 10:57MILThomas Traveling Turnover (P1.T14)60
6.6%
71
93.4%
Q4 - 11:06MIAStackhouse STEAL (1 STL)60
6.1%
71
93.9%
Q4 - 11:22MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)60
7.3%
71
92.7%
Q4 - 11:23MIAMISS Cook 17' Jump Shot60
6.4%
71
93.6%
Q4 - 11:30MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
7.3%
71
92.7%
Q4 - 11:31MILWarrick REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)60
6.0%
71
94.0%
Q4 - 11:31MILMISS Warrick Tip Shot60
6.9%
71
93.1%
Q4 - 11:33MILMISS Ridnour Layup60
6.9%
71
93.1%
Q4 - 11:45MIACook Layup (7 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)60
6.0%
71
94.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL58
4.9%
71
95.1%
Q3 - 0:02.0MILWarrick REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)58
4.6%
71
95.4%
Q3 - 0:04.0MILMISS Ridnour 15' Jump Shot58
5.2%
71
94.8%
Q3 - 0:23.0MIARichardson 14' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)58
4.6%
71
95.4%
Q3 - 0:37.0MILWarrick Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Delfino 2 AST)56
3.7%
71
96.3%
Q3 - 0:53.0MILWarrick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
4.5%
69
95.5%
Q3 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Richardson Free Throw 2 of 256
4.7%
69
95.3%
Q3 - 0:53.0MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)56
5.3%
69
94.7%
Q3 - 0:56.0MILStackhouse Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T13)55
4.5%
69
95.5%
Q3 - 1:16MIARichardson Layup (10 PTS)55
4.1%
69
95.9%
Q3 - 1:30MILStackhouse Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T12)53
3.3%
69
96.7%
Q3 - 1:33MILWarrick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
2.8%
69
97.2%
Q3 - 1:35MIAThomas BLOCK (1 BLK)53
2.9%
69
97.1%
Q3 - 1:54MILDelfino 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ridnour 3 AST)53
3.3%
69
96.7%
Q3 - 2:12MIAAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)53
5.3%
66
94.7%
Q3 - 2:12MIAMISS Alston Free Throw 1 of 252
5.1%
66
94.9%
Q3 - 2:28MILWarrick Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)52
5.3%
66
94.7%
Q3 - 2:28MILWarrick Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)52
5.5%
65
94.5%
Q3 - 2:53MIACook 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)52
6.3%
64
93.7%
Q3 - 3:07MILBogut Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)50
5.9%
64
94.1%
Q3 - 3:24MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P3.T12)50
4.9%
64
95.1%
Q3 - 3:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)50
5.8%
64
94.2%
Q3 - 3:37MILMISS Bogut 8' Hook Shot50
5.5%
64
94.5%
Q3 - 3:54MILBogut REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)50
4.8%
64
95.2%
Q3 - 3:55MIAMISS Alston Layup50
5.1%
64
94.9%
Q3 - 4:02MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
6.3%
64
93.7%
Q3 - 4:04MILMISS Delfino 19' Jump Shot50
5.9%
64
94.1%
Q3 - 4:18MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)50
5.2%
64
94.8%
Q3 - 4:18MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 249
5.0%
64
95.0%
Q3 - 4:33MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
5.3%
64
94.7%
Q3 - 4:34MILMISS Jennings 19' Jump Shot49
5.0%
64
95.0%
Q3 - 4:53MIACook 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)49
4.4%
64
95.6%
Q3 - 5:04MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
3.5%
64
96.5%
Q3 - 5:05MILMISS Ilyasova 27' 3PT Jump Shot46
3.3%
64
96.7%
Q3 - 5:15MIAWade Foul Turnover (P4.T11)46
2.9%
64
97.1%
Q3 - 5:30MILIlyasova Foul Turnover (P1.T10)46
3.5%
64
96.5%
Q3 - 5:47MILBogut REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)46
2.9%
64
97.1%
Q3 - 5:48MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot46
3.1%
64
96.9%
Q3 - 6:02MILDelfino 13' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)46
3.8%
64
96.2%
Q3 - 6:33MIAWade Dunk (17 PTS)46
4.4%
62
95.6%
Q3 - 6:45MILBell 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS)44
3.8%
62
96.2%
Q3 - 7:03MILJennings Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)44
4.9%
60
95.1%
Q3 - 7:07MIABogut STEAL (2 STL)44
5.6%
59
94.4%
Q3 - 7:20MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)44
6.5%
59
93.5%
Q3 - 7:21MILMISS Delfino 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
6.2%
59
93.8%
Q3 - 7:31MILJennings REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
5.6%
59
94.4%
Q3 - 7:32MILMISS Bell 3PT Jump Shot44
6.2%
59
93.8%
Q3 - 7:49MIAWade 14' Jump Shot (15 PTS)44
5.6%
59
94.4%
Q3 - 8:04MILBogut Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)42
5.1%
59
94.9%
Q3 - 8:23MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
4.4%
59
95.6%
Q3 - 8:24MIAMISS Wade 27' 3PT Jump Shot42
4.6%
59
95.4%
Q3 - 8:42MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)42
5.1%
59
94.9%
Q3 - 8:43MILMISS Mbah a Moute 19' Jump Shot42
4.9%
59
95.1%
Q3 - 9:01MIAO'Neal 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)42
4.6%
59
95.4%
Q3 - 9:22MILBogut REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)40
4.0%
59
96.0%
Q3 - 9:22MILBogut Tip Shot (15 PTS)40
4.0%
59
96.0%
Q3 - 9:23MILMISS Jennings Layup40
5.1%
57
94.9%
Q3 - 9:38MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
4.6%
57
95.4%
Q3 - 9:39MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot40
4.8%
57
95.2%
Q3 - 9:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
5.3%
57
94.7%
Q3 - 9:56MILMISS Delfino 7' Jump Shot40
5.1%
57
94.9%
Q3 - 10:10MIAAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)40
4.9%
57
95.1%
Q3 - 10:10MIAAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)39
4.8%
57
95.2%
Q3 - 10:13MILMbah a Moute Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)38
4.3%
57
95.7%
Q3 - 10:24MILBogut REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)38
3.7%
57
96.3%
Q3 - 10:25MIAMISS Alston 15' Jump Shot38
3.9%
57
96.1%
Q3 - 10:40MILBogut Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)38
4.3%
57
95.7%
Q3 - 10:56MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)38
3.7%
57
96.3%
Q3 - 10:56MIAHeat Rebound38
4.3%
57
95.7%
Q3 - 10:56MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot38
3.9%
57
96.1%
Q3 - 11:20MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)38
4.6%
57
95.4%
Q3 - 11:21MILMISS Jennings 16' Jump Shot38
4.4%
57
95.6%
Q3 - 11:27MILDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)38
4.0%
57
96.0%
Q3 - 11:28MIAMISS O'Neal 14' Jump Shot38
4.2%
57
95.8%
Q3 - 11:42MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)38
4.6%
57
95.4%
Q3 - 11:42MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 1 of 238
4.8%
56
95.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL38
4.6%
56
95.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)38
4.6%
56
95.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS O'Neal 29' 3PT Jump Shot38
4.8%
56
95.2%
Q2 - 0:04.0MILJennings Palming Turnover (P2.T6)38
5.6%
56
94.4%
Q2 - 0:22.0MIAJennings STEAL (2 STL)38
5.1%
56
94.9%
Q2 - 0:36.0MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)38
5.6%
56
94.4%
Q2 - 0:36.0MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)38
5.9%
55
94.1%
Q2 - 0:36.0MILBogut REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)38
6.5%
54
93.5%
Q2 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Alston Layup38
6.7%
54
93.3%
Q2 - 0:48.0MILWarrick 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS)38
7.2%
54
92.8%
Q2 - 1:07MIAAlston 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)38
8.7%
52
91.3%
Q2 - 1:14MIAHeat Rebound36
7.5%
52
92.5%
Q2 - 1:14MIABogut BLOCK (4 BLK)36
7.0%
52
93.0%
Q2 - 1:30MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
7.5%
52
92.5%
Q2 - 1:30MILMISS Bell Free Throw 2 of 236
7.4%
52
92.6%
Q2 - 1:30MILBell Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)36
6.8%
52
93.2%
Q2 - 1:54MILDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
7.7%
51
92.3%
Q2 - 1:55MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 236
7.8%
51
92.2%
Q2 - 1:55MIAMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)36
8.3%
51
91.7%
Q2 - 1:55MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
7.5%
51
92.5%
Q2 - 1:56MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot35
7.0%
51
93.0%
Q2 - 2:06MILWarrick Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)35
7.9%
51
92.1%
Q2 - 2:22MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T7)35
7.0%
51
93.0%
Q2 - 2:34MILStackhouse 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)35
7.9%
51
92.1%
Q2 - 3:02MIAWade 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS)35
9.1%
49
90.9%
Q2 - 3:15MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)33
8.3%
49
91.7%
Q2 - 3:30MILStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
10.1%
46
89.9%
Q2 - 3:31MIAMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
10.6%
46
89.4%
Q2 - 3:52MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)33
11.6%
46
88.4%
Q2 - 3:52MILBogut REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)33
12.9%
45
87.1%
Q2 - 3:52MILBogut Tip Shot (6 PTS)33
12.9%
45
87.1%
Q2 - 3:52MILMISS Stackhouse 19' Jump Shot33
15.4%
43
84.6%
Q2 - 3:59MILBUCKS Rebound33
14.1%
43
85.9%
Q2 - 3:59MILMISS Warrick Layup33
15.4%
43
84.6%
Q2 - 4:06MIAWright Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)33
14.5%
43
85.5%
Q2 - 4:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
16.2%
43
83.8%
Q2 - 4:12MILMISS Jennings Layup33
15.7%
43
84.3%
Q2 - 4:16MIAJennings STEAL (1 STL)33
14.5%
43
85.5%
Q2 - 4:35MILBell Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)33
16.2%
43
83.8%
Q2 - 4:35MILBell Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)33
16.6%
42
83.4%
Q2 - 4:48MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)33
17.8%
41
82.2%
Q2 - 4:48MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)32
17.4%
41
82.6%
Q2 - 5:04MILJennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)31
16.5%
41
83.5%
Q2 - 5:25MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)31
20.1%
38
79.9%
Q2 - 5:28MIABogut BLOCK (3 BLK)31
20.7%
38
79.3%
Q2 - 5:40MILStackhouse Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)31
22.0%
38
78.0%
Q2 - 6:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)31
20.1%
38
79.9%
Q2 - 6:00MIAHaslem Tip Shot (2 PTS)31
20.1%
38
79.9%
Q2 - 6:02MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot29
17.4%
38
82.6%
Q2 - 6:19MILStackhouse 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ridnour 2 AST)29
18.8%
38
81.2%
Q2 - 6:33MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
20.2%
36
79.8%
Q2 - 6:36MIARidnour BLOCK (1 BLK)29
20.9%
36
79.1%
Q2 - 6:54MILWarrick Reverse Dunk (6 PTS) (Stackhouse 2 AST)29
22.5%
36
77.5%
Q2 - 7:09MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
24.5%
34
75.5%
Q2 - 7:10MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)29
26.8%
34
73.2%
Q2 - 7:10MIAMISS O'Neal Tip Shot29
25.2%
34
74.8%
Q2 - 7:11MIAMISS O'Neal Layup29
25.2%
34
74.8%
Q2 - 7:12MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)29
26.8%
34
73.2%
Q2 - 7:14MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot29
25.2%
34
74.8%
Q2 - 7:32MILWarrick Layup (4 PTS)29
26.8%
34
73.2%
Q2 - 7:33MILWarrick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
28.9%
32
71.1%
Q2 - 7:35MILMISS Ridnour 20' Jump Shot29
30.7%
32
69.3%
Q2 - 7:51MIAArroyo 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)29
28.9%
32
71.1%
Q2 - 8:06MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
26.9%
32
73.1%
Q2 - 8:07MILMISS Ridnour 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
26.3%
32
73.7%
Q2 - 8:13MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
24.8%
32
75.2%
Q2 - 8:15MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot27
25.4%
32
74.6%
Q2 - 8:33MILBell 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST)27
26.9%
32
73.1%
Q2 - 8:41MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
31.4%
29
68.6%
Q2 - 8:43MIAMISS Wright 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
32.1%
29
67.9%
Q2 - 8:54MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
33.8%
29
66.2%
Q2 - 8:56MILMISS Stackhouse 15' Jump Shot27
33.1%
29
66.9%
Q2 - 9:10MIAWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)27
31.2%
29
68.8%
Q2 - 9:10MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)26
30.8%
29
69.2%
Q2 - 9:13MILRidnour Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)25
29.1%
29
70.9%
Q2 - 9:27MIAWright Layup (2 PTS)25
26.8%
29
73.2%
Q2 - 9:33MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
24.9%
29
75.1%
Q2 - 9:34MIAMISS Wright 3PT Jump Shot23
23.4%
29
76.6%
Q2 - 9:56MILWarrick Layup (2 PTS) (Delfino 1 AST)23
24.9%
29
75.1%
Q2 - 10:09MILStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
27.0%
27
73.0%
Q2 - 10:10MIAMISS Cook 16' Jump Shot23
27.7%
27
72.3%
Q2 - 10:26MILStackhouse Foul Turnover (P1.T2)23
29.3%
27
70.7%
Q2 - 10:44MIAO'Neal 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)23
27.0%
27
73.0%
Q2 - 11:07MILStackhouse 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ridnour 1 AST)21
25.3%
27
74.7%
Q2 - 11:18MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
27.2%
25
72.8%
Q2 - 11:19MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot21
27.8%
25
72.2%
Q2 - 11:38MILStackhouse Layup (2 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)21
29.3%
25
70.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL21
31.4%
23
68.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)21
31.4%
23
68.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILMISS Ilyasova 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
33.0%
23
67.0%
Q1 - 0:20.0MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)21
31.6%
23
68.4%
Q1 - 0:22.0MILMISS Delfino 27' 3PT Jump Shot21
32.8%
23
67.2%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)21
31.6%
23
68.4%
Q1 - 0:41.0MILJennings Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)21
33.3%
23
66.7%
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAWade Layup (9 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)21
31.6%
23
68.4%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)19
29.1%
23
70.9%
Q1 - 0:57.0MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
27.9%
23
72.1%
Q1 - 1:16MILBogut Layup (4 PTS) (Ilyasova 1 AST)19
29.2%
23
70.8%
Q1 - 1:28MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)19
31.8%
21
68.2%
Q1 - 1:28MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot19
32.2%
21
67.8%
Q1 - 1:49MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
33.2%
21
66.8%
Q1 - 1:50MILMISS Ilyasova 17' Jump Shot19
32.8%
21
67.2%
Q1 - 2:03MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)19
31.8%
21
68.2%
Q1 - 2:03MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)18
31.4%
21
68.6%
Q1 - 2:20MILJennings Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)17
29.5%
21
70.5%
Q1 - 2:20MILJennings Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)17
29.8%
20
70.2%
Q1 - 2:32MIARichardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)17
31.8%
19
68.2%
Q1 - 2:51MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
27.6%
19
72.4%
Q1 - 2:52MILMISS Jennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
27.1%
19
72.9%
Q1 - 3:12MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)14
26.0%
19
74.0%
Q1 - 3:13MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
26.5%
19
73.5%
Q1 - 3:18MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
27.8%
19
72.2%
Q1 - 3:19MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot14
26.5%
19
73.5%
Q1 - 3:35MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
27.8%
19
72.2%
Q1 - 3:37MILMISS Ilyasova Layup14
27.2%
19
72.8%
Q1 - 3:38MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
26.0%
19
74.0%
Q1 - 3:39MILMISS Ilyasova Layup14
27.2%
19
72.8%
Q1 - 3:53MIARichardson 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)14
26.0%
19
74.0%
Q1 - 4:23MILJennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)12
24.4%
19
75.6%
Q1 - 4:36MIARichardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)12
27.7%
16
72.3%
Q1 - 4:56MILIlyasova Layup (4 PTS) (Jennings 3 AST)9
24.4%
16
75.6%
Q1 - 5:06MIAWade 9' Jump Shot (5 PTS)9
26.2%
14
73.8%
Q1 - 5:21MILIlyasova 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
24.7%
14
75.3%
Q1 - 5:43MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T3)7
26.1%
12
73.9%
Q1 - 5:55MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
28.0%
12
72.0%
Q1 - 5:56MILMISS Bogut 6' Hook Shot7
27.4%
12
72.6%
Q1 - 6:17MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
26.2%
12
73.8%
Q1 - 6:18MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot7
26.7%
12
73.3%
Q1 - 6:37MILDelfino Layup (5 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)7
27.9%
12
72.1%
Q1 - 6:42MIABell STEAL (1 STL)7
29.6%
10
70.4%
Q1 - 6:54MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
31.5%
10
68.5%
Q1 - 6:55MILMISS Bell 3PT Jump Shot7
30.9%
10
69.1%
Q1 - 7:01MILDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
29.5%
10
70.5%
Q1 - 7:03MIABogut BLOCK (2 BLK)7
30.1%
10
69.9%
Q1 - 7:23MILBell 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jennings 2 AST)7
31.4%
10
68.6%
Q1 - 7:33MILDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
35.0%
7
65.0%
Q1 - 7:34MIABogut BLOCK (1 BLK)7
35.6%
7
64.4%
Q1 - 7:53MILBogut 9' Hook Shot (2 PTS)7
37.0%
7
63.0%
Q1 - 8:15MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)7
38.7%
5
61.3%
Q1 - 8:15MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)6
38.3%
5
61.7%
Q1 - 8:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
36.8%
5
63.2%
Q1 - 8:18MIAMISS Wade Layup5
35.5%
5
64.5%
Q1 - 8:25MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
36.8%
5
63.2%
Q1 - 8:27MILMISS Jennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot5
36.2%
5
63.8%
Q1 - 8:43MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)5
34.9%
5
65.1%
Q1 - 8:43MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 24
34.5%
5
65.5%
Q1 - 8:46MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
34.9%
5
65.1%
Q1 - 8:47MILMISS Bell 18' Jump Shot4
34.3%
5
65.7%
Q1 - 9:02MIAO'Neal Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
33.3%
5
66.7%
Q1 - 9:05MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
31.5%
5
68.5%
Q1 - 9:06MILMISS Bogut Layup2
31.0%
5
69.0%
Q1 - 9:08MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
29.9%
5
70.1%
Q1 - 9:10MILMISS Mbah a Moute Layup2
31.0%
5
69.0%
Q1 - 9:21MILDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
29.8%
5
70.2%
Q1 - 9:22MIAMISS Wade 27' 3PT Jump Shot2
30.3%
5
69.7%
Q1 - 9:34MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
31.5%
5
68.5%
Q1 - 9:35MIAMISS Richardson 3PT Jump Shot2
30.3%
5
69.7%
Q1 - 9:58MILDelfino 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jennings 1 AST)2
31.4%
5
68.6%
Q1 - 10:11MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
34.9%
2
65.1%
Q1 - 10:12MIAMISS Alston 9' Jump Shot2
35.4%
2
64.6%
Q1 - 10:21MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
36.8%
2
63.2%
Q1 - 10:22MILMISS Bogut 13' Jump Shot2
36.2%
2
63.8%
Q1 - 10:37MIAWade 12' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
34.9%
2
65.1%
Q1 - 11:00MILJennings Layup (2 PTS)0
33.4%
2
66.6%
Q1 - 11:05MIABogut STEAL (1 STL)0
34.8%
0
65.2%
Q1 - 11:16MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
36.3%
0
63.7%
Q1 - 11:18MILMISS Jennings 9' Jump Shot0
35.8%
0
64.2%
Q1 - 11:39MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
34.8%
0
65.2%
Q1 - 11:40MIAMISS O'Neal 13' Jump Shot0
35.2%
0
64.8%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Bogut vs. O'Neal: Tip to Wade0
36.3%
0
63.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.90 45.2%
MIL
1.06 52.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
9
20
45%
MIL
15
27
56%
Midrange
MIA
14
36
39%
MIL
12
32
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
22
27%
41%
MIL
7
10.5
16
44%
66%
Free Throws
MIA
20
28
71%
MIL
20
25
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2144%10.5 / 24
Q. Richardson1673%8.0 / 11
J. O'Neal1558%7.5 / 13
D. Wright1267%6.0 / 9
D. Cook744%3.5 / 8
R. Alston525%2.5 / 10
C. Arroyo550%2.5 / 5
U. Haslem213%1.0 / 8
J. Magloire1-0.0 / 0
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Warrick2269%11.0 / 16
B. Jennings1753%8.5 / 16
A. Bogut1761%8.5 / 14
C. Delfino1667%8.0 / 12
C. Bell1169%5.5 / 8
J. Stackhouse867%4.0 / 6
E. Ilyasova425%2.0 / 8
L. Mbah a Moute0-0.0 / 2
L. Ridnour0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
75
+16
-14
91
MIL
75
+13
-17
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.90 45.2%
MIL
1.06 52.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.7
104.8
MIA 94.4 +8.9
MIL 103.3
Pace
89.6
91.8
MIA 93.5 +5.8
MIL 87.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
15.8
MIA 15.4 +1.0
MIL 16.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.6%
48.2%
MIA 41.0%
MIL 50.0% +9.0%
TO %
13.6%
13.6%
MIA 14.2% +2.3%
MIL 16.5%
ORB %
26.0%
26.2%
MIA 29.2%
MIL 29.3% +0.1%
FTrt
29.6
23.9
MIA 35.9 +2.6
MIL 33.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.9%
57.0%
MIA 55.2% +2.3%
MIL 52.9%
STL %
8.1%
7.6%
MIA 11.2% +3.6%
MIL 7.6%
BLK %
9.4%
7.6%
MIA 11.9% +1.2%
MIL 10.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
50.5%
MIA 45.2%
MIL 52.8% +7.6%
Rim FG%
62.0%
54.4%
MIA 45.0%
MIL 55.6% +10.6%
Mid FG%
40.8%
40.2%
MIA 38.9% +1.4%
MIL 37.5%
3P %
34.6%
35.6%
MIA 27.3%
MIL 43.8% +16.5%
FT %
75.2%
75.5%
MIA 71.4%
MIL 80.0% +8.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.8%
32.2%
MIA 25.6%
MIL 36.0% +10.4%
Mid Att. %
48.3%
41.9%
MIA 46.2%
MIL 42.7% +3.5%
3P Att. %
21.9%
25.9%
MIA 28.2% +6.9%
MIL 21.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.
Game TotalsMIAMIL
Possessions8992
Possession Minutes22.825.2
Points8495
Rebounds4346
Assists1618
Steals107
Blocks76
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (2)12 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (0)34 (1)
Field Goals29-7834-75
At-the-Rim FG9-2015-27
Midrange FG14-3612-32
2-Point FG23-5627-59
3-Point FG6-227-16
Free Throws20-2820-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'6" 228 · 30
36.5
16
73%
6
2
2
1
1
0
2
4
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
3-6
50%
C · 6'11" 255 · 31
31.8
15
58%
10
0
2
2
3
2
2
8
3-4
75%
6-10
60%
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 220 · 28
31.4
21
44%
2
7
0
0
4
5
1
1
9-12
75%
6-14
43%
0-6
0%
G · 6'2" 175 · 34
28.8
5
25%
4
2
2
0
1
2
0
4
3-4
75%
1-7
14%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 245 · 27
14.3
0
0%
5
0
0
3
0
3
3
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 30
31.1
2
13%
5
1
1
0
0
4
2
3
0-0
-
1-8
13%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 23
22.4
7
44%
6
1
0
0
2
2
1
5
0-0
-
2-5
40%
1-3
33%
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24
20.9
12
67%
2
1
2
1
3
2
1
1
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
2-5
40%
G · 6'2" 200 · 31
13.4
5
50%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 32
9.3
1
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29
#30 · F · 6'9" 235 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#6 · G · 6'2" 190 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
84
45%
43
16
10
7
14
0
14
29
20-28
71%
23-56
41%
6-22
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.