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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 30, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Bobcats55%99103
24Kings45%9796
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.5
44.8
41.5
38
77%
11
2
2
2
2
3
1
10
12-15
80%
10-14
6-11
71%
52%
2-4
50%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 31.8
42.7
39.7
13
31%
6
8
2
2
1
2
2
4
3-4
75%
5-17
6-13
29%
47%
0-2
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 27.8
31.6
34.5
5
73%
3
4
0
1
0
2
2
1
1-1
100%
2-2
4-7
100%
53%
0-1
0%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 25.6
31.3
29.6
6
20%
5
3
6
1
1
3
0
5
0-2
0%
3-13
4-8
23%
48%
0-1
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 32.4
25.4
17.9
17
78%
10
0
0
0
2
1
2
8
1-2
50%
8-10
3-6
80%
53%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.5
28.5
23.8
13
66%
2
2
0
1
2
2
0
2
1-2
50%
3-4
3-7
75%
46%
2-5
40%
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 22.4
19.0
10.3
8
82%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
1-2
50%
2-3
1-3
67%
50%
1-1
100%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 22.2
14.4
19.8
3
34%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
0-2
0%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.6
2.4
6.5
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 28.0
8.0
0
1-1
48%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.1
3.4
0
0-1
46%
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 25.0
2.1
0
0-0
44%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 21.7
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 27.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 27.0
35.8
33.5
31
58%
2
1
1
1
1
4
0
2
4-4
100%
6-14
4-9
43%
45%
5-11
45%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 23.5
34.8
23.6
12
47%
16
1
2
0
1
3
5
11
0-2
0%
6-12
4-8
50%
48%
0-0
-
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 21.9
34.0
14.9
6
36%
6
0
0
0
1
2
2
4
0-1
0%
3-5
2-3
60%
47%
0-3
0%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 20.4
28.8
35.0
4
40%
2
7
2
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
7-14
40%
48%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 21.8
18.3
23.7
4
40%
4
3
0
0
3
3
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
4-7
40%
49%
0-0
-
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.6
27.1
24.2
14
69%
4
4
2
1
0
0
0
4
4-5
80%
2-4
3-6
50%
50%
2-4
50%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.6
17.1
21.2
5
63%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
50%
1-1
100%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.5
14.0
16.0
5
42%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
48%
1-2
50%
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 23.6
13.6
3.8
9
60%
4
5
1
0
0
1
2
2
0-1
0%
3-6
0-1
50%
45%
1-1
100%
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 22.9
10.5
17.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 30.2
6.1
17.7
6
60%
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
45%
0-0
-
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 25.8
11.4
0
2-4
45%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 28.1
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 25.2
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 32.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.