FinalWin Prob.pScore
840%97
103
560%101
89
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
112.09296.6
SAS logo SAS
95.79388.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN103
100%
89
0%
Q4 - 0:13.0DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)103
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0SASMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot103
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:23.0DENMartin 24' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)103
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:43.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)100
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:45.0SASMISS Hill 25' 3PT Jump Shot100
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:52.0DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)100
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 0:52.0DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)99
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:03DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)98
99.7%
89
0.3%
Q4 - 1:05SASMISS Ginobili 21' Step Back Jump Shot98
99.6%
89
0.4%
Q4 - 1:14DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)98
99.3%
89
0.7%
Q4 - 1:14DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 297
99.1%
89
0.9%
Q4 - 1:18DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)97
99.2%
89
0.8%
Q4 - 1:20SASMISS Hill 1' Layup97
99.0%
89
1.0%
Q4 - 1:29DENMartin 14' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Billups 11 AST)97
98.3%
89
1.7%
Q4 - 1:49SASDuncan 1' Layup (16 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)95
95.8%
89
4.2%
Q4 - 2:02DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)95
97.3%
87
2.7%
Q4 - 2:02DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)94
97.0%
87
3.0%
Q4 - 2:13SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)93
96.3%
87
3.7%
Q4 - 2:13SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)93
96.5%
86
3.5%
Q4 - 2:25DENSmith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Billups 10 AST)93
97.4%
85
2.6%
Q4 - 2:30DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)90
94.3%
85
5.7%
Q4 - 2:32DENMISS Martin 19' Jump Shot90
91.2%
85
8.8%
Q4 - 2:53SASHill Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T15)90
92.0%
85
8.0%
Q4 - 3:06DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)90
87.2%
85
12.8%
Q4 - 3:24SASMcDyess 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Ginobili 9 AST)87
76.2%
85
23.8%
Q4 - 3:32SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)87
76.3%
83
23.7%
Q4 - 3:34DENDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)87
78.5%
83
21.5%
Q4 - 3:56SASMcDyess Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)87
83.5%
83
16.5%
Q4 - 4:04DENGinobili STEAL (3 STL)87
91.4%
80
8.6%
Q4 - 4:21DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)87
94.3%
80
5.7%
Q4 - 4:23SASMISS Jefferson 9' Jump Shot87
93.6%
80
6.4%
Q4 - 4:40DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)87
91.7%
80
8.3%
Q4 - 4:40DENAndersen 2' Tip Shot (5 PTS)87
91.7%
80
8.3%
Q4 - 4:42DENMISS Martin 10' Jump Shot85
85.2%
80
14.8%
Q4 - 5:01SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)85
84.7%
80
15.3%
Q4 - 5:17DENBillups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS)85
79.8%
80
20.2%
Q4 - 5:25DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)82
67.2%
80
32.8%
Q4 - 5:27SASMISS Mason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
64.8%
80
35.2%
Q4 - 5:36SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)82
59.0%
80
41.0%
Q4 - 5:38DENMISS Smith 5' Driving Bank Shot82
61.6%
80
38.4%
Q4 - 5:59SASHill 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS)82
67.4%
80
32.6%
Q4 - 6:20DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)82
70.9%
78
29.1%
Q4 - 6:20DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)81
70.4%
78
29.6%
Q4 - 6:23DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)80
64.8%
78
35.2%
Q4 - 6:25DENMISS Lawson 2' Driving Layup80
59.5%
78
40.5%
Q4 - 6:45SASBlair Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)80
64.9%
78
35.1%
Q4 - 6:45SASBlair Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)80
67.3%
77
32.7%
Q4 - 6:58SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
71.1%
76
28.9%
Q4 - 6:59DENBonner BLOCK (2 BLK)80
73.1%
76
26.9%
Q4 - 7:15SASMason Jr. Layup (2 PTS)80
74.8%
76
25.2%
Q4 - 7:18DENMason Jr. STEAL (1 STL)80
79.2%
74
20.8%
Q4 - 7:45SASBonner 7' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hill 4 AST)80
83.9%
74
16.1%
Q4 - 8:05DENNene 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Billups 8 AST)80
85.1%
72
14.9%
Q4 - 8:25DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)78
81.6%
72
18.4%
Q4 - 8:26SASMISS Ginobili 18' Jump Shot78
80.4%
72
19.6%
Q4 - 8:48SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
77.6%
72
22.4%
Q4 - 8:50DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 2 of 278
78.1%
72
21.9%
Q4 - 8:50DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)78
81.0%
72
19.0%
Q4 - 9:07SASBlair 2' Layup (8 PTS)77
75.4%
72
24.6%
Q4 - 9:23DENJefferson STEAL (4 STL)77
79.7%
70
20.3%
Q4 - 9:36DENNuggets Rebound77
83.3%
70
16.7%
Q4 - 9:36DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
80.9%
70
19.1%
Q4 - 9:38DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)77
83.3%
70
16.7%
Q4 - 9:40DENBlair BLOCK (1 BLK)77
80.9%
70
19.1%
Q4 - 9:54DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
83.3%
70
16.7%
Q4 - 9:56SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
82.3%
70
17.7%
Q4 - 10:04SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)77
77.7%
70
22.3%
Q4 - 10:06DENMISS Andersen 8' Jump Shot77
78.9%
70
21.1%
Q4 - 10:25SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)77
81.5%
70
18.5%
Q4 - 10:25SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)77
81.9%
69
18.1%
Q4 - 10:37SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)77
84.7%
68
15.3%
Q4 - 10:39DENMISS Martin 14' Jump Shot77
85.6%
68
14.4%
Q4 - 10:47DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)77
87.4%
68
12.6%
Q4 - 10:49SASMISS Mason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
86.6%
68
13.4%
Q4 - 11:09DENMartin 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)77
83.1%
68
16.9%
Q4 - 11:24SASGinobili Foul Turnover (P3.T13)75
79.8%
68
20.2%
Q4 - 11:40SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
76.3%
68
23.7%
Q4 - 11:41DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot75
77.5%
68
22.5%
Q4 - 11:47DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)75
79.9%
68
20.1%
Q4 - 11:48SASMISS Jefferson 2' Slam Dunk75
78.9%
68
21.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN75
76.4%
68
23.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
79.9%
68
20.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASMISS Hill 4' Driving Layup75
77.3%
68
22.7%
Q3 - 0:14.0SASSPURS Rebound75
75.1%
68
24.9%
Q3 - 0:15.0SASMISS Jefferson 5' Floating Jump Shot75
77.4%
68
22.6%
Q3 - 0:20.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)75
75.1%
68
24.9%
Q3 - 0:22.0SASMISS Jefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
77.4%
68
22.6%
Q3 - 0:35.0DENBillups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Martin 4 AST)75
75.1%
68
24.9%
Q3 - 0:46.0DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
66.3%
68
33.7%
Q3 - 0:48.0SASMISS Hill 18' Jump Shot72
65.1%
68
34.9%
Q3 - 0:58.0SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
62.1%
68
37.9%
Q3 - 0:59.0DENMISS Smith 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot72
63.4%
68
36.6%
Q3 - 1:27SASJefferson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)72
65.2%
68
34.8%
Q3 - 1:27SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)72
61.0%
68
39.0%
Q3 - 1:28DENMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 272
61.6%
68
38.4%
Q3 - 1:28DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)72
64.5%
68
35.5%
Q3 - 1:29SASHill Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)71
60.7%
68
39.3%
Q3 - 1:36SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)71
56.3%
68
43.7%
Q3 - 1:38DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
60.7%
68
39.3%
Q3 - 1:38DENMISS Andersen 1' Tip Shot71
57.6%
68
42.4%
Q3 - 1:40DENMISS Martin 3' Driving Layup71
57.6%
68
42.4%
Q3 - 1:52SASMcDyess Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T10)71
60.7%
68
39.3%
Q3 - 2:10DENMartin 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)71
54.9%
68
45.1%
Q3 - 2:29SASHill 1' Layup (15 PTS) (Ginobili 7 AST)69
50.3%
68
49.7%
Q3 - 2:35DENGinobili STEAL (2 STL)69
55.0%
66
45.0%
Q3 - 2:52SASGinobili 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)69
59.6%
66
40.4%
Q3 - 3:12DENAfflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)69
62.8%
64
37.2%
Q3 - 3:32SASMcDyess 17' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)66
54.5%
64
45.5%
Q3 - 3:48DENBillups 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS)66
58.6%
62
41.4%
Q3 - 3:55DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
50.0%
62
50.0%
Q3 - 3:57SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Shot63
48.5%
62
51.5%
Q3 - 4:22DENMartin 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)63
44.7%
62
55.3%
Q3 - 4:41SASMcDyess 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)61
41.1%
62
58.9%
Q3 - 4:59DENAfflalo 22' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Martin 3 AST)61
44.7%
60
55.3%
Q3 - 5:14DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
40.5%
60
59.5%
Q3 - 5:15SASMISS McDyess Free Throw 1 of 159
39.9%
60
60.1%
Q3 - 5:24DENJefferson STEAL (3 STL)59
44.1%
58
55.9%
Q3 - 5:34DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
48.8%
58
51.2%
Q3 - 5:36SASMISS McDyess 4' Jump Shot59
47.4%
58
52.6%
Q3 - 5:57DENMartin 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)59
44.1%
58
55.9%
Q3 - 6:15SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)57
40.3%
58
59.7%
Q3 - 6:15SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)57
40.8%
57
59.2%
Q3 - 6:24SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)57
43.8%
56
56.2%
Q3 - 6:25SASMISS Jefferson Free Throw 2 of 257
47.7%
56
52.3%
Q3 - 6:25SASJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)57
45.0%
56
55.0%
Q3 - 6:27SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
47.8%
55
52.2%
Q3 - 6:29DENMcDyess BLOCK (1 BLK)57
49.2%
55
50.8%
Q3 - 6:42SASDuncan 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)57
52.4%
55
47.6%
Q3 - 6:48DENBillups Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)57
55.9%
53
44.1%
Q3 - 6:51SASHill Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)57
60.3%
53
39.7%
Q3 - 7:09SASSPURS Rebound57
54.8%
53
45.2%
Q3 - 7:10DENMISS Martin 1' Layup57
56.1%
53
43.9%
Q3 - 7:28SASHill 1' Layup (13 PTS)57
59.0%
53
41.0%
Q3 - 7:41DENGraham Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)57
62.4%
51
37.6%
Q3 - 7:41DENGraham Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)56
61.8%
51
38.2%
Q3 - 7:56SASJefferson 8' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)55
59.1%
51
40.9%
Q3 - 8:19DENBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)55
61.7%
49
38.3%
Q3 - 8:37SASMcDyess 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)55
65.5%
49
34.5%
Q3 - 8:50SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)55
68.6%
47
31.4%
Q3 - 8:52DENMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
69.6%
47
30.4%
Q3 - 9:09SASHill 10' Jump Shot (11 PTS)55
71.2%
47
28.8%
Q3 - 9:24DENAfflalo 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)55
74.1%
45
25.9%
Q3 - 9:42SASDuncan 1' Layup (12 PTS)52
68.1%
45
31.9%
Q3 - 9:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)52
71.2%
43
28.8%
Q3 - 9:44SASMISS Ginobili 3' Running Finger Roll Layup52
73.3%
43
26.7%
Q3 - 10:09DENGraham 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)52
70.1%
43
29.9%
Q3 - 10:17DENBillups Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)50
67.1%
43
32.9%
Q3 - 10:34DENNuggets Rebound49
63.9%
43
36.1%
Q3 - 10:37SASMISS Jefferson 13' Turnaround Jump Shot49
62.9%
43
37.1%
Q3 - 11:06DENMartin 7' Driving Hook Shot (10 PTS)49
59.7%
43
40.3%
Q3 - 11:22SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)47
56.5%
43
43.5%
Q3 - 11:22SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)47
57.4%
42
42.6%
Q3 - 11:37DENAfflalo 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)47
59.7%
41
40.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN45
56.5%
41
43.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
56.5%
41
43.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
55.4%
41
44.6%
Q2 - 0:06.0DENGinobili STEAL (1 STL)45
53.0%
41
47.0%
Q2 - 0:28.0DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
55.6%
41
44.4%
Q2 - 0:29.0SASMISS Hill 12' Floating Jump Shot45
54.8%
41
45.2%
Q2 - 0:46.0DENBillups 1' Layup (13 PTS)45
53.0%
41
47.0%
Q2 - 0:50.0SASGinobili Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)43
48.9%
41
51.1%
Q2 - 1:10DENSmith 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)43
46.2%
41
53.8%
Q2 - 1:19DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)40
38.9%
41
61.1%
Q2 - 1:20SASMISS Duncan 6' Running Jump Shot40
38.2%
41
61.8%
Q2 - 1:45DENSmith 5' Jump Shot (7 PTS)40
36.6%
41
63.4%
Q2 - 1:54DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)38
32.8%
41
67.2%
Q2 - 1:56SASMISS Ginobili 9' Jump Bank Shot38
32.2%
41
67.8%
Q2 - 2:21DENSmith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)38
30.3%
41
69.7%
Q2 - 2:28DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
25.3%
41
74.7%
Q2 - 2:29SASMISS Ginobili 9' Running Jump Shot35
24.5%
41
75.5%
Q2 - 2:47DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)35
22.9%
41
77.1%
Q2 - 2:47DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)34
22.6%
41
77.4%
Q2 - 3:02SASJefferson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)33
21.2%
41
78.8%
Q2 - 3:07DENJefferson STEAL (2 STL)33
18.8%
41
81.2%
Q2 - 3:26SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)33
21.2%
41
78.8%
Q2 - 3:39SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
25.3%
38
74.7%
Q2 - 3:40SASMISS Hill 3PT Jump Shot33
27.3%
38
72.7%
Q2 - 3:46SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
25.2%
38
74.8%
Q2 - 3:47DENMISS Billups 19' Jump Shot33
26.1%
38
73.9%
Q2 - 4:02SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)33
28.1%
38
71.9%
Q2 - 4:02SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)33
28.7%
37
71.3%
Q2 - 4:09SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
30.4%
36
69.6%
Q2 - 4:10SASMISS McDyess 20' Jump Shot33
32.4%
36
67.6%
Q2 - 4:26DENNene Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)33
30.4%
36
69.6%
Q2 - 4:29SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)33
33.3%
36
66.7%
Q2 - 4:50DENLawson Foul Turnover (P1.T9)33
30.4%
36
69.6%
Q2 - 4:56SASHill Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)33
33.3%
36
66.7%
Q2 - 4:58SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
38.7%
33
61.3%
Q2 - 4:59DENMISS Lawson 9' Jump Shot33
39.7%
33
60.3%
Q2 - 5:20DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)33
41.7%
33
58.3%
Q2 - 5:21SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
40.9%
33
59.1%
Q2 - 5:35DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)33
38.9%
33
61.1%
Q2 - 5:35DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 232
38.2%
33
61.8%
Q2 - 5:51SASJefferson 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)32
38.9%
33
61.1%
Q2 - 6:07SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
41.3%
31
58.7%
Q2 - 6:08DENMISS Nene 2' Layup32
42.3%
31
57.7%
Q2 - 6:38DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
44.7%
31
55.3%
Q2 - 6:39SASMISS McDyess 20' Jump Shot32
43.7%
31
56.3%
Q2 - 6:52DENAfflalo Foul Turnover (P1.T8)32
41.4%
31
58.6%
Q2 - 6:55DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
44.7%
31
55.3%
Q2 - 6:56SASMISS Jefferson 8' Floating Jump Shot32
43.7%
31
56.3%
Q2 - 7:02SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
41.4%
31
58.6%
Q2 - 7:03SASMISS Hill 2' Layup32
43.3%
31
56.7%
Q2 - 7:20DENAfflalo 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)32
41.3%
31
58.7%
Q2 - 7:36SASMason Jr. Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)30
38.8%
31
61.2%
Q2 - 8:00DENNene 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)30
35.9%
31
64.1%
Q2 - 8:08SASJefferson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)28
33.5%
31
66.5%
Q2 - 8:22DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)28
31.1%
31
68.9%
Q2 - 8:22DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 1 of 227
30.7%
31
69.3%
Q2 - 8:22DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
31.1%
31
68.9%
Q2 - 8:23DENBonner BLOCK (1 BLK)27
29.5%
31
70.5%
Q2 - 8:34SASBlair 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)27
31.1%
31
68.9%
Q2 - 8:46DENNene 10' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)27
33.5%
29
66.5%
Q2 - 9:06DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
31.1%
29
68.9%
Q2 - 9:07SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
30.4%
29
69.6%
Q2 - 9:27DENAndersen 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)25
28.7%
29
71.3%
Q2 - 9:45SASHill 2' Layup (6 PTS)23
26.7%
29
73.3%
Q2 - 10:03SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
28.9%
27
71.1%
Q2 - 10:04DENMISS Billups 21' Jump Shot23
29.6%
27
70.4%
Q2 - 10:12DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)23
31.3%
27
68.7%
Q2 - 10:13SASMISS Finley 18' Jump Shot23
30.6%
27
69.4%
Q2 - 10:27DENSmith 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)23
28.9%
27
71.1%
Q2 - 10:43SASBlair 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)21
27.0%
27
73.0%
Q2 - 10:53DENBonner STEAL (3 STL)21
28.9%
25
71.1%
Q2 - 11:09SASBlair 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)21
31.3%
25
68.7%
Q2 - 11:21DENAndersen Foul Turnover (P1.T6)21
33.5%
23
66.5%
Q2 - 11:32DENNuggets Rebound21
35.9%
23
64.1%
Q2 - 11:33SASMISS Bonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
35.2%
23
64.8%
Q2 - 11:43DENBonner STEAL (2 STL)21
33.5%
23
66.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS21
35.9%
23
64.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound21
33.5%
23
66.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Mason Jr. 3PT Jump Shot21
35.2%
23
64.8%
Q1 - 0:05.0SASSPURS Rebound21
33.7%
23
66.3%
Q1 - 0:05.0DENMISS Smith 7' Floating Jump Shot21
34.2%
23
65.8%
Q1 - 0:29.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)21
35.5%
23
64.5%
Q1 - 0:29.0SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 221
35.7%
22
64.3%
Q1 - 0:33.0DENFinley STEAL (1 STL)21
35.9%
22
64.1%
Q1 - 0:40.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
37.8%
22
62.2%
Q1 - 0:41.0SASMISS Mason Jr. 3PT Jump Shot21
37.2%
22
62.8%
Q1 - 0:56.0SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
35.9%
22
64.1%
Q1 - 0:57.0DENMISS Martin 19' Jump Shot21
36.5%
22
63.5%
Q1 - 1:20DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
37.6%
22
62.4%
Q1 - 1:21SASMISS Mason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
37.2%
22
62.8%
Q1 - 1:28SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
36.1%
22
63.9%
Q1 - 1:29DENMISS Martin 21' Jump Shot21
36.6%
22
63.4%
Q1 - 1:51SASBonner 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mason Jr. 2 AST)21
37.6%
22
62.4%
Q1 - 2:02SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
42.8%
19
57.2%
Q1 - 2:02DENMISS Billups 2' Layup21
43.4%
19
56.6%
Q1 - 2:12SASDuncan 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS)21
44.7%
19
55.3%
Q1 - 2:35DENMartin 11' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS)21
47.4%
17
52.6%
Q1 - 2:52SASGinobili 2' Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)19
44.7%
17
55.3%
Q1 - 3:10DENBillups 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)19
47.0%
15
53.0%
Q1 - 3:28SASHill 1' Layup (4 PTS)17
44.8%
15
55.2%
Q1 - 3:34DENBillups 1' Layup (7 PTS)17
47.0%
13
53.0%
Q1 - 3:50SASJefferson 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)15
44.8%
13
55.2%
Q1 - 4:00DENBonner STEAL (1 STL)15
49.3%
10
50.7%
Q1 - 4:06SASHill Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)15
50.9%
10
49.1%
Q1 - 4:20DENJefferson STEAL (1 STL)15
48.6%
10
51.4%
Q1 - 4:22DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)15
51.0%
10
49.0%
Q1 - 4:23DENMISS Billups 2' Layup15
49.3%
10
50.7%
Q1 - 4:32DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
51.0%
10
49.0%
Q1 - 4:33SASMISS Duncan 14' Turnaround Jump Shot15
50.3%
10
49.7%
Q1 - 4:49SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
48.6%
10
51.4%
Q1 - 4:50DENMISS Graham 20' Pullup Jump Shot15
49.4%
10
50.6%
Q1 - 5:07SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)15
50.5%
10
49.5%
Q1 - 5:07SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
51.0%
9
49.0%
Q1 - 5:21DENMartin 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)15
52.4%
8
47.6%
Q1 - 5:32DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
50.5%
8
49.5%
Q1 - 5:34SASMISS Ginobili 17' Step Back Jump Shot13
49.8%
8
50.2%
Q1 - 5:48DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)13
48.1%
8
51.9%
Q1 - 6:02SASDuncan 11' Turnaround Bank Shot (2 PTS)10
43.6%
8
56.4%
Q1 - 6:19DENMartin 18' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)10
45.7%
6
54.3%
Q1 - 6:39SASMason Jr. Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)8
43.7%
6
56.3%
Q1 - 6:49DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
41.5%
6
58.5%
Q1 - 6:49DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
41.3%
6
58.7%
Q1 - 7:09SASJefferson 4' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
39.4%
6
60.6%
Q1 - 7:22SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
41.3%
4
58.7%
Q1 - 7:23SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot6
42.8%
4
57.2%
Q1 - 7:39DENGraham Foul Turnover (P1.T1)6
41.3%
4
58.7%
Q1 - 7:47DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
43.4%
4
56.6%
Q1 - 7:48SASMISS Jefferson 7' Turnaround Jump Shot6
42.8%
4
57.2%
Q1 - 8:07SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
41.2%
4
58.8%
Q1 - 8:08DENMISS Graham 15' Jump Bank Shot6
41.8%
4
58.2%
Q1 - 8:15SASMcDyess Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
43.2%
4
56.8%
Q1 - 8:25SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
41.2%
4
58.8%
Q1 - 8:26SASMISS McDyess 20' Jump Shot6
42.6%
4
57.4%
Q1 - 8:43DENAfflalo 9' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
41.2%
4
58.8%
Q1 - 8:57DENGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
39.2%
4
60.8%
Q1 - 8:59SASMISS Hill 21' Jump Shot4
38.6%
4
61.4%
Q1 - 9:07SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
37.5%
4
62.5%
Q1 - 9:09DENMISS Nene 6' Turnaround Jump Shot4
38.1%
4
61.9%
Q1 - 9:19DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
39.3%
4
60.7%
Q1 - 9:20SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot4
38.8%
4
61.2%
Q1 - 9:37SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
37.5%
4
62.5%
Q1 - 9:39DENMISS Billups 22' Jump Shot4
38.0%
4
62.0%
Q1 - 9:44DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
39.3%
4
60.7%
Q1 - 9:45SASMISS Jefferson 3' Layup4
38.8%
4
61.2%
Q1 - 9:58SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
37.5%
4
62.5%
Q1 - 9:59DENMISS Martin 4' Jump Shot4
38.0%
4
62.0%
Q1 - 10:14SASHill 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Mason Jr. 1 AST)4
39.2%
4
60.8%
Q1 - 10:29DENGraham 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
40.9%
2
59.1%
Q1 - 10:48DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
39.3%
2
60.7%
Q1 - 10:49SASMISS McDyess 13' Fadeaway Jumper2
38.7%
2
61.3%
Q1 - 11:17DENMartin 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)2
37.2%
2
62.8%
Q1 - 11:35SASJefferson 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
35.6%
2
64.4%
Q1 - 11:38SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
37.2%
0
62.8%
Q1 - 11:39SASMISS Jefferson 4' Running Jump Shot0
38.3%
0
61.7%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Nene: Tip to Hill0
37.2%
0
62.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.24 62.0%
SAS
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
9
23
39%
SAS
16
25
64%
Midrange
DEN
19
34
56%
SAS
15
37
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
9
13.5
12
75%
113%
SAS
3
4.5
17
18%
26%
Free Throws
DEN
20
25
80%
SAS
18
21
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Martin2761%13.5 / 22
C. Billups2569%12.5 / 18
J. Smith1875%9.0 / 12
A. Afflalo14117%7.0 / 6
Nene643%3.0 / 7
J. Graham660%3.0 / 5
C. Andersen550%2.5 / 5
T. Lawson220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Hill1753%8.5 / 16
T. Duncan1662%8.0 / 13
M. Ginobili1447%7.0 / 15
A. McDyess1359%6.5 / 11
R. Jefferson1240%6.0 / 15
D. Blair10100%5.0 / 5
M. Bonner550%2.5 / 5
R. Mason Jr.217%1.0 / 6
M. Finley0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
73
+8
-19
81
SAS
78
+11
-15
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.24 62.0%
SAS
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.9
110.4
DEN 112.0
SAS 95.7 +16.3
Pace
94.7
91.5
DEN 96.6 +7.8
SAS 88.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
16.0
DEN 14.9 +1.3
SAS 16.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.9%
51.5%
DEN 60.1% +15.2%
SAS 44.9%
TO %
14.2%
14.1%
DEN 19.2%
SAS 14.5% +4.7%
ORB %
26.1%
26.8%
DEN 22.6% +1.7%
SAS 20.9%
FTrt
37.6
29.6
DEN 36.2 +9.6
SAS 26.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.0%
58.1%
DEN 59.5% +0.7%
SAS 58.8%
STL %
8.7%
6.9%
DEN 10.9%
SAS 12.9% +2.0%
BLK %
7.9%
6.9%
DEN 3.2%
SAS 8.8% +5.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.9%
54.0%
DEN 62.0% +12.0%
SAS 50.0%
Rim FG%
61.0%
62.2%
DEN 39.1%
SAS 64.0% +24.9%
Mid FG%
39.6%
40.7%
DEN 55.9% +15.4%
SAS 40.5%
3P %
35.9%
35.8%
DEN 75.0% +57.4%
SAS 17.6%
FT %
77.2%
74.0%
DEN 80.0%
SAS 85.7% +5.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.5%
36.1%
DEN 33.3% +1.7%
SAS 31.6%
Mid Att. %
39.8%
40.6%
DEN 49.3%
SAS 46.8% +2.4%
3P Att. %
22.7%
23.2%
DEN 17.4%
SAS 21.5% +4.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENSAS
Possessions9293
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points10389
Rebounds4133
Assists2220
Steals1012
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)19 (0)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (1)9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (2)24 (2)
Field Goals37-6934-79
At-the-Rim FG9-2316-25
Midrange FG19-3415-37
2-Point FG28-5731-62
3-Point FG9-123-17
Free Throws20-2518-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 210 · 33
44.6
25
69%
6
11
2
0
6
0
0
6
8-8
100%
4-10
40%
3-5
60%
F · 6'9" 225 · 32
39.3
27
61%
11
4
1
0
1
3
0
11
2-3
67%
11-20
55%
1-1
100%
G · 6'5" 210 · 24
37.6
14
117%
3
2
3
0
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
4-4
100%
2-2
100%
C · 6'11" 250 · 27
28.8
6
43%
8
2
2
0
3
6
3
5
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 230 · 28
15.9
6
60%
1
0
0
0
2
3
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 24
32.0
18
75%
3
3
1
0
3
1
0
3
5-6
83%
2-5
40%
3-4
75%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32
27.9
5
50%
7
0
1
2
2
3
3
4
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 195 · 22
13.8
2
20%
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
1
2-4
50%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 255 · 32
G · 6'1" 190 · 35
C · 7'0" 247 · 24
F · 6'8" 225 · 26
#15 · F · 6'8" 240 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
62%
41
22
10
2
19
0
7
34
20-25
80%
28-57
49%
9-12
75%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.