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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 31, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Nuggets40%97103
5Spurs60%10189
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 33.3
44.6
33.5
25
67%
6
11
2
1
0
6
0
6
8-8
100%
4-10
3-7
40%
44%
3-5
60%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 32.1
39.3
31.3
27
60%
11
4
1
1
0
1
0
11
2-3
67%
11-20
4-9
55%
49%
1-1
100%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.3
37.6
30.3
14
117%
3
2
3
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-4
2-4
100%
48%
2-2
100%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 27.4
28.8
33.1
6
43%
8
2
2
1
0
3
3
5
0-0
-
3-7
5-8
43%
57%
0-0
-
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 27.6
15.9
17.6
6
61%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 24.4
32.0
28.7
18
77%
3
3
1
1
0
3
0
3
5-6
83%
2-5
4-7
40%
49%
3-4
75%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31.6
27.9
19.9
5
51%
7
0
1
0
2
2
3
4
1-2
50%
2-4
1-3
50%
55%
0-0
-
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 22.2
13.8
22.5
2
21%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-4
50%
0-3
2-5
0%
48%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 31.6
8.6
0
1-2
45%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.6
5.8
0
0-1
46%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 24.0
3.2
0
0-1
41%
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 25.5
2.2
0
0-0
52%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.7
42.0
30.7
17
52%
1
4
0
1
0
4
0
1
1-1
100%
8-14
3-7
57%
49%
0-2
0%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 29.6
36.8
30.5
12
40%
5
2
4
1
0
3
2
3
1-2
50%
4-12
4-7
33%
49%
1-2
50%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.8
36.3
33.2
16
63%
10
1
0
1
1
0
4
6
6-6
100%
5-10
8-15
50%
52%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35.4
30.9
24.8
13
55%
4
0
0
1
1
2
1
3
1-2
50%
6-11
3-7
55%
51%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.4
20.4
20.7
2
17%
1
2
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
46%
0-5
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 32.5
33.2
28.6
14
48%
5
9
3
1
0
4
1
4
7-8
88%
2-8
3-7
25%
49%
1-3
33%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 29.8
17.1
10.5
5
50%
3
1
3
0
2
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
52%
1-4
25%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 20.8
10.8
20.1
10
102%
3
0
0
1
1
0
1
2
2-2
100%
4-4
3-7
100%
53%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 36.9
6.6
9.5
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 29.7
5.0
18.2
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 23.2
0.9
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
53%
0-0
-
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 36.8
1.7
0
0-0
48%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.7
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.