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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 31, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Magic66%9891
27Pistons34%9386
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.1
41.1
37.3
16
47%
15
3
0
1
5
3
1
14
8-18
44%
4-9
6-11
44%
59%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.5
30.8
32.6
15
95%
7
4
0
1
0
3
0
7
2-2
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
49%
3-4
75%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 29.9
25.3
24.6
6
55%
1
1
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-1
0%
3-5
2-4
60%
54%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 33.0
19.3
25.4
2
13%
3
1
1
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-7
3-7
14%
47%
0-1
0%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 28.0
10.4
27.2
5
63%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
50%
1-1
100%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.6
28.7
24.1
17
64%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
5-5
100%
3-5
2-3
60%
46%
2-6
33%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 28.0
22.7
17.9
14
102%
1
0
1
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
52%
4-5
80%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 35.3
20.7
4.3
6
51%
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-3
0-1
67%
45%
0-2
0%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 21.7
17.2
13.1
2
20%
4
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-3
0%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 34.2
16.9
19.7
4
100%
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
49%
0-0
-
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 26.0
6.9
12.9
4
67%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
56%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 24.8
2.8
0
0-1
52%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 34.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 29.9
37.9
29.1
12
51%
9
3
0
0
0
1
2
7
1-2
50%
4-9
4-8
44%
46%
1-2
50%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 32.0
36.8
35.3
14
43%
3
4
0
1
0
4
1
2
3-3
100%
4-12
6-13
33%
46%
1-3
33%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.8
35.0
32.6
18
61%
3
7
0
1
0
1
0
3
10-11
91%
4-10
6-14
40%
44%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 22.9
34.0
20.2
16
56%
9
0
0
0
0
1
3
6
4-5
80%
3-9
2-4
33%
52%
2-3
67%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 35.4
30.7
28.9
4
41%
9
0
2
1
3
1
3
6
0-2
0%
2-4
2-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.8
24.9
10.7
5
21%
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
2-7
1-3
29%
47%
0-4
0%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 27.0
15.4
13.1
8
80%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
52%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 35.5
13.0
14.2
3
38%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
1-3
33%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 27.4
8.1
16.0
6
60%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
51%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 21.7
4.3
6.9
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 25.4
27.2
1
4-8
49%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 27.9
9.2
0
1-2
51%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.1
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.