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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 31, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Pacers31%101102
11Raptors69%108117
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.6
36.1
34.7
14
80%
3
3
1
1
0
2
1
2
4-4
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
46%
2-4
50%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 30.6
33.6
29.2
11
37%
3
6
0
1
0
2
2
1
1-2
50%
5-11
2-4
45%
47%
0-3
0%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 29.4
32.5
21.7
12
64%
4
5
1
1
0
0
1
3
1-1
100%
4-5
2-5
80%
49%
1-4
25%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 29.7
32.0
27.7
14
81%
8
3
1
1
0
3
0
8
4-6
67%
2-3
3-6
67%
52%
2-3
67%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 26.8
30.6
35.5
8
30%
2
3
1
1
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
2-8
5-10
25%
48%
1-5
20%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.2
23.2
9.8
15
63%
2
2
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
1-2
43%
48%
3-5
60%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 23.1
20.4
24.6
12
56%
4
2
1
0
1
0
1
3
2-4
50%
5-9
5-10
56%
50%
0-0
-
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.3
18.8
18.0
8
51%
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 29.1
12.8
27.5
8
80%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-5
4-9
80%
48%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 22.9
6.5
0
1-2
51%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 26.9
5.5
0
1-2
49%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.5
3.2
0
0-1
52%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 33.0
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.9
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 24.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 25.9
37.4
38.5
26
59%
15
7
0
1
2
1
4
11
2-2
100%
12-21
9-18
57%
52%
0-0
-
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 24.3
34.5
33.0
17
66%
4
3
1
1
1
3
2
2
2-2
100%
6-10
5-10
60%
50%
1-2
50%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.3
33.3
28.0
16
95%
2
6
0
1
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
52%
3-3
100%
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23.6
31.9
16.6
13
67%
6
3
0
1
0
3
0
6
3-4
75%
5-7
3-5
71%
50%
0-1
0%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 30.9
1.0
32.0
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-5
-
47%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 26.0
35.7
19.7
15
75%
6
2
0
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
3-6
1-3
50%
48%
3-4
75%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.3
27.5
22.7
12
60%
2
7
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
6-8
3-5
75%
55%
0-2
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 22.8
20.3
18.3
12
69%
8
2
1
1
0
1
2
6
2-6
33%
5-6
2-4
83%
59%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 23.9
14.6
17.7
0
0%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
47%
0-4
0%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.7
3.8
3.2
6
68%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
3-4
1-1
75%
53%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 28.2
3.3
0
0-1
51%
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.6
1.5
0
0-0
52%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 20.5
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 29.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.