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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 31, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Suns42%104115
12Rockets58%107111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 36.0
41.2
33.4
11
44%
8
16
0
1
0
0
1
7
6-6
100%
1-4
5-9
25%
53%
1-6
17%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.2
40.8
30.3
36
66%
11
1
0
1
2
5
1
10
12-12
100%
12-22
7-12
55%
55%
0-0
-
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 37.3
38.6
20.1
19
72%
4
3
1
1
3
1
0
4
5-5
100%
7-10
3-5
70%
49%
0-1
0%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 29.0
34.6
31.0
8
36%
8
1
2
1
0
3
1
7
0-0
-
4-8
4-8
50%
50%
0-3
0%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 21.8
27.3
23.0
14
72%
6
0
0
0
3
1
3
3
2-4
50%
6-8
3-6
75%
54%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 24.6
24.7
25.7
13
82%
3
2
0
1
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
4-6
1-3
67%
46%
1-1
100%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 26.7
20.7
25.0
7
45%
5
1
1
1
0
1
0
5
3-4
75%
2-5
2-4
40%
46%
0-1
0%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.7
14.2
19.3
5
87%
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
0-0
2-4
-
48%
1-2
50%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.2
12.4
14.2
0
0%
6
0
0
0
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
52%
0-0
-
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 22.0
8.9
8.4
2
25%
0
1
0
0
2
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
47%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 31.2
1.7
2.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
43%
0-0
-
Taylor Griffin
F · 6'7" 238 · 23.8
2.2
0
0-0
47%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 27.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 24.6
45.3
34.8
21
44%
7
4
2
2
1
0
3
4
3-6
50%
3-11
4-8
27%
49%
4-10
40%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 31.4
44.8
30.0
11
38%
11
0
3
1
0
1
3
8
4-6
67%
2-5
2-3
40%
50%
1-7
14%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 25.0
43.4
35.1
24
49%
3
6
1
1
1
2
0
3
4-6
67%
4-11
5-10
36%
48%
4-11
36%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 29.8
34.0
34.6
17
41%
3
4
1
1
0
2
2
1
5-6
83%
6-18
7-14
33%
54%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 26.6
17.9
20.1
2
50%
5
1
2
1
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 26.4
32.0
27.1
16
55%
7
0
2
1
1
1
5
2
0-1
0%
8-14
6-10
57%
57%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 21.7
23.1
19.6
12
68%
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
2-5
40%
David Andersen
· 6'11" 247 · 29.6
10.7
9.8
6
44%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
52%
0-1
0%
Will Conroy
G · 6'2" 195 · 27.1
9.6
0.3
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
50%
0-0
-
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 26.1
4.3
1.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
54%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 23.9
21.6
1
2-4
49%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 29.2
1.1
0
0-0
43%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 30.7
Jermaine Taylor
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.1
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 29.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.