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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 31, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Warriors36%98104
17Thunder64%103112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.3
37.0
32.6
25
47%
3
2
4
1
1
5
0
3
4-6
67%
6-17
7-14
35%
49%
3-7
43%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.9
35.9
39.9
14
60%
4
5
1
2
0
5
2
2
4-4
100%
2-8
5-10
25%
46%
2-2
100%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.7
35.1
24.4
4
29%
3
3
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-2
0%
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
0-1
0%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 30.2
33.6
31.9
26
69%
5
4
1
1
0
2
2
3
10-11
91%
8-14
6-13
57%
49%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.8
24.1
21.4
8
57%
4
1
0
1
1
2
2
2
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
58%
0-0
-
Coby Karl
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.7
24.4
0.7
6
61%
1
6
2
0
1
0
1
0
2-2
100%
2-4
0-0
50%
38%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.8
23.8
22.6
13
67%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
4-4
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
48%
1-3
33%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 27.1
23.5
17.0
8
80%
8
3
0
0
1
2
1
7
0-0
-
4-5
1-3
80%
48%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.2
2.6
11.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.2
20.7
1
2-4
42%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.4
13.8
1
1-1
42%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.3
5.1
0
0-1
49%
Chris Hunter
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 25.6
3.7
0
0-1
47%
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.1
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 20.5
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.3
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 31.7
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 33.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.2
44.8
30.6
28
65%
5
8
2
1
0
4
1
4
14-17
82%
7-14
6-12
50%
46%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.7
41.1
25.8
14
46%
7
2
4
1
1
0
4
3
1-5
20%
5-11
2-4
45%
49%
1-2
50%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 21.3
40.1
37.9
45
87%
11
2
2
1
0
4
3
8
11-11
100%
14-18
9-17
78%
52%
2-3
67%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.4
36.1
37.5
14
59%
7
3
1
1
0
2
2
5
1-2
50%
5-8
5-10
63%
50%
1-3
33%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.5
19.1
20.8
2
25%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
4-7
25%
51%
0-0
-
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 20.4
19.7
18.8
4
52%
4
0
1
0
3
2
1
3
0-2
0%
2-3
3-5
67%
53%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 20.4
19.6
20.9
5
29%
6
1
1
1
0
1
1
5
3-4
75%
1-5
2-5
20%
46%
0-2
0%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.6
10.6
16.5
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
48%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 29.3
8.8
21.3
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
57%
0-0
-
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 37.1
4.0
0
0-1
43%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 31.8
3.5
0
0-1
54%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 21.0
3.1
0
0-1
55%
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 24.0
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.4
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 33.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.