FinalWin Prob.pScore
2342%93
97
2058%96
81
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
107.89087.3
MIA logo MIA
89.09193.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA97
100%
81
0%
Q4 - 0:19.0MILBucks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#17)97
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)97
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:00MILMbah a Moute 8' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST)97
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 1:21MILThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)95
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 1:22MILMISS Meeks 20' Jump Shot95
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 1:45MILMeeks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)95
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 1:46MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 2:04MILWarrick 4' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)95
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 2:32MIAWright 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)93
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 2:38MILWade STEAL (4 STL)93
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 2:57MIAMagloire 8' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)93
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 3:06MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)93
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 3:07MILMISS Jennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 3:34MIAWade Driving Dunk (23 PTS)93
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 3:39MILWade STEAL (3 STL)93
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 3:53MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)93
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 3:54MIAMISS Wade 15' Fadeaway Jumper93
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 4:09MILBogut 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (22 PTS) (Jennings 8 AST)93
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 4:29MIAMagloire Foul Turnover (P1.T12)91
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 4:37MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)91
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 4:38MILMISS Delfino Free Throw 2 of 291
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 4:38MILDelfino Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)91
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 4:47MILBucks Rebound90
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 4:48MILMagloire BLOCK (1 BLK)90
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 4:57MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)90
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 5:14MILJennings 19' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)90
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 5:28MILDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)88
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 5:29MIAMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot88
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 5:40MILRichardson STEAL (2 STL)88
99.8%
68
0.2%
Q4 - 5:56MIAWade 15' Jump Bank Shot (21 PTS)88
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 6:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)88
99.8%
66
0.2%
Q4 - 6:04MILMISS Warrick 19' Fadeaway Jumper88
99.8%
66
0.2%
Q4 - 6:20MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)88
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 6:21MIAMISS Arroyo 16' Jump Shot88
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 6:33MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
99.8%
66
0.2%
Q4 - 6:34MILMISS Bell 3PT Jump Shot88
99.8%
66
0.2%
Q4 - 6:53MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)88
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 6:53MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 288
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 6:59MILWright STEAL (1 STL)88
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 7:14MIAWright Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)88
99.8%
65
0.2%
Q4 - 7:36MILBell 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Delfino 4 AST)88
99.8%
65
0.2%
Q4 - 7:45MILWarrick REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)86
99.7%
65
0.3%
Q4 - 7:46MILMISS Bell 16' Jump Shot86
99.7%
65
0.3%
Q4 - 7:47MILBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)86
99.7%
65
0.3%
Q4 - 7:48MILMISS Warrick 17' Fadeaway Jumper86
99.7%
65
0.3%
Q4 - 8:08MIAArroyo 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)86
99.5%
65
0.5%
Q4 - 8:21MILBucks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)86
99.7%
63
0.3%
Q4 - 8:21MILThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)86
99.7%
63
0.3%
Q4 - 8:22MILMISS Warrick 19' Jump Shot86
99.7%
63
0.3%
Q4 - 8:43MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
99.7%
63
0.3%
Q4 - 8:44MIAMISS Beasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
99.7%
63
0.3%
Q4 - 8:50MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)86
99.7%
63
0.3%
Q4 - 8:50MIAMISS Wright 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
99.7%
63
0.3%
Q4 - 9:05MILRidnour Layup (4 PTS)86
99.5%
63
0.5%
Q4 - 9:10MIACook Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)84
99.3%
63
0.7%
Q4 - 9:19MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
99.2%
63
0.8%
Q4 - 9:20MILMISS Delfino 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
99.2%
63
0.8%
Q4 - 9:35MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)84
99.3%
63
0.7%
Q4 - 9:35MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)84
99.4%
62
0.6%
Q4 - 9:49MILThomas Layup (8 PTS) (Delfino 3 AST)84
99.5%
61
0.5%
Q4 - 9:57MILDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)82
99.4%
61
0.6%
Q4 - 9:58MIAMISS Beasley 17' Jump Shot82
99.3%
61
0.7%
Q4 - 10:28MILThomas 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Warrick 2 AST)82
98.9%
61
1.1%
Q4 - 10:45MIAArroyo 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)80
98.6%
61
1.4%
Q4 - 11:12MILWarrick 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ridnour 3 AST)80
98.6%
59
1.4%
Q4 - 11:23MILDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)78
98.2%
59
1.8%
Q4 - 11:24MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot78
98.1%
59
1.9%
Q4 - 11:41MILDelfino 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Ridnour 2 AST)78
97.8%
59
2.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA76
97.3%
59
2.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound76
96.7%
59
3.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Cook 62' 3PT Jump Shot76
97.1%
59
2.9%
Q3 - 0:02.0MILBell Driving Reverse Layup (10 PTS)76
96.1%
59
3.9%
Q3 - 0:18.0MILWarrick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
95.2%
59
4.8%
Q3 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 274
95.1%
59
4.9%
Q3 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 274
94.6%
59
5.4%
Q3 - 0:35.0MILBell Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)74
94.3%
59
5.7%
Q3 - 0:35.0MILBell Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)73
94.1%
59
5.9%
Q3 - 0:37.0MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
93.0%
59
7.0%
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
92.6%
59
7.4%
Q3 - 0:53.0MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
91.7%
59
8.3%
Q3 - 0:53.0MILMISS Ridnour 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
92.1%
59
7.9%
Q3 - 1:13MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS)72
92.2%
59
7.8%
Q3 - 1:30MILRidnour Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)72
93.6%
57
6.4%
Q3 - 1:42MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)72
94.6%
57
5.4%
Q3 - 1:43MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 272
94.5%
57
5.5%
Q3 - 1:43MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)72
93.8%
57
6.2%
Q3 - 1:57MILBogut 14' Turnaround Hook Shot (20 PTS)72
94.7%
56
5.3%
Q3 - 2:19MILDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)70
92.6%
56
7.4%
Q3 - 2:20MIAMISS Arroyo 21' Jump Shot70
92.2%
56
7.8%
Q3 - 2:29MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
91.2%
56
8.8%
Q3 - 2:30MILMISS Warrick 18' Jump Shot70
91.7%
56
8.3%
Q3 - 2:58MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)70
92.7%
56
7.3%
Q3 - 3:19MILBogut 12' Hook Shot (18 PTS)70
94.1%
53
5.9%
Q3 - 3:42MIAArroyo 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)68
93.1%
53
6.9%
Q3 - 3:59MILBell 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Delfino 2 AST)68
94.1%
51
5.9%
Q3 - 4:03MILDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)65
91.2%
51
8.8%
Q3 - 4:04MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot65
90.7%
51
9.3%
Q3 - 4:20MILBell 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Warrick 1 AST)65
89.5%
51
10.5%
Q3 - 4:34MIAAnthony Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)62
86.1%
51
13.9%
Q3 - 4:53MILDelfino 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Ridnour 1 AST)62
87.8%
49
12.2%
Q3 - 5:11MILWarrick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
82.4%
49
17.6%
Q3 - 5:12MIAMISS Alston Free Throw 2 of 259
82.1%
49
17.9%
Q3 - 5:12MIAMISS Alston Free Throw 1 of 259
80.4%
49
19.6%
Q3 - 5:19MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)59
79.5%
49
20.5%
Q3 - 5:20MILMISS Warrick 15' Jump Shot59
80.5%
49
19.5%
Q3 - 5:42MIAAnthony 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)59
82.5%
49
17.5%
Q3 - 5:44MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)59
84.5%
47
15.5%
Q3 - 5:45MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup59
86.2%
47
13.8%
Q3 - 5:50MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)59
84.5%
47
15.5%
Q3 - 5:51MILAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)59
85.3%
47
14.7%
Q3 - 6:02MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
85.8%
47
14.2%
Q3 - 6:03MIAMISS Haslem 7' Jump Shot59
85.1%
47
14.9%
Q3 - 6:24MILIlyasova Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)59
83.5%
47
16.5%
Q3 - 6:24MILMISS Ilyasova Free Throw 1 of 258
83.0%
47
17.0%
Q3 - 6:39MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)58
83.7%
47
16.3%
Q3 - 6:55MILAlston STEAL (1 STL)58
85.6%
45
14.4%
Q3 - 7:14MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)58
86.3%
45
13.7%
Q3 - 7:15MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
85.7%
45
14.3%
Q3 - 7:33MILBeasley STEAL (2 STL)58
84.3%
45
15.7%
Q3 - 7:48MIABeasley Driving Dunk (14 PTS)58
86.4%
45
13.6%
Q3 - 8:15MILMbah a Moute Foul Turnover (P2.T8)58
87.3%
43
12.7%
Q3 - 8:18MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)58
89.0%
43
11.0%
Q3 - 8:19MIAMISS Anthony Tip Shot58
88.5%
43
11.5%
Q3 - 8:20MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)58
87.3%
43
12.7%
Q3 - 8:21MIAMISS Beasley Driving Layup58
88.5%
43
11.5%
Q3 - 8:31MILDelfino Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T7)58
87.3%
43
12.7%
Q3 - 8:57MIABeasley Alley Oop Layup (12 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)58
89.0%
43
11.0%
Q3 - 9:03MILRichardson STEAL (1 STL)58
89.8%
41
10.2%
Q3 - 9:09MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)58
91.1%
41
8.9%
Q3 - 9:10MIAMISS Anthony 9' Jump Shot58
90.7%
41
9.3%
Q3 - 9:18MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
89.8%
41
10.2%
Q3 - 9:19MILMISS Bogut 9' Hook Shot58
90.2%
41
9.8%
Q3 - 9:33MIAAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)58
91.1%
41
8.9%
Q3 - 9:37MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
89.8%
41
10.2%
Q3 - 9:38MILMISS Delfino 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
90.2%
41
9.8%
Q3 - 9:51MIAWade Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T8)58
91.1%
41
8.9%
Q3 - 10:09MILBucks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)58
89.0%
41
11.0%
Q3 - 10:32MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)58
90.4%
41
9.6%
Q3 - 10:33MIAMISS Alston 16' Jump Shot58
90.0%
41
10.0%
Q3 - 10:51MILJennings Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)58
89.1%
41
10.9%
Q3 - 11:05MILDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
86.8%
41
13.2%
Q3 - 11:06MIAMISS Beasley 16' Jump Shot56
86.3%
41
13.7%
Q3 - 11:29MILBogut Layup (16 PTS) (Jennings 7 AST)56
85.1%
41
14.9%
Q3 - 11:45MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)54
83.3%
41
16.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL54
86.8%
38
13.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
87.3%
38
12.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Richardson Tip Shot54
86.9%
38
13.1%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
86.1%
38
13.9%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
86.9%
38
13.1%
Q2 - 0:22.0MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)54
86.1%
38
13.9%
Q2 - 0:22.0MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)53
85.6%
38
14.4%
Q2 - 0:37.0MILDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
84.1%
38
15.9%
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
83.7%
38
16.3%
Q2 - 1:02MILDelfino Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)52
82.1%
38
17.9%
Q2 - 1:02MILDelfino Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)51
81.6%
38
18.4%
Q2 - 1:19MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
79.5%
38
20.5%
Q2 - 1:20MIAMISS Richardson 6' Jump Shot50
79.0%
38
21.0%
Q2 - 1:38MILBogut Layup (12 PTS) (Jennings 6 AST)50
77.9%
38
22.1%
Q2 - 1:59MIAMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)48
74.9%
38
25.1%
Q2 - 1:59MIAMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)48
76.0%
37
24.0%
Q2 - 1:59MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
77.9%
36
22.1%
Q2 - 2:00MIAMISS Wade 10' Running Jump Shot48
79.0%
36
21.0%
Q2 - 2:14MILIlyasova Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)48
76.7%
36
23.3%
Q2 - 2:14MILIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)47
76.2%
36
23.8%
Q2 - 2:14MILBucks Rebound46
74.5%
36
25.5%
Q2 - 2:15MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot46
73.7%
36
26.3%
Q2 - 2:34MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
71.9%
36
28.1%
Q2 - 2:35MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 1 of 146
72.2%
36
27.8%
Q2 - 2:50MIAWade 18' Jump Bank Shot (15 PTS)44
69.3%
36
30.7%
Q2 - 3:05MILDelfino Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)44
71.0%
34
29.0%
Q2 - 3:19MIAWade Driving Layup (13 PTS)41
66.2%
34
33.8%
Q2 - 3:33MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
68.4%
32
31.6%
Q2 - 3:34MILMISS Ilyasova 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
69.4%
32
30.6%
Q2 - 3:54MILDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
71.6%
32
28.4%
Q2 - 3:55MIAMISS Wade 10' Running Jump Shot41
70.6%
32
29.4%
Q2 - 4:11MILStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)41
67.7%
32
32.3%
Q2 - 4:11MILMISS Stackhouse Free Throw 1 of 240
67.4%
32
32.6%
Q2 - 4:31MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
68.0%
32
32.0%
Q2 - 4:32MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
67.1%
32
32.9%
Q2 - 4:47MILStackhouse Free Throw 3 of 3 (6 PTS)40
65.0%
32
35.0%
Q2 - 4:47MILStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 3 (5 PTS)39
64.7%
32
35.3%
Q2 - 4:47MILStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 3 (4 PTS)38
64.3%
32
35.7%
Q2 - 5:09MIABeasley 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)37
59.0%
32
41.0%
Q2 - 5:37MILStackhouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)37
64.7%
29
35.3%
Q2 - 5:58MIAWright Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)34
59.0%
29
41.0%
Q2 - 6:11MILThomas 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jennings 5 AST)34
55.3%
29
44.7%
Q2 - 6:24MIABeasley 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)32
53.0%
29
47.0%
Q2 - 6:40MILJennings 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)32
55.4%
27
44.6%
Q2 - 6:54MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)30
53.0%
27
47.0%
Q2 - 7:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)30
55.1%
25
44.9%
Q2 - 7:11MILMISS Ilyasova 8' Jump Shot30
56.0%
25
44.0%
Q2 - 7:12MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
58.0%
25
42.0%
Q2 - 7:13MILMISS Stackhouse 15' Turnaround Jump Shot30
56.0%
25
44.0%
Q2 - 7:34MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
58.1%
25
41.9%
Q2 - 7:35MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 2 of 230
57.7%
25
42.3%
Q2 - 7:35MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)30
55.8%
25
44.2%
Q2 - 7:55MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)30
57.9%
24
42.1%
Q2 - 7:55MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)29
57.2%
24
42.8%
Q2 - 7:56MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
55.3%
24
44.7%
Q2 - 7:58MIAMISS Beasley 8' Running Jump Shot28
54.4%
24
45.6%
Q2 - 8:07MIAHEAT Rebound28
51.8%
24
48.2%
Q2 - 8:08MIAMISS Wright 16' Jump Shot28
53.7%
24
46.3%
Q2 - 8:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)28
51.8%
24
48.2%
Q2 - 8:14MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot28
53.7%
24
46.3%
Q2 - 8:37MILWarrick Dunk (8 PTS) (Jennings 4 AST)28
51.8%
24
48.2%
Q2 - 8:45MIAWright Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)26
49.1%
24
50.9%
Q2 - 8:46MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
46.4%
24
53.6%
Q2 - 8:47MILMISS Jennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
47.2%
24
52.8%
Q2 - 9:04MIAArroyo 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)26
48.7%
24
51.3%
Q2 - 9:22MILThomas 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jennings 3 AST)26
51.2%
22
48.8%
Q2 - 9:30MILStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
48.7%
22
51.3%
Q2 - 9:32MIAMISS Beasley 18' Jump Shot24
47.9%
22
52.1%
Q2 - 9:53MILJennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mbah a Moute 1 AST)24
45.9%
22
54.1%
Q2 - 10:10MIABeasley 10' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)21
40.9%
22
59.1%
Q2 - 10:28MILArroyo STEAL (1 STL)21
43.2%
20
56.8%
Q2 - 10:33MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
46.0%
20
54.0%
Q2 - 10:34MIAMISS Haslem 20' Jump Shot21
45.1%
20
54.9%
Q2 - 10:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)21
43.2%
20
56.8%
Q2 - 10:44MILWright BLOCK (2 BLK)21
44.0%
20
56.0%
Q2 - 10:48MILWarrick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
46.0%
20
54.0%
Q2 - 10:49MILWright BLOCK (1 BLK)21
44.0%
20
56.0%
Q2 - 11:08MILWarrick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
45.7%
20
54.3%
Q2 - 11:09MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
44.9%
20
55.1%
Q2 - 11:26MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
43.1%
20
56.9%
Q2 - 11:28MILMISS Jennings Driving Layup21
43.9%
20
56.1%
Q2 - 11:41MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)21
45.8%
20
54.2%
Q2 - 11:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)21
50.7%
17
49.3%
Q2 - 11:43MIAMISS Arroyo 15' Jump Shot21
52.6%
17
47.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA21
50.7%
17
49.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
50.7%
17
49.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wright 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
52.6%
17
47.4%
Q1 - 0:19.0MILWarrick 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS)21
50.5%
17
49.5%
Q1 - 0:33.0MILDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
47.5%
17
52.5%
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot19
46.9%
17
53.1%
Q1 - 0:49.0MILWarrick 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jennings 2 AST)19
45.5%
17
54.5%
Q1 - 1:01MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
42.4%
17
57.6%
Q1 - 1:01MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
42.9%
16
57.1%
Q1 - 1:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
45.5%
15
54.5%
Q1 - 1:02MIAMISS Anthony Dunk17
46.6%
15
53.4%
Q1 - 1:23MILDelfino Layup (5 PTS)17
45.5%
15
54.5%
Q1 - 1:26MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)15
42.4%
15
57.6%
Q1 - 1:49MILBogut 6' Hook Shot (8 PTS)15
40.8%
15
59.2%
Q1 - 2:08MIAArroyo 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
38.2%
15
61.8%
Q1 - 2:32MILWarrick Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Jennings 1 AST)13
40.8%
13
59.2%
Q1 - 2:35MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)11
38.2%
13
61.8%
Q1 - 2:40MILWade STEAL (2 STL)11
36.4%
13
63.6%
Q1 - 2:55MILBucks Rebound11
38.2%
13
61.8%
Q1 - 2:57MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
37.6%
13
62.4%
Q1 - 3:14MILDelfino Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)11
36.2%
13
63.8%
Q1 - 3:17MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)8
32.1%
13
67.9%
Q1 - 3:27MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
30.1%
13
69.9%
Q1 - 3:28MILMISS Mbah a Moute 21' Jump Shot8
30.7%
13
69.3%
Q1 - 3:43MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
32.1%
13
67.9%
Q1 - 3:44MIAMISS Haslem 20' Jump Shot8
31.5%
13
68.5%
Q1 - 3:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
30.1%
13
69.9%
Q1 - 4:00MILMISS Ridnour 15' Running Jump Shot8
30.7%
13
69.3%
Q1 - 4:06MILWarrick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
32.1%
13
67.9%
Q1 - 4:07MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup8
31.5%
13
68.5%
Q1 - 4:15MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)8
30.1%
13
69.9%
Q1 - 4:16MILMISS Ridnour 15' Jump Shot8
30.7%
13
69.3%
Q1 - 4:40MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)8
32.1%
13
67.9%
Q1 - 4:42MILWade STEAL (1 STL)8
30.1%
13
69.9%
Q1 - 5:01MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
32.4%
13
67.6%
Q1 - 5:02MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot8
31.7%
13
68.3%
Q1 - 5:16MILBogut 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS)8
30.3%
13
69.7%
Q1 - 5:32MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
28.7%
13
71.3%
Q1 - 5:32MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 26
29.0%
12
71.0%
Q1 - 5:43MILRidnour 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
28.5%
12
71.5%
Q1 - 6:10MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
27.0%
12
73.0%
Q1 - 6:11MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 2 of 24
26.8%
12
73.2%
Q1 - 6:11MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
25.6%
12
74.4%
Q1 - 6:12MIAHEAT Rebound4
26.9%
11
73.1%
Q1 - 6:13MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
28.1%
11
71.9%
Q1 - 6:17MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
26.9%
11
73.1%
Q1 - 6:18MILMISS Ridnour 17' Jump Shot4
27.5%
11
72.5%
Q1 - 6:23MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
28.7%
11
71.3%
Q1 - 6:24MIAMISS Anthony 13' Jump Shot4
28.1%
11
71.9%
Q1 - 6:53MILBogut Layup (4 PTS) (Delfino 1 AST)4
26.9%
11
73.1%
Q1 - 7:06MIAAlston Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
25.5%
11
74.5%
Q1 - 7:20MILBogut 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
23.9%
11
76.1%
Q1 - 7:35MIAWade Free Throw 3 of 3 (11 PTS)0
22.5%
11
77.5%
Q1 - 7:35MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 3 (10 PTS)0
22.8%
10
77.2%
Q1 - 7:35MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 3 (9 PTS)0
23.1%
9
76.9%
Q1 - 7:44MILBeasley STEAL (1 STL)0
25.4%
8
74.6%
Q1 - 7:53MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)0
27.1%
8
72.9%
Q1 - 7:54MIAMISS Beasley Layup0
26.6%
8
73.4%
Q1 - 8:07MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)0
25.5%
8
74.5%
Q1 - 8:08MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
26.6%
8
73.4%
Q1 - 8:32MIAHEAT Rebound0
25.5%
8
74.5%
Q1 - 8:32MILMISS Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
26.0%
8
74.0%
Q1 - 8:40MILDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
27.1%
8
72.9%
Q1 - 8:41MIAMISS Wade Layup0
26.6%
8
73.4%
Q1 - 8:53MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
25.5%
8
74.5%
Q1 - 8:54MILMISS Delfino 22' Jump Shot0
26.0%
8
74.0%
Q1 - 8:58MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)0
27.1%
8
72.9%
Q1 - 8:59MILMISS Delfino 6' Jump Shot0
26.0%
8
74.0%
Q1 - 9:17MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)0
27.7%
8
72.3%
Q1 - 9:17MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)0
28.0%
7
72.0%
Q1 - 9:33MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
29.3%
6
70.7%
Q1 - 9:34MILMISS Delfino 3PT Jump Shot0
29.8%
6
70.2%
Q1 - 9:52MIAWade Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)0
30.9%
6
69.1%
Q1 - 9:57MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
32.7%
4
67.3%
Q1 - 9:58MILMISS Jennings Driving Layup0
33.3%
4
66.7%
Q1 - 10:06MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)0
34.9%
4
65.1%
Q1 - 10:07MILMISS Jennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
33.6%
4
66.4%
Q1 - 10:18MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
34.9%
4
65.1%
Q1 - 10:19MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
34.3%
4
65.7%
Q1 - 10:29MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)0
33.0%
4
67.0%
Q1 - 10:30MILMISS Delfino 8' Running Hook Shot0
33.6%
4
66.4%
Q1 - 10:45MIAWade 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)0
34.9%
4
65.1%
Q1 - 10:49MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
36.4%
2
63.6%
Q1 - 10:50MIAMISS Beasley 9' Jump Shot0
37.8%
2
62.2%
Q1 - 11:00MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
36.4%
2
63.6%
Q1 - 11:01MILMISS Bell 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
37.2%
2
62.8%
Q1 - 11:06MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
38.3%
2
61.7%
Q1 - 11:07MILMISS Bogut 9' Turnaround Hook Shot0
37.2%
2
62.8%
Q1 - 11:26MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
38.3%
2
61.7%
Q1 - 11:26MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
38.6%
1
61.4%
Q1 - 11:37MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
39.9%
0
60.1%
Q1 - 11:38MILMISS Bogut 8' Hook Shot0
40.4%
0
59.6%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Anthony vs. Bogut: Tip to Mbah a Moute0
41.5%
0
58.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.13 56.4%
MIA
0.87 43.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
14
18
78%
MIA
9
17
53%
Midrange
MIL
18
39
46%
MIA
13
38
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
5
7.5
16
31%
47%
MIA
6
9.0
22
27%
41%
Free Throws
MIL
18
22
82%
MIA
19
28
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Bogut2279%11.0 / 14
C. Delfino1662%8.0 / 13
C. Bell1267%6.0 / 9
H. Warrick1250%6.0 / 12
B. Jennings945%4.5 / 10
K. Thomas8100%4.0 / 4
J. Stackhouse758%3.5 / 6
L. Mbah a Moute467%2.0 / 3
L. Ridnour433%2.0 / 6
E. Ilyasova338%1.5 / 4
J. Meeks0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2350%11.5 / 23
M. Beasley1642%8.0 / 19
U. Haslem1267%6.0 / 9
C. Arroyo1056%5.0 / 9
D. Cook660%3.0 / 5
J. Anthony433%2.0 / 6
J. Magloire467%2.0 / 3
Q. Richardson325%1.5 / 6
D. Wright330%1.5 / 5
R. Alston0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
76
+10
-14
86
MIA
79
+14
-12
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.13 56.4%
MIA
0.87 43.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.8
106.7
MIL 107.8
MIA 89.0 +18.8
Pace
91.8
89.6
MIL 87.3
MIA 93.9 +6.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
16.5
MIL 16.5
MIA 15.3 +1.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
49.6%
MIL 54.1% +13.8%
MIA 40.3%
TO %
13.6%
13.6%
MIL 17.1%
MIA 11.8% +5.3%
ORB %
26.2%
26.0%
MIL 25.0% +2.6%
MIA 22.4%
FTrt
23.9
29.6
MIL 30.1
MIA 36.4 +6.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.0%
51.9%
MIL 59.5% +13.1%
MIA 46.4%
STL %
7.6%
8.1%
MIL 7.8%
MIA 12.1% +4.3%
BLK %
7.6%
9.4%
MIL 7.3% +0.3%
MIA 7.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.5%
52.1%
MIL 56.4% +12.9%
MIA 43.5%
Rim FG%
54.4%
62.0%
MIL 77.8% +24.9%
MIA 52.9%
Mid FG%
40.2%
40.8%
MIL 46.2% +12.0%
MIA 34.2%
3P %
35.6%
34.6%
MIL 31.3% +4.0%
MIA 27.3%
FT %
75.5%
75.2%
MIL 81.8% +13.9%
MIA 67.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.2%
29.8%
MIL 24.7% +2.6%
MIA 22.1%
Mid Att. %
41.9%
48.3%
MIL 53.4%
MIA 49.4% +4.1%
3P Att. %
25.9%
21.9%
MIL 21.9%
MIA 28.6% +6.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.
Game TotalsMILMIA
Possessions9091
Possession Minutes24.823.3
Points9781
Rebounds4738
Assists2213
Steals711
Blocks44
Turnovers (Team)14 (3)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (1)11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (2)27 (1)
Field Goals37-7328-77
At-the-Rim FG14-189-17
Midrange FG18-3913-38
2-Point FG32-5722-55
3-Point FG5-166-22
Free Throws18-2219-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'6" 230 · 27
42.3
16
62%
10
4
3
0
4
2
0
10
5-6
83%
4-7
57%
1-4
25%
C · 7'0" 260 · 25
34.3
22
79%
11
1
0
1
3
4
0
11
2-3
67%
10-13
77%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 170 · 20
32.6
9
45%
4
8
2
0
3
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-6
50%
1-4
25%
G · 6'3" 200 · 31
29.9
12
67%
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
0
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
2-5
40%
F · 6'8" 230 · 23
17.9
4
67%
5
1
0
1
2
3
3
2
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 219 · 28
26.1
12
50%
6
2
1
1
0
3
2
4
0-0
-
6-12
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 29
17.4
4
33%
2
3
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 240 · 37
13.7
8
100%
4
1
1
0
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
4-4
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 218 · 35
13.6
7
58%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
4-5
80%
0-3
0%
1-1
100%
F · 6'9" 235 · 23
9.6
3
38%
2
1
0
1
0
4
1
1
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 210 · 22
2.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 240 · 32
#11 · F · 6'8" 230 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#22 · G · 6'6" 215 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#9 · C-F · 7'0" 240 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
56%
47
22
7
4
14
0
9
38
18-22
82%
32-57
56%
5-16
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.