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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 1, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Bucks43%9497
20Heat57%9681
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 27.4
42.3
34.2
16
59%
10
4
3
1
0
4
0
10
5-6
83%
4-7
3-6
57%
46%
1-4
25%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.2
34.3
33.4
22
77%
11
1
0
1
1
3
0
11
2-3
67%
10-13
6-12
77%
53%
0-0
-
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 20.4
32.6
33.9
9
45%
4
8
2
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
3-6
4-11
50%
40%
1-4
25%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.9
29.9
30.7
12
68%
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
44%
2-5
40%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.4
17.9
19.2
4
69%
5
1
0
1
1
2
3
2
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 27.6
26.1
17.8
12
50%
6
2
1
0
1
0
2
4
0-0
-
6-12
3-6
50%
50%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.0
17.4
16.0
4
33%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
47%
0-1
0%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 37.3
13.7
10.1
8
100%
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
4-4
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 35.2
13.6
17.5
7
56%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
4-5
80%
0-3
2-4
0%
42%
1-1
100%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.7
9.6
17.7
3
40%
2
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
3-4
75%
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.5
2.8
3.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.0
2.9
0
0-1
46%
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.1
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 30.4
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 33.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 28.0
35.9
31.5
23
50%
1
6
4
1
0
4
0
1
8-9
89%
6-14
7-14
43%
51%
1-5
20%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 29.8
32.0
27.0
3
25%
3
1
2
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
1-4
25%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.1
27.9
22.5
16
43%
5
1
2
1
0
0
0
5
3-6
50%
5-14
5-9
36%
50%
1-2
50%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 27.5
27.3
16.6
4
33%
7
1
0
0
1
0
4
3
0-0
-
2-6
1-2
33%
49%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 33.5
19.1
29.0
0
0%
3
1
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-2
0%
0-1
2-5
0%
41%
0-3
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.6
23.8
29.0
12
66%
10
0
0
0
0
1
4
6
6-7
86%
3-6
5-9
50%
50%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 30.5
22.4
9.0
10
56%
1
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
5-9
1-2
56%
47%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24.2
21.9
21.9
3
30%
2
1
1
1
2
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
50%
1-3
33%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.8
18.6
17.4
6
60%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
38%
2-5
40%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.7
11.1
11.0
4
72%
5
0
0
0
1
1
1
4
2-4
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27.4
6.1
0
0-0
45%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.3
4.7
0
0-0
40%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.7
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 31.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.