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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 1, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Lakers60%10393
16Grizzlies40%10095
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 31.4
40.2
39.8
44
65%
3
3
0
2
0
3
0
3
8-13
62%
12-21
8-16
57%
50%
4-7
57%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 30.2
35.2
29.7
18
80%
5
2
0
1
0
5
0
5
4-5
80%
4-6
2-5
67%
45%
2-3
67%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 29.6
30.3
37.5
10
54%
9
2
1
1
0
1
2
7
2-5
40%
4-7
7-13
57%
55%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 35.5
28.3
28.6
2
17%
0
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
0-3
0%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 22.3
26.1
30.3
5
53%
8
0
1
0
0
2
1
7
3-4
75%
1-3
6-11
33%
57%
0-0
-
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.2
36.8
25.7
4
22%
9
4
2
1
0
1
2
7
0-0
-
2-8
3-5
25%
52%
0-1
0%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.2
19.7
16.8
5
36%
3
5
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
1-5
20%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 24.2
14.3
18.3
3
50%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
50%
1-1
100%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.8
6.4
5.0
2
100%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.0
1.6
2.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.1
1.2
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 25.9
5.6
0
0-1
41%
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 25.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.5
44.0
39.0
25
60%
4
1
3
1
0
2
1
3
3-4
75%
8-14
6-13
57%
49%
2-5
40%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.5
41.7
38.1
22
54%
17
1
0
1
0
1
3
14
4-5
80%
9-18
8-16
50%
49%
0-0
-
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.0
33.2
35.4
11
54%
13
1
1
1
3
1
3
10
7-12
58%
2-5
6-10
40%
56%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.2
30.5
38.3
9
38%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-7
5-10
29%
48%
1-4
25%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 22.3
28.1
33.2
7
33%
1
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
1-4
25%
3-8
3-7
38%
45%
0-1
0%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 31.9
19.9
11.9
2
25%
2
4
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
43%
0-1
0%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.5
15.4
8.8
2
25%
5
1
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
45%
0-0
-
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 23.0
13.2
9.1
2
100%
5
0
0
0
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
55%
0-0
-
Lester Hudson
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.5
12.3
2.2
13
57%
1
1
1
0
0
2
1
0
3-3
100%
2-5
0-0
40%
43%
2-5
40%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 24.7
1.6
1.6
2
53%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
49%
0-1
0%
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 28.3
2.5
0
0-1
53%
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.2
2.5
0
0-1
42%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.9
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 24.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.