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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 1, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Suns40%104109
15Hornets60%107100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.2
38.1
33.0
25
53%
12
1
0
1
1
4
4
8
5-8
63%
10-20
8-14
50%
55%
0-0
-
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 36.0
35.9
34.6
18
69%
1
12
2
1
0
1
0
1
5-7
71%
5-8
5-9
63%
53%
1-2
50%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 37.3
31.1
26.5
13
77%
3
3
0
1
2
2
0
3
1-1
100%
6-7
3-7
86%
50%
0-1
0%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 21.8
25.5
23.7
18
76%
6
1
0
0
2
3
3
3
2-2
100%
8-11
3-6
73%
56%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 29.0
24.2
30.7
3
22%
8
2
0
1
1
1
0
8
1-2
50%
1-4
4-8
25%
50%
0-2
0%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 24.6
33.2
24.0
12
61%
5
3
3
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
47%
2-4
50%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 26.7
25.5
22.2
20
69%
6
0
1
1
0
0
1
5
1-1
100%
5-6
2-3
83%
46%
3-8
38%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.7
15.4
16.6
0
0%
1
5
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
48%
0-4
0%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.2
6.3
13.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
52%
0-0
-
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 22.0
4.8
8.5
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Taylor Griffin
F · 6'7" 238 · 23.8
2.4
0
0-1
47%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 31.2
2.4
0
0-0
42%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 27.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 22.7
39.3
32.0
25
58%
4
4
1
1
0
3
1
3
0-1
0%
5-12
4-8
42%
50%
5-9
56%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.4
38.1
33.7
20
53%
8
4
1
1
0
0
1
7
2-2
100%
9-17
7-14
53%
51%
0-1
0%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.4
36.0
25.7
16
43%
4
14
1
1
0
4
2
2
1-1
100%
6-15
4-8
40%
48%
1-3
33%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 32.6
30.1
34.4
11
52%
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
7-8
88%
2-6
2-5
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 27.3
23.6
30.0
12
61%
2
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
0-2
0%
6-9
5-9
67%
55%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 33.1
24.0
8.3
2
33%
8
6
0
0
0
0
1
7
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
49%
0-2
0%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 32.0
22.5
20.6
8
51%
4
0
3
1
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
3-7
4-8
43%
53%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.7
15.3
11.4
6
60%
5
0
0
0
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
52%
0-0
-
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 32.4
8.3
8.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-2
0%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 34.4
2.8
1.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.7
28.8
2
5-9
54%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.2
3.1
0
0-1
51%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.