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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 2, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Raptors54%105115
25Pacers46%103130
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 25.9
36.7
37.4
35
64%
15
3
1
1
2
3
5
10
9-12
75%
13-22
9-18
59%
52%
0-0
-
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 24.3
36.0
33.3
34
72%
4
0
0
1
1
1
0
4
2-6
33%
10-15
5-10
67%
49%
4-6
67%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 23.9
33.3
16.2
21
69%
5
2
0
1
1
1
0
5
4-5
80%
4-9
2-3
44%
46%
3-4
75%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.3
26.7
29.8
4
29%
5
6
0
1
1
2
0
5
2-2
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
51%
0-2
0%
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23.6
23.6
23.1
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
3
2
0
0-0
-
0-3
4-7
0%
49%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 26.0
33.0
26.4
4
20%
2
4
0
1
0
1
1
1
4-4
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
47%
0-5
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.3
21.9
24.7
5
42%
1
8
0
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
54%
1-3
33%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 22.8
17.3
19.0
6
47%
7
2
1
1
0
2
2
5
0-1
0%
3-6
2-4
50%
59%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 28.2
5.5
3.3
4
53%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
4-4
100%
0-2
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.7
4.6
3.8
2
25%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
52%
0-0
-
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.6
1.4
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
52%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 30.9
18.1
0
1-3
46%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 20.5
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 29.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 29.8
36.7
29.0
20
78%
14
0
0
1
0
1
2
12
2-2
100%
6-7
3-6
86%
52%
2-5
40%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 26.8
35.5
33.2
23
52%
7
4
2
1
3
3
3
4
7-7
100%
8-14
5-9
57%
48%
0-5
0%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 30.6
33.1
30.4
15
65%
3
11
2
1
0
3
0
3
7-8
88%
4-7
2-5
57%
48%
0-1
0%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 23.1
29.3
22.7
18
65%
9
2
0
0
1
1
3
6
4-4
100%
7-12
5-9
58%
51%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.6
28.1
34.5
13
81%
5
0
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
47%
3-4
75%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 29.1
22.3
21.4
8
52%
1
3
1
1
1
2
0
1
6-6
100%
1-5
3-7
20%
49%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.2
19.9
15.2
13
59%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
49%
3-5
60%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 29.4
18.3
25.7
12
83%
4
2
1
1
2
1
1
3
5-5
100%
2-2
3-6
100%
50%
1-3
33%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.3
14.9
18.2
8
75%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-3
67%
3-3
2-4
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 22.9
2.0
5.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-0
-
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 26.9
5.6
0
1-2
49%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.5
2.9
0
0-1
53%
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.9
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 24.2
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 33.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.