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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 2, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Bucks19%9082
3Magic81%10299
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.2
27.6
33.5
10
42%
10
1
0
1
3
1
2
8
0-2
0%
5-11
6-12
45%
52%
0-0
-
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 20.4
27.3
32.9
2
14%
3
4
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
4-10
25%
38%
0-3
0%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.9
26.7
30.1
13
59%
2
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
43%
3-5
60%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 27.4
25.9
36.9
8
27%
6
3
2
1
0
3
1
5
4-4
100%
2-10
3-7
20%
45%
0-3
0%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.4
20.4
18.9
2
25%
6
1
1
1
1
0
4
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
45%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.0
26.1
16.7
13
57%
3
4
0
1
0
2
1
2
1-1
100%
3-7
2-5
43%
45%
2-4
50%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 27.6
23.4
21.2
9
47%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
1-6
17%
4-7
4-8
57%
48%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.7
16.9
14.5
8
43%
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
3-5
60%
1-4
2-4
25%
45%
1-3
33%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 37.3
15.7
11.6
8
57%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
1-2
57%
46%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 35.2
15.0
15.8
5
42%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
41%
1-3
33%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.5
10.4
3.4
2
23%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-1
0%
1-3
0-1
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.0
4.7
2.9
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
46%
0-0
-
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 30.4
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 33.9
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 33.0
40.3
22.8
17
52%
10
7
1
1
1
3
0
10
1-3
33%
5-12
3-7
42%
47%
2-3
67%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 34.2
33.5
18.3
11
65%
5
5
3
1
0
0
0
5
1-1
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
50%
2-3
67%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.5
32.2
31.5
13
39%
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
3-12
3-5
25%
50%
2-4
50%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.2
31.1
38.1
22
70%
11
1
0
1
5
6
3
8
8-13
62%
7-10
7-11
70%
60%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 29.9
29.7
24.4
11
65%
7
1
0
1
1
1
1
6
7-8
88%
2-4
2-4
50%
55%
0-1
0%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.6
26.1
25.4
15
104%
3
4
0
1
0
0
0
3
4-5
80%
1-1
2-4
100%
47%
3-4
75%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 26.0
16.9
10.8
6
50%
5
0
0
0
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-6
1-2
50%
57%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 21.7
15.8
14.3
4
52%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 35.3
14.5
10.4
0
0%
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 28.0
21.3
1
3-5
50%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 24.8
2.4
0
0-1
52%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 34.9
1.4
0
0-0
48%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 28.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.