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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 2, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Warriors34%10197
11Rockets66%107119
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.3
38.7
34.2
34
65%
2
2
2
2
2
2
0
2
6-9
67%
11-16
7-15
69%
49%
2-6
33%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.9
29.9
37.6
14
39%
2
4
1
2
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
4-13
4-10
31%
47%
2-5
40%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.8
25.2
22.5
4
67%
8
1
0
1
1
0
2
6
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
58%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.2
16.4
8.2
5
42%
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
46%
1-3
33%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.7
14.6
27.8
4
25%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-8
2-5
25%
48%
0-0
-
Coby Karl
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.7
37.7
19.8
12
43%
7
7
1
1
0
3
2
5
1-2
50%
4-9
1-3
44%
44%
1-4
25%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.8
33.6
22.9
9
38%
2
2
1
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
4-8
2-4
50%
48%
0-3
0%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.4
21.8
9.1
4
25%
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
0-1
40%
42%
0-3
0%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 27.1
12.9
19.4
5
51%
7
4
0
0
2
0
2
5
1-2
50%
2-4
2-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Chris Hunter
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 25.6
9.3
3.0
6
60%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
0-1
60%
47%
0-0
-
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 30.2
32.1
1
6-13
50%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.4
5.1
0
0-1
50%
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.1
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 20.6
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.3
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 33.4
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 31.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 25.1
40.3
36.3
24
55%
8
6
0
1
0
2
3
5
2-4
50%
8-14
5-10
57%
48%
2-6
33%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 24.6
39.4
36.7
18
49%
5
2
1
2
0
2
0
5
5-5
100%
5-10
5-9
50%
49%
1-6
17%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 31.4
31.1
33.8
12
77%
5
5
0
1
2
2
2
3
2-4
50%
2-2
2-4
100%
50%
2-4
50%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 26.6
26.5
18.6
7
79%
13
3
0
1
0
1
1
12
1-1
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
49%
0-0
-
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 29.8
23.3
32.6
10
36%
8
2
0
1
2
3
3
5
2-2
100%
4-13
7-14
31%
54%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 26.4
25.4
27.6
24
82%
5
1
0
1
0
1
1
4
12-13
92%
6-9
6-11
67%
57%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 21.7
20.1
20.0
14
89%
4
1
1
1
1
1
1
3
2-2
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
51%
2-4
50%
David Andersen
· 6'11" 247 · 29.6
18.3
9.7
8
67%
7
1
0
0
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
4-5
2-3
80%
52%
0-1
0%
Will Conroy
G · 6'2" 195 · 27.2
10.7
5.0
2
25%
2
1
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 26.1
2.5
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 29.2
2.5
1.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
43%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 23.9
14.6
1
1-3
49%
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 29.4
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 30.7
Jermaine Taylor
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.