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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 3, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Bulls39%91103
1676ers61%95106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 29.1
44.3
35.1
13
51%
6
6
1
1
0
1
0
6
3-4
75%
2-6
3-7
33%
44%
2-5
40%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.3
42.9
35.9
30
57%
4
9
0
1
0
4
2
2
9-10
90%
9-21
9-18
43%
49%
1-1
100%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.8
40.1
34.6
17
50%
11
2
3
1
0
4
3
8
0-0
-
7-13
6-12
54%
48%
1-4
25%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 24.9
27.4
26.2
6
51%
8
0
0
1
0
1
3
5
2-2
100%
2-5
4-7
40%
52%
0-0
-
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.6
15.8
27.6
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
4-8
0%
49%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 30.1
36.1
24.4
17
72%
3
1
1
1
0
3
0
3
3-4
75%
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
4-7
57%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 33.8
33.1
21.9
8
55%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-3
67%
3-4
2-5
75%
47%
0-2
0%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.5
15.4
17.7
12
68%
6
0
1
1
0
2
2
4
0-2
0%
6-8
2-5
75%
46%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.1
10.1
11.9
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-3
0%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.0
4.5
0
0-1
47%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.3
3.5
0
0-1
40%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 39.2
2.2
0
0-0
36%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 34.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.0
46.8
38.7
25
57%
8
8
3
2
0
2
0
8
2-7
29%
10-14
4-8
71%
50%
1-5
20%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 30.9
38.8
34.8
26
57%
9
2
1
1
3
3
4
5
2-2
100%
12-22
7-13
55%
50%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.5
34.5
23.4
15
70%
1
4
1
1
0
2
0
1
2-4
50%
5-7
3-6
71%
48%
1-2
50%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 19.6
30.6
13.8
2
14%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
43%
0-3
0%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 29.7
30.0
29.3
10
56%
13
1
0
1
3
2
3
10
0-0
-
5-9
4-7
56%
53%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.3
32.1
22.4
14
55%
2
1
3
1
0
2
0
2
3-4
75%
4-9
3-6
44%
49%
1-2
50%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.6
22.4
21.3
2
33%
2
1
0
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
4-7
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 22.5
14.2
11.5
6
61%
5
1
0
0
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
51%
0-0
-
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 25.8
8.6
6.6
3
150%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
1-1
100%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 28.1
7.0
3.9
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
1-1
100%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 29.0
3.2
0
0-0
47%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 23.9
2.9
0
0-1
48%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 34.7
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 30.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.