FinalWin Prob.pScore
1822%86
102
278%96
107
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
114.68987.1
BOS logo BOS
117.69193.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA102
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0BOSAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)102
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0BOSAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)102
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS)102
1.1%
105
98.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0BOSAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)99
0.3%
105
99.7%
Q4 - 0:11.0BOSAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)99
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAAlston 2' Driving Layup (15 PTS)99
0.6%
103
99.4%
Q4 - 0:19.0BOSRondo Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)97
0.3%
103
99.7%
Q4 - 0:19.0BOSMISS Rondo Free Throw 1 of 297
0.4%
102
99.6%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)97
0.4%
102
99.6%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAWade 1' Putback Dunk (27 PTS)97
0.4%
102
99.6%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Alston 3' Jump Shot95
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0BOSHouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)95
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 0:30.0BOSHouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)95
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 0:31.0BOSAllen Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)95
1.6%
100
98.4%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)95
1.4%
99
98.6%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 294
1.2%
99
98.8%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)94
1.5%
99
98.5%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
0.8%
99
99.2%
Q4 - 0:36.0BOSAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)94
1.5%
99
98.5%
Q4 - 0:36.0BOSAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)94
1.8%
98
98.2%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAAllen STEAL (2 STL)94
3.0%
97
97.0%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)94
9.9%
97
90.1%
Q4 - 0:47.0BOSMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot94
8.1%
97
91.9%
Q4 - 1:11BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)94
7.3%
97
92.7%
Q4 - 1:12MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot94
8.9%
97
91.1%
Q4 - 1:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)94
14.3%
97
85.7%
Q4 - 1:22BOSMISS Perkins Free Throw 2 of 294
13.3%
97
86.7%
Q4 - 1:22BOSPerkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)94
10.2%
97
89.8%
Q4 - 1:36MIARichardson 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 13 AST)94
14.3%
96
85.7%
Q4 - 1:47MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)91
6.2%
96
93.8%
Q4 - 1:48BOSMISS Garnett Free Throw 2 of 291
5.9%
96
94.1%
Q4 - 1:48BOSGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)91
4.2%
96
95.8%
Q4 - 2:05BOSCELTICS Rebound91
5.8%
95
94.2%
Q4 - 2:06MIAMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot91
7.0%
95
93.0%
Q4 - 2:27BOSJump Ball Rondo vs. Haslem: Tip to O'Neal91
10.9%
95
89.1%
Q4 - 2:39MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)91
5.7%
95
94.3%
Q4 - 2:53BOSGarnett 11' Turnaround Fadeaway (13 PTS) (House 2 AST)88
3.2%
95
96.8%
Q4 - 3:03BOSCELTICS Rebound88
4.4%
93
95.6%
Q4 - 3:04BOSMISS Rondo 2' Layup88
6.4%
93
93.6%
Q4 - 3:20MIAO'Neal 1' Putback Layup (10 PTS)88
4.3%
93
95.7%
Q4 - 3:22MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)86
3.2%
93
96.8%
Q4 - 3:23MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
2.1%
93
97.9%
Q4 - 3:37MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
4.7%
93
95.3%
Q4 - 3:37BOSMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
4.2%
93
95.8%
Q4 - 3:56BOSHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
3.0%
93
97.0%
Q4 - 3:57MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
3.4%
93
96.6%
Q4 - 4:14BOSHouse 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Garnett 9 AST)86
4.4%
93
95.6%
Q4 - 4:18MIAAllen STEAL (3 STL)86
6.1%
91
93.9%
Q4 - 4:41BOSHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Rondo 14 AST)86
8.9%
91
91.1%
Q4 - 5:00MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 12 AST)86
17.2%
88
82.8%
Q4 - 5:11BOSRondo Double Dribble Turnover (P3.T16)83
10.6%
88
89.4%
Q4 - 5:17BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)83
7.7%
88
92.3%
Q4 - 5:18BOSMISS Garnett 6' Jump Shot83
9.6%
88
90.4%
Q4 - 5:39MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)83
7.6%
88
92.4%
Q4 - 5:52MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
5.6%
88
94.4%
Q4 - 5:53BOSMISS Allen 10' Jump Shot81
5.1%
88
94.9%
Q4 - 6:17MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)81
4.9%
88
95.1%
Q4 - 6:36BOSPerkins 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Rondo 13 AST)78
2.8%
88
97.2%
Q4 - 6:42BOSHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
3.6%
86
96.4%
Q4 - 6:44MIAPerkins BLOCK (2 BLK)78
4.0%
86
96.0%
Q4 - 7:09BOSPerkins 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)78
5.6%
86
94.4%
Q4 - 7:26BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
7.1%
84
92.9%
Q4 - 7:26MIAMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot78
7.7%
84
92.3%
Q4 - 7:35BOSHouse Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T15)78
9.3%
84
90.7%
Q4 - 7:44BOSHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
7.0%
84
93.0%
Q4 - 7:45MIAMISS Wright 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
7.7%
84
92.3%
Q4 - 8:02BOSWallace 12' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)78
9.9%
84
90.1%
Q4 - 8:14BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)78
12.6%
82
87.4%
Q4 - 8:14MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 278
12.9%
82
87.1%
Q4 - 8:14MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)78
15.0%
82
85.0%
Q4 - 8:33BOSAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Rondo 12 AST)77
12.4%
82
87.6%
Q4 - 8:39BOSWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
19.3%
79
80.7%
Q4 - 8:43MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
20.6%
79
79.4%
Q4 - 9:02MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
23.7%
79
76.3%
Q4 - 9:03BOSMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
22.4%
79
77.6%
Q4 - 9:21MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)77
19.7%
79
80.3%
Q4 - 9:42BOSDavis 2' Putback Layup (6 PTS)74
13.1%
79
86.9%
Q4 - 9:44BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)74
16.2%
77
83.8%
Q4 - 9:45BOSMISS Wallace 1' Layup74
18.5%
77
81.5%
Q4 - 10:02BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)74
16.3%
77
83.7%
Q4 - 10:03MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
17.3%
77
82.7%
Q4 - 10:26MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
19.7%
77
80.3%
Q4 - 10:26BOSMISS Allen Free Throw 2 of 274
19.2%
77
80.8%
Q4 - 10:26BOSAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)74
16.6%
77
83.4%
Q4 - 10:34BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)74
19.6%
76
80.4%
Q4 - 10:35MIAMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot74
20.8%
76
79.2%
Q4 - 11:00BOSAllen 11' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Rondo 11 AST)74
23.5%
76
76.5%
Q4 - 11:21BOSWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
27.4%
74
72.6%
Q4 - 11:22MIAMISS Cook 22' Jump Shot74
28.7%
74
71.3%
Q4 - 11:43MIAHeat Rebound74
31.7%
74
68.3%
Q4 - 11:44BOSMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
30.4%
74
69.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOS74
27.4%
74
72.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOSCELTICS Rebound74
27.4%
74
72.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOSMISS Rondo 12' Jump Shot74
30.4%
74
69.6%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)74
27.3%
74
72.7%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)73
26.5%
74
73.5%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
23.1%
74
76.9%
Q3 - 0:33.0BOSMISS Davis 1' Layup72
22.1%
74
77.9%
Q3 - 0:36.0BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)72
20.0%
74
80.0%
Q3 - 0:37.0BOSMISS Allen 3' Layup72
22.1%
74
77.9%
Q3 - 0:57.0BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)72
20.0%
74
80.0%
Q3 - 0:58.0BOSMISS Rondo 2' Layup72
22.1%
74
77.9%
Q3 - 1:20BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)72
19.8%
74
80.2%
Q3 - 1:21BOSMISS Rondo Free Throw 2 of 272
22.4%
74
77.6%
Q3 - 1:21BOSRondo Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)72
20.5%
74
79.5%
Q3 - 1:38MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)72
23.1%
73
76.9%
Q3 - 1:38MIARichardson 1' Reverse Dunk (6 PTS)72
23.1%
73
76.9%
Q3 - 1:40MIAMISS Cook 3PT Jump Shot70
17.6%
73
82.4%
Q3 - 1:59MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
19.5%
73
80.5%
Q3 - 2:00BOSMISS Wallace 6' Jump Shot70
18.7%
73
81.3%
Q3 - 2:21MIAWade 3' Driving Layup (21 PTS)70
16.5%
73
83.5%
Q3 - 2:39BOSDavis 10' Turnaround Fadeaway (4 PTS)68
14.1%
73
85.9%
Q3 - 3:04MIAWade 1' Layup (19 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)68
16.2%
71
83.8%
Q3 - 3:11MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
14.0%
71
86.0%
Q3 - 3:12BOSMISS Rondo 3' Jump Shot66
13.4%
71
86.6%
Q3 - 3:27MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)66
11.9%
71
88.1%
Q3 - 3:27MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)65
11.5%
71
88.5%
Q3 - 3:47BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)64
10.2%
71
89.8%
Q3 - 3:47BOSAllen 2' Putback Layup (4 PTS)64
10.2%
71
89.8%
Q3 - 3:50BOSMISS Garnett 3' Layup64
13.4%
69
86.6%
Q3 - 4:01BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
12.0%
69
88.0%
Q3 - 4:02MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
12.7%
69
87.3%
Q3 - 4:20BOSRondo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Garnett 8 AST)64
14.3%
69
85.7%
Q3 - 4:43BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
18.7%
66
81.3%
Q3 - 4:44MIAMISS Beasley 21' Jump Shot64
19.7%
66
80.3%
Q3 - 5:04BOSPerkins 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T14)64
21.5%
66
78.5%
Q3 - 5:22BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
18.5%
66
81.5%
Q3 - 5:24MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
19.4%
66
80.6%
Q3 - 5:30BOSAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)64
21.5%
66
78.5%
Q3 - 5:47MIABeasley 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)64
18.5%
66
81.5%
Q3 - 6:01BOSAllen Foul Turnover (P2.T12)62
16.2%
66
83.8%
Q3 - 6:10MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)62
13.9%
66
86.1%
Q3 - 6:10MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)61
13.6%
66
86.4%
Q3 - 6:28MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
12.3%
66
87.7%
Q3 - 6:28BOSMISS Rondo Free Throw 2 of 260
12.0%
66
88.0%
Q3 - 6:28BOSRondo Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)60
11.1%
66
88.9%
Q3 - 6:28BOSAllen Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)60
12.1%
65
87.9%
Q3 - 6:28BOSAllen Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)60
13.9%
64
86.1%
Q3 - 6:46MIABeasley 18' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)60
16.0%
63
84.0%
Q3 - 6:55MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
14.1%
63
85.9%
Q3 - 6:56BOSMISS Perkins 7' Fadeaway Jumper58
13.5%
63
86.5%
Q3 - 7:16BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)58
12.2%
63
87.8%
Q3 - 7:18MIAMISS Beasley 1' Layup58
12.8%
63
87.2%
Q3 - 7:30BOSGarnett Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)58
14.1%
63
85.9%
Q3 - 7:36BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
12.2%
63
87.8%
Q3 - 7:37MIAMISS O'Neal 13' Jump Shot58
12.8%
63
87.2%
Q3 - 7:53BOSGarnett 6' Turnaround Bank Shot (11 PTS) (Rondo 10 AST)58
14.1%
63
85.9%
Q3 - 8:10BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
15.9%
61
84.1%
Q3 - 8:11MIAMISS Wade 18' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot58
16.5%
61
83.5%
Q3 - 8:24BOSPerkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)58
18.2%
61
81.8%
Q3 - 8:24BOSMISS Perkins Free Throw 1 of 258
18.9%
60
81.1%
Q3 - 8:33MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T11)58
18.0%
60
82.0%
Q3 - 8:34BOSAllen Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)58
20.5%
60
79.5%
Q3 - 8:39BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)58
18.0%
60
82.0%
Q3 - 8:40BOSMISS Allen 2' Layup58
19.7%
60
80.3%
Q3 - 8:51BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)58
18.0%
60
82.0%
Q3 - 8:52MIAMISS Alston 3PT Jump Shot58
18.7%
60
81.3%
Q3 - 9:09BOSRondo 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Garnett 7 AST)58
20.2%
60
79.8%
Q3 - 9:40MIAO'Neal 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)58
25.4%
57
74.6%
Q3 - 9:55BOSPerkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)56
22.7%
57
77.3%
Q3 - 9:55BOSMISS Perkins Free Throw 1 of 256
23.6%
56
76.4%
Q3 - 10:12MIAAllen STEAL (2 STL)56
22.3%
56
77.7%
Q3 - 10:31MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
24.9%
56
75.1%
Q3 - 10:31BOSMISS Rondo Free Throw 2 of 256
24.6%
56
75.4%
Q3 - 10:31BOSRondo Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)56
23.1%
56
76.9%
Q3 - 10:42MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (15 PTS)56
24.9%
55
75.1%
Q3 - 10:50MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
22.4%
55
77.6%
Q3 - 10:52BOSMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
21.6%
55
78.4%
Q3 - 11:06MIAAlston 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)54
19.6%
55
80.4%
Q3 - 11:26BOSAllen 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Rondo 9 AST)51
15.7%
55
84.3%
Q3 - 11:43BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)51
17.5%
53
82.5%
Q3 - 11:44MIAMISS O'Neal 12' Jump Shot51
18.2%
53
81.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA51
19.7%
53
80.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSRondo Free Throw 3 of 3 (12 PTS)51
19.7%
53
80.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSRondo Free Throw 2 of 3 (11 PTS)51
20.4%
52
79.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSMISS Rondo Free Throw 1 of 351
21.3%
51
78.7%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIABeasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)51
22.2%
51
77.8%
Q2 - 0:25.0BOSRondo Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)48
17.4%
51
82.6%
Q2 - 0:25.0BOSRondo Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)48
18.0%
50
82.0%
Q2 - 0:25.0BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)48
19.9%
49
80.1%
Q2 - 0:26.0BOSMISS Rondo 7' Jump Shot48
21.1%
49
78.9%
Q2 - 0:40.0BOSCELTICS Rebound48
19.9%
49
80.1%
Q2 - 0:41.0BOSMISS Rondo 2' Layup48
21.1%
49
78.9%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIARichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)48
19.9%
49
80.1%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)47
19.4%
49
80.6%
Q2 - 1:16BOSHouse 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Rondo 8 AST)46
17.3%
49
82.7%
Q2 - 1:29BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
19.8%
47
80.2%
Q2 - 1:29MIAMISS Alston 21' Jump Shot46
20.3%
47
79.7%
Q2 - 1:47MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
21.4%
47
78.6%
Q2 - 1:48BOSMISS House 2' Reverse Layup46
20.9%
47
79.1%
Q2 - 2:07MIAAlston 12' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS)46
19.2%
47
80.8%
Q2 - 2:25BOSGarnett 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Rondo 7 AST)44
17.4%
47
82.6%
Q2 - 2:38MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)44
19.2%
45
80.8%
Q2 - 2:38MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)43
18.8%
45
81.2%
Q2 - 2:43BOSAllen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)42
17.3%
45
82.7%
Q2 - 3:05MIAHaslem 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)42
15.3%
45
84.7%
Q2 - 3:11MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
14.0%
45
86.0%
Q2 - 3:13BOSMISS Perkins 1' Layup40
13.5%
45
86.5%
Q2 - 3:18MIARondo STEAL (3 STL)40
12.3%
45
87.7%
Q2 - 3:38BOSAllen 6' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Garnett 6 AST)40
14.0%
45
86.0%
Q2 - 3:43BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)40
15.3%
43
84.7%
Q2 - 3:44BOSMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot40
16.7%
43
83.3%
Q2 - 4:00MIAAlston 9' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)40
15.3%
43
84.7%
Q2 - 4:26BOSPerkins 1' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Garnett 5 AST)38
13.8%
43
86.2%
Q2 - 4:42MIAWade 20' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)38
15.2%
41
84.8%
Q2 - 5:08BOSAllen 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Rondo 6 AST)36
13.8%
41
86.2%
Q2 - 5:23MIAO'Neal 1' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)36
15.3%
39
84.7%
Q2 - 5:37BOSPerkins Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)34
13.8%
39
86.2%
Q2 - 5:57MIAWade 3' Jump Shot (9 PTS)34
12.4%
39
87.6%
Q2 - 6:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
11.5%
39
88.5%
Q2 - 6:08BOSMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot32
11.1%
39
88.9%
Q2 - 6:18BOSCELTICS Rebound32
10.2%
39
89.8%
Q2 - 6:19MIAMISS Wright 3PT Jump Shot32
10.6%
39
89.4%
Q2 - 6:40MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
11.5%
39
88.5%
Q2 - 6:41BOSMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
11.1%
39
88.9%
Q2 - 6:55BOSCELTICS Rebound32
10.2%
39
89.8%
Q2 - 6:55MIAMISS Wright 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
10.6%
39
89.4%
Q2 - 7:17BOSWallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)32
11.3%
39
88.7%
Q2 - 7:27BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
13.8%
36
86.2%
Q2 - 7:28MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot32
14.2%
36
85.8%
Q2 - 7:43BOSWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)32
15.3%
36
84.7%
Q2 - 7:58MIACook 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)32
13.8%
36
86.2%
Q2 - 8:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
11.4%
36
88.6%
Q2 - 8:13BOSMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot29
11.1%
36
88.9%
Q2 - 8:36BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
10.3%
36
89.7%
Q2 - 8:37BOSMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
11.1%
36
88.9%
Q2 - 8:48BOSHouse Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (7 PTS)29
10.3%
36
89.7%
Q2 - 8:48BOSHouse Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (6 PTS)29
10.5%
35
89.5%
Q2 - 8:49MIAHouse STEAL (1 STL)29
12.6%
34
87.4%
Q2 - 9:05BOSHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)29
13.8%
34
86.2%
Q2 - 9:29MIABeasley Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)29
16.4%
31
83.6%
Q2 - 9:37BOSHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)29
18.0%
31
82.0%
Q2 - 9:41BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
16.4%
31
83.6%
Q2 - 9:42MIAMISS Beasley 2' Layup29
16.9%
31
83.1%
Q2 - 10:04BOSHouse 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rondo 5 AST)29
18.2%
31
81.8%
Q2 - 10:17BOSCELTICS Rebound29
19.6%
29
80.4%
Q2 - 10:18BOSMISS Wallace 7' Jump Shot29
20.9%
29
79.1%
Q2 - 10:40MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)29
19.6%
29
80.4%
Q2 - 10:40MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 228
19.3%
29
80.7%
Q2 - 10:55BOSWallace 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)28
19.7%
29
80.3%
Q2 - 11:15MIAHaslem 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)28
21.3%
27
78.7%
Q2 - 11:27BOSWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)26
19.7%
27
80.3%
Q2 - 11:40BOSHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
18.1%
27
81.9%
Q2 - 11:41MIAMISS Cook 13' Jump Shot26
18.6%
27
81.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOS26
19.7%
27
80.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOSCELTICS Rebound26
18.1%
27
81.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOSMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot26
19.2%
27
80.8%
Q1 - 0:08.0BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
18.1%
27
81.9%
Q1 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 226
18.2%
27
81.8%
Q1 - 0:08.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)26
19.3%
27
80.7%
Q1 - 0:27.0BOSRondo 1' Layup (8 PTS)25
17.8%
27
82.2%
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
19.6%
25
80.4%
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAWright 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)25
19.6%
25
80.4%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot23
17.0%
25
83.0%
Q1 - 0:51.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
17.8%
25
82.2%
Q1 - 0:53.0BOSMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 123
17.7%
25
82.3%
Q1 - 1:09MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)23
19.6%
23
80.4%
Q1 - 1:25BOSRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)21
17.7%
23
82.3%
Q1 - 1:36BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
16.7%
23
83.3%
Q1 - 1:37BOSMISS House 22' Jump Shot21
17.4%
23
82.6%
Q1 - 1:49MIAWright 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)21
16.7%
23
83.3%
Q1 - 1:56BOSRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)19
15.1%
23
84.9%
Q1 - 2:07MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)19
14.3%
23
85.7%
Q1 - 2:28BOSGarnett Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)19
15.3%
23
84.7%
Q1 - 2:44MIAO'Neal 4' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)19
18.1%
20
81.9%
Q1 - 2:58BOSRondo 3' Driving Jump Shot (6 PTS)17
16.5%
20
83.5%
Q1 - 3:09MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)17
17.7%
18
82.3%
Q1 - 3:31MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
16.5%
18
83.5%
Q1 - 3:31BOSMISS Rondo Free Throw 1 of 115
16.3%
18
83.7%
Q1 - 3:43MIAO'Neal Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)15
17.8%
16
82.2%
Q1 - 4:04BOSGarnett Dunk (4 PTS) (Rondo 3 AST)15
18.8%
16
81.2%
Q1 - 4:23MIAAlston 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)15
20.1%
14
79.9%
Q1 - 4:40MIAHeat Rebound12
17.5%
14
82.5%
Q1 - 4:41BOSMISS Wallace 10' Turnaround Jump Shot12
17.1%
14
82.9%
Q1 - 4:54MIAAllen STEAL (1 STL)12
16.2%
14
83.8%
Q1 - 5:13BOSAllen 9' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Garnett 4 AST)12
17.6%
14
82.4%
Q1 - 5:18BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
18.8%
12
81.2%
Q1 - 5:19BOSMISS Wallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
19.8%
12
80.2%
Q1 - 5:42BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
18.8%
12
81.2%
Q1 - 5:43MIAMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
19.2%
12
80.8%
Q1 - 6:16BOSGarnett 2' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Rondo 2 AST)12
19.8%
12
80.2%
Q1 - 6:21MIARondo STEAL (2 STL)12
21.2%
10
78.8%
Q1 - 6:32MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
22.7%
10
77.3%
Q1 - 6:34BOSMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
22.2%
10
77.8%
Q1 - 6:40MIAAllen STEAL (1 STL)12
21.2%
10
78.8%
Q1 - 6:50BOSPerkins Foul Turnover (P1.T2)12
22.7%
10
77.3%
Q1 - 7:04BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
20.8%
10
79.2%
Q1 - 7:05MIAMISS Wade 8' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot12
21.2%
10
78.8%
Q1 - 7:21BOSPerkins 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Garnett 3 AST)12
22.3%
10
77.7%
Q1 - 7:41MIAO'Neal 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
23.7%
8
76.3%
Q1 - 8:03BOSAllen 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Garnett 2 AST)10
21.9%
8
78.1%
Q1 - 8:17MIAAlston 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)10
23.3%
6
76.7%
Q1 - 8:38BOSPerkins 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Garnett 1 AST)7
20.5%
6
79.5%
Q1 - 8:45MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)7
21.9%
4
78.1%
Q1 - 8:45MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 26
21.7%
4
78.3%
Q1 - 8:54MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
21.9%
4
78.1%
Q1 - 8:55BOSMISS Rondo 3PT Jump Shot6
21.5%
4
78.5%
Q1 - 8:58BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)6
20.5%
4
79.5%
Q1 - 8:59BOSMISS Perkins 1' Layup6
21.5%
4
78.5%
Q1 - 9:02BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
20.4%
4
79.6%
Q1 - 9:03BOSMISS Allen 4' Jump Shot6
21.3%
4
78.7%
Q1 - 9:26MIAWade 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
20.4%
4
79.6%
Q1 - 9:39MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
19.1%
4
80.9%
Q1 - 9:40BOSMISS Garnett 20' Jump Shot4
18.7%
4
81.3%
Q1 - 9:57BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
17.9%
4
82.1%
Q1 - 9:58MIAMISS O'Neal 11' Jump Shot4
18.3%
4
81.7%
Q1 - 10:17BOSAllen 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Rondo 1 AST)4
19.0%
4
81.0%
Q1 - 10:25MIAWade 1' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)4
20.0%
2
80.0%
Q1 - 10:42BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
19.0%
2
81.0%
Q1 - 10:42BOSRondo 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)2
19.0%
2
81.0%
Q1 - 10:45BOSMISS Allen 1' Layup2
21.0%
0
79.0%
Q1 - 10:50MIARondo STEAL (1 STL)2
20.1%
0
79.9%
Q1 - 11:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
21.4%
0
78.6%
Q1 - 11:01BOSMISS Garnett 11' Jump Shot2
20.2%
0
79.8%
Q1 - 11:20MIARichardson 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)2
19.5%
0
80.5%
Q1 - 11:21MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
18.5%
0
81.5%
Q1 - 11:22MIAMISS Beasley 15' Jump Shot0
17.8%
0
82.2%
Q1 - 11:27MIAHeat Rebound0
18.5%
0
81.5%
Q1 - 11:28MIAPerkins BLOCK (1 BLK)0
17.8%
0
82.2%
Q1 - 11:44BOSAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
18.5%
0
81.5%
Q1 - 12:00BOSJump Ball Perkins vs. O'Neal: Tip to Garnett0
17.5%
0
82.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.20 60.0%
BOS
1.14 56.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
19
23
83%
BOS
16
30
53%
Midrange
MIA
10
27
37%
BOS
15
30
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
9
13.5
23
39%
59%
BOS
6
9.0
16
38%
56%
Free Throws
MIA
17
22
77%
BOS
27
39
69%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3075%15.0 / 20
R. Alston1575%7.5 / 10
U. Haslem1583%7.5 / 9
M. Beasley1365%6.5 / 10
Q. Richardson1275%6.0 / 8
J. O'Neal1045%5.0 / 11
D. Wright429%2.0 / 7
D. Cook321%1.5 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Allen2361%11.5 / 19
R. Rondo2258%11.0 / 19
E. House1680%8.0 / 10
K. Garnett1464%7.0 / 11
K. Perkins1359%6.5 / 11
R. Wallace735%3.5 / 10
T. Allen643%3.0 / 7
G. Davis660%3.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
76
+8
-13
84
BOS
74
+20
-17
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.20 60.0%
BOS
1.14 56.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.7
107.5
MIA 114.6
BOS 117.6 +3.0
Pace
89.6
91.9
MIA 87.1
BOS 93.1 +6.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
15.5
MIA 16.5
BOS 15.5 +1.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.6%
52.2%
MIA 58.2% +5.6%
BOS 52.6%
TO %
13.6%
15.2%
MIA 13.6% +1.8%
BOS 15.4%
ORB %
26.0%
22.9%
MIA 18.8%
BOS 37.5% +18.7%
FTrt
29.6
33.2
MIA 30.1
BOS 51.3 +21.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.9%
63.5%
MIA 57.9%
BOS 78.4% +20.5%
STL %
8.1%
9.3%
MIA 9.0%
BOS 9.9% +0.9%
BLK %
9.4%
8.0%
MIA 11.7% +7.7%
BOS 4.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
54.7%
MIA 60.0% +3.1%
BOS 56.9%
Rim FG%
62.0%
61.6%
MIA 82.6% +29.3%
BOS 53.3%
Mid FG%
40.8%
42.8%
MIA 37.0%
BOS 50.0% +13.0%
3P %
34.6%
34.8%
MIA 39.1% +1.6%
BOS 37.5%
FT %
75.2%
74.6%
MIA 77.3% +8.1%
BOS 69.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.8%
38.9%
MIA 31.5%
BOS 39.5% +8.0%
Mid Att. %
48.3%
38.3%
MIA 37.0% +2.5%
BOS 39.5%
3P Att. %
21.9%
22.8%
MIA 31.5% +10.5%
BOS 21.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIABOS
Possessions8991
Possession Minutes24.523.5
Points102107
Rebounds3141
Assists2229
Steals89
Blocks72
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (2)15 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (2)26 (3)
Field Goals38-7337-76
At-the-Rim FG19-2316-30
Midrange FG10-2715-30
2-Point FG29-5031-60
3-Point FG9-236-16
Free Throws17-2227-39
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 28
40.6
30
75%
5
13
1
2
6
5
1
4
6-8
75%
9-12
75%
2-4
50%
F · 6'6" 228 · 30
33.8
12
75%
5
3
1
0
1
3
2
3
2-2
100%
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
C · 6'11" 255 · 31
31.3
10
45%
4
1
0
3
3
4
1
3
0-0
-
5-11
45%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 34
30.2
15
75%
1
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
60%
3-5
60%
F · 6'9" 235 · 21
26.4
13
65%
4
1
3
0
2
4
0
4
6-8
75%
2-6
33%
1-1
100%
F · 6'8" 235 · 30
31.5
15
83%
8
0
1
1
0
3
1
7
3-4
75%
6-8
75%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24
16.5
4
29%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-3
0%
G · 6'5" 210 · 23
16.1
3
21%
2
1
1
0
1
4
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-5
20%
G · 6'2" 200 · 31
7.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 27
6.2
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 32
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29
#9 · F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#6 · G · 6'2" 190 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
60%
31
22
8
7
13
0
6
25
17-22
77%
29-50
58%
9-23
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.