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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 3, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Spurs63%103115
25Kings37%99113
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.8
41.6
34.7
23
58%
4
9
2
1
1
3
0
4
9-9
100%
7-15
4-8
47%
49%
0-1
0%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 29.6
37.6
32.3
12
40%
3
1
0
1
1
2
0
3
1-2
50%
4-12
4-8
33%
50%
1-2
50%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 29.7
30.5
12.8
12
86%
1
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-4
1-1
75%
48%
2-3
67%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.8
28.9
34.1
22
64%
13
2
1
1
0
0
5
8
6-7
86%
8-14
8-15
57%
52%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35.4
20.1
26.6
6
50%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
4-7
50%
52%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 32.5
29.3
30.3
20
66%
3
6
1
1
1
4
1
2
5-7
71%
6-8
4-7
75%
50%
1-4
25%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 20.8
23.7
16.3
20
81%
6
1
2
0
1
2
2
4
2-3
67%
9-11
3-5
82%
53%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 36.9
10.7
8.7
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.4
10.7
20.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
47%
0-1
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 29.8
7.0
13.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-2
0%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 23.2
2.7
0
0-1
54%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 36.8
1.7
0
0-0
50%
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.9
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 27.0
39.0
36.6
15
40%
5
1
1
1
0
1
0
5
2-4
50%
5-13
4-10
38%
46%
1-4
25%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 20.4
38.8
32.2
32
73%
7
8
2
1
1
4
0
7
7-9
78%
8-13
6-12
62%
49%
3-5
60%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 22.0
37.3
21.8
12
67%
3
1
1
1
1
1
3
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
48%
2-5
40%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.6
31.5
24.9
8
33%
6
1
2
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
4-9
3-6
44%
52%
0-3
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 21.8
31.3
26.9
18
62%
6
3
1
1
3
4
3
3
0-1
0%
9-13
4-8
69%
50%
0-1
0%
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 23.6
16.3
13.6
10
71%
0
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
5-7
2-4
71%
45%
0-0
-
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 22.9
15.0
16.5
4
106%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
49%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 30.2
13.9
15.8
6
60%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
46%
2-2
100%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.5
11.2
10.0
6
87%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-1
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
1-2
50%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 25.2
3.9
4.1
2
114%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 25.8
1.7
5.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.6
22.9
1
3-5
50%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 28.1
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 23.5
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 32.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.