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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 5, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Pistons42%9783
25Pacers58%100107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 29.9
34.3
32.7
10
34%
4
2
3
1
0
2
2
2
6-6
100%
2-10
4-10
20%
46%
0-2
0%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.8
29.4
35.2
16
46%
6
0
2
1
0
1
0
6
0-1
0%
8-17
7-15
47%
44%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 22.9
28.3
21.2
4
20%
10
0
0
1
2
1
6
4
0-0
-
2-10
3-5
20%
52%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 32.0
27.4
37.0
6
38%
2
0
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
7-14
43%
46%
0-1
0%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 35.4
17.3
32.9
0
0%
2
0
1
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
49%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.1
26.0
19.0
10
38%
1
7
1
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
5-11
3-6
45%
47%
0-2
0%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.8
25.3
16.0
26
73%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
6-10
2-5
60%
47%
4-7
57%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 27.0
24.0
19.7
5
47%
9
0
0
0
1
2
3
6
1-3
33%
2-4
3-6
50%
52%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 21.7
13.1
4.5
2
50%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
51%
0-0
-
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.0
7.6
3.3
4
52%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 27.9
7.3
6.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 27.4
8.1
0
1-2
52%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 25.5
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 35.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 26.8
34.0
33.7
25
62%
6
0
2
1
1
3
2
4
6-7
86%
8-13
5-10
62%
49%
1-4
25%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 29.8
31.8
31.5
12
50%
10
1
0
1
0
3
2
8
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
53%
2-5
40%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.6
31.2
31.4
16
62%
4
5
2
1
1
2
0
4
0-2
0%
5-9
2-5
56%
48%
2-3
67%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 23.2
30.5
25.0
10
56%
11
1
0
0
1
2
5
6
2-2
100%
4-8
5-10
50%
51%
0-0
-
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.3
24.6
16.7
8
58%
4
4
1
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
48%
2-5
40%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 29.1
24.5
21.5
13
82%
4
1
0
1
1
2
0
4
2-2
100%
4-5
3-7
80%
49%
1-2
50%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 26.9
23.4
5.5
11
79%
3
5
2
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
4-5
1-2
80%
49%
1-2
50%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 29.4
21.6
22.5
5
51%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
2-5
-
50%
1-4
25%
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.9
6.3
3.6
0
0%
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-2
0%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 22.9
6.0
4.2
5
64%
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
2-3
0-1
67%
52%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.6
6.0
2.7
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
54%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.2
17.0
1
2-4
48%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 30.7
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 24.3
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 33.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.