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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 5, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Rockets53%101101
19Grizzlies47%10083
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 25.1
34.7
37.2
19
44%
8
4
2
1
0
1
3
5
1-1
100%
6-13
5-10
46%
47%
2-8
25%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 24.6
33.3
36.9
17
50%
8
1
2
2
1
1
1
7
1-2
50%
5-10
4-9
50%
48%
2-6
33%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 31.4
27.1
32.2
3
50%
4
2
2
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
49%
1-2
50%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 29.8
23.2
28.5
12
76%
6
3
0
1
2
5
4
2
2-2
100%
5-7
6-12
71%
52%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 26.7
22.7
21.7
4
100%
1
2
1
1
2
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
48%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 21.7
24.5
19.8
9
38%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
49%
1-6
17%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 26.4
22.6
26.5
17
63%
5
3
1
1
3
0
2
3
9-10
90%
4-9
6-10
44%
56%
0-0
-
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 26.1
18.7
2.6
7
60%
12
1
1
0
1
0
6
6
1-2
50%
3-5
0-1
60%
49%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 23.9
18.7
10.9
7
45%
2
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-4
50%
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
1-3
33%
David Andersen
· 6'11" 247 · 29.6
8.8
13.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Jermaine Taylor
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.2
3.4
2.4
4
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 29.2
2.3
1.8
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
42%
0-0
-
Will Conroy
G · 6'2" 195 · 27.2
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 30.7
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 29.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.0
35.5
30.7
17
54%
8
2
2
1
2
4
6
2
1-2
50%
8-15
5-8
53%
57%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.6
34.9
35.3
14
44%
8
1
0
1
2
1
2
6
0-0
-
7-16
7-15
44%
49%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.3
32.4
35.1
11
35%
2
1
2
1
2
3
0
2
3-4
75%
4-12
5-10
33%
48%
0-2
0%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.5
30.2
37.6
11
51%
3
4
0
1
0
3
1
2
3-4
75%
4-8
6-12
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 22.3
28.9
27.2
4
25%
3
5
4
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
46%
0-2
0%
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 24.7
18.4
14.9
12
76%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
5-7
2-5
71%
50%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.5
15.7
14.5
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 31.9
14.8
15.4
0
0%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 23.0
13.9
12.8
5
69%
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
1
3-6
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
56%
0-0
-
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 28.3
6.5
3.6
4
106%
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
55%
0-0
-
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.2
4.8
4.2
3
150%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
1-1
100%
Lester Hudson
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.5
3.9
9.7
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.9
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 24.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.