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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 6, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Heat51%9591
20Bulls49%9495
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 28.1
38.7
36.0
20
41%
6
8
2
2
0
3
3
3
6-8
75%
7-18
8-16
39%
51%
0-3
0%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 31.3
37.1
27.2
24
63%
16
5
1
0
3
3
6
10
6-7
86%
9-16
5-10
56%
49%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 29.8
37.0
28.5
13
50%
5
1
0
1
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
43%
3-8
38%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 33.5
28.4
22.3
11
92%
4
1
2
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
40%
3-5
60%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.1
21.5
30.1
6
25%
7
1
0
1
1
4
1
6
2-2
100%
2-9
6-12
22%
49%
0-2
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.7
30.9
25.1
4
40%
7
0
0
0
1
1
0
7
0-0
-
2-5
4-8
40%
49%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 30.5
19.6
11.8
4
50%
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24.2
18.3
25.0
7
58%
4
1
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
49%
1-3
33%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 27.5
8.5
15.2
2
114%
1
0
0
0
2
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.8
13.1
0
1-2
37%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.7
7.2
0
1-1
47%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.3
2.8
0
0-0
40%
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27.4
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.3
43.0
37.6
24
53%
5
2
0
1
0
3
0
5
6-8
75%
9-19
9-18
47%
49%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.8
39.2
34.8
25
52%
7
2
0
1
1
0
2
5
9-11
82%
8-19
6-12
42%
48%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 33.8
36.4
30.2
13
54%
8
1
5
1
0
1
1
7
6-7
86%
2-5
3-6
40%
47%
1-4
25%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 29.1
30.6
37.3
6
43%
2
2
1
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
3-7
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.6
24.7
26.2
8
46%
7
1
1
1
2
1
1
6
2-4
50%
3-7
4-7
43%
49%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 30.2
33.2
27.3
15
49%
3
5
1
1
1
0
0
3
5-5
100%
5-11
2-5
45%
47%
0-2
0%
Chris Richard
F · 6'9" 256 · 25.1
20.3
2.1
2
25%
7
2
1
0
2
1
4
3
0-0
-
1-4
0-0
25%
47%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.1
11.9
10.0
2
25%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
41%
0-1
0%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.3
0.5
2.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
39%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 24.9
25.5
1
4-7
51%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.0
2.5
0
0-0
47%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 39.2
2.2
0
0-0
36%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 34.2
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.