FinalWin Prob.pScore
1551%94
91
2049%93
95
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
95.89592.6
CHI logo CHI
97.997101.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHI
Q4 - 0:00.0CHI91
0%
95
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAAlston 28' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)91
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 0:11.0CHIDeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)88
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)88
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)88
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)87
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 0:13.0CHIHinrich Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)86
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 0:13.0CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0CHIGibson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)86
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 0:20.0CHIMISS Gibson Free Throw 1 of 286
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 0:20.0CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)86
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 0:27.0CHIGibson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)86
1.0%
92
99.0%
Q4 - 0:27.0CHIMISS Gibson Free Throw 1 of 286
1.3%
91
98.7%
Q4 - 0:27.0CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)86
0.9%
91
99.1%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:6 Def:10)86
2.6%
91
97.4%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAMISS O'Neal Tip Shot86
1.4%
91
98.6%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Wade Layup86
1.4%
91
98.6%
Q4 - 0:35.0CHIDeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)86
2.5%
91
97.5%
Q4 - 0:35.0CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)86
2.9%
90
97.1%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)86
7.9%
89
92.1%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 285
6.8%
89
93.2%
Q4 - 0:49.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)85
9.1%
89
90.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0CHIMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
7.9%
89
92.1%
Q4 - 1:12MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)85
7.3%
89
92.7%
Q4 - 1:12MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)84
6.5%
89
93.5%
Q4 - 1:12MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)83
4.4%
89
95.6%
Q4 - 1:12MIAMISS Wade Running Layup83
2.9%
89
97.1%
Q4 - 1:20CHIRose Driving Layup (24 PTS)83
5.0%
89
95.0%
Q4 - 1:38CHIRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)83
9.7%
87
90.3%
Q4 - 1:39MIAMISS Richardson Layup83
11.5%
87
88.5%
Q4 - 1:57CHIMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)83
16.9%
87
83.1%
Q4 - 2:12MIAAlston Foul Turnover (P2.T18)83
10.2%
87
89.8%
Q4 - 2:21CHIRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)83
18.4%
87
81.6%
Q4 - 2:21CHIRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)83
19.8%
86
80.2%
Q4 - 2:34MIAO'Neal Layup (21 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)83
23.3%
85
76.7%
Q4 - 2:49CHIBULLS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)81
18.5%
85
81.5%
Q4 - 2:49CHIBULLS Rebound81
10.0%
85
90.0%
Q4 - 2:49CHIMISS Salmons 14' Jump Shot81
15.4%
85
84.6%
Q4 - 3:18CHIMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)81
12.2%
85
87.8%
Q4 - 3:20MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
14.2%
85
85.8%
Q4 - 3:37MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)81
23.6%
85
76.4%
Q4 - 3:40CHIMISS Gibson Layup81
21.3%
85
78.7%
Q4 - 4:03MIAO'Neal 5' Hook Shot (19 PTS)81
16.5%
85
83.5%
Q4 - 4:24CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)79
12.0%
85
88.0%
Q4 - 4:24CHIGibson Tip Shot (6 PTS)79
12.0%
85
88.0%
Q4 - 4:26CHIMISS Salmons Reverse Layup79
20.6%
83
79.4%
Q4 - 4:47MIAO'Neal 7' Hook Shot (17 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)79
16.1%
83
83.9%
Q4 - 4:52MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)77
11.8%
83
88.2%
Q4 - 4:54MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
9.1%
83
90.9%
Q4 - 5:04MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
15.2%
83
84.8%
Q4 - 5:06MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
12.3%
83
87.7%
Q4 - 5:22CHIGibson 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)77
15.0%
83
85.0%
Q4 - 5:41MIAWade Layup (18 PTS)77
19.5%
81
80.5%
Q4 - 5:44MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)75
14.9%
81
85.1%
Q4 - 5:46MIAMISS Wade 6' Floating Jump Shot75
12.1%
81
87.9%
Q4 - 5:58MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)75
14.9%
81
85.1%
Q4 - 5:59CHIMISS Rose 20' Jump Shot75
13.6%
81
86.4%
Q4 - 6:10CHIMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)75
13.6%
81
86.4%
Q4 - 6:12MIAMISS Arroyo 11' Jump Shot75
14.8%
81
85.2%
Q4 - 6:42CHISalmons 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS)75
17.7%
81
82.3%
Q4 - 7:05CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
24.4%
79
75.6%
Q4 - 7:07MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
26.1%
79
73.9%
Q4 - 7:18MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
30.3%
79
69.7%
Q4 - 7:20CHIMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
28.4%
79
71.6%
Q4 - 7:34CHIBULLS Rebound75
24.3%
79
75.7%
Q4 - 7:36MIAMISS Wright 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
26.0%
79
74.0%
Q4 - 7:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)75
30.3%
79
69.7%
Q4 - 7:46CHIMISS Brown Driving Layup75
28.3%
79
71.7%
Q4 - 7:59MIAO'Neal Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T17)75
24.2%
79
75.8%
Q4 - 8:11CHISalmons 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)75
31.8%
79
68.2%
Q4 - 8:28MIARichardson Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (O'Neal 5 AST)75
37.7%
77
62.3%
Q4 - 8:44MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)73
31.7%
77
68.3%
Q4 - 8:46CHIMISS Deng Free Throw 2 of 273
30.9%
77
69.1%
Q4 - 8:46CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)73
27.3%
77
72.7%
Q4 - 9:10MIAWright Driving Reverse Layup (7 PTS)73
33.4%
76
66.6%
Q4 - 9:31MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
28.1%
76
71.9%
Q4 - 9:33CHIMISS Deng 18' Jump Shot71
26.7%
76
73.3%
Q4 - 9:41MIAMiller STEAL (5 STL)71
23.6%
76
76.4%
Q4 - 10:03CHIRose 18' Fadeaway Jumper (20 PTS)71
29.3%
76
70.7%
Q4 - 10:12CHIMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)71
34.1%
74
65.9%
Q4 - 10:14MIAMISS Beasley 10' Jump Shot71
35.6%
74
64.4%
Q4 - 10:34CHIDeng Layup (20 PTS)71
39.3%
74
60.7%
Q4 - 10:36CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)71
44.8%
72
55.2%
Q4 - 10:38CHIMISS Brown 3PT Jump Shot71
48.7%
72
51.3%
Q4 - 10:47CHIBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
44.8%
72
55.2%
Q4 - 10:49MIAMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot71
46.5%
72
53.5%
Q4 - 11:01CHIRose Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)71
50.5%
72
49.5%
Q4 - 11:14MIABeasley 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)71
45.3%
72
54.7%
Q4 - 11:35CHIMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)69
39.9%
72
60.1%
Q4 - 11:35CHIMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
50.6%
69
49.4%
Q4 - 11:35CHIMISS Salmons 27' 3PT Jump Shot69
54.2%
69
45.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA69
50.6%
69
49.4%
Q3 - 0:04.0CHISalmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)69
55.4%
69
44.6%
Q3 - 0:04.0CHISalmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)69
56.2%
68
43.8%
Q3 - 0:10.0CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)69
60.8%
67
39.2%
Q3 - 0:12.0CHIMISS Deng 5' Jump Shot69
63.8%
67
36.2%
Q3 - 0:31.0MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)69
60.9%
67
39.1%
Q3 - 0:31.0MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)68
59.5%
67
40.5%
Q3 - 0:45.0CHIDeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)67
55.4%
67
44.6%
Q3 - 0:45.0CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)67
56.4%
66
43.6%
Q3 - 1:06MIAWright 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)67
60.2%
65
39.8%
Q3 - 1:23CHIRichard Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)64
50.2%
65
49.8%
Q3 - 1:33CHISalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
45.7%
65
54.3%
Q3 - 1:34MIAMISS Wade 18' Fadeaway Jumper64
47.1%
65
52.9%
Q3 - 1:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)64
50.2%
65
49.8%
Q3 - 1:55CHIMISS Rose Free Throw 2 of 264
49.6%
65
50.4%
Q3 - 1:55CHIRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)64
46.2%
65
53.8%
Q3 - 2:15MIAAlston 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)64
50.2%
64
49.8%
Q3 - 2:23MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)62
45.5%
64
54.5%
Q3 - 2:26CHIMISS Deng 17' Jump Shot62
44.1%
64
55.9%
Q3 - 2:31CHIRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
41.0%
64
59.0%
Q3 - 2:33MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot62
42.3%
64
57.7%
Q3 - 2:50CHISalmons Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)62
45.5%
64
54.5%
Q3 - 2:53CHIRichard REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)62
55.0%
61
45.0%
Q3 - 2:55CHIMISS Rose 19' Jump Shot62
58.2%
61
41.8%
Q3 - 3:18MIAO'Neal 15' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)62
55.0%
61
45.0%
Q3 - 3:34MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
50.8%
61
49.2%
Q3 - 3:36CHIMISS Richard Layup60
49.3%
61
50.7%
Q3 - 3:46MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)60
46.0%
61
54.0%
Q3 - 3:46MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 259
45.1%
61
54.9%
Q3 - 3:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
46.3%
61
53.7%
Q3 - 3:51CHIMISS Miller Driving Layup59
44.8%
61
55.2%
Q3 - 4:10MIAHaslem 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)59
41.5%
61
58.5%
Q3 - 4:27CHIMiller 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Richard 1 AST)57
38.1%
61
61.9%
Q3 - 4:32CHIRichard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)57
45.9%
58
54.1%
Q3 - 4:34CHIMISS Deng 6' Floating Jump Shot57
49.4%
58
50.6%
Q3 - 4:47MIABeasley Foul Turnover (P4.T15)57
45.9%
58
54.1%
Q3 - 4:56MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
51.0%
58
49.0%
Q3 - 4:57CHIMISS Salmons 16' Jump Shot57
49.4%
58
50.6%
Q3 - 5:15MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)57
45.7%
58
54.3%
Q3 - 5:25MIAHeat Rebound57
50.5%
58
49.5%
Q3 - 5:27MIAMISS Beasley 11' Jump Shot57
47.2%
58
52.8%
Q3 - 5:46CHIRose 17' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS)57
50.5%
58
49.5%
Q3 - 5:51CHIMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
54.1%
56
45.9%
Q3 - 5:53MIAMISS O'Neal 14' Fadeaway Jumper57
55.6%
56
44.4%
Q3 - 6:16CHIDeng 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS)57
58.6%
56
41.4%
Q3 - 6:26CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)57
62.0%
54
38.0%
Q3 - 6:28MIAMISS Wade 27' 3PT Jump Shot57
63.3%
54
36.7%
Q3 - 6:37MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)57
66.2%
54
33.8%
Q3 - 6:39CHIMISS Rose 10' Jump Shot57
64.9%
54
35.1%
Q3 - 7:01MIAWade 12' Jump Shot (15 PTS)57
61.3%
54
38.7%
Q3 - 7:17CHIHinrich 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)55
57.9%
54
42.1%
Q3 - 7:22CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
61.3%
52
38.7%
Q3 - 7:24MIAMISS Wade Layup55
62.5%
52
37.5%
Q3 - 7:32CHIRose Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)55
65.2%
52
34.8%
Q3 - 7:35MIAMiller STEAL (4 STL)55
61.4%
52
38.6%
Q3 - 7:50MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)55
65.3%
52
34.7%
Q3 - 7:52CHIMISS Richard 5' Hook Shot55
64.1%
52
35.9%
Q3 - 8:08MIAO'Neal 15' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)55
61.0%
52
39.0%
Q3 - 8:20MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
57.6%
52
42.4%
Q3 - 8:22CHIMISS Rose 18' Jump Shot53
56.4%
52
43.6%
Q3 - 8:40MIAWade Layup (13 PTS)53
53.6%
52
46.4%
Q3 - 8:46CHIRose Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)51
50.1%
52
49.9%
Q3 - 8:53MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)51
46.1%
52
53.9%
Q3 - 8:53MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)50
45.2%
52
54.8%
Q3 - 9:05CHIBULLS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)49
42.8%
52
57.2%
Q3 - 9:05CHIBULLS Rebound49
39.1%
52
60.9%
Q3 - 9:05CHIMISS Miller Layup49
41.7%
52
58.3%
Q3 - 9:31MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (O'Neal 4 AST)49
39.1%
52
60.9%
Q3 - 9:45MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
32.4%
52
67.6%
Q3 - 9:47CHIMISS Rose Free Throw 2 of 246
31.9%
52
68.1%
Q3 - 9:47CHIRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)46
29.8%
52
70.2%
Q3 - 9:50MIAMiller STEAL (3 STL)46
32.3%
51
67.7%
Q3 - 10:03CHIRose 22' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Hinrich 2 AST)46
36.3%
51
63.7%
Q3 - 10:15MIABeasley Backcourt Turnover (P3.T11)46
39.5%
49
60.5%
Q3 - 10:18MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)46
43.1%
49
56.9%
Q3 - 10:20CHIMISS Hinrich 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
42.0%
49
58.0%
Q3 - 10:34MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)46
39.5%
49
60.5%
Q3 - 10:34MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)45
38.9%
49
61.1%
Q3 - 10:39MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
36.2%
49
63.8%
Q3 - 10:40CHIMISS Deng 19' Jump Shot44
35.2%
49
64.8%
Q3 - 11:04MIABeasley 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)44
33.5%
49
66.5%
Q3 - 11:20MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
30.6%
49
69.4%
Q3 - 11:22CHIMISS Gibson 14' Jump Shot42
29.7%
49
70.3%
Q3 - 11:40CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
27.6%
49
72.4%
Q3 - 11:43MIAMISS Beasley 12' Jump Shot42
28.5%
49
71.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA42
30.6%
49
69.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHIRose 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS)42
30.6%
49
69.4%
Q2 - 0:06.0MIAHaslem Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)42
34.7%
47
65.3%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
31.0%
47
69.0%
Q2 - 0:28.0CHIMISS Salmons Layup40
30.3%
47
69.7%
Q2 - 0:42.0CHIRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
28.8%
47
71.2%
Q2 - 0:43.0MIAHinrich BLOCK (1 BLK)40
29.5%
47
70.5%
Q2 - 1:00CHIRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)40
31.0%
47
69.0%
Q2 - 1:00CHIRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)40
31.6%
46
68.4%
Q2 - 1:13MIARichardson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)40
35.2%
45
64.8%
Q2 - 1:28MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)40
37.4%
45
62.6%
Q2 - 1:30CHIMISS Deng 13' Jump Shot40
36.7%
45
63.3%
Q2 - 1:46MIAO'Neal 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)40
35.1%
45
64.9%
Q2 - 2:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
32.3%
45
67.7%
Q2 - 2:06CHIMISS Rose 20' Jump Shot38
31.4%
45
68.6%
Q2 - 2:26CHISalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
29.4%
45
70.6%
Q2 - 2:28MIAMISS Wade 15' Floating Jump Shot38
30.2%
45
69.8%
Q2 - 2:47CHIDeng Layup (14 PTS) (Salmons 5 AST)38
32.2%
45
67.8%
Q2 - 2:52CHISalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
35.0%
43
65.0%
Q2 - 2:55MIADeng BLOCK (1 BLK)38
35.9%
43
64.1%
Q2 - 3:17CHIDeng 6' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Salmons 4 AST)38
38.8%
43
61.2%
Q2 - 3:26MIARichard STEAL (1 STL)38
41.2%
41
58.8%
Q2 - 3:41CHIHinrich Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)38
44.9%
41
55.1%
Q2 - 3:44CHIRichard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)38
41.2%
41
58.8%
Q2 - 3:46MIAMISS Wright 17' Jump Shot38
42.3%
41
57.7%
Q2 - 4:24CHIHinrich Driving Layup (4 PTS)38
44.8%
41
55.2%
Q2 - 4:43MIAWade 15' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)38
47.6%
39
52.4%
Q2 - 4:52CHIBULLS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)36
44.8%
39
55.2%
Q2 - 4:52CHIBULLS Rebound36
41.5%
39
58.5%
Q2 - 4:52CHIMISS Richard 11' Jump Shot36
43.8%
39
56.2%
Q2 - 5:18CHIJump Ball Gibson vs. O'Neal: Tip to Hinrich36
42.1%
39
57.9%
Q2 - 5:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
45.0%
39
55.0%
Q2 - 5:31CHIMISS Salmons 27' 3PT Jump Shot36
44.1%
39
55.9%
Q2 - 5:37CHIRichard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)36
42.1%
39
57.9%
Q2 - 5:39CHIMISS Rose 18' Jump Shot36
44.1%
39
55.9%
Q2 - 5:54MIAArroyo 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)36
42.1%
39
57.9%
Q2 - 5:58MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
39.1%
39
60.9%
Q2 - 6:01CHIMISS Deng Layup34
38.6%
39
61.4%
Q2 - 6:04CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
36.4%
39
63.6%
Q2 - 6:06MIARichard BLOCK (2 BLK)34
37.4%
39
62.6%
Q2 - 6:34CHIMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)34
39.6%
39
60.4%
Q2 - 6:34CHIMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)34
40.0%
38
60.0%
Q2 - 6:54MIAO'Neal 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)34
42.0%
37
58.0%
Q2 - 7:08CHIMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)32
39.8%
37
60.2%
Q2 - 7:08CHIMiller Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)32
39.8%
36
60.2%
Q2 - 7:19MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)32
48.1%
33
51.9%
Q2 - 7:35CHIGibson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)29
42.6%
33
57.4%
Q2 - 7:44CHIMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
39.7%
33
60.3%
Q2 - 7:46MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot29
40.6%
33
59.4%
Q2 - 8:02CHIRose Driving Layup (8 PTS)29
42.8%
33
57.2%
Q2 - 8:15MIABeasley Foul Turnover (P2.T7)29
45.4%
31
54.6%
Q2 - 8:30CHISalmons Layup (6 PTS) (Gibson 1 AST)29
48.2%
31
51.8%
Q2 - 8:32CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
50.9%
29
49.1%
Q2 - 8:35MIASalmons BLOCK (1 BLK)29
51.7%
29
48.3%
Q2 - 8:46MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
53.7%
29
46.3%
Q2 - 8:48CHIMISS Brown 15' Jump Shot29
52.8%
29
47.2%
Q2 - 9:01MIAArroyo 9' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)29
50.6%
29
49.4%
Q2 - 9:18MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
48.1%
29
51.9%
Q2 - 9:20CHIMISS Rose 15' Jump Shot27
47.3%
29
52.7%
Q2 - 9:33CHIMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
45.3%
29
54.7%
Q2 - 9:35MIAMISS Beasley 14' Jump Shot27
46.2%
29
53.8%
Q2 - 9:54CHISalmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)27
48.1%
29
51.9%
Q2 - 9:54CHISalmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)27
48.5%
28
51.5%
Q2 - 9:55MIASalmons STEAL (1 STL)27
50.6%
27
49.4%
Q2 - 10:17CHISalmons 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)27
53.4%
27
46.6%
Q2 - 10:20CHIBULLS Rebound27
55.7%
25
44.3%
Q2 - 10:21CHIMISS Miller 9' Jump Shot27
57.7%
25
42.3%
Q2 - 10:38CHIRichard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
55.8%
25
44.2%
Q2 - 10:40MIAMISS Beasley 17' Jump Shot27
56.6%
25
43.4%
Q2 - 10:47MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)27
58.5%
25
41.5%
Q2 - 10:48CHIMISS Hinrich 22' Jump Shot27
57.7%
25
42.3%
Q2 - 10:59MIAHinrich STEAL (1 STL)27
55.8%
25
44.2%
Q2 - 11:15CHIBrown Layup (2 PTS)27
58.2%
25
41.8%
Q2 - 11:18MIAMiller STEAL (2 STL)27
60.6%
23
39.4%
Q2 - 11:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
63.1%
23
36.9%
Q2 - 11:33CHIMISS Salmons Driving Layup27
62.3%
23
37.7%
Q2 - 11:44MIAAnthony 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)27
60.6%
23
39.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA27
63.1%
23
36.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
63.1%
23
36.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHIMISS Deng Driving Layup27
62.4%
23
37.6%
Q1 - 0:22.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
60.4%
23
39.6%
Q1 - 0:22.0MIAWright Tip Shot (2 PTS)27
60.4%
23
39.6%
Q1 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Haslem 12' Jump Shot25
56.2%
23
43.8%
Q1 - 0:37.0CHIHinrich 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)25
57.5%
23
42.5%
Q1 - 0:42.0CHIBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
60.4%
21
39.6%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot25
61.0%
21
39.0%
Q1 - 0:52.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
62.3%
21
37.7%
Q1 - 0:56.0CHIMISS Salmons 11' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot25
61.7%
21
38.3%
Q1 - 1:08CHIRichard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
60.2%
21
39.8%
Q1 - 1:11MIAMISS Wright 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
60.7%
21
39.3%
Q1 - 1:27CHIDeng 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Salmons 2 AST)25
61.8%
21
38.2%
Q1 - 1:41MIAWade Running Layup (9 PTS)25
64.7%
19
35.3%
Q1 - 1:48MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
61.8%
19
38.2%
Q1 - 1:50CHIMISS Deng 18' Jump Shot23
61.4%
19
38.6%
Q1 - 2:03MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)23
60.0%
19
40.0%
Q1 - 2:03MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)22
59.5%
19
40.5%
Q1 - 2:19CHIDeng 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Rose 2 AST)21
57.4%
19
42.6%
Q1 - 2:26CHIRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
60.0%
17
40.0%
Q1 - 2:27MIARichard BLOCK (1 BLK)21
60.6%
17
39.4%
Q1 - 2:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
61.9%
17
38.1%
Q1 - 2:35CHIMISS Hinrich Reverse Layup21
61.3%
17
38.7%
Q1 - 3:00MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)21
60.0%
17
40.0%
Q1 - 3:00MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 220
59.6%
17
40.4%
Q1 - 3:14CHIRichard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
59.9%
17
40.1%
Q1 - 3:14CHIRichard Putback Dunk (2 PTS)20
59.9%
17
40.1%
Q1 - 3:16CHIMISS Rose 8' Floating Jump Shot20
63.6%
15
36.4%
Q1 - 3:29MIARichardson 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)20
62.0%
15
38.0%
Q1 - 3:52CHIGibson Layup (2 PTS) (Salmons 1 AST)18
59.9%
15
40.1%
Q1 - 4:15MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)18
61.5%
13
38.5%
Q1 - 4:22MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
57.3%
13
42.7%
Q1 - 4:24CHIMISS Gibson 20' Jump Shot15
56.6%
13
43.4%
Q1 - 4:40CHIMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
55.0%
13
45.0%
Q1 - 4:42MIAMISS Richardson 27' 3PT Jump Shot15
55.7%
13
44.3%
Q1 - 4:45MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)15
57.3%
13
42.7%
Q1 - 4:47MIAMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
55.7%
13
44.3%
Q1 - 4:51MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)15
57.3%
13
42.7%
Q1 - 4:53MIAMISS Beasley 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
55.7%
13
44.3%
Q1 - 5:18CHIDeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)15
57.0%
13
43.0%
Q1 - 5:18CHIMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 215
57.3%
12
42.7%
Q1 - 5:35MIAWade Layup (4 PTS)15
56.7%
12
43.3%
Q1 - 5:36MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
54.8%
12
45.2%
Q1 - 5:39MIAMISS Richardson Running Layup13
53.2%
12
46.8%
Q1 - 5:51MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
54.8%
12
45.2%
Q1 - 5:52CHIMISS Rose Driving Layup13
54.1%
12
45.9%
Q1 - 6:00CHIRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
52.5%
12
47.5%
Q1 - 6:02MIAMISS Beasley 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
53.2%
12
46.8%
Q1 - 6:11MIAHeat Rebound13
54.7%
12
45.3%
Q1 - 6:11MIAGibson BLOCK (2 BLK)13
53.2%
12
46.8%
Q1 - 6:29CHIRose Dunk (6 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)13
54.7%
12
45.3%
Q1 - 6:35MIAMiller STEAL (1 STL)13
56.7%
10
43.3%
Q1 - 6:56CHIMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)13
58.9%
10
41.1%
Q1 - 6:56CHIMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 213
59.1%
9
40.9%
Q1 - 7:12MIARichardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)13
58.6%
9
41.4%
Q1 - 7:15MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)10
54.7%
9
45.3%
Q1 - 7:16MIAMISS Beasley Driving Reverse Layup10
53.1%
9
46.9%
Q1 - 7:31MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
54.7%
9
45.3%
Q1 - 7:33CHIMISS Hinrich 22' Jump Shot10
54.0%
9
46.0%
Q1 - 7:46MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)10
52.5%
9
47.5%
Q1 - 7:56MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
50.5%
9
49.5%
Q1 - 7:58CHIMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
49.8%
9
50.2%
Q1 - 8:06CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
48.5%
9
51.5%
Q1 - 8:07MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot8
49.1%
9
50.9%
Q1 - 8:22CHIDeng Running Layup (5 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)8
50.5%
9
49.5%
Q1 - 8:39MIAAlston 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)8
52.6%
7
47.4%
Q1 - 8:45MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)5
48.5%
7
51.5%
Q1 - 8:46CHIMISS Deng 21' Jump Shot5
47.8%
7
52.2%
Q1 - 8:57CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
46.4%
7
53.6%
Q1 - 8:58MIAGibson BLOCK (1 BLK)5
47.0%
7
53.0%
Q1 - 9:20CHIRose 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)5
48.9%
7
51.1%
Q1 - 9:32CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
51.0%
5
49.0%
Q1 - 9:34MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Fadeaway Jumper5
51.5%
5
48.5%
Q1 - 9:36MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)5
52.9%
5
47.1%
Q1 - 9:38MIAMISS Beasley 13' Jump Shot5
51.5%
5
48.5%
Q1 - 9:59CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)5
52.9%
5
47.1%
Q1 - 10:02MIAGibson STEAL (1 STL)5
56.3%
2
43.7%
Q1 - 10:14MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)5
58.4%
2
41.6%
Q1 - 10:15CHIMISS Gibson Driving Layup5
57.8%
2
42.2%
Q1 - 10:29MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)5
56.4%
2
43.6%
Q1 - 10:37MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
52.9%
2
47.1%
Q1 - 10:38CHIMISS Deng 10' Jump Shot2
52.2%
2
47.8%
Q1 - 10:58MIAWade Dunk (2 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)2
50.8%
2
49.2%
Q1 - 11:00MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
49.1%
2
50.9%
Q1 - 11:03MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot0
48.0%
2
52.0%
Q1 - 11:08MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
49.2%
2
50.8%
Q1 - 11:10CHIMISS Rose 9' Jump Shot0
48.7%
2
51.3%
Q1 - 11:24CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
47.5%
2
52.5%
Q1 - 11:27MIAMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot0
48.0%
2
52.0%
Q1 - 11:42CHIRose 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)0
49.2%
2
50.8%
Q1 - 12:00CHIJump Ball Miller vs. O'Neal: Tip to Gibson0
50.9%
0
49.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.96 47.9%
CHI
0.94 47.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
12
25
48%
CHI
16
31
52%
Midrange
MIA
15
36
42%
CHI
16
43
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
21
33%
50%
CHI
1
1.5
8
13%
19%
Free Throws
MIA
16
19
84%
CHI
28
35
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. O'Neal2463%12.0 / 19
D. Wade2040%10.0 / 25
Q. Richardson1350%6.5 / 13
R. Alston1192%5.5 / 6
D. Wright758%3.5 / 6
M. Beasley625%3.0 / 12
U. Haslem440%2.0 / 5
C. Arroyo450%2.0 / 4
J. Anthony2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Deng2552%12.5 / 24
D. Rose2452%12.0 / 23
J. Salmons1550%7.5 / 15
B. Miller1359%6.5 / 11
T. Gibson850%4.0 / 8
K. Hinrich643%3.0 / 7
C. Richard225%1.0 / 4
D. Brown225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
78
+14
-17
92
CHI
89
+12
-8
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.96 47.9%
CHI
0.94 47.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.7
103.9
MIA 95.8
CHI 97.9 +2.1
Pace
89.6
92.9
MIA 92.6
CHI 101.5 +8.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
15.1
MIA 15.5
CHI 14.2 +1.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.6%
47.7%
MIA 45.7% +4.8%
CHI 40.9%
TO %
13.6%
14.6%
MIA 16.6%
CHI 10.1% +6.5%
ORB %
26.0%
26.5%
MIA 26.7% +10.0%
CHI 16.7%
FTrt
29.6
28.7
MIA 23.2
CHI 42.7 +19.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.9%
55.3%
MIA 55.9% +7.4%
CHI 48.5%
STL %
8.1%
6.9%
MIA 6.3%
CHI 9.3% +3.0%
BLK %
9.4%
9.2%
MIA 10.8%
CHI 11.5% +0.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
50.6%
MIA 47.9% +0.9%
CHI 47.0%
Rim FG%
62.0%
56.0%
MIA 48.0%
CHI 51.6% +3.6%
Mid FG%
40.8%
41.2%
MIA 41.7% +4.5%
CHI 37.2%
3P %
34.6%
33.0%
MIA 33.3% +20.8%
CHI 12.5%
FT %
75.2%
75.4%
MIA 84.2% +4.2%
CHI 80.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.8%
35.3%
MIA 30.5%
CHI 37.8% +7.3%
Mid Att. %
48.3%
49.1%
MIA 43.9% +8.5%
CHI 52.4%
3P Att. %
21.9%
15.6%
MIA 25.6% +15.9%
CHI 9.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIACHI
Possessions9597
Possession Minutes24.622.9
Points9195
Rebounds5241
Assists1916
Steals69
Blocks87
Turnovers (Team)17 (1)8 (3)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (2)8 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)40 (0)33 (1)
Field Goals34-8233-82
At-the-Rim FG12-2516-31
Midrange FG15-3616-43
2-Point FG27-6132-74
3-Point FG7-211-8
Free Throws16-1928-35
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 28
38.7
20
40%
6
8
2
0
3
3
3
3
6-8
75%
7-18
39%
0-3
0%
C · 6'11" 255 · 31
37.1
24
63%
16
5
1
3
3
3
6
10
6-7
86%
9-16
56%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 228 · 30
37.0
13
50%
5
1
0
1
2
3
0
5
0-0
-
2-5
40%
3-8
38%
G · 6'2" 175 · 34
28.4
11
92%
4
1
2
0
2
4
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
100%
3-5
60%
F · 6'9" 235 · 21
21.5
6
25%
7
1
0
1
4
4
1
6
2-2
100%
2-9
22%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 30
30.9
4
40%
7
0
0
1
1
4
0
7
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 31
19.6
4
50%
2
2
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24
18.3
7
58%
4
1
1
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-3
33%
C · 6'9" 245 · 27
8.5
2
100%
1
0
0
2
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 23
C · 6'11" 265 · 32
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29
#9 · F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#6 · G · 6'2" 190 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
48%
52
19
6
8
17
0
12
40
16-19
84%
27-61
44%
7-21
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.