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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 6, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Pacers37%9781
19Bucks63%10193
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 26.8
42.9
33.5
14
47%
4
5
2
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
3-10
5-10
30%
47%
2-4
50%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.6
40.5
30.9
5
31%
5
1
1
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
45%
1-3
33%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 29.8
35.6
31.2
6
36%
11
2
0
1
0
2
1
10
1-1
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
50%
1-5
20%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 23.2
25.1
27.3
10
71%
4
0
1
0
2
4
1
3
0-0
-
5-7
5-11
71%
49%
0-0
-
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.3
21.9
20.4
9
48%
2
4
0
1
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
44%
0-1
0%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 29.4
28.0
22.1
11
53%
4
2
1
1
0
0
0
4
3-3
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
48%
0-3
0%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 26.9
26.3
15.1
20
84%
3
3
0
1
0
4
2
1
2-2
100%
6-9
2-5
67%
47%
2-2
100%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 29.1
17.3
22.8
6
75%
0
1
0
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
3-7
75%
47%
0-0
-
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.9
2.5
5.1
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.2
10.5
0
1-3
46%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 22.9
5.7
0
1-1
48%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.6
5.0
0
1-1
50%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 30.7
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 24.3
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 33.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.4
43.3
25.7
18
84%
11
1
1
1
1
0
3
8
4-4
100%
7-8
2-5
88%
49%
0-1
0%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 27.4
35.9
35.9
16
58%
4
5
4
1
0
4
0
4
2-2
100%
1-4
3-7
25%
48%
4-9
44%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.2
34.2
20.2
21
64%
8
2
1
0
1
3
3
5
3-3
100%
9-15
4-8
60%
55%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.9
33.1
30.5
9
51%
6
5
1
1
0
0
1
5
2-2
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
45%
1-3
33%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 20.4
31.6
32.1
5
23%
3
7
2
1
0
0
0
3
0-2
0%
1-7
4-11
14%
42%
1-3
33%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 35.3
29.9
17.4
14
59%
6
1
0
0
0
2
1
5
1-2
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
44%
3-6
50%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.0
16.4
15.9
4
29%
2
0
1
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
48%
0-2
0%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.7
12.4
21.8
5
32%
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
2-5
3-6
40%
48%
0-2
0%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 27.6
3.3
19.5
1
57%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
4-7
-
52%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 37.3
10.8
0
1-2
50%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.5
4.7
0
0-1
47%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.0
3.3
0
0-1
48%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 33.9
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 30.5
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.