FinalWin Prob.pScore
2438%97
81
1962%101
93
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
90.09098.9
MIL logo MIL
103.39083.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL81
0%
93
100%
Q4 - 0:14.0INDHibbert 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)81
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0MILJennings Layup (5 PTS)79
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0MILDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0INDMISS Dunleavy 16' Jump Shot79
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:05MILDelfino 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Jennings 7 AST)79
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23MILBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)79
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 1:24MILMISS Jennings 15' Jump Shot79
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q4 - 1:44MILStackhouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)79
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q4 - 1:45INDMISS Rush 18' Jump Shot79
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q4 - 1:53INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)79
1.3%
88
98.7%
Q4 - 1:54MILMISS Jennings 16' Jump Shot79
1.1%
88
98.9%
Q4 - 2:13INDGranger Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T20)79
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q4 - 2:22INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)79
1.4%
88
98.6%
Q4 - 2:23INDMISS Ford 12' Jump Shot79
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 2:33MILStackhouse Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T12)79
1.4%
88
98.6%
Q4 - 2:49INDGranger 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Rush 1 AST)79
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q4 - 3:07MILStackhouse 5' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS)77
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 3:28INDFord 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Granger 5 AST)77
1.1%
86
98.9%
Q4 - 3:33INDFord REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)74
1.1%
86
98.9%
Q4 - 3:34INDMISS Hibbert 20' Jump Shot74
0.9%
86
99.1%
Q4 - 3:49MILStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)74
1.1%
86
98.9%
Q4 - 3:49MILMISS Stackhouse Free Throw 1 of 274
1.1%
85
98.9%
Q4 - 3:54MILStackhouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
1.0%
85
99.0%
Q4 - 3:55INDMISS Murphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
1.1%
85
98.9%
Q4 - 4:09INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q4 - 4:10MILMISS Jennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
1.3%
85
98.7%
Q4 - 4:30MILStackhouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q4 - 4:32INDMISS Dunleavy Layup74
1.1%
85
98.9%
Q4 - 4:58MILDelfino 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Jennings 6 AST)74
1.4%
85
98.6%
Q4 - 5:13INDDelfino STEAL (4 STL)74
3.2%
83
96.8%
Q4 - 5:27MILJennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Delfino 5 AST)74
4.4%
83
95.6%
Q4 - 5:42INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)74
8.2%
80
91.8%
Q4 - 5:42INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)73
7.8%
80
92.2%
Q4 - 5:57MILBogut 6' Hook Shot (21 PTS)72
6.0%
80
94.0%
Q4 - 6:16MILStackhouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
9.9%
78
90.1%
Q4 - 6:17INDMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot72
10.8%
78
89.2%
Q4 - 6:27INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)72
13.1%
78
86.9%
Q4 - 6:28MILMISS Stackhouse 3PT Jump Shot72
12.0%
78
88.0%
Q4 - 6:52INDDunleavy 23' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Murphy 2 AST)72
9.8%
78
90.2%
Q4 - 7:10MILDelfino 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jennings 5 AST)70
8.9%
78
91.1%
Q4 - 7:18MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)70
14.2%
75
85.8%
Q4 - 7:19INDMISS Granger Layup70
15.3%
75
84.7%
Q4 - 7:33MILDelfino Foul Turnover (P4.T11)70
18.2%
75
81.8%
Q4 - 7:45MILStackhouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
14.1%
75
85.9%
Q4 - 7:46MILMISS Bogut 6' Hook Shot70
16.9%
75
83.1%
Q4 - 8:05INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)70
15.8%
75
84.2%
Q4 - 8:08MILDelfino Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)67
10.0%
75
90.0%
Q4 - 8:20MILDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
7.9%
75
92.1%
Q4 - 8:21INDMISS Murphy Layup67
8.5%
75
91.5%
Q4 - 8:47INDPacers Rebound67
9.9%
75
90.1%
Q4 - 8:47MILMISS Jennings 9' Jump Shot67
9.2%
75
90.8%
Q4 - 9:05MILDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
9.1%
75
90.9%
Q4 - 9:07INDMbah a Moute BLOCK (1 BLK)67
9.7%
75
90.3%
Q4 - 9:30MILBogut Layup (19 PTS)67
11.1%
75
88.9%
Q4 - 9:47INDFord 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS)67
13.8%
73
86.2%
Q4 - 10:11INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
12.0%
73
88.0%
Q4 - 10:13MILMISS Jennings 16' Jump Shot65
11.3%
73
88.7%
Q4 - 10:25MILJump Ball Stackhouse vs. Hibbert: Tip to Mbah a Moute65
9.8%
73
90.2%
Q4 - 10:37INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
12.0%
73
88.0%
Q4 - 10:38MILMISS Stackhouse 12' Jump Shot65
11.3%
73
88.7%
Q4 - 11:00INDHibbert Foul Turnover (P4.T17)65
9.8%
73
90.2%
Q4 - 11:18MILStackhouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Mbah a Moute 1 AST)65
12.8%
73
87.2%
Q4 - 11:38INDJones 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Granger 4 AST)65
18.5%
70
81.5%
Q4 - 11:44MILWarrick Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)63
15.4%
70
84.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL63
12.9%
70
87.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound63
12.9%
70
87.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILMISS Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
14.6%
70
85.4%
Q3 - 0:08.0MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)63
13.7%
70
86.3%
Q3 - 0:10.0INDMISS Dunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
14.4%
70
85.6%
Q3 - 0:31.0MILRidnour Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T8)63
16.0%
70
84.0%
Q3 - 0:37.0MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)63
13.7%
70
86.3%
Q3 - 0:38.0INDMISS Diener Free Throw 2 of 263
14.0%
70
86.0%
Q3 - 0:38.0INDMISS Diener Free Throw 1 of 263
16.0%
70
84.0%
Q3 - 0:53.0MILWarrick Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)63
16.0%
70
84.0%
Q3 - 0:53.0MILMISS Warrick Free Throw 1 of 263
16.7%
69
83.3%
Q3 - 1:06MILWarrick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
16.7%
69
83.3%
Q3 - 1:08INDMISS Hibbert 6' Hook Shot63
17.4%
69
82.6%
Q3 - 1:30INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
19.3%
69
80.7%
Q3 - 1:32MILMISS Ilyasova 21' Jump Shot63
18.5%
69
81.5%
Q3 - 1:45INDGranger 11' Jump Shot (12 PTS)63
16.6%
69
83.4%
Q3 - 2:09MILBell Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)61
14.5%
69
85.5%
Q3 - 2:09MILBell Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)61
15.0%
68
85.0%
Q3 - 2:22INDFord 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS)61
17.0%
67
83.0%
Q3 - 2:28INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)59
14.5%
67
85.5%
Q3 - 2:29MILMISS Stackhouse 11' Jump Shot59
13.8%
67
86.2%
Q3 - 2:47INDMurphy Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T16)59
12.3%
67
87.7%
Q3 - 3:13INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
15.2%
67
84.8%
Q3 - 3:14MILMISS Ilyasova 17' Jump Shot59
14.4%
67
85.6%
Q3 - 3:44INDMurphy Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)59
12.8%
67
87.2%
Q3 - 3:55INDPacers Rebound56
9.4%
67
90.6%
Q3 - 3:55MILMISS Ridnour 19' Jump Shot56
8.9%
67
91.1%
Q3 - 4:05INDMurphy Foul Turnover (P1.T15)56
8.2%
67
91.8%
Q3 - 4:18MILBell 13' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Delfino 4 AST)56
9.9%
67
90.1%
Q3 - 4:24INDDelfino STEAL (3 STL)56
11.3%
65
88.7%
Q3 - 4:43MILRidnour Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)56
13.5%
65
86.5%
Q3 - 4:46MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
11.3%
65
88.7%
Q3 - 4:47INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
11.9%
65
88.1%
Q3 - 4:53INDFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
13.5%
65
86.5%
Q3 - 4:55MILMISS Delfino 17' Jump Shot56
12.8%
65
87.2%
Q3 - 5:14INDFord Layup (13 PTS)56
11.7%
65
88.3%
Q3 - 5:29MILRidnour 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)54
10.3%
65
89.7%
Q3 - 5:49INDFord Layup (11 PTS)54
11.7%
63
88.3%
Q3 - 6:01MILMbah a Moute 4' Hook Shot (18 PTS) (Bell 5 AST)52
10.8%
63
89.2%
Q3 - 6:26MILBUCKS Rebound52
12.2%
61
87.8%
Q3 - 6:26INDMISS Price Layup52
12.8%
61
87.2%
Q3 - 6:41INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
14.3%
61
85.7%
Q3 - 6:42MILMISS Delfino 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
13.6%
61
86.4%
Q3 - 6:59MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
12.2%
61
87.8%
Q3 - 7:00INDMISS Granger 16' Jump Shot52
12.8%
61
87.2%
Q3 - 7:06INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)52
14.8%
61
85.2%
Q3 - 7:07MILMISS Bogut 3' Layup52
14.1%
61
85.9%
Q3 - 7:35MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)52
12.8%
61
87.2%
Q3 - 7:36INDMISS Murphy 5' Jump Shot52
13.3%
61
86.7%
Q3 - 7:52MILBell Driving Layup (5 PTS)52
14.7%
61
85.3%
Q3 - 8:12INDPrice 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)52
16.8%
59
83.2%
Q3 - 8:28MILDelfino Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)50
15.0%
59
85.0%
Q3 - 8:28MILDelfino Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)50
15.3%
58
84.7%
Q3 - 8:31INDDelfino STEAL (2 STL)50
16.8%
57
83.2%
Q3 - 8:50MILMbah a Moute 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Jennings 4 AST)50
19.2%
57
80.8%
Q3 - 9:13MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)50
21.8%
55
78.2%
Q3 - 9:14INDMISS Granger 13' Jump Shot50
22.6%
55
77.4%
Q3 - 9:25MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)50
24.5%
55
75.5%
Q3 - 9:25MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)50
25.2%
54
74.8%
Q3 - 9:47INDMbah a Moute STEAL (1 STL)50
27.2%
53
72.8%
Q3 - 10:03INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
30.4%
53
69.6%
Q3 - 10:04MILMISS Delfino 3PT Jump Shot50
29.4%
53
70.6%
Q3 - 10:15MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)50
27.4%
53
72.6%
Q3 - 10:17INDMISS Rush 22' Jump Shot50
28.3%
53
71.7%
Q3 - 10:22INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
30.4%
53
69.6%
Q3 - 10:23MILMISS Jennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
29.4%
53
70.6%
Q3 - 10:39INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)50
27.4%
53
72.6%
Q3 - 10:39INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)49
27.0%
53
73.0%
Q3 - 10:47INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)48
24.7%
53
75.3%
Q3 - 10:48MILMISS Bogut Layup48
23.8%
53
76.2%
Q3 - 11:07INDHibbert 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Granger 2 AST)48
22.3%
53
77.7%
Q3 - 11:30INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
20.1%
53
79.9%
Q3 - 11:31MILMISS Delfino 13' Jump Shot46
19.4%
53
80.6%
Q3 - 11:44MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)46
17.8%
53
82.2%
Q3 - 11:45INDMISS Price Layup46
18.5%
53
81.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL46
20.1%
53
79.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound46
17.8%
53
82.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILMISS Bell 13' Jump Shot46
19.3%
53
80.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)46
17.8%
53
82.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0MILMISS Mbah a Moute 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
19.8%
53
80.2%
Q2 - 0:26.0INDFord 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Price 4 AST)46
18.7%
53
81.3%
Q2 - 0:39.0INDPrice REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
14.5%
53
85.5%
Q2 - 0:40.0MILMISS Ilyasova 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
14.1%
53
85.9%
Q2 - 0:50.0INDFord 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)43
13.2%
53
86.8%
Q2 - 1:07MILIlyasova Layup (5 PTS)41
11.8%
53
88.2%
Q2 - 1:08MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)41
13.6%
51
86.4%
Q2 - 1:09INDMISS Price 15' Jump Shot41
14.0%
51
86.0%
Q2 - 1:09MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)41
14.8%
51
85.2%
Q2 - 1:09MILMISS Bell Layup41
14.4%
51
85.6%
Q2 - 1:35MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)41
14.8%
51
85.2%
Q2 - 1:35MILMbah a Moute Layup (12 PTS)41
14.8%
51
85.2%
Q2 - 1:37MILMISS Delfino Layup41
18.0%
49
82.0%
Q2 - 1:57INDRush 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)41
17.0%
49
83.0%
Q2 - 2:05INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
13.7%
49
86.3%
Q2 - 2:06MILMISS Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
13.2%
49
86.8%
Q2 - 2:28INDJones Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)38
12.2%
49
87.8%
Q2 - 2:37MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)36
10.9%
49
89.1%
Q2 - 2:43INDBogut STEAL (1 STL)36
13.6%
46
86.4%
Q2 - 2:46INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)36
15.2%
46
84.8%
Q2 - 2:47MILMISS Jennings Layup36
14.7%
46
85.3%
Q2 - 2:53MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)36
13.6%
46
86.4%
Q2 - 2:54INDBogut BLOCK (1 BLK)36
14.1%
46
85.9%
Q2 - 3:19MILBogut 5' Running Hook Shot (14 PTS)36
15.7%
46
84.3%
Q2 - 3:41MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
17.1%
44
82.9%
Q2 - 3:42INDMISS Dunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
17.7%
44
82.3%
Q2 - 3:53INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)36
19.3%
44
80.7%
Q2 - 3:54MILMISS Stackhouse 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
18.6%
44
81.4%
Q2 - 4:16INDGranger 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dunleavy 2 AST)36
17.4%
44
82.6%
Q2 - 4:26INDPrice REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
14.3%
44
85.7%
Q2 - 4:27MILMISS Bogut Dunk33
13.8%
44
86.2%
Q2 - 4:39MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)33
12.7%
44
87.3%
Q2 - 4:40INDMISS Price 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
13.2%
44
86.8%
Q2 - 4:53INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
14.3%
44
85.7%
Q2 - 4:54MILMISS Jennings Free Throw 2 of 233
14.0%
44
86.0%
Q2 - 4:54MILMISS Jennings Free Throw 1 of 233
13.0%
44
87.0%
Q2 - 5:11INDPrice Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)33
13.2%
44
86.8%
Q2 - 5:11INDPrice Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)32
12.9%
44
87.1%
Q2 - 5:23MILBogut 10' Hook Shot (12 PTS)31
11.8%
44
88.2%
Q2 - 5:42INDHibbert Foul Turnover (P2.T10)31
13.1%
42
86.9%
Q2 - 5:55MILStackhouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bogut 2 AST)31
14.5%
42
85.5%
Q2 - 6:20INDDunleavy 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Price 3 AST)31
18.0%
39
82.0%
Q2 - 6:28MILBogut Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)29
16.6%
39
83.4%
Q2 - 6:47INDDunleavy 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Price 2 AST)29
14.8%
39
85.2%
Q2 - 6:53MILStackhouse Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)27
13.6%
39
86.4%
Q2 - 7:05INDPrice Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)27
12.5%
39
87.5%
Q2 - 7:11INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
10.3%
39
89.7%
Q2 - 7:12MILMISS Ridnour 19' Jump Shot24
9.9%
39
90.1%
Q2 - 7:34INDGranger 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)24
9.2%
39
90.8%
Q2 - 7:43INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
7.5%
39
92.5%
Q2 - 7:44MILMISS Ridnour 27' 3PT Jump Shot21
7.3%
39
92.7%
Q2 - 8:04MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
7.2%
39
92.8%
Q2 - 8:05INDMISS Rush 3PT Jump Shot21
7.4%
39
92.6%
Q2 - 8:20MILJump Ball Stackhouse vs. Dunleavy: Tip to Price21
8.0%
39
92.0%
Q2 - 8:21MILMISS Bell Layup21
7.7%
39
92.3%
Q2 - 8:25INDRidnour STEAL (1 STL)21
7.2%
39
92.8%
Q2 - 8:52MILIlyasova Layup (3 PTS) (Bell 4 AST)21
7.9%
39
92.1%
Q2 - 9:01MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
9.0%
37
91.0%
Q2 - 9:02INDMISS Rush 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
9.3%
37
90.7%
Q2 - 9:16MILStackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bell 3 AST)21
10.0%
37
90.0%
Q2 - 9:35MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
12.0%
34
88.0%
Q2 - 9:36INDMISS Ford Layup21
12.3%
34
87.7%
Q2 - 9:44INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
13.2%
34
86.8%
Q2 - 9:45MILMISS Ilyasova 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
12.8%
34
87.2%
Q2 - 9:56MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
12.0%
34
88.0%
Q2 - 9:57INDMISS Granger 14' Jump Shot21
12.3%
34
87.7%
Q2 - 10:14INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)21
13.6%
34
86.4%
Q2 - 10:16INDMISS Dunleavy 3PT Jump Shot21
12.7%
34
87.3%
Q2 - 10:34MILBell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Delfino 3 AST)21
13.6%
34
86.4%
Q2 - 10:54MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
16.1%
31
83.9%
Q2 - 10:55INDMISS Granger Layup21
16.5%
31
83.5%
Q2 - 11:00INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
17.6%
31
82.4%
Q2 - 11:01MILMISS Ilyasova 20' Jump Shot21
17.5%
31
82.5%
Q2 - 11:17INDIlyasova STEAL (1 STL)21
16.4%
31
83.6%
Q2 - 11:26INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
17.9%
31
82.1%
Q2 - 11:28MILMISS Ridnour 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
17.5%
31
82.5%
Q2 - 11:41MILStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
16.4%
31
83.6%
Q2 - 11:42INDMISS Granger Layup21
16.9%
31
83.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL21
17.9%
31
82.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound21
16.4%
31
83.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILMISS Delfino 43' 3PT Jump Shot21
17.4%
31
82.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDDelfino STEAL (1 STL)21
16.4%
31
83.6%
Q1 - 0:06.0INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
18.0%
31
82.0%
Q1 - 0:07.0MILMISS Ridnour Layup21
17.7%
31
82.3%
Q1 - 0:29.0INDFord 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)21
16.9%
31
83.1%
Q1 - 0:43.0MILRidnour Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
15.3%
31
84.7%
Q1 - 0:43.0MILRidnour Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
15.4%
30
84.6%
Q1 - 0:48.0INDJones 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)19
16.9%
29
83.1%
Q1 - 0:55.0INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
15.3%
29
84.7%
Q1 - 0:57.0MILMISS Stackhouse 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
15.0%
29
85.0%
Q1 - 1:02MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
14.9%
29
85.1%
Q1 - 1:03MILMISS Delfino 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
15.4%
29
84.6%
Q1 - 1:18INDJones Foul Turnover (P1.T6)17
14.8%
29
85.2%
Q1 - 1:27MILIlyasova Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)17
15.7%
29
84.3%
Q1 - 1:27MILMISS Ilyasova Free Throw 1 of 217
16.0%
28
84.0%
Q1 - 1:38INDFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
16.1%
28
83.9%
Q1 - 1:38INDFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
15.9%
28
84.1%
Q1 - 1:51MILMbah a Moute Layup (10 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST)15
14.4%
28
85.6%
Q1 - 2:03MILDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
16.4%
26
83.6%
Q1 - 2:04INDMISS Murphy 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
16.7%
26
83.3%
Q1 - 2:14INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
17.5%
26
82.5%
Q1 - 2:15MILMISS Stackhouse 13' Jump Bank Shot15
17.1%
26
82.9%
Q1 - 2:35MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)15
16.3%
26
83.7%
Q1 - 2:37INDMISS Ford Layup15
16.7%
26
83.3%
Q1 - 2:43INDFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
17.4%
26
82.6%
Q1 - 2:44INDMISS Murphy 3PT Jump Shot15
16.7%
26
83.3%
Q1 - 2:56INDPacers Rebound15
17.4%
26
82.6%
Q1 - 2:56MILMISS Bogut Dunk15
17.1%
26
82.9%
Q1 - 3:06MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)15
16.4%
26
83.6%
Q1 - 3:08INDMISS Rush 16' Jump Shot15
16.8%
26
83.2%
Q1 - 3:39MILDelfino 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jennings 2 AST)15
17.7%
26
82.3%
Q1 - 3:51INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)15
20.5%
23
79.5%
Q1 - 4:18MILStackhouse 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Delfino 2 AST)15
22.2%
23
77.8%
Q1 - 4:36INDJennings STEAL (2 STL)15
23.7%
21
76.3%
Q1 - 4:49MILBogut Foul Turnover (P2.T4)15
25.5%
21
74.5%
Q1 - 4:53INDHibbert 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)15
23.7%
21
76.3%
Q1 - 5:08MILMbah a Moute Layup (8 PTS)13
22.6%
21
77.4%
Q1 - 5:09MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)13
24.0%
19
76.0%
Q1 - 5:11MILMISS Bogut 6' Hook Shot13
25.2%
19
74.8%
Q1 - 5:23MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
24.0%
19
76.0%
Q1 - 5:24MILMISS Delfino 27' 3PT Jump Shot13
25.2%
19
74.8%
Q1 - 5:39INDGranger Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)13
23.9%
19
76.1%
Q1 - 5:55MILDelfino Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)13
25.7%
19
74.3%
Q1 - 6:14MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
24.0%
19
76.0%
Q1 - 6:15INDMISS Rush 10' Jump Shot13
24.5%
19
75.5%
Q1 - 6:34MILDelfino 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bell 2 AST)13
25.7%
19
74.3%
Q1 - 6:40INDJennings STEAL (1 STL)13
28.9%
16
71.1%
Q1 - 6:52MILBogut Layup (10 PTS)13
30.8%
16
69.2%
Q1 - 7:20INDHibbert 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Price 1 AST)13
32.4%
14
67.6%
Q1 - 7:37MILMbah a Moute Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)11
30.7%
14
69.3%
Q1 - 7:45INDBell STEAL (1 STL)11
32.4%
12
67.6%
Q1 - 7:57MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)11
34.4%
12
65.6%
Q1 - 7:57MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
34.8%
11
65.2%
Q1 - 8:18INDRush 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
36.1%
10
63.9%
Q1 - 8:27MILBogut Layup (8 PTS) (Jennings 1 AST)9
34.2%
10
65.8%
Q1 - 8:44INDHibbert Layup (2 PTS) (Murphy 1 AST)9
36.1%
8
63.9%
Q1 - 9:04MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)7
34.3%
8
65.7%
Q1 - 9:04MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)7
34.9%
7
65.1%
Q1 - 9:04MILBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)7
36.2%
6
63.8%
Q1 - 9:04MILMISS Mbah a Moute 17' Jump Shot7
37.5%
6
62.5%
Q1 - 9:18MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
36.2%
6
63.8%
Q1 - 9:19INDMISS Price 17' Jump Shot7
36.7%
6
63.3%
Q1 - 9:36MILBogut 7' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Delfino 1 AST)7
38.0%
6
62.0%
Q1 - 9:47INDPrice 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
40.0%
4
60.0%
Q1 - 9:57MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
38.0%
4
62.0%
Q1 - 9:57MILBogut Tip Shot (2 PTS)5
38.0%
4
62.0%
Q1 - 9:58MILMISS Jennings 16' Jump Shot5
41.3%
2
58.7%
Q1 - 10:09MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
39.4%
2
60.6%
Q1 - 10:10INDMISS Murphy 28' 3PT Jump Shot5
40.0%
2
60.0%
Q1 - 10:27MILBogut Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)5
41.4%
2
58.6%
Q1 - 10:42INDMurphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)5
39.4%
2
60.6%
Q1 - 11:02MILMbah a Moute 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)2
35.5%
2
64.5%
Q1 - 11:27INDGranger Layup (2 PTS)2
37.1%
0
62.9%
Q1 - 11:43MILDelfino Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
35.6%
0
64.4%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Bogut vs. Hibbert: Tip to Mbah a Moute0
34.0%
0
66.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.08 54.0%
MIL
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
8
19
42%
MIL
16
25
64%
Midrange
IND
18
32
56%
MIL
9
28
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
6
9.0
18
33%
50%
MIL
9
13.5
26
35%
52%
Free Throws
IND
11
13
85%
MIL
16
21
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Ford2083%10.0 / 12
D. Granger1447%7.0 / 15
M. Dunleavy1155%5.5 / 10
R. Hibbert1071%5.0 / 7
A. Price950%4.5 / 9
T. Murphy638%3.0 / 8
D. Jones675%3.0 / 4
B. Rush531%2.5 / 8
T. Diener0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Bogut2166%10.5 / 16
L. Mbah a Moute1882%9.0 / 11
C. Delfino1657%8.0 / 14
J. Stackhouse1458%7.0 / 12
C. Bell950%4.5 / 9
B. Jennings523%2.5 / 11
E. Ilyasova531%2.5 / 8
L. Ridnour429%2.0 / 7
H. Warrick1-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
71
+4
-19
75
MIL
78
+13
-12
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.08 54.0%
MIL
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.8
104.8
IND 90.0 +13.3
MIL 103.3
Pace
97.0
91.8
IND 98.9 +15.6
MIL 83.3
Avg. Poss. Time
14.5
15.8
IND 14.6 +2.7
MIL 17.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.1%
48.2%
IND 50.7% +2.0%
MIL 48.7%
TO %
14.7%
13.6%
IND 21.1%
MIL 12.0% +9.1%
ORB %
21.6%
26.2%
IND 10.8%
MIL 25.6% +14.8%
FTrt
29.6
23.9
IND 18.8
MIL 26.6 +7.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.3%
57.0%
IND 56.3%
MIL 61.8% +5.5%
STL %
7.4%
7.6%
IND 6.7%
MIL 12.2% +5.5%
BLK %
8.0%
7.6%
IND 3.8%
MIL 3.9% +0.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.07 and 2.07.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
50.5%
IND 54.0% +4.0%
MIL 50.0%
Rim FG%
57.4%
54.4%
IND 42.1%
MIL 64.0% +21.9%
Mid FG%
39.8%
40.2%
IND 56.3% +24.2%
MIL 32.1%
3P %
34.8%
35.6%
IND 33.3%
MIL 34.6% +1.3%
FT %
77.5%
75.5%
IND 84.6% +8.4%
MIL 76.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.3%
32.2%
IND 27.5%
MIL 31.6% +4.1%
Mid Att. %
38.9%
41.9%
IND 46.4%
MIL 35.4% +10.9%
3P Att. %
27.8%
25.9%
IND 26.1%
MIL 32.9% +6.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.
Game TotalsINDMIL
Possessions9090
Possession Minutes21.925.9
Points8193
Rebounds3343
Assists1821
Steals611
Blocks22
Turnovers (Team)19 (1)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (0)10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (4)33 (1)
Field Goals32-6934-79
At-the-Rim FG8-1916-25
Midrange FG18-329-28
2-Point FG26-5125-53
3-Point FG6-189-26
Free Throws11-1316-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 222 · 27
42.9
14
47%
4
5
2
0
2
3
0
4
2-2
100%
3-10
30%
2-4
50%
G · 6'6" 220 · 25
40.5
5
31%
5
1
1
0
2
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-5
20%
1-3
33%
F · 6'11" 245 · 30
35.6
6
38%
11
2
0
0
2
3
1
10
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
1-5
20%
C · 7'2" 270 · 23
25.1
10
71%
4
0
1
2
4
5
1
3
0-0
-
5-7
71%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 195 · 23
21.9
9
50%
2
4
0
0
2
1
0
2
3-3
100%
3-7
43%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 29
28.0
11
55%
4
2
1
0
0
3
0
4
3-3
100%
4-6
67%
0-3
0%
G · 6'0" 165 · 27
26.3
20
83%
3
3
0
0
4
3
2
1
2-2
100%
6-9
67%
2-2
100%
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 29
17.3
6
75%
0
1
0
0
3
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 175 · 28
2.5
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 27
· 6'10" 240 · 23
F · 6'10" 235 · 26
#2 · G · 6'1" 199 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#50 · · 6'9" 250 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#10 · F-C · 6'11" 250 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
81
54%
33
18
6
2
19
0
4
29
11-13
85%
26-51
51%
6-18
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.