FinalWin Prob.pScore
436%99
106
564%104
116
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
105.0101103.6
UTA logo UTA
114.910198.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

JazzNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

JazzNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENUTA
Q4 - 0:00.0UTA106
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:20.0DENSmith 9' Running Jump Shot (19 PTS)106
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)104
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0UTABoozer Putback Layup (19 PTS)104
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0UTAMISS D. Williams 8' Turnaround Jump Shot104
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)104
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:03DENMISS Graham 25' 3PT Jump Shot104
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13UTABoozer Foul Turnover (P3.T13)104
0.3%
114
99.7%
Q4 - 1:33UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)104
0.3%
114
99.7%
Q4 - 1:34DENMISS Lawson Reverse Layup104
0.4%
114
99.6%
Q4 - 1:38DENGraham REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)104
0.6%
114
99.4%
Q4 - 1:39DENMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot104
0.4%
114
99.6%
Q4 - 1:52UTAMatthews Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)104
0.8%
114
99.2%
Q4 - 1:52UTAMatthews Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)104
0.9%
113
99.1%
Q4 - 1:53DENBoozer STEAL (1 STL)104
1.2%
112
98.8%
Q4 - 2:09UTABoozer Layup (17 PTS)104
2.2%
112
97.8%
Q4 - 2:11UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)104
3.0%
110
97.0%
Q4 - 2:12UTAMatthews REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)104
3.0%
110
97.0%
Q4 - 2:12UTAMISS Matthews Tip Shot104
4.7%
110
95.3%
Q4 - 2:13UTAMISS Boozer 4' Jump Shot104
4.7%
110
95.3%
Q4 - 2:36DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)104
2.9%
110
97.1%
Q4 - 2:40DENNuggets Rebound101
1.3%
110
98.7%
Q4 - 2:41DEND. Williams BLOCK (3 BLK)101
0.8%
110
99.2%
Q4 - 2:59DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)101
1.8%
110
98.2%
Q4 - 3:01UTAMISS Okur 24' 3PT Jump Shot101
1.6%
110
98.4%
Q4 - 3:20DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)101
1.0%
110
99.0%
Q4 - 3:20DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)100
1.0%
110
99.0%
Q4 - 3:31UTAD. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Okur 2 AST)99
1.6%
110
98.4%
Q4 - 3:57DENLawson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)99
3.0%
107
97.0%
Q4 - 3:57DENLawson Layup (23 PTS)99
3.0%
107
97.0%
Q4 - 4:02DENMISS Smith Layup97
1.6%
107
98.4%
Q4 - 4:06DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)97
2.1%
107
97.9%
Q4 - 4:08UTAMISS Matthews Layup97
1.8%
107
98.2%
Q4 - 4:26DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)97
1.3%
107
98.7%
Q4 - 4:26DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)96
1.2%
107
98.8%
Q4 - 4:26DENNuggets Rebound95
0.9%
107
99.1%
Q4 - 4:26DENMISS Martin 17' Jump Bank Shot95
0.7%
107
99.3%
Q4 - 4:52UTAD. Williams Slam Dunk (19 PTS) (Kirilenko 3 AST)95
0.9%
107
99.1%
Q4 - 4:56UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)95
1.3%
105
98.7%
Q4 - 4:58DENKirilenko BLOCK (1 BLK)95
1.5%
105
98.5%
Q4 - 5:12UTABoozer Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)95
3.1%
105
96.9%
Q4 - 5:12UTABoozer Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)95
3.4%
104
96.6%
Q4 - 5:43DENAndersen Layup (13 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)95
4.2%
103
95.8%
Q4 - 5:49DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)93
3.1%
103
96.9%
Q4 - 5:51UTAMISS Kirilenko 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
2.8%
103
97.2%
Q4 - 6:08UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)93
3.1%
103
96.9%
Q4 - 6:10DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
3.4%
103
96.6%
Q4 - 6:26DENNuggets Rebound93
4.1%
103
95.9%
Q4 - 6:27DENMISS Carter 19' Jump Shot93
3.3%
103
96.7%
Q4 - 6:45DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)93
4.1%
103
95.9%
Q4 - 6:46UTAMISS D. Williams 21' Jump Shot93
3.7%
103
96.3%
Q4 - 7:03DENMartin Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T19)93
3.8%
103
96.2%
Q4 - 7:15UTAJAZZ Rebound93
5.1%
103
94.9%
Q4 - 7:15UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)93
5.1%
103
94.9%
Q4 - 7:15UTAMISS Kirilenko Free Throw 1 of 293
5.4%
102
94.6%
Q4 - 7:17DEND. Williams STEAL (1 STL)93
4.9%
102
95.1%
Q4 - 7:26DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)93
6.6%
102
93.4%
Q4 - 7:27UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)93
4.9%
102
95.1%
Q4 - 7:27UTAMISS D. Williams Tip Shot93
6.0%
102
94.0%
Q4 - 7:28UTAMISS D. Williams 9' Jump Shot93
6.0%
102
94.0%
Q4 - 7:45UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)93
4.9%
102
95.1%
Q4 - 7:46DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 2 of 293
5.1%
102
94.9%
Q4 - 7:46DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)93
6.1%
102
93.9%
Q4 - 7:49UTAMillsap Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)92
5.0%
102
95.0%
Q4 - 8:12DENMartin Foul Turnover (P4.T17)92
4.7%
102
95.3%
Q4 - 8:20DENNuggets Rebound92
5.9%
102
94.1%
Q4 - 8:22UTAMISS Kirilenko 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
5.5%
102
94.5%
Q4 - 8:32UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)92
4.7%
102
95.3%
Q4 - 8:33DENMISS Smith 9' Running Jump Shot92
5.0%
102
95.0%
Q4 - 8:50UTAD. Williams Driving Layup (17 PTS)92
5.9%
102
94.1%
Q4 - 8:53UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)92
7.5%
100
92.5%
Q4 - 8:57DENMISS Martin 14' Jump Shot92
8.1%
100
91.9%
Q4 - 9:13UTAMatthews Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)92
10.7%
100
89.3%
Q4 - 9:13UTAMISS Matthews Free Throw 1 of 292
11.2%
99
88.8%
Q4 - 9:16UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)92
10.8%
99
89.2%
Q4 - 9:17DENMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot92
11.5%
99
88.5%
Q4 - 9:32UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)92
13.2%
99
86.8%
Q4 - 9:32UTAKirilenko Tip Shot (21 PTS)92
13.2%
99
86.8%
Q4 - 9:33UTAMISS Miles 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
18.6%
97
81.4%
Q4 - 9:56DENGraham Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)92
16.3%
97
83.7%
Q4 - 9:56DENGraham Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)91
15.7%
97
84.3%
Q4 - 10:07UTAKirilenko Dunk (19 PTS) (Matthews 1 AST)90
14.1%
97
85.9%
Q4 - 10:11DENKirilenko STEAL (5 STL)90
17.0%
95
83.0%
Q4 - 10:32UTAMatthews Layup (4 PTS) (D. Williams 9 AST)90
20.4%
95
79.6%
Q4 - 10:38UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)90
24.3%
93
75.7%
Q4 - 10:39DENMISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot90
25.6%
93
74.4%
Q4 - 10:52UTAJAZZ Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)90
28.7%
93
71.3%
Q4 - 11:19DENCarter Driving Dunk (6 PTS)90
24.9%
93
75.1%
Q4 - 11:29DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
21.0%
93
79.0%
Q4 - 11:30UTAMISS Miles 20' Jump Shot88
20.0%
93
80.0%
Q4 - 11:46DENAllen Driving Slam Dunk (2 PTS)88
17.8%
93
82.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTA86
14.8%
93
85.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)86
13.2%
93
86.8%
Q3 - 0:02.0DENMISS Carter 3PT Jump Shot86
13.8%
93
86.2%
Q3 - 0:20.0UTABrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)86
15.4%
93
84.6%
Q3 - 0:20.0UTAMISS Brewer Free Throw 1 of 286
16.1%
92
83.9%
Q3 - 0:36.0DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)86
15.6%
92
84.4%
Q3 - 0:36.0DENLawson Layup (20 PTS)86
15.6%
92
84.4%
Q3 - 0:38.0DENMISS Lawson Layup84
11.5%
92
88.5%
Q3 - 0:43.0DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
12.9%
92
87.1%
Q3 - 0:45.0UTAMISS Okur 21' Jump Shot84
12.3%
92
87.7%
Q3 - 1:08UTABrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)84
11.4%
92
88.6%
Q3 - 1:09DENMISS Lawson 20' Jump Shot84
11.9%
92
88.1%
Q3 - 1:16DENAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)84
13.3%
92
86.7%
Q3 - 1:17UTAMISS Miles 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
12.7%
92
87.3%
Q3 - 1:39DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)84
11.4%
92
88.6%
Q3 - 1:54UTAMiles Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)81
7.8%
92
92.2%
Q3 - 2:11DENCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)81
13.9%
88
86.1%
Q3 - 2:11DENCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)80
13.4%
88
86.6%
Q3 - 2:28UTAOkur Layup (8 PTS) (Brewer 7 AST)79
11.8%
88
88.2%
Q3 - 2:50DENOkur STEAL (2 STL)79
13.9%
86
86.1%
Q3 - 2:58DENAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)79
16.2%
86
83.8%
Q3 - 2:59DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
14.5%
86
85.5%
Q3 - 3:09UTAKirilenko Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)79
16.9%
86
83.1%
Q3 - 3:21DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)79
14.3%
86
85.7%
Q3 - 3:21DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)78
13.9%
86
86.1%
Q3 - 3:31UTAMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)77
12.4%
86
87.6%
Q3 - 3:31UTAMISS Millsap Free Throw 1 of 277
12.9%
85
87.1%
Q3 - 3:40DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)77
12.2%
85
87.8%
Q3 - 3:48DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
8.9%
85
91.1%
Q3 - 3:50UTAMISS Millsap 14' Jump Shot74
8.5%
85
91.5%
Q3 - 4:05DENMartin Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)74
7.8%
85
92.2%
Q3 - 4:19DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
9.4%
85
90.6%
Q3 - 4:20UTAMISS Okur 19' Jump Shot74
8.9%
85
91.1%
Q3 - 4:38DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)74
7.8%
85
92.2%
Q3 - 4:38DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)73
7.5%
85
92.5%
Q3 - 4:44DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)72
6.8%
85
93.2%
Q3 - 4:45UTAMISS Miles 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
6.4%
85
93.6%
Q3 - 5:06DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)72
6.0%
85
94.0%
Q3 - 5:22UTAMiles 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)69
4.5%
85
95.5%
Q3 - 5:45DENAndersen Foul Turnover (P2.T13)69
6.0%
82
94.0%
Q3 - 5:52UTAD. Williams Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)69
7.2%
82
92.8%
Q3 - 6:08DENLawson 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS)69
6.5%
82
93.5%
Q3 - 6:15DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)67
5.6%
82
94.4%
Q3 - 6:17UTAMISS D. Williams Layup67
5.3%
82
94.7%
Q3 - 6:23UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)67
4.7%
82
95.3%
Q3 - 6:25DENMISS Martin 4' Jump Hook Shot67
5.0%
82
95.0%
Q3 - 6:36DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)67
5.6%
82
94.4%
Q3 - 6:37UTAMISS Kirilenko Dunk67
5.3%
82
94.7%
Q3 - 6:45UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)67
4.7%
82
95.3%
Q3 - 6:46UTAMISS Okur 20' Jump Shot67
5.3%
82
94.7%
Q3 - 7:03DENGraham Driving Layup (14 PTS)67
5.2%
82
94.8%
Q3 - 7:08UTAOkur Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)65
4.5%
82
95.5%
Q3 - 7:15DENOkur STEAL (1 STL)65
3.9%
82
96.1%
Q3 - 7:23DENNuggets Rebound65
4.5%
82
95.5%
Q3 - 7:23DENOkur BLOCK (1 BLK)65
4.0%
82
96.0%
Q3 - 7:37UTABoozer 7' Jump Hook Shot (13 PTS) (D. Williams 8 AST)65
4.5%
82
95.5%
Q3 - 7:47UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)65
5.2%
80
94.8%
Q3 - 7:49DENMISS Martin 10' Jump Shot65
5.4%
80
94.6%
Q3 - 7:59UTAD. Williams Foul Turnover (P2.T7)65
6.0%
80
94.0%
Q3 - 8:00UTABrewer Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (5 PTS)65
5.1%
80
94.9%
Q3 - 8:00UTAMISS Brewer Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 265
5.4%
79
94.6%
Q3 - 8:14DENGraham 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)65
6.2%
79
93.8%
Q3 - 8:24DENGraham REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)63
5.4%
79
94.6%
Q3 - 8:25UTAMISS D. Williams 12' Jump Shot63
5.2%
79
94.8%
Q3 - 8:46DENGraham REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)63
4.7%
79
95.3%
Q3 - 8:46DENGraham Layup (10 PTS)63
4.7%
79
95.3%
Q3 - 8:47DENMISS Graham 11' Jump Shot61
3.7%
79
96.3%
Q3 - 9:02UTABoozer 8' Jump Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Kirilenko 2 AST)61
4.3%
79
95.7%
Q3 - 9:07DENKirilenko STEAL (4 STL)61
4.9%
77
95.1%
Q3 - 9:10DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)61
5.7%
77
94.3%
Q3 - 9:11UTAMISS Okur 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
5.4%
77
94.6%
Q3 - 9:27DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)61
4.9%
77
95.1%
Q3 - 9:27DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 1 of 260
4.8%
77
95.2%
Q3 - 9:42UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)60
4.9%
77
95.1%
Q3 - 9:47UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
6.5%
74
93.5%
Q3 - 9:49DEND. Williams BLOCK (2 BLK)60
6.7%
74
93.3%
Q3 - 10:02UTAKirilenko Slam Dunk (14 PTS) (D. Williams 6 AST)60
7.8%
74
92.2%
Q3 - 10:08UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
8.9%
72
91.1%
Q3 - 10:09DENMISS Martin 22' Jump Shot60
9.3%
72
90.7%
Q3 - 10:20DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)60
10.1%
72
89.9%
Q3 - 10:22UTAMISS Boozer Layup60
9.7%
72
90.3%
Q3 - 10:32DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)60
8.9%
72
91.1%
Q3 - 10:32DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 1 of 259
8.7%
72
91.3%
Q3 - 10:39UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)59
8.9%
72
91.1%
Q3 - 10:39UTAMISS D. Williams Free Throw 1 of 259
9.1%
71
90.9%
Q3 - 10:47DENGraham Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)59
8.9%
71
91.1%
Q3 - 11:07UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)57
8.2%
71
91.8%
Q3 - 11:26DENLawson Driving Layup (12 PTS)57
10.5%
68
89.5%
Q3 - 11:46UTAD. Williams 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Brewer 5 AST)55
9.3%
68
90.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN55
10.4%
66
89.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound55
11.9%
66
88.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0DENMISS Afflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
11.5%
66
88.5%
Q2 - 0:07.0UTAMillsap Foul Turnover (P1.T6)55
12.3%
66
87.7%
Q2 - 0:24.0UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
11.2%
66
88.8%
Q2 - 0:25.0DENMISS Afflalo 10' Running Jump Shot55
11.5%
66
88.5%
Q2 - 0:42.0UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)55
12.2%
66
87.8%
Q2 - 0:42.0UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)55
12.5%
65
87.5%
Q2 - 0:54.0DENMartin Alley Oop Dunk (16 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)55
14.1%
64
85.9%
Q2 - 0:55.0DENNuggets Rebound53
12.2%
64
87.8%
Q2 - 0:55.0DEND. Williams BLOCK (1 BLK)53
11.5%
64
88.5%
Q2 - 0:59.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)53
12.2%
64
87.8%
Q2 - 1:00UTAMISS Boozer Layup53
11.9%
64
88.1%
Q2 - 1:23UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
11.5%
64
88.5%
Q2 - 1:24DENAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)53
12.5%
64
87.5%
Q2 - 1:24DENMISS Allen Tip Shot53
11.8%
64
88.2%
Q2 - 1:26DENMillsap BLOCK (2 BLK)53
11.8%
64
88.2%
Q2 - 1:43UTAMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)53
12.5%
64
87.5%
Q2 - 1:43UTAMISS Millsap Free Throw 1 of 253
12.9%
63
87.1%
Q2 - 1:48DENKirilenko STEAL (3 STL)53
12.9%
63
87.1%
Q2 - 1:58UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)53
14.0%
63
86.0%
Q2 - 1:58UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)53
14.3%
62
85.7%
Q2 - 2:09DENLawson Layup (10 PTS) (Martin 3 AST)53
16.0%
61
84.0%
Q2 - 2:23UTAMillsap Layup (14 PTS) (D. Williams 5 AST)51
14.5%
61
85.5%
Q2 - 2:38DENMartin 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)51
16.0%
59
84.0%
Q2 - 2:50UTABoozer Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)49
14.4%
59
85.6%
Q2 - 2:56UTAMatthews REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)49
17.9%
56
82.1%
Q2 - 2:58UTAMISS Matthews Layup49
19.2%
56
80.8%
Q2 - 3:09UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
17.9%
56
82.1%
Q2 - 3:11DENMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
18.6%
56
81.4%
Q2 - 3:15UTAD. Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)49
20.3%
56
79.7%
Q2 - 3:16UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
17.9%
56
82.1%
Q2 - 3:18DENMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot49
18.6%
56
81.4%
Q2 - 3:47UTABoozer Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (D. Williams 4 AST)49
20.2%
56
79.8%
Q2 - 4:06DENMartin Running Slam Dunk (12 PTS)49
22.1%
54
77.9%
Q2 - 4:10UTABoozer Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)47
20.3%
54
79.7%
Q2 - 4:25DENNene Layup (4 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)47
18.2%
54
81.8%
Q2 - 4:43UTAD. Williams 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Kirilenko 1 AST)45
16.6%
54
83.4%
Q2 - 4:56UTAJAZZ Rebound45
18.2%
52
81.8%
Q2 - 4:56DENMISS Smith 13' Jump Shot45
18.8%
52
81.2%
Q2 - 5:03DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)45
20.5%
52
79.5%
Q2 - 5:04UTAMISS Matthews 3PT Jump Shot45
19.9%
52
80.1%
Q2 - 5:13UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)45
18.6%
52
81.4%
Q2 - 5:14DENMISS Afflalo 21' Jump Shot45
19.2%
52
80.8%
Q2 - 5:26UTABoozer Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)45
20.4%
52
79.6%
Q2 - 5:38UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
18.6%
52
81.4%
Q2 - 5:38UTAMISS Okur Layup45
19.9%
52
80.1%
Q2 - 5:49DENAfflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)45
18.6%
52
81.4%
Q2 - 6:02UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)42
15.8%
52
84.2%
Q2 - 6:02UTAMISS D. Williams Free Throw 1 of 242
16.0%
51
84.0%
Q2 - 6:16DENLawson Driving Layup (8 PTS)42
15.5%
51
84.5%
Q2 - 6:21DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
14.3%
51
85.7%
Q2 - 6:22UTAMISS Okur Dunk40
13.7%
51
86.3%
Q2 - 6:38UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
12.7%
51
87.3%
Q2 - 6:39DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 240
12.9%
51
87.1%
Q2 - 6:39DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)40
13.7%
51
86.3%
Q2 - 6:46DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
12.9%
51
87.1%
Q2 - 6:47UTAMISS D. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
12.4%
51
87.6%
Q2 - 7:00DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)39
11.4%
51
88.6%
Q2 - 7:05DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
9.6%
51
90.4%
Q2 - 7:07UTAMISS Matthews 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
9.3%
51
90.7%
Q2 - 7:18UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
8.7%
51
91.3%
Q2 - 7:19DENMISS Nene Layup36
9.0%
51
91.0%
Q2 - 7:21DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
9.6%
51
90.4%
Q2 - 7:22DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
9.6%
51
90.4%
Q2 - 7:22DENMISS Andersen Tip Shot36
9.0%
51
91.0%
Q2 - 7:24DENMISS Carter 3PT Jump Shot36
9.0%
51
91.0%
Q2 - 7:34DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
9.6%
51
90.4%
Q2 - 7:36UTAMISS Miles Dunk36
9.3%
51
90.7%
Q2 - 7:52DENSmith 7' Jump Shot (9 PTS)36
8.6%
51
91.4%
Q2 - 8:04UTAPrice REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
8.3%
51
91.7%
Q2 - 8:04UTAPrice Putback Slam Dunk (4 PTS)34
8.3%
51
91.7%
Q2 - 8:07UTAMISS Matthews Layup34
9.8%
49
90.2%
Q2 - 8:12DENPrice STEAL (1 STL)34
9.1%
49
90.9%
Q2 - 8:21UTAMillsap 18' Turnaround Fadeaway (12 PTS) (Price 1 AST)34
10.1%
49
89.9%
Q2 - 8:45DENAndersen 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)34
11.1%
47
88.9%
Q2 - 8:58UTAMatthews Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)32
10.0%
47
90.0%
Q2 - 8:58UTAMatthews Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)32
10.2%
46
89.8%
Q2 - 9:18DENAndersen Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)32
11.3%
45
88.7%
Q2 - 9:34UTAMillsap 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)30
10.3%
45
89.7%
Q2 - 9:49UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
11.3%
43
88.7%
Q2 - 9:50DENMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot30
11.6%
43
88.4%
Q2 - 10:03UTAOkur 7' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)30
12.8%
43
87.2%
Q2 - 10:20DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)30
13.9%
41
86.1%
Q2 - 10:20DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)29
13.6%
41
86.4%
Q2 - 10:40UTAMiles 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Okur 1 AST)28
12.8%
41
87.2%
Q2 - 10:59UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
15.1%
38
84.9%
Q2 - 11:00DENMISS Martin 19' Jump Shot28
15.6%
38
84.4%
Q2 - 11:12DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)28
16.9%
38
83.1%
Q2 - 11:13UTAMISS Matthews 20' Jump Shot28
16.5%
38
83.5%
Q2 - 11:28UTAJAZZ Rebound28
15.5%
38
84.5%
Q2 - 11:28DENMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot28
15.9%
38
84.1%
Q2 - 11:39DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)28
16.9%
38
83.1%
Q2 - 11:41UTAMISS Miles Layup28
16.5%
38
83.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN28
15.5%
38
84.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound28
16.9%
38
83.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0DENMISS Andersen 84' 3PT Jump Shot28
16.3%
38
83.7%
Q1 - 0:02.0DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
17.0%
38
83.0%
Q1 - 0:03.0UTAMISS Price 22' Jump Shot28
16.7%
38
83.3%
Q1 - 0:08.0DENSmith Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)28
16.0%
38
84.0%
Q1 - 0:29.0UTAPrice Driving Layup (2 PTS)28
17.0%
38
83.0%
Q1 - 0:33.0DENMartin Driving Layup (10 PTS)28
18.8%
36
81.2%
Q1 - 0:44.0UTAMiles Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)26
17.0%
36
83.0%
Q1 - 1:02DENCarter Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T7)26
16.4%
36
83.6%
Q1 - 1:07DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
17.4%
36
82.6%
Q1 - 1:08UTAMISS Price 12' Jump Shot26
17.1%
36
82.9%
Q1 - 1:27DENCarter 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)26
16.4%
36
83.6%
Q1 - 1:42UTAMiles 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Millsap 3 AST)24
14.8%
36
85.2%
Q1 - 1:58DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)24
16.4%
34
83.6%
Q1 - 2:08UTAMillsap Layup (8 PTS) (Brewer 4 AST)21
14.1%
34
85.9%
Q1 - 2:27DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)21
15.4%
32
84.6%
Q1 - 2:27DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 220
15.0%
32
85.0%
Q1 - 2:38UTABrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)20
15.2%
32
84.8%
Q1 - 2:38UTABrewer Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)20
15.5%
31
84.5%
Q1 - 2:48DENCarter Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)20
16.7%
30
83.3%
Q1 - 2:57DENNuggets Rebound20
17.8%
30
82.2%
Q1 - 2:58DENMISS Smith 22' Jump Shot20
17.0%
30
83.0%
Q1 - 3:22UTAD. Williams Layup (5 PTS) (Brewer 3 AST)20
18.0%
30
82.0%
Q1 - 3:37DENSmith Driving Layup (2 PTS)20
19.4%
28
80.6%
Q1 - 3:47UTAKirilenko 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Brewer 2 AST)18
18.0%
28
82.0%
Q1 - 3:52UTABrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
20.9%
25
79.1%
Q1 - 3:53UTAMISS D. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
22.0%
25
78.0%
Q1 - 4:02UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
20.9%
25
79.1%
Q1 - 4:04DENBoozer BLOCK (1 BLK)18
21.4%
25
78.6%
Q1 - 4:31UTABoozer Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Brewer 1 AST)18
22.5%
25
77.5%
Q1 - 4:44DENNene Traveling Turnover (P3.T5)18
24.0%
23
76.0%
Q1 - 4:58UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)18
25.8%
23
74.2%
Q1 - 4:58UTAMISS D. Williams Free Throw 1 of 218
26.1%
22
73.9%
Q1 - 5:04DENLawson Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)18
25.9%
22
74.1%
Q1 - 5:20UTAMillsap 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (D. Williams 3 AST)18
27.7%
22
72.3%
Q1 - 5:36DENGraham Driving Layup (6 PTS)18
29.3%
20
70.7%
Q1 - 5:42DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
27.7%
20
72.3%
Q1 - 5:44UTAMISS Brewer Dunk16
27.1%
20
72.9%
Q1 - 5:49DENKirilenko STEAL (2 STL)16
25.8%
20
74.2%
Q1 - 5:58DENGraham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
27.7%
20
72.3%
Q1 - 5:59UTAMISS Brewer 21' Jump Shot16
27.1%
20
72.9%
Q1 - 6:07DENKirilenko STEAL (1 STL)16
25.8%
20
74.2%
Q1 - 6:19UTAMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
27.5%
20
72.5%
Q1 - 6:19UTAMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
28.0%
19
72.0%
Q1 - 6:35DENMartin 7' Jump Hook Shot (7 PTS)16
29.2%
18
70.8%
Q1 - 6:55UTABrewer Layup (2 PTS) (D. Williams 2 AST)14
27.6%
18
72.4%
Q1 - 6:59DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
29.2%
16
70.8%
Q1 - 6:59DENMartin Layup (5 PTS)14
29.2%
16
70.8%
Q1 - 7:01DENMillsap BLOCK (1 BLK)12
26.3%
16
73.7%
Q1 - 7:16UTAMillsap Layup (2 PTS) (D. Williams 1 AST)12
27.5%
16
72.5%
Q1 - 7:30DENNene Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)12
29.1%
14
70.9%
Q1 - 7:49UTAD. Williams Driving Layup (2 PTS)12
30.9%
14
69.1%
Q1 - 7:58UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
32.6%
12
67.4%
Q1 - 7:59DENMISS Martin 17' Jump Shot12
33.2%
12
66.8%
Q1 - 8:12UTABoozer 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Millsap 2 AST)12
34.3%
12
65.7%
Q1 - 8:27DENLawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)12
36.3%
10
63.7%
Q1 - 8:41UTAKirilenko Layup (6 PTS)9
32.5%
10
67.5%
Q1 - 8:52UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
34.4%
8
65.6%
Q1 - 8:53DENMISS Afflalo 15' Turnaround Jump Shot9
34.9%
8
65.1%
Q1 - 9:04UTAKirilenko Layup (4 PTS) (Millsap 1 AST)9
36.2%
8
63.8%
Q1 - 9:22DENGraham 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)9
38.2%
6
61.8%
Q1 - 9:35UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
36.2%
6
63.8%
Q1 - 9:35UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
36.6%
5
63.4%
Q1 - 9:38UTAJAZZ Rebound7
38.2%
4
61.8%
Q1 - 9:41DENMISS Martin 19' Jump Shot7
38.7%
4
61.3%
Q1 - 9:48DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
40.0%
4
60.0%
Q1 - 9:51UTAMISS Brewer 21' Jump Shot7
39.4%
4
60.6%
Q1 - 10:14DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)7
37.6%
4
62.4%
Q1 - 10:14DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 26
37.0%
4
63.0%
Q1 - 10:23UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
37.8%
4
62.2%
Q1 - 10:23UTAOkur Tip Shot (4 PTS)6
37.8%
4
62.2%
Q1 - 10:25UTAMISS D. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
40.8%
2
59.2%
Q1 - 10:37DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
39.4%
2
60.6%
Q1 - 10:37DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
38.8%
2
61.2%
Q1 - 10:45UTAOkur Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
37.8%
2
62.2%
Q1 - 10:45UTAOkur Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
38.1%
1
61.9%
Q1 - 11:03DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
38.5%
0
61.5%
Q1 - 11:03DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
38.1%
0
61.9%
Q1 - 11:17UTAOkur Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)2
36.9%
0
63.1%
Q1 - 11:36DENGraham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
35.4%
0
64.6%
Q1 - 11:36DENGraham Tip Shot (2 PTS)2
35.4%
0
64.6%
Q1 - 11:38DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
32.8%
0
67.2%
Q1 - 12:00UTAJump Ball Okur vs. Nene: Tip to Lawson0
33.8%
0
66.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.06 53.0%
UTA
1.15 57.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
24
37
65%
UTA
25
40
63%
Midrange
DEN
9
30
30%
UTA
10
24
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
4
6.0
16
25%
38%
UTA
5
7.5
17
29%
44%
Free Throws
DEN
28
34
82%
UTA
31
40
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Lawson2569%12.5 / 18
J. Smith1948%9.5 / 20
K. Martin1647%8.0 / 17
J. Graham1680%8.0 / 10
C. Andersen1583%7.5 / 9
A. Carter633%3.0 / 9
Nene450%2.0 / 4
A. Afflalo317%1.5 / 9
M. Allen250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Kirilenko2285%11.0 / 13
D. Williams2252%11.0 / 21
C. Boozer1979%9.5 / 12
P. Millsap1680%8.0 / 10
C. Miles1260%6.0 / 10
M. Okur836%4.0 / 11
W. Matthews732%3.5 / 11
R. Brewer650%3.0 / 6
R. Price450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
81
+18
-20
99
UTA
89
+12
-12
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.06 53.0%
UTA
1.15 57.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.9
110.8
DEN 105.0
UTA 114.9 +9.9
Pace
94.7
93.8
DEN 103.6 +5.1
UTA 98.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
15.5
DEN 13.9 +0.7
UTA 14.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.9%
52.4%
DEN 47.0%
UTA 52.5% +5.5%
TO %
14.2%
15.5%
DEN 17.0%
UTA 11.6% +5.4%
ORB %
26.1%
26.8%
DEN 27.0%
UTA 27.5% +0.5%
FTrt
37.6
34.0
DEN 41.0
UTA 49.4 +8.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.0%
67.8%
DEN 37.8%
UTA 67.5% +29.7%
STL %
8.7%
8.8%
DEN 6.9%
UTA 9.9% +3.0%
BLK %
7.9%
8.1%
DEN 12.5% +0.6%
UTA 11.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.06 and 3.06.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.9%
55.2%
DEN 53.0%
UTA 57.4% +4.4%
Rim FG%
61.0%
61.0%
DEN 64.9% +2.4%
UTA 62.5%
Mid FG%
39.6%
42.6%
DEN 30.0%
UTA 41.7% +11.7%
3P %
35.9%
36.4%
DEN 25.0%
UTA 29.4% +4.4%
FT %
77.2%
74.1%
DEN 82.4% +4.9%
UTA 77.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.5%
41.4%
DEN 44.6%
UTA 49.4% +4.8%
Mid Att. %
39.8%
40.2%
DEN 36.1%
UTA 29.6% +6.5%
3P Att. %
22.7%
18.4%
DEN 19.3%
UTA 21.0% +1.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENUTA
Possessions101101
Possession Minutes23.424.6
Points106116
Rebounds3938
Assists1427
Steals710
Blocks88
Turnovers (Team)20 (0)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (8)11 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (1)27 (3)
Field Goals37-8340-81
At-the-Rim FG24-3725-40
Midrange FG9-3010-24
2-Point FG33-6735-64
3-Point FG4-165-17
Free Throws28-3431-40
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 225 · 32
40.5
16
47%
13
3
2
2
6
4
1
12
4-6
67%
6-14
43%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 195 · 22
36.5
25
69%
4
4
1
0
2
3
2
2
8-11
73%
7-11
64%
1-2
50%
F · 6'7" 230 · 28
31.6
16
80%
5
0
0
0
1
4
3
2
2-2
100%
7-8
88%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 210 · 24
21.7
3
17%
0
2
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-6
0%
1-3
33%
C · 6'11" 250 · 27
20.6
4
50%
2
1
1
0
4
2
1
1
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 24
32.7
19
48%
5
3
2
1
2
4
0
5
5-5
100%
4-12
33%
2-6
33%
G · 6'1" 190 · 35
21.5
6
33%
3
1
0
2
2
4
0
3
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
0-3
0%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32
21.4
15
83%
4
0
0
2
2
5
1
3
5-6
83%
5-6
83%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 255 · 32
10.8
2
50%
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 247 · 24
2.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 210 · 33
F · 6'8" 240 · 26
#32 · F · 6'8" 225 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
106
53%
39
14
7
8
20
0
10
29
28-34
82%
33-67
49%
4-16
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.