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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 7, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Kings36%103104
16Raptors64%107115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 20.4
39.2
30.9
11
54%
4
9
2
1
1
5
1
3
5-5
100%
3-8
6-12
38%
50%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 27.0
37.2
32.4
24
52%
7
2
2
1
0
0
1
6
9-12
75%
6-12
4-9
50%
46%
1-6
17%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 21.8
35.9
25.0
14
41%
11
2
1
0
1
2
7
4
2-2
100%
6-15
4-8
40%
51%
0-1
0%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 22.0
27.4
30.0
13
53%
5
0
0
1
0
1
2
3
2-5
40%
1-7
3-7
14%
50%
3-3
100%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.6
19.0
30.0
3
26%
7
1
0
1
0
2
2
5
1-2
50%
1-5
4-7
20%
52%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 30.2
28.6
11.0
11
51%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
3-7
1-3
43%
46%
1-3
33%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 23.6
22.1
23.0
10
60%
6
1
1
0
1
0
2
4
2-3
67%
4-7
4-8
57%
49%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.6
21.4
18.7
8
56%
1
4
3
1
1
0
1
0
2-5
40%
3-4
2-4
75%
51%
0-1
0%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 25.8
8.4
7.2
8
80%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
4-5
1-2
80%
47%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.5
0.6
6.9
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 22.9
18.3
0
1-3
51%
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 23.7
16.3
1
2-5
47%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 32.5
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 25.2
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 28.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 25.9
41.2
37.5
36
79%
11
5
0
1
1
2
3
8
8-11
73%
14-18
9-18
78%
53%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 30.9
37.2
10.1
16
51%
3
5
1
0
1
3
2
1
2-4
50%
4-9
1-2
44%
47%
2-5
40%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 24.3
37.0
33.3
22
66%
8
3
0
1
1
3
1
7
3-4
75%
8-10
5-10
80%
50%
1-5
20%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.3
28.6
31.5
7
41%
5
9
1
1
0
2
0
5
1-1
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
52%
0-2
0%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 20.5
24.0
14.2
7
54%
2
0
1
0
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 26.0
22.4
31.2
16
102%
5
4
1
1
1
3
1
4
2-2
100%
4-4
2-5
100%
49%
2-3
67%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.4
20.9
23.3
7
50%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
56%
1-2
50%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 22.8
17.2
17.4
0
0%
3
0
0
1
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
60%
0-0
-
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23.6
11.5
28.1
4
50%
1
0
2
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
4-8
50%
51%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 28.2
6.2
0
1-1
50%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.7
4.8
0
1-2
53%
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.6
1.5
0
0-0
55%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 23.9
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 29.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.