FinalWin Prob.pScore
2721%91
117
279%102
123
ORTG#PossPace
NOH
120.69795.9
ORL logo ORL
125.59899.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOHORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL117
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)117
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0NOHMISS Collison 26' 3PT Jump Shot117
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)117
0.3%
123
99.7%
Q4 - 0:18.0ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)117
0.4%
122
99.6%
Q4 - 0:18.0ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)117
0.7%
121
99.3%
Q4 - 0:20.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 2117
2.0%
121
98.0%
Q4 - 0:20.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 2117
1.2%
121
98.8%
Q4 - 0:20.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)117
0.7%
121
99.3%
Q4 - 0:20.0NOHMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot117
1.0%
121
99.0%
Q4 - 0:24.0ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)117
3.0%
121
97.0%
Q4 - 0:24.0ORLMISS Lewis Free Throw 1 of 2117
3.5%
120
96.5%
Q4 - 0:25.0NOHStojakovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS)117
2.8%
120
97.2%
Q4 - 0:31.0ORLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)114
0.7%
120
99.3%
Q4 - 0:31.0ORLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)114
0.8%
119
99.2%
Q4 - 0:32.0NOHCollison 9' Jump Shot (27 PTS)114
1.4%
118
98.6%
Q4 - 0:38.0ORLCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (48 PTS)112
1.0%
118
99.0%
Q4 - 0:38.0ORLCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (47 PTS)112
1.1%
117
98.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0NOHPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)112
2.8%
116
97.2%
Q4 - 0:51.0NOHPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)111
2.6%
116
97.4%
Q4 - 1:00ORLPietrus Traveling Turnover (P1.T14)110
1.9%
116
98.1%
Q4 - 1:01ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)110
1.0%
116
99.0%
Q4 - 1:02ORLMISS Carter 27' 3PT Jump Shot110
1.6%
116
98.4%
Q4 - 1:16ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)110
1.4%
116
98.6%
Q4 - 1:18NOHMISS West Layup110
1.8%
116
98.2%
Q4 - 1:28ORLCarter 15' Fadeaway Jumper (46 PTS)110
3.2%
116
96.8%
Q4 - 1:42ORLMAGIC Rebound110
5.7%
114
94.3%
Q4 - 1:43ORLMISS Williams Driving Layup110
8.3%
114
91.7%
Q4 - 1:48ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)110
5.9%
114
94.1%
Q4 - 1:48NOHMISS Stojakovic 28' 3PT Jump Shot110
6.9%
114
93.1%
Q4 - 2:17ORLCarter 25' 3PT Jump Shot (44 PTS)110
10.7%
114
89.3%
Q4 - 2:43NOHCollison Driving Layup (25 PTS)110
21.2%
111
78.8%
Q4 - 2:53NOHStojakovic Free Throw Technical (26 PTS)108
16.9%
111
83.1%
Q4 - 3:00ORLCarter Free Throw 1 of 1 (41 PTS)107
11.4%
111
88.6%
Q4 - 3:15ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)107
21.8%
108
78.2%
Q4 - 3:16NOHMISS Collison 16' Jump Shot107
25.2%
108
74.8%
Q4 - 3:40ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)107
31.6%
108
68.4%
Q4 - 3:40ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)107
34.4%
107
65.6%
Q4 - 3:55ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)107
39.8%
106
60.2%
Q4 - 3:59NOHMISS Collison Free Throw 2 of 2107
41.1%
106
58.9%
Q4 - 3:59NOHCollison Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)107
48.0%
106
52.0%
Q4 - 4:06NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)106
40.5%
106
59.5%
Q4 - 4:07ORLMISS Pietrus 3PT Jump Shot106
37.5%
106
62.5%
Q4 - 4:19ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)106
31.0%
106
69.0%
Q4 - 4:20NOHMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot106
33.8%
106
66.2%
Q4 - 4:37NOHSongaila REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)106
40.6%
106
59.4%
Q4 - 4:37ORLMISS Carter 26' 3PT Jump Shot106
37.6%
106
62.4%
Q4 - 4:51ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)106
31.0%
106
69.0%
Q4 - 4:52NOHMISS Collison 23' Jump Shot106
33.8%
106
66.2%
Q4 - 5:23ORLCarter 25' 3PT Jump Shot (38 PTS)106
38.8%
106
61.2%
Q4 - 5:36NOHWest 12' Fadeaway Jumper (27 PTS) (Stojakovic 5 AST)106
55.3%
103
44.7%
Q4 - 5:56ORLCarter 15' Jump Shot (35 PTS)104
47.3%
103
52.7%
Q4 - 6:08NOHSongaila 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T12)104
51.0%
101
49.0%
Q4 - 6:20ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P5.T13)104
59.1%
101
40.9%
Q4 - 6:21ORLHoward Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (23 PTS)104
51.1%
101
48.9%
Q4 - 6:21ORLHoward Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (22 PTS)104
54.0%
100
46.0%
Q4 - 6:28ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)104
65.8%
99
34.2%
Q4 - 6:29NOHMISS Collison 16' Jump Shot104
68.0%
99
32.0%
Q4 - 6:42NOHHornets Rebound104
72.7%
99
27.3%
Q4 - 6:42ORLMISS Carter 27' 3PT Jump Shot104
70.7%
99
29.3%
Q4 - 6:51ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)104
65.9%
99
34.1%
Q4 - 6:53NOHMISS Posey Driving Reverse Layup104
68.1%
99
31.9%
Q4 - 7:14ORLCarter 26' 3PT Jump Shot (33 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)104
68.4%
99
31.6%
Q4 - 7:22ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)104
78.7%
96
21.3%
Q4 - 7:23NOHMISS West 9' Jump Shot104
80.2%
96
19.8%
Q4 - 7:53ORLPietrus 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)104
83.5%
96
16.5%
Q4 - 8:09NOHSongaila 6' Hook Shot (10 PTS)104
87.0%
93
13.0%
Q4 - 8:10NOHSongaila REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)102
83.6%
93
16.4%
Q4 - 8:12NOHMISS Songaila 10' Jump Shot102
81.2%
93
18.8%
Q4 - 8:29NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)102
83.8%
93
16.2%
Q4 - 8:29ORLMISS Lewis 11' Jump Shot102
82.7%
93
17.3%
Q4 - 8:48NOHStojakovic 9' Running Jump Shot (25 PTS)102
80.2%
93
19.8%
Q4 - 9:01ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)100
72.3%
93
27.7%
Q4 - 9:01ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)100
73.9%
92
26.1%
Q4 - 9:15NOHStojakovic 16' Jump Shot (23 PTS)100
77.0%
91
23.0%
Q4 - 9:40ORLHoward 12' Hook Shot (19 PTS)98
72.5%
91
27.5%
Q4 - 9:59NOHGray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)98
77.2%
89
22.8%
Q4 - 9:59NOHGray Tip Shot (4 PTS)98
77.2%
89
22.8%
Q4 - 10:01NOHMISS Collison 15' Jump Shot96
66.0%
89
34.0%
Q4 - 10:25NOHHornets Rebound96
69.7%
89
30.3%
Q4 - 10:26ORLMISS Pietrus 26' 3PT Jump Shot96
68.2%
89
31.8%
Q4 - 10:38NOHCollison 14' Jump Shot (22 PTS)96
64.7%
89
35.3%
Q4 - 10:59NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)94
59.5%
89
40.5%
Q4 - 10:59ORLMISS Howard 14' Jump Bank Shot94
57.8%
89
42.2%
Q4 - 11:17ORLMAGIC Rebound94
51.8%
89
48.2%
Q4 - 11:17ORLMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot94
55.4%
89
44.6%
Q4 - 11:27ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)94
51.8%
89
48.2%
Q4 - 11:28NOHMISS Stojakovic 20' Jump Shot94
53.4%
89
46.6%
Q4 - 11:41ORLHoward 16' Jump Bank Shot (17 PTS)94
57.0%
89
43.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL94
62.3%
87
37.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound94
62.3%
87
37.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Williams 31' 3PT Jump Shot94
65.7%
87
34.3%
Q3 - 0:03.0NOHCollison Layup (20 PTS)94
60.4%
87
39.6%
Q3 - 0:11.0ORLCarter Driving Layup (30 PTS)92
55.0%
87
45.0%
Q3 - 0:22.0NOHPosey Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)92
60.5%
85
39.5%
Q3 - 0:26.0ORLLewis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)89
50.0%
85
50.0%
Q3 - 0:44.0ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
45.4%
85
54.6%
Q3 - 0:44.0NOHMISS West 17' Fadeaway Jumper89
46.8%
85
53.2%
Q3 - 1:01NOHSongaila REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)89
48.4%
85
51.6%
Q3 - 1:01ORLMISS Carter 21' Jump Shot89
47.0%
85
53.0%
Q3 - 1:10NOHCollison Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P4.T11)89
43.9%
85
56.1%
Q3 - 1:21NOHHornets Rebound89
48.5%
85
51.5%
Q3 - 1:21ORLMISS Barnes 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
47.1%
85
52.9%
Q3 - 1:35NOHWest 18' Fadeaway Jumper (25 PTS)89
44.0%
85
56.0%
Q3 - 1:56ORLNelson 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Barnes 3 AST)87
38.9%
85
61.1%
Q3 - 2:16NOHStojakovic 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)87
41.9%
83
58.1%
Q3 - 2:28NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)84
33.1%
83
66.9%
Q3 - 2:28ORLMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
31.9%
83
68.1%
Q3 - 2:34ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
29.1%
83
70.9%
Q3 - 2:35NOHMISS Posey 20' Jump Shot84
30.3%
83
69.7%
Q3 - 3:00ORLCarter Layup (28 PTS)84
33.2%
83
66.8%
Q3 - 3:14ORLMAGIC Rebound84
35.8%
81
64.2%
Q3 - 3:14ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
38.9%
81
61.1%
Q3 - 3:21ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
35.8%
81
64.2%
Q3 - 3:21NOHMISS Songaila 7' Running Bank Shot84
37.2%
81
62.8%
Q3 - 3:35ORLBarnes 10' Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)84
40.4%
81
59.6%
Q3 - 3:58NOHWest Layup (23 PTS)84
44.5%
79
55.5%
Q3 - 3:59NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
40.4%
79
59.6%
Q3 - 4:00NOHMISS Songaila 15' Jump Shot82
37.2%
79
62.8%
Q3 - 4:18ORLCarter Driving Layup (26 PTS)82
39.8%
79
60.2%
Q3 - 4:39NOHPeterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Stojakovic 3 AST)82
43.4%
77
56.6%
Q3 - 4:57ORLCarter Driving Layup (24 PTS)79
35.7%
77
64.3%
Q3 - 5:15NOHStojakovic 10' Jump Shot (18 PTS)79
37.8%
75
62.2%
Q3 - 5:41ORLHoward Slam Dunk (15 PTS) (Nelson 10 AST)77
34.5%
75
65.5%
Q3 - 5:50NOHHoward STEAL (1 STL)77
37.9%
73
62.1%
Q3 - 6:02NOHHornets Rebound77
40.8%
73
59.2%
Q3 - 6:02ORLMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot77
39.5%
73
60.5%
Q3 - 6:13ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)77
36.6%
73
63.4%
Q3 - 6:14NOHMISS West 20' Jump Shot77
37.9%
73
62.1%
Q3 - 6:33ORLNelson Driving Layup (2 PTS)77
40.9%
73
59.1%
Q3 - 6:35ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
44.4%
71
55.6%
Q3 - 6:37NOHHoward BLOCK (4 BLK)77
45.8%
71
54.2%
Q3 - 6:51ORLCarter Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)77
48.9%
71
51.1%
Q3 - 7:10NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)77
54.2%
68
45.8%
Q3 - 7:28ORLCarter Layup (19 PTS)74
46.9%
68
53.1%
Q3 - 7:43NOHWest Traveling Turnover (P3.T9)74
50.5%
66
49.5%
Q3 - 7:55ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)74
54.8%
66
45.2%
Q3 - 7:55ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)74
55.4%
65
44.6%
Q3 - 8:04ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
56.8%
64
43.2%
Q3 - 8:04NOHMISS Collison 9' Jump Shot74
58.0%
64
42.0%
Q3 - 8:15NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
60.8%
64
39.2%
Q3 - 8:16ORLMISS Nelson 17' Jump Shot74
59.6%
64
40.4%
Q3 - 8:27ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)74
56.8%
64
43.2%
Q3 - 8:27NOHMISS West 12' Jump Shot74
58.1%
64
41.9%
Q3 - 8:40ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T11)74
60.8%
64
39.2%
Q3 - 8:50ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
56.9%
64
43.1%
Q3 - 8:53NOHHoward BLOCK (3 BLK)74
58.1%
64
41.9%
Q3 - 9:07NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
59.3%
64
40.7%
Q3 - 9:08ORLMISS Nelson Layup74
58.2%
64
41.8%
Q3 - 9:17NOHHornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)74
55.7%
64
44.3%
Q3 - 9:17NOHHornets Rebound74
59.4%
64
40.6%
Q3 - 9:17NOHMISS Stojakovic 32' 3PT Jump Shot74
56.8%
64
43.2%
Q3 - 9:45ORLCarter 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Nelson 9 AST)74
59.5%
64
40.5%
Q3 - 10:03NOHHornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)74
64.3%
61
35.7%
Q3 - 10:03NOHHornets Rebound74
67.5%
61
32.5%
Q3 - 10:03NOHMISS Peterson 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
65.3%
61
34.7%
Q3 - 10:28ORLLewis 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nelson 8 AST)74
67.7%
61
32.3%
Q3 - 10:39NOHCollison 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Okafor 1 AST)74
73.6%
58
26.4%
Q3 - 10:54ORLLewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nelson 7 AST)72
70.8%
58
29.2%
Q3 - 11:04ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
74.4%
55
25.6%
Q3 - 11:06NOHMISS Okafor Alley Oop Dunk72
75.2%
55
24.8%
Q3 - 11:13NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
77.1%
55
22.9%
Q3 - 11:14ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
76.3%
55
23.7%
Q3 - 11:42NOHWest 10' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS)72
74.5%
55
25.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL70
72.0%
55
28.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound70
68.9%
55
31.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Nelson 17' Jump Shot70
71.0%
55
29.0%
Q2 - 0:03.0NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)70
67.5%
55
32.5%
Q2 - 0:09.0ORLNelson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)67
60.6%
55
39.4%
Q2 - 0:28.0NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)67
58.2%
55
41.8%
Q2 - 0:35.0NOHCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
50.8%
55
49.2%
Q2 - 0:35.0ORLMISS Carter 18' Jump Shot64
50.0%
55
50.0%
Q2 - 0:47.0NOHPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (West 3 AST)64
48.2%
55
51.8%
Q2 - 1:06ORLCarter Layup (14 PTS)61
39.9%
55
60.1%
Q2 - 1:22ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)61
44.0%
53
56.0%
Q2 - 1:22NOHMISS Collison 8' Jump Shot61
44.7%
53
55.3%
Q2 - 1:40ORLCarter 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)61
46.4%
53
53.6%
Q2 - 1:52NOHWest 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Collison 7 AST)61
53.9%
50
46.1%
Q2 - 2:03ORLHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)59
48.8%
50
51.2%
Q2 - 2:05ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)59
45.4%
50
54.6%
Q2 - 2:05NOHMISS Songaila 7' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot59
46.5%
50
53.5%
Q2 - 2:31ORLLewis 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)59
48.9%
50
51.1%
Q2 - 2:46ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)59
52.0%
48
48.0%
Q2 - 2:47NOHMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot59
53.0%
48
47.0%
Q2 - 2:50NOHHornets Rebound59
55.3%
48
44.7%
Q2 - 2:50NOHHoward BLOCK (2 BLK)59
53.0%
48
47.0%
Q2 - 3:16ORLLewis 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)59
54.2%
48
45.8%
Q2 - 3:39NOHCollison Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)59
59.8%
45
40.2%
Q2 - 3:57NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
54.2%
45
45.8%
Q2 - 3:57ORLMISS Lewis 15' Jump Shot56
53.1%
45
46.9%
Q2 - 4:23NOHWright Driving Layup (2 PTS)56
49.2%
45
50.8%
Q2 - 4:32NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
46.4%
45
53.6%
Q2 - 4:33ORLMISS Bass 20' Jump Shot54
45.4%
45
54.6%
Q2 - 4:45NOHSongaila 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Collison 6 AST)54
43.1%
45
56.9%
Q2 - 5:08NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
39.5%
45
60.5%
Q2 - 5:09ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 252
39.1%
45
60.9%
Q2 - 5:09ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)52
37.6%
45
62.4%
Q2 - 5:09ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)52
39.6%
44
60.4%
Q2 - 5:10ORLMISS Carter 3PT Jump Shot52
41.5%
44
58.5%
Q2 - 5:32NOHSongaila 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)52
39.6%
44
60.4%
Q2 - 5:49ORLCarter 5' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS)50
36.7%
44
63.3%
Q2 - 6:08NOHWest Layup (8 PTS)50
38.5%
42
61.5%
Q2 - 6:24NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
36.4%
42
63.6%
Q2 - 6:25ORLMISS Pietrus Free Throw 1 of 148
35.9%
42
64.1%
Q2 - 6:29NOHWilliams STEAL (1 STL)48
38.6%
40
61.4%
Q2 - 6:44ORLWilliams 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)48
41.9%
40
58.1%
Q2 - 6:57NOHStojakovic Layup (16 PTS) (Songaila 1 AST)48
44.3%
38
55.7%
Q2 - 7:12NOHSongaila REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
40.5%
38
59.5%
Q2 - 7:17ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)46
37.7%
38
62.3%
Q2 - 7:17ORLMISS Gortat Layup46
39.6%
38
60.4%
Q2 - 7:18ORLMISS Gortat Layup46
39.6%
38
60.4%
Q2 - 7:33NOHPosey 5' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)46
37.7%
38
62.3%
Q2 - 7:58ORLGortat Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)44
35.3%
38
64.7%
Q2 - 8:11NOHStojakovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)44
36.6%
36
63.4%
Q2 - 8:11NOHMISS Stojakovic Free Throw 1 of 243
36.4%
36
63.6%
Q2 - 8:19NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
36.7%
36
63.3%
Q2 - 8:20ORLMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot43
35.9%
36
64.1%
Q2 - 8:35NOHSongaila REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)43
34.2%
36
65.8%
Q2 - 8:35NOHSongaila Tip Shot (4 PTS)43
34.2%
36
65.8%
Q2 - 8:38NOHMISS Collison 14' Jump Shot41
30.1%
36
69.9%
Q2 - 8:45NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
31.8%
36
68.2%
Q2 - 8:45ORLMISS Pietrus 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
31.1%
36
68.9%
Q2 - 8:49ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
29.4%
36
70.6%
Q2 - 8:50ORLMISS Pietrus 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
31.1%
36
68.9%
Q2 - 8:58ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
29.4%
36
70.6%
Q2 - 9:00NOHBass BLOCK (1 BLK)41
30.1%
36
69.9%
Q2 - 9:20ORLBass 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)41
31.1%
36
68.9%
Q2 - 9:35NOHSongaila 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Collison 5 AST)41
33.3%
34
66.7%
Q2 - 9:49ORLPietrus Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)39
31.1%
34
68.9%
Q2 - 9:49ORLMISS Pietrus Free Throw 1 of 239
31.7%
33
68.3%
Q2 - 10:01ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
30.7%
33
69.3%
Q2 - 10:03NOHMISS Collison Free Throw 1 of 139
31.0%
33
69.0%
Q2 - 10:06ORLWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)37
28.7%
33
71.3%
Q2 - 10:18NOHStojakovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Collison 4 AST)37
26.5%
33
73.5%
Q2 - 10:26ORLPietrus Driving Layup (2 PTS)34
22.8%
33
77.2%
Q2 - 10:41NOHRedick STEAL (1 STL)34
24.5%
31
75.5%
Q2 - 10:51ORLWilliams 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)34
26.6%
31
73.4%
Q2 - 10:56ORLBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
30.7%
28
69.3%
Q2 - 11:11NOHMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot34
31.1%
28
68.9%
Q2 - 11:26ORLBass Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)34
32.8%
28
67.2%
Q2 - 11:32NOHGray Dunk (2 PTS) (Stojakovic 2 AST)34
30.5%
28
69.5%
Q2 - 11:42NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)32
28.4%
28
71.6%
Q2 - 11:42ORLMISS Redick 19' Jump Shot32
27.8%
28
72.2%
Q2 - 11:55NOHGray Foul Turnover (P1.T4)32
26.3%
28
73.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL32
28.5%
28
71.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound32
26.3%
28
73.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Barnes 19' Jump Shot32
27.8%
28
72.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0NOHBass STEAL (1 STL)32
26.0%
28
74.0%
Q1 - 0:06.0NOHCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
27.5%
28
72.5%
Q1 - 0:06.0NOHMISS Collison 18' Jump Shot32
26.4%
28
73.6%
Q1 - 0:27.0ORLBass 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)32
27.5%
28
72.5%
Q1 - 0:36.0NOHCollison 8' Jump Shot (11 PTS)32
30.0%
26
70.0%
Q1 - 0:44.0ORLWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)30
27.6%
26
72.4%
Q1 - 1:00NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)30
26.0%
26
74.0%
Q1 - 1:00NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)29
25.8%
26
74.2%
Q1 - 1:11NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)28
23.4%
26
76.6%
Q1 - 1:12ORLMISS Howard 9' Jump Hook Shot28
23.0%
26
77.0%
Q1 - 1:24NOHStojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (West 2 AST)28
22.2%
26
77.8%
Q1 - 1:40ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)25
18.7%
26
81.3%
Q1 - 1:56ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
22.2%
23
77.8%
Q1 - 1:57NOHMISS Collison 20' Jump Shot25
22.6%
23
77.4%
Q1 - 2:19ORLWilliams 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
23.5%
23
76.5%
Q1 - 2:25ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
25.5%
21
74.5%
Q1 - 2:28NOHMISS West 10' Fadeaway Jumper25
26.0%
21
74.0%
Q1 - 2:46ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
27.0%
21
73.0%
Q1 - 2:46ORLHoward Putback Dunk (9 PTS)25
27.0%
21
73.0%
Q1 - 2:48ORLMISS Carter Layup25
30.4%
19
69.6%
Q1 - 3:03NOHPeterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)25
28.5%
19
71.5%
Q1 - 3:03NOHPeterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)24
28.1%
19
71.9%
Q1 - 3:10NOHCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
26.7%
19
73.3%
Q1 - 3:11ORLMISS Carter Driving Layup23
26.2%
19
73.8%
Q1 - 3:21NOHPeterson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Collison 3 AST)23
24.9%
19
75.1%
Q1 - 3:31NOHMarks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
21.7%
19
78.3%
Q1 - 3:31NOHMISS Stojakovic 19' Jump Shot20
20.6%
19
79.4%
Q1 - 3:45ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)20
21.7%
19
78.3%
Q1 - 4:05NOHCollison 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (West 1 AST)20
19.6%
19
80.4%
Q1 - 4:30NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)18
18.4%
19
81.6%
Q1 - 4:31ORLMISS Nelson 23' Jump Shot18
17.9%
19
82.1%
Q1 - 4:41NOHStojakovic 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Collison 2 AST)18
17.0%
19
83.0%
Q1 - 4:53ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)16
15.8%
19
84.2%
Q1 - 4:56ORLBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
18.3%
16
81.7%
Q1 - 4:58NOHHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)16
18.7%
16
81.3%
Q1 - 5:07ORLCarter Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)16
19.8%
16
80.2%
Q1 - 5:18ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
18.3%
16
81.7%
Q1 - 5:18NOHMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
18.8%
16
81.2%
Q1 - 5:34ORLLewis 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
19.8%
16
80.2%
Q1 - 5:48NOHWest 16' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)16
21.0%
14
79.0%
Q1 - 5:59NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
19.8%
14
80.2%
Q1 - 6:02ORLMISS Howard 7' Jump Shot14
18.9%
14
81.1%
Q1 - 6:22NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
18.0%
14
82.0%
Q1 - 6:22NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
17.9%
14
82.1%
Q1 - 6:38NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
16.9%
14
83.1%
Q1 - 6:40ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 112
16.7%
14
83.3%
Q1 - 6:47ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
18.1%
12
81.9%
Q1 - 6:48NOHMISS Peterson 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
18.5%
12
81.5%
Q1 - 6:59ORLCarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)12
19.4%
12
80.6%
Q1 - 7:10NOHCollison 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)12
17.7%
12
82.3%
Q1 - 7:18NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
16.6%
12
83.4%
Q1 - 7:19ORLMISS Barnes Layup10
16.2%
12
83.8%
Q1 - 7:24ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
15.4%
12
84.6%
Q1 - 7:24NOHMISS West 6' Jump Shot10
15.8%
12
84.2%
Q1 - 7:35NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
16.6%
12
83.4%
Q1 - 7:36ORLMISS Howard 4' Hook Shot10
16.2%
12
83.8%
Q1 - 7:52NOHStojakovic Driving Layup (5 PTS)10
15.4%
12
84.6%
Q1 - 7:56ORLHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
14.4%
12
85.6%
Q1 - 8:18ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
13.2%
12
86.8%
Q1 - 8:20NOHMISS Okafor 11' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot8
13.5%
12
86.5%
Q1 - 8:35ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
14.2%
12
85.8%
Q1 - 8:40NOHLewis STEAL (2 STL)8
13.2%
12
86.8%
Q1 - 8:47NOHPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
14.2%
12
85.8%
Q1 - 8:49ORLMISS Howard 7' Running Hook Shot8
13.9%
12
86.1%
Q1 - 9:10NOHCollison 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Peterson 1 AST)8
13.3%
12
86.7%
Q1 - 9:31ORLCarter 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)5
11.5%
12
88.5%
Q1 - 9:42NOHStojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Collison 1 AST)5
13.3%
9
86.7%
Q1 - 9:58ORLHoward 5' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
11.5%
9
88.5%
Q1 - 10:09ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
12.6%
7
87.4%
Q1 - 10:09NOHMISS Okafor 9' Jump Shot2
12.8%
7
87.2%
Q1 - 10:29ORLCarter 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)2
13.5%
7
86.5%
Q1 - 10:43NOHCollison 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stojakovic 1 AST)2
14.3%
5
85.7%
Q1 - 10:48NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
13.5%
5
86.5%
Q1 - 10:48NOHMISS Stojakovic 14' Jump Shot0
12.8%
5
87.2%
Q1 - 11:04ORLBarnes 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)0
13.5%
5
86.5%
Q1 - 11:20NOHLewis STEAL (1 STL)0
15.2%
2
84.8%
Q1 - 11:42ORLCarter Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)0
16.1%
2
83.9%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. Okafor: Tip to Lewis0
17.0%
0
83.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
1.21 60.3%
ORL
1.27 63.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOH
15
20
75%
ORL
18
26
69%
Midrange
NOH
22
51
43%
ORL
15
31
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOH
9
13.5
18
50%
75%
ORL
12
18.0
26
46%
69%
Free Throws
NOH
16
19
84%
ORL
21
28
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Stojakovic2976%14.5 / 19
D. Collison2759%13.5 / 23
D. West2764%13.5 / 21
D. Songaila1050%5.0 / 10
J. Posey1056%5.0 / 9
M. Peterson880%4.0 / 5
A. Gray4100%2.0 / 2
J. Wright250%1.0 / 2
E. Okafor0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
V. Carter4886%24.0 / 28
D. Howard2574%12.5 / 17
R. Lewis1875%9.0 / 12
J. Williams956%4.5 / 8
M. Pietrus850%4.0 / 8
M. Barnes550%2.5 / 5
J. Nelson425%2.0 / 8
B. Bass467%2.0 / 3
M. Gortat233%1.0 / 3
J. Redick0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOH
87
+10
-10
97
ORL
84
+12
-14
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
1.21 60.3%
ORL
1.27 63.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.3
111.5
NOH 120.6
ORL 125.5 +4.9
Pace
92.7
92.0
NOH 95.9
ORL 99.2 +3.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
15.7
NOH 15.0
ORL 14.5 +0.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
53.6%
NOH 56.7%
ORL 61.4% +4.7%
TO %
13.7%
14.8%
NOH 11.0% +1.8%
ORL 12.8%
ORB %
24.8%
24.6%
NOH 16.7%
ORL 18.8% +2.1%
FTrt
24.3
34.0
NOH 21.3
ORL 33.7 +12.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.5%
53.7%
NOH 45.7%
ORL 46.7% +1.0%
STL %
8.2%
6.8%
NOH 8.2% +2.1%
ORL 6.1%
BLK %
5.8%
8.6%
NOH 1.8%
ORL 7.0% +5.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
55.8%
NOH 60.3%
ORL 63.4% +3.1%
Rim FG%
58.6%
61.6%
NOH 75.0% +5.8%
ORL 69.2%
Mid FG%
42.6%
42.3%
NOH 43.1%
ORL 48.4% +5.3%
3P %
36.3%
37.5%
NOH 50.0% +3.8%
ORL 46.2%
FT %
77.8%
72.4%
NOH 84.2% +9.2%
ORL 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.3%
33.0%
NOH 22.5%
ORL 31.3% +8.9%
Mid Att. %
43.8%
32.0%
NOH 57.3%
ORL 37.3% +20.0%
3P Att. %
23.0%
35.0%
NOH 20.2%
ORL 31.3% +11.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.95 and 2.95.
Game TotalsNOHORL
Possessions9798
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points117123
Rebounds3341
Assists2121
Steals86
Blocks15
Turnovers (Team)10 (2)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (3)6 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (4)35 (0)
Field Goals46-8945-83
At-the-Rim FG15-2018-26
Midrange FG22-5115-31
2-Point FG37-7133-57
3-Point FG9-1812-26
Free Throws16-1921-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 185 · 22
46.6
27
59%
3
9
4
0
4
1
1
2
2-4
50%
11-20
55%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 250 · 29
44.1
27
64%
4
3
2
0
3
3
1
3
7-7
100%
10-19
53%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 229 · 33
41.3
29
76%
9
5
0
0
0
0
1
8
2-3
67%
6-10
60%
5-8
63%
G · 6'7" 220 · 32
21.1
8
80%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
-
2-4
50%
C · 6'10" 255 · 27
9.0
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 248 · 32
28.3
10
50%
5
1
0
0
1
5
2
3
0-0
-
5-10
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 217 · 33
27.2
10
56%
6
0
1
0
1
1
0
6
3-3
100%
2-4
50%
1-4
25%
F · 6'8" 225 · 23
8.0
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 270 · 25
7.7
4
100%
1
0
1
0
1
3
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 34
6.5
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
3
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 180 · 32
0.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 23
#3 · G · 6'0" 175 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F · 6'9" 250 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
117
60%
33
21
8
1
10
0
7
26
16-19
84%
37-71
52%
9-18
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.