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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 8, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Spurs41%9489
5Lakers59%98101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.7
38.1
29.4
20
55%
2
8
1
1
0
6
0
2
4-5
80%
8-15
6-12
53%
50%
0-1
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.8
33.3
26.4
16
47%
15
1
1
0
4
2
2
13
0-0
-
8-17
6-12
47%
50%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 29.6
33.0
28.6
9
37%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
5-7
71%
2-8
3-7
25%
47%
0-1
0%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.8
29.0
33.3
5
30%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
2-7
4-8
29%
47%
0-1
0%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35.4
19.1
23.9
4
40%
12
1
0
1
0
0
6
6
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
49%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 32.5
30.0
25.5
21
82%
1
2
1
1
1
2
0
1
4-4
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
47%
3-5
60%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 20.8
18.0
20.3
11
48%
2
0
0
1
1
2
1
1
1-1
100%
5-11
3-7
45%
50%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 36.9
14.6
8.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-1
0%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 29.7
12.4
17.7
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-1
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 29.8
6.8
14.5
3
75%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
1-1
100%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.4
5.7
15.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
0-1
0%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 36.8
4.3
0
0-1
47%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 23.3
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 29.6
46.1
35.5
21
47%
19
8
1
1
5
2
8
11
5-5
100%
8-20
7-12
40%
55%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 30.2
36.7
31.9
18
49%
5
4
0
1
0
1
2
3
4-5
80%
4-11
3-6
36%
46%
2-5
40%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.3
36.7
29.7
16
50%
10
3
1
1
1
2
1
9
4-7
57%
6-11
3-6
55%
52%
0-2
0%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 24.2
36.5
25.6
8
29%
1
3
0
1
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-10
3-6
20%
49%
1-3
33%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 35.5
29.3
26.5
13
69%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
6-9
2-4
67%
44%
0-0
-
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.2
21.8
18.7
13
74%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-4
50%
4-6
2-4
67%
49%
1-1
100%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 25.9
14.2
7.4
8
133%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
43%
2-2
100%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.9
11.3
5.5
4
52%
4
1
1
0
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.0
6.2
8.2
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.1
1.3
1.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
49%
0-0
-
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 22.3
23.0
0
4-8
57%
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 25.6
3.2
0
0-1
41%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 31.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.