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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 9, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Bulls46%96109
23Pacers54%98101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.8
39.0
35.9
23
55%
11
2
3
1
2
2
2
9
5-7
71%
9-17
7-13
53%
49%
0-1
0%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.3
38.2
38.7
21
54%
3
7
2
1
0
5
1
2
3-3
100%
9-17
10-20
53%
50%
0-1
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 29.1
37.6
34.7
17
61%
3
3
2
1
1
0
1
2
2-2
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
44%
3-6
50%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 33.8
25.9
31.6
13
51%
5
0
0
1
0
1
1
4
2-6
33%
4-7
3-7
57%
48%
1-3
33%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.6
19.5
25.3
4
69%
6
1
1
1
1
3
1
5
2-2
100%
1-2
4-7
50%
49%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 30.2
32.4
28.8
21
73%
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
7-10
70%
7-8
3-6
88%
48%
0-2
0%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.5
28.4
16.3
9
83%
7
1
1
1
1
1
0
7
1-1
100%
4-5
2-5
80%
46%
0-0
-
Chris Richard
F · 6'9" 256 · 25.1
11.3
10.8
1
13%
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
1-2
50%
0-3
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.1
7.6
10.7
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.0
2.1
0
0-0
47%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 39.2
2.1
0
0-0
36%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.3
2.1
0
0-1
41%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 34.2
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 25.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.6
39.9
33.7
7
35%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
46%
1-5
20%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 26.8
38.6
36.3
27
52%
10
3
0
1
0
2
5
5
6-7
86%
6-16
5-11
38%
48%
3-7
43%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 29.8
34.4
32.2
18
65%
16
0
2
1
0
1
2
14
3-4
75%
6-9
3-6
67%
52%
1-3
33%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 30.7
33.8
30.7
14
59%
1
6
0
1
0
5
1
0
1-2
50%
5-10
2-5
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 23.2
29.7
26.0
9
32%
8
5
1
0
0
2
3
5
1-2
50%
4-13
5-10
31%
50%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 29.1
18.8
20.5
9
65%
2
1
2
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
4-6
3-6
67%
48%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 29.4
16.1
24.0
2
14%
4
0
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
49%
0-2
0%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 26.9
14.2
19.2
9
75%
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
49%
1-1
100%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.6
8.2
3.7
6
77%
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
2-2
100%
2-3
0-1
67%
51%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.2
6.3
8.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.3
20.6
1
2-4
46%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 22.9
4.1
0
0-1
49%
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.9
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 24.3
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 33.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.