FinalWin Prob.pScore
1542%94
66
1358%97
99
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
71.79298.4
MIA logo MIA
107.69286.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA66
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0HOUMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)66
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAJump Ball Magloire vs. Taylor: Tip to Jones66
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:55.0HOUMISS Andersen 18' Jump Shot66
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 1:13MIAAnthony Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)66
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 1:22MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 1:23HOUMISS Cook 16' Jump Shot66
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 1:35HOUBudinger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)66
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 1:36MIAMISS Cook 3PT Jump Shot66
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 1:44MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 1:46HOUMISS Taylor Tip Shot66
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 1:48HOUTaylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)66
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 1:49HOUMISS Cook 15' Jump Shot66
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 2:02MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Arroyo 7 AST)66
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 2:17HOUTaylor Traveling Turnover (P2.T16)66
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 2:26HOUBudinger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)66
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 2:27MIAMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot66
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 2:38MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 2:39HOUMISS Temple 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 2:52MIAJones Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)66
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04HOUBudinger Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)66
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04HOUMISS Budinger Free Throw 1 of 265
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:18MIAArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)65
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:18MIAArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)65
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:26MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27HOUAnthony BLOCK (5 BLK)65
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:49MIACook 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)65
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 4:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:14)65
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:09HOUMISS Cook Layup65
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:20HOUTemple REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:21MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot65
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:13)65
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:31HOUAnthony BLOCK (4 BLK)65
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:37MIAArroyo Driving Layup (10 PTS)65
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:53MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)65
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:54HOUMISS Budinger 5' Jump Shot65
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:55HOUBudinger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)65
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 4:56HOUMISS Cook 18' Fadeaway Jumper65
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 5:14MIAArroyo 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)65
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 5:39HOUCook 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Taylor 1 AST)65
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 5:59MIAWright Driving Layup (9 PTS)63
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 6:08MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)63
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 6:09HOUMISS Cook 16' Jump Shot63
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 6:22MIAO'Neal 8' Hook Shot (10 PTS)63
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 6:38MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 6:39MIAMISS Cook 20' Jump Shot63
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q4 - 6:59MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)63
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 7:00HOUMISS Budinger 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 7:12MIAO'Neal 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Arroyo 6 AST)63
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q4 - 7:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:12)63
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q4 - 7:24HOUMISS Taylor 8' Jump Shot63
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q4 - 7:37HOUBudinger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)63
0.5%
82
99.5%
Q4 - 7:38MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot63
0.5%
82
99.5%
Q4 - 8:04HOULandry Traveling Turnover (P3.T15)63
0.6%
82
99.4%
Q4 - 8:10HOUTemple REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
0.8%
82
99.2%
Q4 - 8:11HOUMISS Andersen 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
0.6%
82
99.4%
Q4 - 8:20HOUBudinger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)63
0.8%
82
99.2%
Q4 - 8:21MIAMISS Beasley 21' Jump Shot63
0.7%
82
99.3%
Q4 - 8:38HOUTaylor Layup (4 PTS)63
0.6%
82
99.4%
Q4 - 8:51HOULandry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)61
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q4 - 8:52MIAMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot61
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q4 - 9:11HOUTemple 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)61
0.5%
82
99.5%
Q4 - 9:17HOUTemple REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q4 - 9:18MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q4 - 9:42MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q4 - 9:43HOUMISS Taylor 8' Jump Shot59
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q4 - 9:58MIABeasley Traveling Turnover (P3.T8)59
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q4 - 10:11HOUTaylor Driving Layup (2 PTS)59
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q4 - 10:21HOURockets Rebound57
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q4 - 10:22MIAMISS Cook 3PT Jump Shot57
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q4 - 10:36HOUBudinger 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS)57
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q4 - 10:48MIAJump Ball Arroyo vs. Landry: Tip to Andersen55
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 10:49MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot55
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 11:08MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 11:09HOUMISS Taylor Driving Layup55
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q4 - 11:19MIABeasley 8' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)55
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q4 - 11:35MIAHEAT Rebound55
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q4 - 11:36HOUAnthony BLOCK (3 BLK)55
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q4 - 11:47MIAAnthony Foul Turnover (P1.T7)55
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU55
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q3 - 0:02.0HOULandry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)55
0.6%
80
99.4%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Haslem 4' Hook Shot55
0.6%
80
99.4%
Q3 - 0:24.0HOUAndersen 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Brooks 1 AST)55
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIAWright 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)53
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q3 - 0:56.0HOULandry 4' Jump Shot (11 PTS)53
0.6%
77
99.4%
Q3 - 0:56.0HOULandry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)51
0.5%
77
99.5%
Q3 - 0:57.0HOUMISS Brooks Driving Layup51
0.4%
77
99.6%
Q3 - 1:04HOUBudinger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)51
0.6%
77
99.4%
Q3 - 1:05MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup51
0.5%
77
99.5%
Q3 - 1:20HOULandry Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)51
0.5%
77
99.5%
Q3 - 1:32MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)48
0.3%
77
99.7%
Q3 - 1:50MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)48
0.5%
74
99.5%
Q3 - 1:51HOUMISS Brooks Driving Layup48
0.5%
74
99.5%
Q3 - 1:56HOULandry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
0.6%
74
99.4%
Q3 - 1:57MIAMISS Anthony 9' Jump Shot48
0.5%
74
99.5%
Q3 - 2:15MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
0.6%
74
99.4%
Q3 - 2:16HOUWade BLOCK (1 BLK)48
0.6%
74
99.4%
Q3 - 2:20HOULandry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
0.7%
74
99.3%
Q3 - 2:21MIAMISS Haslem Layup48
0.6%
74
99.4%
Q3 - 2:29HOURichardson STEAL (1 STL)48
0.6%
74
99.4%
Q3 - 2:40MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS)48
0.7%
74
99.3%
Q3 - 3:02HOULandry Foul Turnover (P2.T13)48
1.0%
72
99.0%
Q3 - 3:07HOUBudinger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)48
1.2%
72
98.8%
Q3 - 3:08MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
1.1%
72
98.9%
Q3 - 3:19MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)48
1.0%
72
99.0%
Q3 - 3:21HOUMISS Landry 19' Jump Shot48
1.0%
72
99.0%
Q3 - 3:45MIAAlston 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)48
1.2%
72
98.8%
Q3 - 4:00HOUScola Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)48
1.7%
69
98.3%
Q3 - 4:00HOUScola Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)47
1.6%
69
98.4%
Q3 - 4:09MIAWade Driving Finger Roll Layup (15 PTS)46
1.6%
69
98.4%
Q3 - 4:19MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
1.9%
67
98.1%
Q3 - 4:20HOUMISS Budinger 16' Jump Shot46
2.0%
67
98.0%
Q3 - 4:36MIARichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)46
2.3%
67
97.7%
Q3 - 4:36MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)46
2.3%
66
97.7%
Q3 - 4:47MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)46
2.6%
65
97.4%
Q3 - 4:48HOUMISS Scola 19' Jump Shot46
2.8%
65
97.2%
Q3 - 5:05MIAWade Driving Dunk (13 PTS)46
3.5%
65
96.5%
Q3 - 5:08HOUWade STEAL (5 STL)46
4.0%
63
96.0%
Q3 - 5:12HOUBudinger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)46
4.8%
63
95.2%
Q3 - 5:13MIAMISS Richardson 10' Jump Shot46
4.6%
63
95.4%
Q3 - 5:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)46
4.0%
63
96.0%
Q3 - 5:33HOUMISS Budinger Free Throw 2 of 246
4.1%
63
95.9%
Q3 - 5:33HOUBudinger Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)46
4.6%
63
95.4%
Q3 - 5:50HOUBudinger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
4.1%
63
95.9%
Q3 - 5:51MIAMISS Alston Free Throw 2 of 245
4.0%
63
96.0%
Q3 - 5:51MIAAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)45
3.6%
63
96.4%
Q3 - 6:00MIAHEAT Rebound45
4.0%
62
96.0%
Q3 - 6:01HOUMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot45
4.7%
62
95.3%
Q3 - 6:08HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)45
5.3%
62
94.7%
Q3 - 6:09MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot45
5.0%
62
95.0%
Q3 - 6:37MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
4.4%
62
95.6%
Q3 - 6:38HOUMISS Brooks Driving Layup45
4.7%
62
95.3%
Q3 - 7:00HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)45
5.2%
62
94.8%
Q3 - 7:01MIAMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot45
5.5%
62
94.5%
Q3 - 7:26HOUScola 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (10 PTS)45
4.9%
62
95.1%
Q3 - 7:46HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)43
4.3%
62
95.7%
Q3 - 7:47MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 243
4.2%
62
95.8%
Q3 - 7:47MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 243
3.8%
62
96.2%
Q3 - 7:55MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)43
3.6%
62
96.4%
Q3 - 7:56HOUMISS Scola 12' Hook Shot43
3.8%
62
96.2%
Q3 - 8:04HOUBudinger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
4.5%
62
95.5%
Q3 - 8:05MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
4.3%
62
95.7%
Q3 - 8:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)43
3.9%
62
96.1%
Q3 - 8:24HOUMISS Hayes Free Throw 2 of 243
4.0%
62
96.0%
Q3 - 8:24HOUMISS Hayes Free Throw 1 of 243
4.2%
62
95.8%
Q3 - 8:37HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)43
4.5%
62
95.5%
Q3 - 8:38MIAMISS Beasley 18' Jump Shot43
4.3%
62
95.7%
Q3 - 8:56HOUBudinger 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)43
3.9%
62
96.1%
Q3 - 9:09MIAAlston 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (O'Neal 4 AST)40
3.1%
62
96.9%
Q3 - 9:27HOUBattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Scola 2 AST)40
3.6%
60
96.4%
Q3 - 9:43MIABeasley 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)37
2.7%
60
97.3%
Q3 - 10:06HOUBrooks 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Budinger 1 AST)37
3.4%
58
96.6%
Q3 - 10:24MIABeasley Driving Layup (6 PTS)34
2.6%
58
97.4%
Q3 - 10:49MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)34
2.9%
56
97.1%
Q3 - 10:50HOUO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)34
3.1%
56
96.9%
Q3 - 11:00HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)34
3.4%
56
96.6%
Q3 - 11:01HOUMISS Brooks 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
3.4%
56
96.6%
Q3 - 11:06HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
3.7%
56
96.3%
Q3 - 11:07HOUMISS Budinger 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
3.4%
56
96.6%
Q3 - 11:15MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)34
3.7%
56
96.3%
Q3 - 11:40HOUBudinger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Scola 1 AST)34
3.2%
56
96.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU31
2.5%
56
97.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOURockets Rebound31
2.5%
56
97.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Brooks 3PT Jump Shot31
2.2%
56
97.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0HOURockets Rebound31
2.8%
56
97.2%
Q2 - 0:02.0HOUMISS Brooks Driving Layup31
2.6%
56
97.4%
Q2 - 0:17.0HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)31
2.7%
56
97.3%
Q2 - 0:18.0MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
2.7%
56
97.3%
Q2 - 0:35.0HOUWade STEAL (4 STL)31
2.5%
56
97.5%
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAArroyo Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)31
2.7%
56
97.3%
Q2 - 0:51.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)31
3.2%
54
96.8%
Q2 - 0:52.0HOUAnthony BLOCK (2 BLK)31
3.3%
54
96.7%
Q2 - 1:02MIAWade Driving Layup (11 PTS)31
3.8%
54
96.2%
Q2 - 1:06HOUWade STEAL (3 STL)31
4.4%
52
95.6%
Q2 - 1:18HOUBrooks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
4.8%
52
95.2%
Q2 - 1:19MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
4.7%
52
95.3%
Q2 - 1:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)31
4.4%
52
95.6%
Q2 - 1:33HOUAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)31
4.5%
52
95.5%
Q2 - 1:43HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
4.8%
52
95.2%
Q2 - 1:44MIAMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot31
4.7%
52
95.3%
Q2 - 1:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
4.4%
52
95.6%
Q2 - 1:58HOUMISS Battier Free Throw 1 of 131
4.5%
52
95.5%
Q2 - 2:18HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
4.1%
52
95.9%
Q2 - 2:19MIAMISS Cook 17' Turnaround Jump Shot29
3.9%
52
96.1%
Q2 - 2:35HOULandry Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)29
3.6%
52
96.4%
Q2 - 2:35HOULandry Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)28
3.5%
52
96.5%
Q2 - 2:41MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)27
3.2%
52
96.8%
Q2 - 2:45HOUWade STEAL (2 STL)27
2.8%
52
97.2%
Q2 - 2:58MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Arroyo 5 AST)27
3.2%
52
96.8%
Q2 - 3:19HOUScola Tip Shot (8 PTS)27
4.3%
49
95.7%
Q2 - 3:20HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
3.9%
49
96.1%
Q2 - 3:21HOUMISS Budinger 12' Jump Shot25
3.5%
49
96.5%
Q2 - 3:40MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Arroyo 4 AST)25
3.9%
49
96.1%
Q2 - 3:55HOUBrooks Free Throw 3 of 3 (7 PTS)25
4.2%
47
95.8%
Q2 - 3:55HOUBrooks Free Throw 2 of 3 (6 PTS)24
4.2%
47
95.8%
Q2 - 3:55HOUBrooks Free Throw 1 of 3 (5 PTS)23
4.1%
47
95.9%
Q2 - 4:19MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)22
3.6%
47
96.4%
Q2 - 4:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
4.0%
45
96.0%
Q2 - 4:45HOUMISS Scola 8' Turnaround Hook Shot22
4.2%
45
95.8%
Q2 - 5:06MIAArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
4.9%
45
95.1%
Q2 - 5:06MIAArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
5.0%
44
95.0%
Q2 - 5:15MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)22
5.5%
43
94.5%
Q2 - 5:16HOUMISS Andersen 9' Hook Shot22
5.7%
43
94.3%
Q2 - 5:26MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)22
6.1%
43
93.9%
Q2 - 5:37MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)22
6.8%
41
93.2%
Q2 - 5:38HOUMISS Temple 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
7.1%
41
92.9%
Q2 - 6:03MIAO'Neal Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)22
8.2%
41
91.8%
Q2 - 6:23HOUDorsey Foul Turnover (P1.T8)22
7.2%
41
92.8%
Q2 - 6:31MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)22
8.1%
41
91.9%
Q2 - 6:53MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
7.2%
41
92.8%
Q2 - 6:54HOUO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)22
7.4%
41
92.6%
Q2 - 7:06HOUAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
8.4%
41
91.6%
Q2 - 7:07MIAMISS Cook 20' Jump Shot22
8.2%
41
91.8%
Q2 - 7:23HOUAndersen 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)22
7.6%
41
92.4%
Q2 - 7:39MIAO'Neal 8' Hook Shot (6 PTS)20
6.8%
41
93.2%
Q2 - 7:57HOUAndersen Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)20
7.5%
39
92.5%
Q2 - 8:14MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wright 7 AST)20
9.0%
39
91.0%
Q2 - 8:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
9.9%
37
90.1%
Q2 - 8:37HOUMISS Brooks Driving Layup20
10.2%
37
89.8%
Q2 - 9:01MIAWright Layup (4 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)20
11.2%
37
88.8%
Q2 - 9:04MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
12.3%
35
87.7%
Q2 - 9:05HOUMISS Budinger 18' Jump Shot20
12.7%
35
87.3%
Q2 - 9:17MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wright 6 AST)20
13.5%
35
86.5%
Q2 - 9:33HOUAndersen 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
14.8%
33
85.2%
Q2 - 9:34HOUAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
13.5%
33
86.5%
Q2 - 9:35HOUMISS Taylor Driving Layup18
12.6%
33
87.4%
Q2 - 9:49MIACook Layup (5 PTS) (Wright 5 AST)18
13.5%
33
86.5%
Q2 - 9:58HOUHaslem STEAL (2 STL)18
14.8%
31
85.2%
Q2 - 10:01HOUBudinger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
16.7%
31
83.3%
Q2 - 10:02MIAMISS O'Neal 16' Fadeaway Jumper18
16.2%
31
83.8%
Q2 - 10:20HOUTaylor Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)18
15.1%
31
84.9%
Q2 - 10:20HOUDorsey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
16.6%
31
83.4%
Q2 - 10:21HOUMISS Andersen 19' Jump Shot18
15.6%
31
84.4%
Q2 - 10:34MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)18
16.6%
31
83.4%
Q2 - 10:34MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)18
16.9%
30
83.1%
Q2 - 10:39MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
18.0%
29
82.0%
Q2 - 10:40HOUMISS Andersen 16' Jump Shot18
18.5%
29
81.5%
Q2 - 10:53MIAArroyo 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
19.7%
29
80.3%
Q2 - 11:00HOUHaslem STEAL (1 STL)18
21.3%
27
78.7%
Q2 - 11:17MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)18
23.5%
27
76.5%
Q2 - 11:39HOUBrooks 9' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)18
27.3%
24
72.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA16
25.4%
24
74.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0HOUWade STEAL (1 STL)16
24.0%
24
76.0%
Q1 - 0:06.0MIAWade Layup (9 PTS) (Wright 4 AST)16
25.4%
24
74.6%
Q1 - 0:08.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
27.8%
22
72.2%
Q1 - 0:09.0HOUMISS Budinger 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
28.3%
22
71.7%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)16
29.4%
22
70.6%
Q1 - 0:46.0HOUScola Layup (6 PTS)16
31.9%
20
68.1%
Q1 - 0:58.0HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
29.4%
20
70.6%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot14
28.9%
20
71.1%
Q1 - 1:10HOUWright STEAL (1 STL)14
28.3%
20
71.7%
Q1 - 1:30MIAAlston 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wright 3 AST)14
29.6%
20
70.4%
Q1 - 1:44MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
34.4%
17
65.6%
Q1 - 1:45HOUMISS Budinger 19' Jump Shot14
34.8%
17
65.2%
Q1 - 2:07MIAWade Layup (7 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)14
36.3%
17
63.7%
Q1 - 2:18MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
38.8%
15
61.2%
Q1 - 2:19HOUMISS Budinger 17' Jump Shot14
39.4%
15
60.6%
Q1 - 2:25HOUBudinger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
40.7%
15
59.3%
Q1 - 2:26MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup14
40.1%
15
59.9%
Q1 - 2:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
38.8%
15
61.2%
Q1 - 2:44HOUMISS Brooks 9' Running Hook Shot14
39.4%
15
60.6%
Q1 - 3:10MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)14
40.9%
15
59.1%
Q1 - 3:33MIAHEAT Rebound14
43.1%
13
56.9%
Q1 - 3:34HOUMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
43.8%
13
56.2%
Q1 - 3:38HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)14
45.4%
13
54.6%
Q1 - 3:39HOUMISS Scola Driving Layup14
43.8%
13
56.2%
Q1 - 3:54HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)14
45.4%
13
54.6%
Q1 - 3:55HOUMISS Scola 17' Jump Shot14
43.8%
13
56.2%
Q1 - 4:02HOURockets Rebound14
45.0%
13
55.0%
Q1 - 4:03HOUMISS Landry Reverse Layup14
43.4%
13
56.6%
Q1 - 4:17MIABeasley Foul Turnover (P2.T2)14
45.0%
13
55.0%
Q1 - 4:29MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
42.7%
13
57.3%
Q1 - 4:30HOUMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
43.4%
13
56.6%
Q1 - 4:32HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)14
45.0%
13
55.0%
Q1 - 4:33HOUMISS Brooks 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
43.4%
13
56.6%
Q1 - 4:44HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)14
45.1%
13
54.9%
Q1 - 4:45MIAMISS Alston 17' Jump Shot14
44.3%
13
55.7%
Q1 - 4:53MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
42.7%
13
57.3%
Q1 - 4:54HOUMISS Landry 16' Jump Shot14
43.4%
13
56.6%
Q1 - 5:15MIABeasley 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)14
44.8%
13
55.2%
Q1 - 5:33HOULandry Driving Layup (4 PTS)14
46.8%
11
53.2%
Q1 - 5:51MIAWade 18' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)12
44.8%
11
55.2%
Q1 - 6:08HOUScola Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)12
46.5%
9
53.5%
Q1 - 6:28MIAWright Dunk (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)10
44.5%
9
55.5%
Q1 - 6:30MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
46.6%
7
53.4%
Q1 - 6:31MIAMISS Wright 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
48.1%
7
51.9%
Q1 - 6:49HOUScola 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Landry 1 AST)10
46.6%
7
53.4%
Q1 - 7:03MIABeasley 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)8
44.4%
7
55.6%
Q1 - 7:20HOULandry 4' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)8
46.3%
5
53.7%
Q1 - 7:23HOULandry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
44.4%
5
55.6%
Q1 - 7:24HOUMISS Landry 5' Jump Shot6
42.9%
5
57.1%
Q1 - 7:34HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)6
44.4%
5
55.6%
Q1 - 7:35MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Bank Shot6
43.7%
5
56.3%
Q1 - 7:50HOUHayes 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
42.2%
5
57.8%
Q1 - 7:51HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)4
40.3%
5
59.7%
Q1 - 7:52HOUMISS Scola 11' Hook Shot4
38.8%
5
61.2%
Q1 - 8:03MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)4
40.2%
5
59.8%
Q1 - 8:10MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
44.2%
2
55.8%
Q1 - 8:11HOUMISS Brooks 21' Fadeaway Jumper4
44.9%
2
55.1%
Q1 - 8:42MIABeasley Foul Turnover (P1.T1)4
46.3%
2
53.7%
Q1 - 8:57MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
44.2%
2
55.8%
Q1 - 8:58HOUMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot4
44.9%
2
55.1%
Q1 - 9:20HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
46.3%
2
53.7%
Q1 - 9:21MIAMISS O'Neal 18' Jump Shot4
45.7%
2
54.3%
Q1 - 9:33MIAHEAT Rebound4
44.4%
2
55.6%
Q1 - 9:34MIAMISS Wade Tip Shot4
45.7%
2
54.3%
Q1 - 9:35MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
44.4%
2
55.6%
Q1 - 9:36MIAMISS Beasley 12' Jump Shot4
45.7%
2
54.3%
Q1 - 10:01HOUBrooks 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
43.9%
2
56.1%
Q1 - 10:07HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
42.3%
2
57.7%
Q1 - 10:08MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot2
41.7%
2
58.3%
Q1 - 10:16MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
40.3%
2
59.7%
Q1 - 10:17HOUMISS Brooks 20' Fadeaway Jumper2
40.9%
2
59.1%
Q1 - 10:27HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
42.3%
2
57.7%
Q1 - 10:28MIAMISS O'Neal 12' Turnaround Jump Shot2
41.7%
2
58.3%
Q1 - 10:50HOUHayes Reverse Layup (2 PTS)2
40.3%
2
59.7%
Q1 - 11:03MIAO'Neal 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)0
38.6%
2
61.4%
Q1 - 11:23HOULandry 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)0
40.2%
0
59.8%
Q1 - 11:35HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
41.8%
0
58.2%
Q1 - 11:36MIAMISS Beasley 4' Jump Shot0
41.3%
0
58.7%
Q1 - 11:39MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
40.2%
0
59.8%
Q1 - 11:40MIAMISS O'Neal 13' Turnaround Jump Shot0
41.3%
0
58.7%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Landry: Tip to Alston0
40.2%
0
59.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
0.70 35.1%
MIA
1.11 55.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
11
29
38%
MIA
12
18
67%
Midrange
HOU
11
39
28%
MIA
22
46
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
4
6.0
18
22%
33%
MIA
7
10.5
15
47%
70%
Free Throws
HOU
10
15
67%
MIA
10
13
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Scola1246%6.0 / 13
C. Landry1150%5.5 / 11
A. Brooks1029%5.0 / 17
C. Budinger1036%5.0 / 14
D. Andersen633%3.0 / 9
S. Battier542%2.5 / 6
C. Hayes467%2.0 / 3
J. Taylor429%2.0 / 7
G. Temple225%1.0 / 4
B. Cook214%1.0 / 7
J. Dorsey0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade1761%8.5 / 14
U. Haslem1454%7.0 / 13
C. Arroyo1286%6.0 / 7
J. O'Neal1045%5.0 / 11
M. Beasley1050%5.0 / 10
D. Cook1045%5.0 / 11
R. Alston964%4.5 / 7
D. Wright975%4.5 / 6
Q. Richardson583%2.5 / 3
J. Jones3150%1.5 / 1
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
76
+17
-16
93
MIA
83
+5
-9
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
0.70 35.1%
MIA
1.11 55.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.6
106.7
HOU 71.7 +35.9
MIA 107.6
Pace
94.1
89.6
HOU 98.4 +11.9
MIA 86.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
16.5
HOU 14.6 +2.0
MIA 16.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.4%
49.6%
HOU 32.6%
MIA 56.3% +23.7%
TO %
14.5%
13.6%
HOU 14.7%
MIA 11.5% +3.2%
ORB %
27.0%
26.0%
HOU 25.0% +14.2%
MIA 10.8%
FTrt
29.2
29.6
HOU 17.4 +0.9
MIA 16.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.9%
51.9%
HOU 30.8%
MIA 65.9% +35.1%
STL %
7.5%
8.1%
HOU 2.2%
MIA 9.8% +7.6%
BLK %
5.8%
9.4%
HOU 1.6%
MIA 11.8% +10.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.5%
52.1%
HOU 35.1%
MIA 55.6% +20.5%
Rim FG%
55.7%
62.0%
HOU 37.9%
MIA 66.7% +28.8%
Mid FG%
40.4%
40.8%
HOU 28.2%
MIA 47.8% +19.6%
3P %
35.1%
34.6%
HOU 22.2%
MIA 46.7% +24.5%
FT %
77.3%
75.2%
HOU 66.7%
MIA 76.9% +10.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.3%
29.8%
HOU 33.7% +10.9%
MIA 22.8%
Mid Att. %
36.2%
48.3%
HOU 45.3% +12.9%
MIA 58.2%
3P Att. %
26.5%
21.9%
HOU 20.9% +1.9%
MIA 19.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsHOUMIA
Possessions9292
Possession Minutes22.425.5
Points6699
Rebounds4746
Assists827
Steals29
Blocks18
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)9 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (3)4 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (2)42 (4)
Field Goals26-8641-79
At-the-Rim FG11-2912-18
Midrange FG11-3922-46
2-Point FG22-6834-64
3-Point FG4-187-15
Free Throws10-1510-13
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'0" 161 · 25
34.2
10
29%
1
1
1
0
4
3
0
1
3-3
100%
2-12
17%
1-4
25%
F · 6'8" 220 · 31
32.1
5
42%
2
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
1-5
20%
F · 6'9" 241 · 30
28.7
12
46%
7
2
1
0
2
3
1
6
2-2
100%
5-12
42%
0-0
-
G · 6'9" 248 · 26
26.0
11
50%
6
1
0
0
3
1
2
4
3-3
100%
4-10
40%
0-0
-
C · 6'6" 240 · 27
17.1
4
67%
12
0
0
0
0
1
5
7
0-2
0%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 209 · 22
35.9
10
36%
12
1
0
0
2
1
1
11
2-4
50%
1-7
14%
2-5
40%
· 6'11" 247 · 30
20.2
6
33%
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 210 · 23
17.9
4
29%
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-7
29%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 195 · 24
13.8
2
25%
3
0
0
0
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 29
8.1
2
14%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-6
17%
0-1
0%
· 6'8" 268 · 26
6.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 25
G · 6'2" 195 · 27
#11 · C · 7'6" 310 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · G-F · 6'8" 225 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · G · 6'0" 196 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
66
35%
47
8
2
1
16
0
14
33
10-15
67%
22-68
32%
4-18
22%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.