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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 9, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Rockets42%9466
13Heat58%9799
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 25.1
34.2
37.6
10
29%
1
1
1
1
0
4
0
1
3-3
100%
2-12
5-11
17%
46%
1-4
25%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 31.4
32.1
28.3
5
39%
2
2
0
1
1
0
1
1
0-1
0%
1-1
1-3
100%
49%
1-5
20%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 29.8
28.7
25.3
12
47%
7
2
1
1
0
2
1
6
2-2
100%
5-12
5-10
42%
51%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 26.4
26.0
27.1
11
49%
6
1
0
1
0
3
2
4
3-3
100%
4-10
6-10
40%
55%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 26.7
17.1
21.4
4
69%
12
0
0
1
0
0
5
7
0-2
0%
2-2
2-4
100%
47%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 21.7
35.9
20.4
10
36%
12
1
0
0
0
2
1
11
2-4
50%
1-7
2-4
14%
47%
2-5
40%
David Andersen
· 6'11" 247 · 29.6
20.2
7.4
6
33%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-8
1-2
38%
49%
0-1
0%
Jermaine Taylor
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.2
17.9
2.4
4
29%
1
1
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-7
0-1
29%
44%
0-0
-
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 23.8
13.8
8.6
2
25%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 29.2
8.1
1.6
2
14%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-6
0-0
17%
41%
0-1
0%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 26.2
6.0
13.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 24.6
34.4
2
4-8
47%
Will Conroy
G · 6'2" 195 · 27.2
8.1
0
1-1
43%
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 29.4
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 30.7
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 28.1
29.1
36.5
17
59%
4
7
5
2
1
2
1
3
1-1
100%
8-13
8-16
62%
51%
0-1
0%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 31.3
26.9
30.1
10
46%
9
4
0
0
2
1
1
8
2-4
50%
4-9
6-11
44%
50%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 33.5
22.7
24.3
9
65%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
41%
2-4
50%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.1
15.1
26.8
10
50%
4
0
0
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
5-10
5-10
50%
49%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 29.8
14.2
30.9
5
87%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
1-1
100%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.7
29.2
27.0
14
54%
14
0
2
0
0
0
0
14
0-0
-
7-13
4-8
54%
50%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 30.5
25.3
14.4
12
89%
3
7
0
0
0
0
1
2
4-4
100%
4-5
2-3
80%
47%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24.2
25.0
22.6
9
75%
6
7
1
1
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
50%
1-2
50%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.8
24.0
9.4
10
45%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-1
40%
37%
2-6
33%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 27.5
21.1
13.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
5
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.7
3.7
5.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.3
3.7
2.6
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
1-1
100%
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27.4
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.