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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 9, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Kings36%102118
18Knicks64%107114
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 20.4
45.2
33.7
27
46%
10
7
1
1
0
3
2
8
5-7
71%
11-25
6-12
44%
50%
0-1
0%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.6
44.9
25.1
18
49%
9
2
2
1
0
0
1
8
3-3
100%
6-9
3-6
67%
52%
1-8
13%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 22.0
39.8
28.4
24
87%
8
3
1
1
0
2
1
7
2-4
50%
5-7
3-7
71%
49%
4-5
80%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 21.8
5.8
29.0
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
5-10
0%
51%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.6
5.8
19.9
4
50%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
51%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 23.6
33.9
22.5
12
68%
11
1
1
0
2
3
5
6
2-2
100%
5-8
4-8
63%
49%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 27.0
31.1
34.0
17
58%
4
1
1
1
0
2
3
1
2-4
50%
6-11
4-9
55%
46%
1-2
50%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 30.2
18.6
18.0
9
46%
5
2
0
0
0
2
0
5
4-4
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
46%
1-3
33%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.5
16.1
4.4
2
35%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
0-2
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 22.9
15.9
12.1
2
33%
6
1
0
0
0
0
5
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
0-0
-
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 23.7
8.0
10.7
3
80%
1
2
0
1
0
3
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 25.9
7.7
0
1-3
47%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 28.1
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 25.2
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 32.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.8
46.9
31.6
35
68%
5
0
2
1
2
1
2
3
5-6
83%
15-20
6-11
75%
52%
0-3
0%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 28.2
41.3
33.4
13
57%
10
2
2
1
1
1
5
5
3-3
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
50%
2-4
50%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 26.8
41.1
34.4
21
57%
10
5
1
1
1
2
3
7
3-3
100%
9-17
9-16
53%
57%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 27.4
37.0
23.8
7
29%
3
9
1
1
0
1
0
3
3-5
60%
2-4
1-2
50%
44%
0-6
0%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.5
30.5
32.7
9
56%
8
2
1
1
0
1
0
8
4-7
57%
1-1
2-5
100%
49%
1-4
25%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.0
34.8
25.4
17
56%
2
4
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-5
40%
3-7
4-7
43%
51%
3-6
50%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 25.7
27.2
32.0
11
35%
0
4
1
1
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
3-9
5-9
33%
52%
1-6
17%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 22.5
6.1
10.2
1
27%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
53%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 31.0
10.2
0
1-2
44%
Jonathan Bender
F · 7'0" 230 · 29.0
3.6
0
0-1
45%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.9
3.4
0
0-1
51%
Marcus Landry
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.3
2.2
0
0-0
51%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 27.2
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 34.4
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.