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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 9, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Pistons34%9293
17Bucks66%9781
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 32.0
38.1
33.2
15
51%
2
4
0
1
1
4
1
1
6-6
100%
3-10
5-12
30%
45%
1-2
50%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.8
37.7
34.9
18
47%
5
7
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
9-18
6-15
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 29.9
30.2
30.1
18
73%
3
1
2
1
0
0
1
2
2-3
67%
5-9
4-9
56%
45%
2-2
100%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 35.4
24.6
27.2
0
0%
5
1
1
1
2
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 22.9
21.0
23.8
6
44%
13
1
0
1
0
2
5
8
0-2
0%
3-5
3-6
60%
51%
0-1
0%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 27.0
25.2
22.5
14
64%
10
1
2
1
0
1
6
4
0-0
-
7-11
3-6
64%
51%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.9
25.2
20.9
18
65%
2
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
4-4
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
46%
2-4
50%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.1
19.4
20.9
4
34%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-5
3-7
20%
46%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 25.5
18.7
15.8
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 21.7
6.3
0
1-1
49%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 27.9
5.4
0
1-1
51%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 27.4
4.6
0
1-1
51%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 35.5
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.9
40.8
30.8
15
77%
3
1
2
1
1
2
0
3
4-4
100%
4-6
2-5
67%
46%
1-2
50%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.4
37.7
31.2
9
51%
11
2
1
1
1
1
6
5
1-2
50%
4-8
3-6
50%
51%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 27.4
37.3
35.0
9
41%
4
4
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
48%
3-8
38%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 20.4
34.4
31.3
18
46%
3
5
3
1
0
3
0
3
6-8
75%
3-10
4-9
30%
43%
2-6
33%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.2
34.1
25.1
17
39%
18
3
0
1
3
2
10
8
1-2
50%
8-21
5-9
38%
56%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 35.3
16.1
21.1
4
33%
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
44%
0-1
0%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 27.6
14.3
13.4
2
25%
3
0
0
0
0
4
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
52%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.0
14.1
15.9
7
48%
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
3-3
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
49%
0-1
0%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.7
9.9
18.1
0
0%
4
0
0
1
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.5
1.2
3.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 37.3
7.3
0
1-1
51%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.0
2.8
0
0-1
49%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 30.5
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 33.9
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.