FinalWin Prob.pScore
1533%92
94
967%98
76
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
119.07975.2
ATL logo ATL
92.78286.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL94
100%
76
0%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Arroyo 19' Fadeaway Jumper94
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)94
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 0:29.0ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot94
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAWade Free Throw 3 of 3 (18 PTS)94
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 3 (17 PTS)93
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 392
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)92
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:02ATLMISS Horford 6' Turnaround Jump Shot92
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:16MIACook 13' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Wade 11 AST)92
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:36MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)90
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:38ATLMISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot90
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:48MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)90
99.8%
76
0.2%
Q4 - 2:14ATLJohnson 6' Driving Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Bibby 6 AST)87
99.6%
76
0.4%
Q4 - 2:35MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)87
99.7%
74
0.3%
Q4 - 2:51MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)85
99.3%
74
0.7%
Q4 - 2:54ATLMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
99.1%
74
0.9%
Q4 - 3:16MIAWade 2' Running Layup (16 PTS)85
98.9%
74
1.1%
Q4 - 3:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)83
98.4%
74
1.6%
Q4 - 3:23ATLMISS Williams 2' Layup83
98.1%
74
1.9%
Q4 - 3:30MIABibby STEAL (3 STL)83
97.3%
74
2.7%
Q4 - 3:50MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)83
96.5%
74
3.5%
Q4 - 3:51ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
96.1%
74
3.9%
Q4 - 4:07MIABibby STEAL (2 STL)83
95.0%
74
5.0%
Q4 - 4:23ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)83
96.7%
74
3.3%
Q4 - 4:23ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 283
97.1%
73
2.9%
Q4 - 4:44MIAO'Neal 14' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS) (Cook 2 AST)83
96.7%
73
3.3%
Q4 - 5:05MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
92.6%
73
7.4%
Q4 - 5:07ATLMISS Williams 1' Layup81
91.8%
73
8.2%
Q4 - 5:11ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)81
89.9%
73
10.1%
Q4 - 5:12ATLMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot81
91.9%
73
8.1%
Q4 - 5:33MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)81
90.0%
73
10.0%
Q4 - 5:33MIAHeat Rebound81
92.8%
73
7.2%
Q4 - 5:33MIAMISS O'Neal 21' Fadeaway Jumper81
91.0%
73
9.0%
Q4 - 5:57MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)81
92.9%
73
7.1%
Q4 - 5:58ATLMISS Horford Putback Layup81
92.1%
73
7.9%
Q4 - 6:00ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)81
90.1%
73
9.9%
Q4 - 6:02ATLMISS Johnson 9' Jump Shot81
89.1%
73
10.9%
Q4 - 6:16ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)81
86.8%
73
13.2%
Q4 - 6:17MIAMISS Cook 9' Jump Shot81
87.9%
73
12.1%
Q4 - 6:32ATLJohnson 4' Driving Layup (14 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)81
90.2%
73
9.8%
Q4 - 6:54MIAArroyo 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)81
92.5%
71
7.5%
Q4 - 7:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)79
87.6%
71
12.4%
Q4 - 7:03ATLMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
86.6%
71
13.4%
Q4 - 7:23MIACook 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)79
84.1%
71
15.9%
Q4 - 7:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)77
80.5%
71
19.5%
Q4 - 7:38ATLMISS Smith 1' Running Reverse Layup77
79.0%
71
21.0%
Q4 - 7:54MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)77
75.4%
71
24.6%
Q4 - 8:00MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)74
64.2%
71
35.8%
Q4 - 8:03ATLMISS Johnson 15' Turnaround Jump Shot74
59.7%
71
40.3%
Q4 - 8:28MIACook 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)74
55.5%
71
44.5%
Q4 - 8:50MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)71
42.6%
71
57.4%
Q4 - 8:51ATLMISS Evans Free Throw 2 of 271
41.7%
71
58.3%
Q4 - 8:51ATLEvans Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)71
37.4%
71
62.6%
Q4 - 8:51ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)71
42.7%
70
57.3%
Q4 - 8:52ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot71
47.0%
70
53.0%
Q4 - 9:03ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)71
42.1%
70
57.9%
Q4 - 9:04MIAMISS Wright 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
43.9%
70
56.1%
Q4 - 9:37ATLHorford 9' Hook Shot (11 PTS)71
47.9%
70
52.1%
Q4 - 10:01MIAO'Neal 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)71
52.3%
68
47.7%
Q4 - 10:19ATLHorford 10' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)69
46.8%
68
53.2%
Q4 - 10:36MIAO'Neal 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)69
52.5%
66
47.5%
Q4 - 11:10ATLJohnson 10' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)67
45.8%
66
54.2%
Q4 - 11:17ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)67
51.3%
64
48.7%
Q4 - 11:19MIAMISS Haslem 2' Driving Layup67
52.9%
64
47.1%
Q4 - 11:41ATLHorford Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T14)67
56.5%
64
43.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL67
51.4%
64
48.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)67
50.5%
64
49.5%
Q3 - 0:04.0ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
53.7%
64
46.3%
Q3 - 0:25.0MIAHaslem Putback Layup (12 PTS)67
50.6%
64
49.4%
Q3 - 0:25.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)65
45.0%
64
55.0%
Q3 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
41.9%
64
58.1%
Q3 - 0:46.0ATLSmith 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Evans 2 AST)65
45.0%
64
55.0%
Q3 - 0:48.0ATLHAWKS Rebound65
50.6%
62
49.4%
Q3 - 0:48.0ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
50.6%
62
49.4%
Q3 - 0:48.0ATLMISS Johnson Tip Shot65
53.8%
62
46.2%
Q3 - 0:50.0ATLMISS Johnson 7' Running Jump Shot65
53.8%
62
46.2%
Q3 - 1:15MIACook 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)65
49.5%
62
50.5%
Q3 - 1:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)63
44.3%
62
55.7%
Q3 - 1:29ATLMISS Teague 3' Driving Layup63
42.9%
62
57.1%
Q3 - 1:47MIAWright 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)63
39.9%
62
60.1%
Q3 - 2:05ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)60
30.3%
62
69.7%
Q3 - 2:05ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)60
30.9%
61
69.1%
Q3 - 2:28MIAWright 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)60
34.5%
60
65.5%
Q3 - 2:38MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
30.3%
60
69.7%
Q3 - 2:39ATLMISS Johnson 2' Driving Layup58
29.1%
60
70.9%
Q3 - 3:01MIAWade 10' Jump Shot (14 PTS)58
26.3%
60
73.7%
Q3 - 3:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)56
23.2%
60
76.8%
Q3 - 3:05MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 256
20.4%
60
79.6%
Q3 - 3:05MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 256
22.4%
60
77.6%
Q3 - 3:14ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)56
23.2%
60
76.8%
Q3 - 3:18MIABibby STEAL (1 STL)56
30.0%
57
70.0%
Q3 - 3:36ATLSmith 2' Layup (17 PTS)56
34.2%
57
65.8%
Q3 - 3:59MIAO'Neal Dunk (13 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)56
38.1%
55
61.9%
Q3 - 4:11MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)54
34.2%
55
65.8%
Q3 - 4:12ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
32.8%
55
67.2%
Q3 - 4:24ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
29.8%
55
70.2%
Q3 - 4:25MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)54
34.2%
55
65.8%
Q3 - 4:25MIAMISS Richardson Layup54
31.1%
55
68.9%
Q3 - 4:27MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot54
31.1%
55
68.9%
Q3 - 4:42MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
34.2%
55
65.8%
Q3 - 4:43ATLMISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
32.8%
55
67.2%
Q3 - 4:51ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)54
29.8%
55
70.2%
Q3 - 4:52MIAHorford BLOCK (2 BLK)54
31.1%
55
68.9%
Q3 - 4:53MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)54
34.2%
55
65.8%
Q3 - 4:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)54
34.2%
55
65.8%
Q3 - 4:54MIAMISS Wade Putback Layup54
31.1%
55
68.9%
Q3 - 4:58MIAMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
31.1%
55
68.9%
Q3 - 5:12MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
33.5%
55
66.5%
Q3 - 5:13ATLMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot54
32.3%
55
67.7%
Q3 - 5:31MIABeasley 8' Jump Shot (7 PTS)54
29.5%
55
70.5%
Q3 - 5:34MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)52
26.5%
55
73.5%
Q3 - 5:35MIAMISS Beasley 13' Jump Shot52
24.0%
55
76.0%
Q3 - 5:55ATLBibby 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)52
26.5%
55
73.5%
Q3 - 6:14MIAWade 19' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)52
29.3%
53
70.7%
Q3 - 6:24MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
26.4%
53
73.6%
Q3 - 6:25ATLMISS Williams 2' Layup50
25.4%
53
74.6%
Q3 - 6:48MIAO'Neal 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)50
23.1%
53
76.9%
Q3 - 7:07ATLBibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)48
20.7%
53
79.3%
Q3 - 7:27MIASmith STEAL (3 STL)48
26.0%
50
74.0%
Q3 - 7:46ATLSmith 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS)48
29.4%
50
70.6%
Q3 - 8:05ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)48
32.1%
48
67.9%
Q3 - 8:07MIAMISS Richardson 1' Running Dunk48
33.2%
48
66.8%
Q3 - 8:12ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)48
35.8%
48
64.2%
Q3 - 8:30ATLHAWKS Rebound48
32.2%
48
67.8%
Q3 - 8:30MIAMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
33.2%
48
66.8%
Q3 - 8:34MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)48
35.8%
48
64.2%
Q3 - 8:36MIAHorford BLOCK (1 BLK)48
33.2%
48
66.8%
Q3 - 8:48ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)48
35.8%
48
64.2%
Q3 - 8:48ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)48
36.8%
47
63.2%
Q3 - 8:50ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
39.1%
46
60.9%
Q3 - 8:52MIAMISS Beasley 6' Driving Jump Shot48
40.3%
46
59.7%
Q3 - 9:03MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
42.4%
46
57.6%
Q3 - 9:04ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 248
41.9%
46
58.1%
Q3 - 9:04ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 248
39.9%
46
60.1%
Q3 - 9:10ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
38.8%
46
61.2%
Q3 - 9:11MIAMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
39.9%
46
60.1%
Q3 - 9:28ATLHorford Foul Turnover (P5.T12)48
42.5%
46
57.5%
Q3 - 9:34ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)48
38.8%
46
61.2%
Q3 - 9:36MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
39.9%
46
60.1%
Q3 - 9:43ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)48
42.5%
46
57.5%
Q3 - 10:04MIAWade 16' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)48
38.3%
46
61.7%
Q3 - 10:20ATLWilliams 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)46
35.0%
46
65.0%
Q3 - 10:38MIABeasley Foul Turnover (P1.T7)46
38.3%
44
61.7%
Q3 - 10:53ATLBibby 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)46
41.9%
44
58.1%
Q3 - 11:07ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)46
44.5%
42
55.5%
Q3 - 11:09MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 246
45.0%
42
55.0%
Q3 - 11:09MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)46
47.2%
42
52.8%
Q3 - 11:22ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)45
44.7%
42
55.3%
Q3 - 11:41MIAO'Neal 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)45
41.2%
42
58.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA43
38.0%
42
62.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)43
38.0%
42
62.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 2 of 243
37.5%
42
62.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)43
35.5%
42
64.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound43
37.8%
41
62.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot43
40.3%
41
59.7%
Q2 - 0:20.0MIAAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST)43
38.1%
41
61.9%
Q2 - 0:37.0ATLJump Ball Horford vs. Anthony: Tip to40
31.3%
41
68.7%
Q2 - 0:48.0ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
29.1%
41
70.9%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Beasley 4' Driving Layup40
29.7%
41
70.3%
Q2 - 1:02MIABeasley Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)40
31.1%
41
68.9%
Q2 - 1:02MIAHeat Rebound39
28.4%
41
71.6%
Q2 - 1:02ATLBibby Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)39
28.4%
41
71.6%
Q2 - 1:04MIAMISS Beasley Putback Layup39
29.7%
40
70.3%
Q2 - 1:06MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
31.1%
40
68.9%
Q2 - 1:07MIAMISS Beasley 8' Driving Jump Shot39
29.7%
40
70.3%
Q2 - 1:32ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)39
31.1%
40
68.9%
Q2 - 1:32ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)39
31.8%
39
68.2%
Q2 - 1:46MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)39
34.8%
38
65.2%
Q2 - 2:08ATLEvans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)37
31.3%
38
68.7%
Q2 - 2:26MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)37
36.9%
35
63.1%
Q2 - 2:42ATLBibby Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)37
40.1%
35
59.9%
Q2 - 2:55MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)37
37.0%
35
63.0%
Q2 - 3:17ATLSmith 4' Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)35
34.1%
35
65.9%
Q2 - 3:33ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)35
36.4%
33
63.6%
Q2 - 3:37MIAMISS Wade 13' Fadeaway Jumper35
37.4%
33
62.6%
Q2 - 3:50ATLHorford 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)35
39.9%
33
60.1%
Q2 - 3:58ATLHAWKS Rebound35
42.4%
31
57.6%
Q2 - 3:58ATLMISS Johnson 4' Driving Jump Shot35
44.9%
31
55.1%
Q2 - 4:01ATLHAWKS Rebound35
41.8%
31
58.2%
Q2 - 4:03ATLMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot35
44.1%
31
55.9%
Q2 - 4:13ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)35
41.8%
31
58.2%
Q2 - 4:15MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot35
42.8%
31
57.2%
Q2 - 4:26MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
45.1%
31
54.9%
Q2 - 4:27ATLMISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
44.1%
31
55.9%
Q2 - 4:30ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
41.8%
31
58.2%
Q2 - 4:31ATLMISS Johnson 5' Driving Jump Shot35
44.1%
31
55.9%
Q2 - 4:55MIAWright 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS)35
41.9%
31
58.1%
Q2 - 5:16ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)33
38.8%
31
61.2%
Q2 - 5:16ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 233
39.6%
30
60.4%
Q2 - 5:24ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)33
38.8%
30
61.2%
Q2 - 5:26MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Turnaround Jump Shot33
39.7%
30
60.3%
Q2 - 5:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
41.6%
30
58.4%
Q2 - 5:41ATLMISS Williams 14' Driving Jump Shot33
40.8%
30
59.2%
Q2 - 6:04MIAWade 17' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)33
38.2%
30
61.8%
Q2 - 6:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)31
36.0%
30
64.0%
Q2 - 6:13ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot31
35.0%
30
65.0%
Q2 - 6:35MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)31
32.9%
30
67.1%
Q2 - 7:00ATLHorford Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)31
36.0%
30
64.0%
Q2 - 7:14ATLHAWKS Rebound31
32.8%
30
67.2%
Q2 - 7:14MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
33.6%
30
66.4%
Q2 - 7:35ATLSmith 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)31
35.4%
30
64.6%
Q2 - 7:57ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
37.9%
28
62.1%
Q2 - 7:58MIAMISS O'Neal 18' Jump Shot31
38.8%
28
61.2%
Q2 - 8:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)31
40.1%
28
59.9%
Q2 - 8:22MIAMISS Cook 19' Jump Shot31
38.3%
28
61.7%
Q2 - 8:25MIAHeat Rebound31
40.1%
28
59.9%
Q2 - 8:25MIATeague BLOCK (1 BLK)31
38.3%
28
61.7%
Q2 - 8:47ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)31
40.1%
28
59.9%
Q2 - 8:47ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 231
40.5%
27
59.5%
Q2 - 9:00MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)31
40.1%
27
59.9%
Q2 - 9:02MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
34.6%
27
65.5%
Q2 - 9:04ATLMISS Teague 2' Driving Layup28
33.8%
27
66.2%
Q2 - 9:12MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)28
32.1%
27
67.9%
Q2 - 9:27ATLEvans Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)26
29.9%
27
70.1%
Q2 - 9:32ATLHAWKS Rebound26
27.6%
27
72.4%
Q2 - 9:34ATLMISS Evans 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
29.2%
27
70.8%
Q2 - 10:00MIAHaslem 2' Layup (4 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)26
27.6%
27
72.4%
Q2 - 10:21MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
25.8%
27
74.2%
Q2 - 10:22ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot24
25.1%
27
74.9%
Q2 - 10:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
23.7%
27
76.3%
Q2 - 10:43MIAHaslem Putback Dunk (2 PTS)24
23.7%
27
76.3%
Q2 - 10:45MIAMISS Arroyo 2' Running Layup22
20.7%
27
79.3%
Q2 - 11:07ATLCollins 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)22
22.1%
27
77.9%
Q2 - 11:18ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)22
20.3%
27
79.7%
Q2 - 11:19ATLMISS Johnson 7' Jump Shot22
21.6%
27
78.4%
Q2 - 11:37MIAO'Neal 16' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)22
20.3%
27
79.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL20
18.8%
27
81.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Smith Tip Shot20
18.3%
27
81.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
17.2%
27
82.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound20
17.2%
27
82.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
17.2%
27
82.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Evans Tip Shot20
18.3%
27
81.7%
Q1 - 0:02.0ATLMISS Horford 10' Turnaround Jump Shot20
18.4%
27
81.6%
Q1 - 0:27.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
17.6%
27
82.4%
Q1 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
17.9%
27
82.1%
Q1 - 0:36.0ATLBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)20
18.7%
27
81.3%
Q1 - 0:36.0ATLBibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)20
19.0%
26
81.0%
Q1 - 0:50.0MIACook 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)20
20.6%
25
79.4%
Q1 - 1:04MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
18.9%
25
81.1%
Q1 - 1:09MIAMISS Cook 22' Jump Shot18
18.2%
25
81.8%
Q1 - 1:28ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)18
18.9%
25
81.1%
Q1 - 1:38MIAJohnson STEAL (2 STL)18
17.9%
25
82.1%
Q1 - 1:58ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)18
18.9%
25
81.1%
Q1 - 2:05MIAWright 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)18
22.6%
22
77.4%
Q1 - 2:25ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)16
20.8%
22
79.2%
Q1 - 2:25ATLSmith Tip Shot (6 PTS)16
20.8%
22
79.2%
Q1 - 2:27ATLMISS Smith 2' Layup16
23.6%
20
76.4%
Q1 - 2:51MIABeasley 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)16
22.6%
20
77.4%
Q1 - 3:10ATLJohnson 3' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)14
20.9%
20
79.1%
Q1 - 3:24ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
22.4%
18
77.6%
Q1 - 3:26MIAMISS Wade 18' Fadeaway Jumper14
22.9%
18
77.1%
Q1 - 3:42ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)14
24.1%
18
75.9%
Q1 - 3:49ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
22.4%
18
77.6%
Q1 - 3:50MIAMISS Beasley 17' Jump Shot14
22.9%
18
77.1%
Q1 - 4:13ATLJohnson 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)14
24.0%
18
76.0%
Q1 - 4:31MIAAnthony 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)14
25.5%
16
74.5%
Q1 - 4:43MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
24.0%
16
76.0%
Q1 - 4:44ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
23.5%
16
76.5%
Q1 - 5:02MIAWade Running Dunk (4 PTS)12
22.5%
16
77.5%
Q1 - 5:05ATLHorford Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)10
21.2%
16
78.8%
Q1 - 5:14ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
19.6%
16
80.4%
Q1 - 5:16MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
20.1%
16
79.9%
Q1 - 5:37MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
21.1%
16
78.9%
Q1 - 5:40ATLMISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
20.7%
16
79.3%
Q1 - 5:47MIASmith STEAL (2 STL)10
19.6%
16
80.4%
Q1 - 6:09ATLSmith Dunk (4 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)10
21.0%
16
79.0%
Q1 - 6:16ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
22.4%
14
77.6%
Q1 - 6:17MIAJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)10
22.9%
14
77.1%
Q1 - 6:28MIAHeat Rebound10
24.0%
14
76.0%
Q1 - 6:28MIAMISS Beasley 1' Running Layup10
22.9%
14
77.1%
Q1 - 6:35MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
24.0%
14
76.0%
Q1 - 6:38ATLMISS Smith Putback Layup10
23.5%
14
76.5%
Q1 - 6:40ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
22.4%
14
77.6%
Q1 - 6:41ATLMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
23.5%
14
76.5%
Q1 - 7:05MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)10
22.3%
14
77.7%
Q1 - 7:21ATLJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)8
21.0%
14
79.0%
Q1 - 7:24ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
23.8%
11
76.2%
Q1 - 7:26ATLMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot8
24.9%
11
75.1%
Q1 - 7:47MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
23.8%
11
76.2%
Q1 - 7:47MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
23.5%
11
76.5%
Q1 - 8:07ATLSmith Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)6
22.2%
11
77.8%
Q1 - 8:11MIASmith STEAL (1 STL)6
23.7%
9
76.3%
Q1 - 8:15MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
25.2%
9
74.8%
Q1 - 8:18ATLMISS Williams 13' Fadeaway Jumper6
24.7%
9
75.3%
Q1 - 8:28ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
23.7%
9
76.3%
Q1 - 8:29MIAMISS Alston 27' 3PT Jump Shot6
24.1%
9
75.9%
Q1 - 8:53ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
25.2%
9
74.8%
Q1 - 8:53ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
25.4%
8
74.6%
Q1 - 9:11MIAO'Neal Putback Layup (4 PTS)6
27.0%
7
73.0%
Q1 - 9:12MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
25.3%
7
74.7%
Q1 - 9:14MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
24.3%
7
75.7%
Q1 - 9:34ATLJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)4
25.3%
7
74.7%
Q1 - 9:46ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
28.5%
4
71.5%
Q1 - 9:48MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot4
29.0%
4
71.0%
Q1 - 10:01ATLHorford 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)4
30.0%
4
70.0%
Q1 - 10:19MIAO'Neal 18' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)4
31.5%
2
68.5%
Q1 - 10:27MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
30.0%
2
70.0%
Q1 - 10:28ATLMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot2
29.5%
2
70.5%
Q1 - 10:36MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
28.3%
2
71.7%
Q1 - 10:36MIARichardson Tip Shot (2 PTS)2
28.3%
2
71.7%
Q1 - 10:49MIAMISS Alston 1' Driving Layup0
25.9%
2
74.1%
Q1 - 11:11ATLHorford Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
26.8%
2
73.2%
Q1 - 11:25MIAJohnson STEAL (1 STL)0
25.5%
2
74.5%
Q1 - 11:43ATLBibby 4' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)0
26.8%
2
73.2%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. O'Neal: Tip to0
28.1%
0
71.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.4%
ATL
0.88 44.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
25
52%
ATL
11
26
42%
Midrange
MIA
23
40
57%
ATL
12
27
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
16
31%
47%
ATL
4
6.0
19
21%
32%
Free Throws
MIA
7
11
64%
ATL
18
25
72%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. O'Neal1968%9.5 / 14
D. Wade1850%9.0 / 18
D. Cook1771%8.5 / 12
U. Haslem1488%7.0 / 8
D. Wright1083%5.0 / 6
M. Beasley732%3.5 / 11
R. Alston325%1.5 / 6
Q. Richardson220%1.0 / 5
C. Arroyo225%1.0 / 4
J. Anthony2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith1850%9.0 / 18
J. Johnson1638%8.0 / 21
M. Bibby1250%6.0 / 12
A. Horford1161%5.5 / 9
M. Williams1142%5.5 / 13
M. Evans440%2.0 / 5
J. Teague233%1.0 / 3
J. Smith250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
69
+17
-10
86
ATL
68
+18
-14
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.4%
ATL
0.88 44.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.7
112.2
MIA 119.0
ATL 92.7 +26.3
Pace
89.6
89.9
MIA 75.2
ATL 86.3 +11.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
16.2
MIA 19.1
ATL 16.7 +2.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.6%
50.6%
MIA 53.7% +13.4%
ATL 40.3%
TO %
13.6%
12.7%
MIA 12.3% +2.1%
ATL 14.4%
ORB %
26.0%
28.3%
MIA 36.1% +7.5%
ATL 28.6%
FTrt
29.6
28.1
MIA 13.6
ATL 34.7 +21.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.9%
56.2%
MIA 56.1%
ATL 74.1% +18.0%
STL %
8.1%
8.0%
MIA 7.6%
ATL 9.8% +2.2%
BLK %
9.4%
7.9%
MIA 9.4% +3.2%
ATL 6.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
53.3%
MIA 53.4% +9.2%
ATL 44.2%
Rim FG%
62.0%
60.8%
MIA 52.0% +9.7%
ATL 42.3%
Mid FG%
40.8%
40.6%
MIA 57.5% +13.1%
ATL 44.4%
3P %
34.6%
36.0%
MIA 31.3% +10.2%
ATL 21.1%
FT %
75.2%
75.9%
MIA 63.6%
ATL 72.0% +8.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.8%
35.5%
MIA 30.9%
ATL 36.1% +5.2%
Mid Att. %
48.3%
43.1%
MIA 49.4%
ATL 37.5% +11.9%
3P Att. %
21.9%
21.4%
MIA 19.8%
ATL 26.4% +6.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAATL
Possessions7982
Possession Minutes25.222.8
Points9476
Rebounds4335
Assists2320
Steals68
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)10 (2)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (4)12 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (0)23 (2)
Field Goals41-8127-72
At-the-Rim FG13-2511-26
Midrange FG23-4012-27
2-Point FG36-6523-53
3-Point FG5-164-19
Free Throws7-1118-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 255 · 31
36.0
19
68%
10
1
0
2
4
1
1
9
1-2
50%
9-13
69%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 28
35.4
18
50%
4
11
2
1
2
1
3
1
4-7
57%
7-13
54%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 175 · 34
25.2
3
25%
0
1
0
0
2
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-5
20%
F · 6'9" 235 · 21
22.8
7
32%
8
2
2
1
1
3
3
5
1-1
100%
3-11
27%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 228 · 30
16.8
2
20%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24
28.3
10
83%
2
3
0
0
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
3-3
100%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 235 · 30
28.1
14
88%
12
0
0
0
0
3
3
9
0-0
-
7-9
78%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 23
21.1
17
71%
1
2
1
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
4-7
57%
3-5
60%
G · 6'2" 200 · 31
14.4
2
25%
1
3
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 28
12.0
2
100%
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 32
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29
#9 · F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#6 · G · 6'2" 190 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
53%
43
23
6
5
10
0
13
30
7-11
64%
36-65
55%
5-16
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.