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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 10, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Kings40%98103
23Pistons60%10197
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 20.4
35.6
36.0
13
51%
5
6
3
1
0
4
2
3
3-6
50%
5-9
7-13
56%
50%
0-1
0%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 27.0
33.5
31.5
26
72%
3
2
1
1
0
2
1
2
7-7
100%
8-12
4-9
67%
47%
1-3
33%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 21.8
27.0
19.5
6
38%
11
4
0
0
1
1
2
9
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
51%
0-1
0%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.6
21.0
31.0
8
67%
5
0
1
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-4
4-7
25%
52%
2-2
100%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 22.0
14.8
31.0
6
38%
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
1-5
3-7
20%
49%
1-2
50%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.6
35.4
14.3
22
94%
3
6
3
0
1
4
1
2
4-4
100%
6-8
2-3
75%
51%
2-2
100%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 23.6
27.7
25.6
5
25%
9
3
0
0
2
3
4
5
1-2
50%
2-9
4-8
22%
49%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 30.2
23.9
17.3
13
72%
2
1
0
0
3
1
1
1
0-0
-
5-6
2-4
83%
46%
1-3
33%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.5
10.9
8.7
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-1
0%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 25.9
7.1
5.2
4
106%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 22.9
3.3
13.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 23.7
9.8
0
1-3
47%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 32.5
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 28.1
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 25.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.8
42.0
35.7
17
50%
4
9
4
1
1
5
2
2
9-9
100%
4-13
7-15
31%
46%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 30.0
34.6
30.1
23
77%
5
1
0
1
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
10-14
4-9
71%
47%
1-1
100%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 32.0
32.7
35.2
14
35%
3
3
2
1
0
3
1
2
4-4
100%
5-15
6-13
33%
48%
0-3
0%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 35.4
31.8
26.0
5
64%
13
0
2
1
2
2
4
9
1-2
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
50%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 22.9
26.5
22.4
10
61%
7
0
1
1
0
0
3
4
4-5
80%
3-6
3-5
50%
54%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 25.5
19.4
17.6
11
62%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
2-6
3-5
33%
50%
2-2
100%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.1
17.9
20.3
8
45%
0
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
49%
0-1
0%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 27.0
17.8
23.7
6
43%
6
0
2
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
3-7
4-7
43%
54%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.9
17.3
22.7
3
16%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
3-3
100%
0-4
3-6
0%
49%
0-4
0%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 21.7
4.7
0
1-1
53%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 27.4
4.3
0
1-1
53%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 27.9
4.3
0
0-1
53%
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.0
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 35.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.