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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 10, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Magic69%97107
22Bulls31%9087
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.5
27.9
34.3
11
46%
1
2
3
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
49%
1-7
14%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 33.0
26.6
32.6
15
69%
5
3
1
1
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
4-7
5-10
57%
46%
2-3
67%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.2
25.0
36.9
18
71%
14
1
1
1
1
5
4
10
4-6
67%
7-10
6-11
70%
59%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 29.9
24.0
27.4
14
90%
5
2
0
1
1
2
0
5
4-4
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
53%
2-3
67%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 28.0
23.9
26.3
11
70%
1
6
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
49%
1-2
50%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 34.2
24.1
19.1
10
63%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
50%
2-5
40%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.6
24.0
16.0
10
69%
5
4
0
0
0
2
0
5
5-5
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
1-2
50%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 26.0
23.0
11.5
3
26%
12
1
0
0
3
0
3
9
1-2
50%
1-5
1-2
20%
55%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 28.0
21.4
18.0
9
50%
5
1
0
1
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
3-8
38%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 21.8
15.0
8.9
4
34%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
0-2
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 24.8
5.0
5.3
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
51%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 35.4
5.4
0
0-1
44%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 34.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.8
33.9
36.8
23
64%
7
1
0
1
0
5
3
4
7-9
78%
8-14
6-14
57%
47%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 29.1
26.9
35.6
10
45%
3
4
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
3-7
50%
43%
2-7
29%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 33.8
24.7
28.6
2
14%
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
46%
0-2
0%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.6
17.3
22.6
0
0%
6
0
0
1
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
0-5
3-6
0%
48%
0-0
-
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.4
2.4
37.9
3
104%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-1
9-18
100%
48%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.5
35.6
20.6
16
60%
6
4
2
1
1
2
1
5
2-3
67%
7-12
3-6
58%
45%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 30.2
32.2
29.9
12
47%
3
1
1
1
1
3
2
1
4-4
100%
4-10
3-6
40%
47%
0-1
0%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.3
21.2
2.1
9
38%
6
5
1
0
0
0
0
6
2-2
100%
2-7
0-1
29%
39%
1-4
25%
Chris Richard
F · 6'9" 256 · 25.1
20.4
10.8
3
52%
5
3
1
0
1
0
1
4
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.0
13.4
2.0
6
44%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-5
0-0
40%
45%
0-1
0%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.1
12.0
9.7
3
21%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
40%
1-4
25%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 39.2
2.2
0
0-0
34%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 34.2
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 25.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.