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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 10, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Lakers49%9896
4Jazz51%9981
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 29.6
40.6
38.5
22
69%
19
4
1
1
5
6
4
15
2-2
100%
10-15
7-14
67%
54%
0-0
-
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 24.2
37.1
29.0
11
37%
3
4
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-11
4-7
36%
48%
1-4
25%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 30.2
37.0
33.0
3
19%
2
3
0
1
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
1-4
3-6
25%
45%
0-3
0%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.3
35.8
31.8
25
88%
11
1
3
1
2
3
2
9
11-12
92%
7-9
4-7
78%
52%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 35.5
28.3
27.3
6
41%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-3
67%
2-6
2-4
33%
44%
0-0
-
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.2
24.8
19.8
18
82%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
48%
4-4
100%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 25.9
15.8
10.1
3
28%
2
4
3
0
0
1
0
2
1-3
33%
1-2
1-1
50%
42%
0-2
0%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.0
10.7
7.6
4
106%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.9
5.7
7.9
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-5
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.1
4.3
1.9
4
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 31.5
37.9
1
7-15
49%
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 25.6
3.1
0
0-1
40%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 22.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.6
39.1
34.0
11
44%
9
10
3
1
0
3
3
6
5-8
63%
3-7
4-9
43%
51%
0-2
0%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.0
36.3
34.2
17
61%
5
2
2
1
4
2
1
4
0-0
-
7-11
4-8
64%
51%
1-3
33%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 28.2
33.6
33.0
11
32%
10
1
0
1
1
1
1
9
3-9
33%
4-13
7-12
31%
52%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 30.7
25.8
29.5
6
28%
4
1
0
1
0
2
2
2
0-2
0%
3-8
3-7
38%
47%
0-2
0%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 24.9
24.8
23.9
2
25%
1
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
53%
0-1
0%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 23.3
18.7
20.7
13
93%
0
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
5-6
2-5
83%
49%
1-1
100%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 25.0
18.1
26.4
9
77%
3
0
0
1
0
3
1
2
1-2
50%
4-5
4-8
80%
54%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.6
15.6
13.3
4
52%
1
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
0-1
0%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.9
15.4
19.5
6
50%
2
1
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
2-5
100%
48%
0-3
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 28.9
7.0
7.4
2
26%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
0-3
1-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 23.1
2.8
2.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 23.8
2.8
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 21.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.