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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 11, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Spurs42%98111
7Nuggets58%10192
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.8
35.2
31.2
17
52%
6
4
2
1
0
5
1
5
7-10
70%
5-11
4-8
45%
48%
0-1
0%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.4
33.6
11.6
14
58%
2
4
2
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
45%
4-8
50%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 29.6
33.6
29.9
14
71%
4
4
0
1
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
3-5
3-7
60%
47%
2-4
50%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.8
27.2
29.0
16
61%
7
0
0
1
1
2
2
5
2-5
40%
7-11
7-13
64%
50%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35.4
16.4
21.7
10
71%
4
3
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
5-7
3-6
71%
50%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 32.5
26.8
27.2
15
52%
6
6
2
1
0
2
1
5
5-8
63%
2-8
3-7
25%
48%
2-3
67%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 29.8
22.2
15.5
0
0%
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-1
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 20.8
20.8
19.3
17
74%
9
0
0
1
0
1
4
5
1-1
100%
8-11
4-7
73%
51%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 29.9
14.0
11.5
4
106%
1
1
1
0
2
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
52%
1-1
100%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 36.9
7.0
11.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-1
0%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 23.3
3.1
2.4
4
106%
1
1
0
0
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 36.8
3.2
0
0-0
49%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.7
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.3
38.1
26.3
6
30%
2
0
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
49%
0-3
0%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.7
36.5
25.7
19
46%
6
3
3
1
1
4
1
5
5-8
63%
4-14
6-12
29%
49%
2-3
67%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 33.4
34.5
27.5
17
42%
2
7
0
1
0
2
0
2
8-10
80%
3-8
3-6
38%
44%
1-8
13%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 27.4
32.8
27.4
20
89%
9
1
0
1
0
2
2
7
4-5
80%
8-9
4-7
89%
58%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 31.6
23.5
13.8
6
43%
3
1
0
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
3-7
2-3
43%
46%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 24.4
23.2
27.9
14
39%
6
1
2
1
2
1
2
4
6-9
67%
4-10
4-7
40%
50%
0-4
0%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31.6
21.9
22.3
4
69%
3
1
0
1
2
0
2
1
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
57%
0-0
-
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 22.3
19.6
22.9
4
69%
0
5
0
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
3-6
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 27.7
5.2
14.6
2
50%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 24.0
4.6
11.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
0-0
-
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 32.1
23.6
1
4-8
50%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.7
11.6
1
1-2
47%
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 25.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.