FinalWin Prob.pScore
642%98
111
758%101
92
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
118.19493.4
DEN logo DEN
97.99494.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS111
100%
92
0%
Q4 - 0:17.0DENAllen 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)111
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0SASMahinmi Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)111
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0SASMahinmi Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)110
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0DENGraham 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)109
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:49.0SASMahinmi Traveling Turnover (P3.T17)109
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:02DENAllen 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)109
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:12SASMahinmi Foul Turnover (P2.T16)109
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 1:27DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)109
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 1:27DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)109
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:33SASMahinmi 6' Jump Bank Hook Shot (2 PTS)109
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 1:48DENAfflalo Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)107
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 2:01SASMahinmi Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T15)107
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 2:11SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)107
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 2:12DENMISS Graham 22' Jump Shot107
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 2:34SASBlair Alley Oop Layup (17 PTS) (Mahinmi 1 AST)107
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 2:49SASMahinmi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)105
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 2:50DENMISS Afflalo 18' Jump Shot105
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 3:02DENPetro REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)105
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 3:02SASMISS Blair 21' Jump Shot105
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 3:07SASHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)105
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 3:08SASPetro BLOCK (1 BLK)105
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 3:26SASBlair REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)105
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 3:27DENMISS Allen 19' Turnaround Jump Shot105
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 3:47SASGinobili Putback Layup (15 PTS)105
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 3:48SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)103
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 3:49SASMISS Mason Jr. 3PT Jump Shot103
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 4:14DENLawson Driving Layup (2 PTS)103
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 4:22SASSmith STEAL (2 STL)103
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 4:37DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)103
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 4:37DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)103
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 4:46DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)103
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 4:47SASMISS Hill Free Throw 2 of 2103
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 4:47SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)103
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 5:00DENNene Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)102
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 5:10SASDuncan 8' Jump Bank Hook Shot (16 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)102
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 5:32DENSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)100
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 5:45SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)100
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 5:45SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 299
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 6:01SASSpurs Rebound99
99.7%
80
0.3%
Q4 - 6:02DENMISS Billups Driving Layup99
99.7%
80
0.3%
Q4 - 6:13DENNUGGETS Rebound99
99.6%
80
0.4%
Q4 - 6:14SASMISS Hill 3PT Jump Shot99
99.6%
80
0.4%
Q4 - 6:31SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)99
99.7%
80
0.3%
Q4 - 6:32DENMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 299
99.7%
80
0.3%
Q4 - 6:32DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 299
99.6%
80
0.4%
Q4 - 6:40SASBlair Layup (15 PTS) (Bogans 1 AST)99
99.6%
80
0.4%
Q4 - 6:42SASBogans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)97
99.5%
80
0.5%
Q4 - 6:43SASMISS Jefferson 3PT Jump Shot97
99.3%
80
0.7%
Q4 - 7:17DENAfflalo 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)97
99.1%
80
0.9%
Q4 - 7:43SASBogans Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T13)97
99.3%
78
0.7%
Q4 - 8:00DENSmith 10' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS)97
99.5%
78
0.5%
Q4 - 8:12SASHill Driving Layup (16 PTS)97
99.4%
76
0.6%
Q4 - 8:28DENBillups Driving Layup (17 PTS)95
99.3%
76
0.7%
Q4 - 8:46SASJefferson Layup (14 PTS)95
99.4%
74
0.6%
Q4 - 8:47SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)93
99.3%
74
0.7%
Q4 - 8:48SASMISS Mason Jr. Layup93
99.1%
74
0.9%
Q4 - 8:52SASBlair REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)93
99.3%
74
0.7%
Q4 - 8:53DENMISS Afflalo Driving Layup93
99.2%
74
0.8%
Q4 - 9:05SASBlair Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)93
98.6%
74
1.4%
Q4 - 9:17SASSpurs Rebound90
97.8%
74
2.2%
Q4 - 9:18SASSmith BLOCK (2 BLK)90
97.5%
74
2.5%
Q4 - 9:20SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)90
97.9%
74
2.1%
Q4 - 9:21DENMISS Afflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot90
97.7%
74
2.3%
Q4 - 9:44SASBlair Foul Turnover (P1.T12)90
97.3%
74
2.7%
Q4 - 9:52SASSpurs Rebound90
97.9%
74
2.1%
Q4 - 9:53SASSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)90
97.5%
74
2.5%
Q4 - 10:06DENLawson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)90
97.3%
74
2.7%
Q4 - 10:18SASHill 7' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS)90
96.6%
74
3.4%
Q4 - 10:44DENAnthony Layup (19 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)88
95.8%
74
4.2%
Q4 - 10:56SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Hill 4 AST)88
96.7%
72
3.3%
Q4 - 11:09SASBlair REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)85
93.8%
72
6.2%
Q4 - 11:10DENMISS Anthony 22' Jump Shot85
93.4%
72
6.6%
Q4 - 11:19SASHill 8' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS)85
92.5%
72
7.5%
Q4 - 11:38DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)83
90.9%
72
9.1%
Q4 - 11:38DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)83
91.2%
71
8.8%
Q4 - 11:42DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)83
92.6%
70
7.4%
Q4 - 11:43SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
93.0%
70
7.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN83
93.9%
70
6.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound83
92.6%
70
7.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMISS Smith 32' 3PT Jump Shot83
93.5%
70
6.5%
Q3 - 0:04.0SASBlair 7' Jump Shot (10 PTS)83
91.6%
70
8.4%
Q3 - 0:05.0SASBlair REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)81
89.7%
70
10.3%
Q3 - 0:06.0SASAndersen BLOCK (2 BLK)81
88.5%
70
11.5%
Q3 - 0:25.0DENAnthony Dunk (15 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)81
89.8%
70
10.2%
Q3 - 0:33.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)81
91.7%
68
8.3%
Q3 - 0:33.0SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 280
91.5%
68
8.5%
Q3 - 0:48.0DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)80
91.5%
68
8.5%
Q3 - 0:54.0DENNUGGETS Rebound80
94.3%
65
5.7%
Q3 - 0:54.0DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
95.0%
65
5.0%
Q3 - 1:07SASGinobili 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jefferson 3 AST)80
93.6%
65
6.4%
Q3 - 1:27DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)77
90.7%
65
9.3%
Q3 - 1:27DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)77
91.1%
64
8.9%
Q3 - 1:27DENNUGGETS Rebound77
92.3%
63
7.7%
Q3 - 1:27DENMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
93.2%
63
6.8%
Q3 - 1:30DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)77
92.3%
63
7.7%
Q3 - 1:31DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
93.2%
63
6.8%
Q3 - 1:48SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)77
92.4%
63
7.6%
Q3 - 1:48SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)76
92.2%
63
7.8%
Q3 - 2:08DENSmith Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)75
89.5%
63
10.5%
Q3 - 2:13DENSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)75
91.2%
61
8.8%
Q3 - 2:14SASMISS Mason Jr. 27' 3PT Jump Shot75
91.6%
61
8.4%
Q3 - 2:25DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)75
92.6%
61
7.4%
Q3 - 2:25DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 275
92.9%
60
7.1%
Q3 - 2:29DENSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)75
92.6%
60
7.4%
Q3 - 2:30SASMISS Ginobili 11' Turnaround Jump Shot75
93.0%
60
7.0%
Q3 - 2:57DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P4.T11)75
93.8%
60
6.2%
Q3 - 3:05SASMason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)75
91.7%
60
8.3%
Q3 - 3:11SASBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
88.7%
60
11.3%
Q3 - 3:13DENMISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot72
88.1%
60
11.9%
Q3 - 3:19DENSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)72
86.6%
60
13.4%
Q3 - 3:22DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
86.6%
60
13.4%
Q3 - 3:22DENMISS Smith Tip Shot72
88.1%
60
11.9%
Q3 - 3:23DENMISS Smith Layup72
88.1%
60
11.9%
Q3 - 3:28SASAnthony STEAL (3 STL)72
86.6%
60
13.4%
Q3 - 3:42SASSpurs Rebound72
88.7%
60
11.3%
Q3 - 3:43SASAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)72
87.3%
60
12.7%
Q3 - 4:00DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)72
88.7%
60
11.3%
Q3 - 4:00DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)72
89.2%
59
10.8%
Q3 - 4:00DENNUGGETS Rebound72
90.3%
58
9.7%
Q3 - 4:01SASMISS McDyess 20' Jump Shot72
90.0%
58
10.0%
Q3 - 4:11SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
91.2%
58
8.8%
Q3 - 4:12DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
90.7%
58
9.3%
Q3 - 4:27SASMason Jr. 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (McDyess 3 AST)72
89.5%
58
10.5%
Q3 - 4:34DENAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)69
86.1%
58
13.9%
Q3 - 4:36DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
83.4%
58
16.6%
Q3 - 4:37DENMISS Anthony 6' Jump Shot69
85.3%
58
14.7%
Q3 - 4:59SASMcDyess 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)69
83.5%
58
16.5%
Q3 - 5:12DENAfflalo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)67
79.8%
58
20.2%
Q3 - 5:20DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)67
76.6%
58
23.4%
Q3 - 5:22SASMISS Ginobili 21' Running Jump Shot67
77.7%
58
22.3%
Q3 - 5:29SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)67
79.9%
58
20.1%
Q3 - 5:30DENMISS Billups 12' Running Jump Shot67
78.9%
58
21.1%
Q3 - 5:42SASDuncan 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)67
76.7%
58
23.3%
Q3 - 6:04DENBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)65
72.8%
58
27.2%
Q3 - 6:21DENNUGGETS Rebound65
78.5%
55
21.5%
Q3 - 6:21SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot65
79.4%
55
20.6%
Q3 - 6:43DENNene 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)65
81.4%
55
18.6%
Q3 - 7:01SASMcDyess 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Mason Jr. 4 AST)65
81.9%
53
18.1%
Q3 - 7:14SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
79.8%
53
20.2%
Q3 - 7:16SASMISS Hill Layup63
77.9%
53
22.1%
Q3 - 7:20SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)63
79.8%
53
20.2%
Q3 - 7:22DENMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
79.0%
53
21.0%
Q3 - 7:43SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)63
77.1%
53
22.9%
Q3 - 7:43SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)62
76.6%
53
23.4%
Q3 - 7:50SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
74.5%
53
25.5%
Q3 - 7:51DENMISS Billups Free Throw 2 of 261
74.1%
53
25.9%
Q3 - 7:51DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)61
71.7%
53
28.3%
Q3 - 8:11SASJefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (McDyess 2 AST)61
73.4%
52
26.6%
Q3 - 8:23SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
67.4%
52
32.6%
Q3 - 8:24DENMISS Anthony 17' Jump Shot58
66.3%
52
33.7%
Q3 - 8:45SASJefferson Layup (9 PTS) (Mason Jr. 3 AST)58
63.7%
52
36.3%
Q3 - 9:03DENNene Finger Roll Layup (16 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)56
59.8%
52
40.2%
Q3 - 9:08SASAnthony STEAL (2 STL)56
63.3%
50
36.7%
Q3 - 9:35DENAnthony 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)56
66.7%
50
33.3%
Q3 - 9:49DENAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)56
72.9%
47
27.1%
Q3 - 9:50DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot56
74.9%
47
25.1%
Q3 - 10:08SASDuncan Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)56
71.9%
47
28.1%
Q3 - 10:23DENNene 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS)56
74.8%
47
25.2%
Q3 - 10:41SASMcDyess 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)56
77.4%
45
22.6%
Q3 - 10:58SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)54
74.9%
45
25.1%
Q3 - 10:59SASMISS Jefferson 21' Jump Shot54
72.9%
45
27.1%
Q3 - 11:09SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
74.0%
45
26.0%
Q3 - 11:10DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
73.2%
45
26.8%
Q3 - 11:24DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)54
71.1%
45
28.9%
Q3 - 11:25SASMISS McDyess 18' Jump Shot54
72.1%
45
27.9%
Q3 - 11:47DENAnthony Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T8)54
74.1%
45
25.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN54
71.2%
45
28.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound54
71.2%
45
28.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Anthony 33' 3PT Running Jump Shot54
73.2%
45
26.8%
Q2 - 0:04.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
70.8%
45
29.2%
Q2 - 0:05.0SASMISS Jefferson 3PT Jump Shot54
71.4%
45
28.6%
Q2 - 0:29.0DENAnthony 9' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)54
72.9%
45
27.1%
Q2 - 0:39.0SASHill Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P4.T8)54
76.0%
43
24.0%
Q2 - 0:52.0DENAnthony Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)54
77.9%
43
22.1%
Q2 - 0:55.0SASAnthony STEAL (1 STL)54
80.6%
41
19.4%
Q2 - 1:07SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
81.5%
41
18.5%
Q2 - 1:09DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 254
81.3%
41
18.7%
Q2 - 1:09DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 254
79.8%
41
20.2%
Q2 - 1:21SASJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)54
80.0%
41
20.0%
Q2 - 1:21SASJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)53
79.6%
41
20.4%
Q2 - 1:30SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
77.2%
41
22.8%
Q2 - 1:31DENMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot52
76.7%
41
23.3%
Q2 - 1:50SASGraham STEAL (1 STL)52
75.5%
41
24.5%
Q2 - 2:06DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)52
76.8%
41
23.2%
Q2 - 2:06DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 252
77.1%
40
22.9%
Q2 - 2:21DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
76.7%
40
23.3%
Q2 - 2:22SASMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
77.4%
40
22.6%
Q2 - 2:29SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
79.0%
40
21.0%
Q2 - 2:30DENMISS Nene 9' Jump Hook Shot52
78.3%
40
21.7%
Q2 - 2:35DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
76.7%
40
23.3%
Q2 - 2:36DENMISS Afflalo Driving Layup52
78.3%
40
21.7%
Q2 - 2:50DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
76.7%
40
23.3%
Q2 - 2:50SASMISS Duncan 5' Jump Hook Shot52
77.5%
40
22.5%
Q2 - 3:01DENAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)52
78.5%
40
21.5%
Q2 - 3:17SASJefferson Layup (5 PTS)52
75.9%
40
24.1%
Q2 - 3:19SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)50
74.0%
40
26.0%
Q2 - 3:20SASMISS Ginobili 21' Jump Shot50
72.0%
40
28.0%
Q2 - 3:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
74.0%
40
26.0%
Q2 - 3:34DENMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
73.1%
40
26.9%
Q2 - 3:39DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
71.0%
40
29.0%
Q2 - 3:41SASMISS Hill Free Throw 2 of 250
71.4%
40
28.6%
Q2 - 3:41SASMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 250
73.1%
40
26.9%
Q2 - 3:53DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)50
74.0%
40
26.0%
Q2 - 3:53DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)50
74.2%
39
25.8%
Q2 - 4:03DENBillups Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)50
75.1%
38
24.9%
Q2 - 4:11DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
77.3%
37
22.7%
Q2 - 4:13SASAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)50
78.0%
37
22.0%
Q2 - 4:27DENBillups Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)50
79.6%
37
20.4%
Q2 - 4:40DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
77.4%
37
22.6%
Q2 - 4:42SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 250
77.7%
37
22.3%
Q2 - 4:42SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)50
79.2%
37
20.8%
Q2 - 4:55DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)49
77.6%
37
22.4%
Q2 - 4:55DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)49
77.8%
36
22.2%
Q2 - 5:01DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
78.9%
35
21.1%
Q2 - 5:03SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 149
79.2%
35
20.8%
Q2 - 5:15DENNene Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)47
76.8%
35
23.2%
Q2 - 5:23DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
74.7%
35
25.3%
Q2 - 5:24SASMISS Mason Jr. 27' 3PT Jump Shot47
75.4%
35
24.6%
Q2 - 5:42DENAndersen Layup (2 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)47
76.9%
35
23.1%
Q2 - 5:53DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
79.0%
33
21.0%
Q2 - 5:54SASMISS Jefferson 23' Jump Shot47
79.5%
33
20.5%
Q2 - 6:13SASBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
80.1%
33
19.9%
Q2 - 6:14DENMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot47
79.4%
33
20.6%
Q2 - 6:24DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)47
77.9%
33
22.1%
Q2 - 6:25SASMISS Duncan 8' Running Hook Shot47
78.6%
33
21.4%
Q2 - 6:42DENLawson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)47
80.2%
33
19.8%
Q2 - 6:49SASHill Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)47
77.9%
33
22.1%
Q2 - 6:54SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
76.2%
33
23.8%
Q2 - 6:55DENMISS Allen 10' Running Jump Shot45
75.5%
33
24.5%
Q2 - 7:07SASBlair Layup (8 PTS) (Mason Jr. 2 AST)45
73.0%
33
27.0%
Q2 - 7:27DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)43
70.9%
33
29.1%
Q2 - 7:27DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)43
71.1%
32
28.9%
Q2 - 7:27DENNUGGETS Rebound43
73.0%
31
27.0%
Q2 - 7:28DENMISS Billups Driving Layup43
74.6%
31
25.4%
Q2 - 7:31DENNUGGETS Rebound43
73.1%
31
26.9%
Q2 - 7:32DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
74.7%
31
25.3%
Q2 - 7:36DENAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
73.1%
31
26.9%
Q2 - 7:37SASMISS Mason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
73.8%
31
26.2%
Q2 - 7:42SASBlair REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)43
75.3%
31
24.7%
Q2 - 7:44SASMISS Bonner Free Throw 2 of 243
73.4%
31
26.6%
Q2 - 7:44SASBonner Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)43
74.8%
31
25.2%
Q2 - 7:47DENBillups Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)42
73.2%
31
26.8%
Q2 - 8:08SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)42
69.7%
31
30.3%
Q2 - 8:08SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)41
69.3%
31
30.7%
Q2 - 8:21DENAfflalo 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)40
67.4%
31
32.6%
Q2 - 8:36DENNUGGETS Rebound40
69.8%
29
30.2%
Q2 - 8:36SASMISS Bogans 3PT Jump Shot40
70.5%
29
29.5%
Q2 - 8:53DENAllen Foul Turnover (P2.T2)40
72.1%
29
27.9%
Q2 - 8:56DENNUGGETS Rebound40
69.8%
29
30.2%
Q2 - 8:57DENMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot40
71.4%
29
28.6%
Q2 - 9:19SASHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)40
68.9%
29
31.1%
Q2 - 9:19SASHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)39
68.4%
29
31.6%
Q2 - 9:22SASBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
66.7%
29
33.3%
Q2 - 9:23DENMISS Smith 9' Turnaround Jump Shot38
65.9%
29
34.1%
Q2 - 9:37SASSmith STEAL (1 STL)38
64.1%
29
35.9%
Q2 - 9:44DENAllen Inbound Turnover (P1.T1)38
66.7%
29
33.3%
Q2 - 9:46SASBlair Dunk (6 PTS)38
64.1%
29
35.9%
Q2 - 9:55SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)36
61.8%
29
38.2%
Q2 - 9:56DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
61.0%
29
39.0%
Q2 - 10:02DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)36
58.6%
29
41.4%
Q2 - 10:03DENAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
58.6%
29
41.4%
Q2 - 10:03DENMISS Allen Tip Shot36
60.6%
29
39.4%
Q2 - 10:04DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
60.6%
29
39.4%
Q2 - 10:21SASBlair 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS)36
58.7%
29
41.3%
Q2 - 10:23SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)34
56.3%
29
43.7%
Q2 - 10:25SASMISS Hill Driving Layup34
54.4%
29
45.6%
Q2 - 10:40SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
56.3%
29
43.7%
Q2 - 10:41DENMISS Anthony 6' Jump Shot34
55.5%
29
44.5%
Q2 - 10:49DENNUGGETS Rebound34
53.5%
29
46.5%
Q2 - 10:50DENMISS Allen 21' Jump Shot34
55.5%
29
44.5%
Q2 - 10:58DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
53.5%
29
46.5%
Q2 - 10:59SASMISS Hill 19' Jump Shot34
54.4%
29
45.6%
Q2 - 11:09SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
55.8%
29
44.2%
Q2 - 11:10DENMISS Anthony 14' Jump Shot34
55.0%
29
45.0%
Q2 - 11:29SASBlair Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)34
53.2%
29
46.8%
Q2 - 11:39SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
50.8%
29
49.2%
Q2 - 11:39DENMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot32
50.0%
29
50.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS32
48.1%
29
51.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound32
50.8%
29
49.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Blair Layup32
48.9%
29
51.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
50.8%
29
49.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0SASMISS Ginobili 12' Jump Shot32
48.5%
29
51.5%
Q1 - 0:17.0DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)32
49.9%
29
50.1%
Q1 - 0:17.0DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)32
50.5%
28
49.5%
Q1 - 0:32.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)32
52.9%
27
47.1%
Q1 - 0:32.0SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 231
52.6%
27
47.4%
Q1 - 0:47.0DENNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)31
52.4%
27
47.6%
Q1 - 0:51.0DENMISS Billups Free Throw Technical31
57.8%
24
42.2%
Q1 - 1:03SASDuncan 6' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS)31
57.3%
24
42.7%
Q1 - 1:20SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
54.2%
24
45.8%
Q1 - 1:22DENMISS Andersen Layup29
53.7%
24
46.3%
Q1 - 1:24DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
52.6%
24
47.4%
Q1 - 1:25DENMISS Smith Driving Layup29
53.7%
24
46.3%
Q1 - 1:45SASDuncan Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)29
52.6%
24
47.4%
Q1 - 2:01DENNene 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)29
54.3%
24
45.7%
Q1 - 2:10DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
56.9%
22
43.1%
Q1 - 2:11SASMISS Ginobili Driving Reverse Layup29
57.5%
22
42.5%
Q1 - 2:21SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
58.9%
22
41.1%
Q1 - 2:21DENMISS Billups 16' Jump Shot29
58.3%
22
41.7%
Q1 - 2:37SASDuncan 8' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)29
56.9%
22
43.1%
Q1 - 3:04DENSmith Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)27
54.3%
22
45.7%
Q1 - 3:22SASDuncan Layup (5 PTS) (Mason Jr. 1 AST)27
56.5%
20
43.5%
Q1 - 3:43SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
54.3%
20
45.7%
Q1 - 3:45DENMISS Anthony Driving Reverse Layup25
53.5%
20
46.5%
Q1 - 3:54SASMason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)25
51.9%
20
48.1%
Q1 - 4:15DENAnthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)22
46.9%
20
53.1%
Q1 - 4:33DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
51.2%
17
48.8%
Q1 - 4:34DENMISS Anthony 6' Turnaround Jump Shot22
52.9%
17
47.1%
Q1 - 4:46SASGinobili Driving Layup (2 PTS)22
51.3%
17
48.7%
Q1 - 5:01SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
48.8%
17
51.2%
Q1 - 5:02DENMISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot20
48.0%
17
52.0%
Q1 - 5:16SASBonner Foul Turnover (P1.T3)20
46.4%
17
53.6%
Q1 - 5:24DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
48.8%
17
51.2%
Q1 - 5:24DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
49.1%
16
50.9%
Q1 - 5:40SASBonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)20
50.7%
15
49.3%
Q1 - 5:59DENNene Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)17
46.6%
15
53.4%
Q1 - 6:17SASHill Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)17
48.3%
13
51.7%
Q1 - 6:35DENAllen 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)17
50.5%
13
49.5%
Q1 - 6:53SASMason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)17
52.6%
11
47.4%
Q1 - 7:01SASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
48.1%
11
51.9%
Q1 - 7:02DENMISS Afflalo 13' Running Jump Shot14
47.5%
11
52.5%
Q1 - 7:19DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
45.9%
11
54.1%
Q1 - 7:21SASMISS Duncan 11' Turnaround Bank Shot14
46.6%
11
53.4%
Q1 - 7:35SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
48.2%
11
51.8%
Q1 - 7:37DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 214
47.9%
11
52.1%
Q1 - 7:37DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)14
46.6%
11
53.4%
Q1 - 7:49SASMcDyess 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)14
48.0%
10
52.0%
Q1 - 8:07DENBillups 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
45.9%
10
54.1%
Q1 - 8:17SASJefferson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)12
48.0%
8
52.0%
Q1 - 8:39DENNene 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)9
43.8%
8
56.2%
Q1 - 8:56SASMason Jr. Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)9
45.9%
6
54.1%
Q1 - 9:17DENBillups Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)9
47.9%
6
52.1%
Q1 - 9:39SASHill Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)9
50.0%
4
50.0%
Q1 - 9:46SASHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
47.9%
4
52.1%
Q1 - 9:47DENMISS Billups 19' Jump Shot7
47.3%
4
52.7%
Q1 - 10:02SASMason Jr. 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
45.4%
4
54.6%
Q1 - 10:23DENNene Layup (2 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)5
43.8%
4
56.2%
Q1 - 10:34DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
45.4%
2
54.6%
Q1 - 10:36SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 25
45.7%
2
54.3%
Q1 - 10:36SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
46.8%
2
53.2%
Q1 - 10:56DENAfflalo 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)4
45.6%
2
54.4%
Q1 - 11:16SASMcDyess 7' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)4
46.5%
0
53.5%
Q1 - 11:24SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
44.8%
0
55.2%
Q1 - 11:25DENMISS Anthony 20' Jump Shot2
44.3%
0
55.7%
Q1 - 11:45SASDuncan Tip Shot (2 PTS)2
43.1%
0
56.9%
Q1 - 11:46SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
41.5%
0
58.5%
Q1 - 11:47SASMISS Hill Driving Layup0
40.3%
0
59.7%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Nene vs. Duncan: Tip to McDyess0
41.5%
0
58.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.19 59.7%
DEN
0.95 47.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
18
31
58%
DEN
14
24
58%
Midrange
SAS
14
27
52%
DEN
14
36
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
9
13.5
19
47%
71%
DEN
3
4.5
19
16%
24%
Free Throws
SAS
20
30
67%
DEN
27
36
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Hill1750%8.5 / 17
D. Blair1777%8.5 / 11
T. Duncan1662%8.0 / 13
M. Ginobili1550%7.5 / 15
R. Mason Jr.1458%7.0 / 12
R. Jefferson1470%7.0 / 10
A. McDyess1071%5.0 / 7
M. Bonner4100%2.0 / 2
I. Mahinmi4100%2.0 / 2
K. Bogans0-0.0 / 1
M. Finley0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
Nene2091%10.0 / 11
C. Anthony1945%9.5 / 21
C. Billups1743%8.5 / 20
J. Smith1439%7.0 / 18
A. Afflalo630%3.0 / 10
M. Allen643%3.0 / 7
C. Andersen467%2.0 / 3
T. Lawson467%2.0 / 3
J. Graham250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
77
+16
-17
93
DEN
79
+18
-15
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.19 59.7%
DEN
0.95 47.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.4
111.9
SAS 118.1
DEN 97.9 +20.2
Pace
91.5
94.7
SAS 93.4
DEN 94.6 +1.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
14.7
SAS 15.4
DEN 15.2 +0.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.5%
50.9%
SAS 59.1% +18.0%
DEN 41.1%
TO %
14.1%
14.2%
SAS 15.9%
DEN 13.7% +2.2%
ORB %
26.8%
26.1%
SAS 35.3% +12.0%
DEN 23.3%
FTrt
29.6
37.6
SAS 39.0
DEN 45.6 +6.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.1%
55.0%
SAS 58.5%
DEN 61.3% +2.8%
STL %
6.9%
8.7%
SAS 8.5% +2.1%
DEN 6.4%
BLK %
6.9%
7.9%
SAS 5.0%
DEN 10.3% +5.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.0%
54.9%
SAS 59.7% +12.3%
DEN 47.4%
Rim FG%
62.2%
61.0%
SAS 58.1%
DEN 58.3% +0.2%
Mid FG%
40.7%
39.6%
SAS 51.9% +13.0%
DEN 38.9%
3P %
35.8%
35.9%
SAS 47.4% +31.6%
DEN 15.8%
FT %
74.0%
77.2%
SAS 66.7%
DEN 75.0% +8.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.1%
37.5%
SAS 40.3% +9.9%
DEN 30.4%
Mid Att. %
40.6%
39.8%
SAS 35.1% +10.5%
DEN 45.6%
3P Att. %
23.2%
22.7%
SAS 24.7% +0.6%
DEN 24.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASDEN
Possessions9494
Possession Minutes24.123.9
Points11192
Rebounds4532
Assists2419
Steals86
Blocks36
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (4)10 (8)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (1)22 (4)
Field Goals41-7731-79
At-the-Rim FG18-3114-24
Midrange FG14-2714-36
2-Point FG32-5828-60
3-Point FG9-193-19
Free Throws20-3027-36
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 188 · 24
35.2
17
50%
6
4
2
0
5
3
1
5
7-10
70%
5-11
45%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 205 · 29
33.6
14
58%
2
4
2
0
1
4
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
4-8
50%
F · 6'7" 233 · 30
33.6
14
70%
4
4
0
0
1
4
2
2
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
2-4
50%
F · 6'11" 250 · 34
27.2
16
62%
7
0
0
1
2
2
2
5
2-5
40%
7-11
64%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 35
16.4
10
71%
4
3
1
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
5-7
71%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 33
26.8
15
50%
6
6
2
0
2
4
1
5
5-8
63%
2-8
25%
2-3
67%
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 30
22.2
0
0%
4
1
0
0
1
5
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 21
20.8
17
77%
9
0
0
0
1
4
4
5
1-1
100%
8-11
73%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 30
14.0
4
100%
1
1
1
2
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
-
1-1
100%
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 37
7.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 262 · 23
3.1
4
100%
1
1
0
0
3
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 235 · 37
#9 · G · 6'2" 185 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · G · 6'6" 220 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
60%
45
24
8
3
17
0
12
33
20-30
67%
32-58
55%
9-19
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.