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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 16, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Nets21%89103
12Bobcats79%9994
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.0
36.8
33.8
17
49%
6
9
0
1
1
3
1
5
2-3
67%
6-14
5-10
43%
46%
1-2
50%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.4
33.6
33.6
21
72%
5
3
1
1
0
1
2
3
6-8
75%
6-9
4-8
67%
46%
1-2
50%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 21.9
29.1
36.8
16
73%
3
2
0
1
3
3
2
1
0-0
-
8-11
6-12
73%
50%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.5
27.9
32.0
12
50%
6
2
0
1
1
1
0
6
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
46%
2-7
29%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 22.3
27.6
30.8
6
48%
4
0
0
1
1
1
1
3
4-5
80%
1-4
4-10
25%
41%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.0
21.9
18.9
13
55%
8
0
0
0
0
0
2
6
1-2
50%
6-11
3-7
55%
44%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.8
16.8
18.2
7
50%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
1-3
33%
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 22.6
16.3
14.4
4
50%
5
1
0
0
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
1-4
50%
40%
0-0
-
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25.2
16.2
2.0
7
72%
8
0
0
0
1
0
4
4
1-2
50%
3-4
0-0
75%
50%
0-0
-
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 23.1
13.9
6.9
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 31.0
8.9
0
1-2
45%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.4
8.7
0
0-1
39%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 29.7
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 34.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 27.8
43.4
36.3
19
46%
10
3
1
1
2
1
2
8
5-6
83%
4-10
4-7
40%
55%
2-8
25%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 31.9
41.5
40.7
15
36%
2
5
4
2
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
7-14
6-13
50%
49%
0-6
0%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.6
36.3
40.9
21
58%
10
2
1
2
3
1
4
6
7-9
78%
7-14
5-10
50%
54%
0-0
-
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 25.6
35.0
29.7
18
80%
5
4
0
1
0
2
1
4
4-5
80%
7-9
4-8
78%
49%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 32.4
10.7
30.2
4
67%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
6-10
67%
56%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.6
17.9
21.2
5
42%
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
3-5
25%
48%
1-2
50%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 27.4
17.9
15.5
2
33%
5
1
0
0
2
4
2
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
60%
0-0
-
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.7
16.7
4.9
8
68%
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-3
1-1
0%
52%
2-2
100%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 22.3
13.0
26.3
2
53%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
2-4
-
45%
0-1
0%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 28.0
4.9
3.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 22.4
2.8
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
53%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.2
1.6
0
0-0
50%
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 25.1
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 21.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.