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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 16, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Heat49%94105
1876ers51%9578
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 31.3
30.3
30.4
20
67%
6
0
0
0
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
10-15
6-11
67%
50%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 28.1
28.5
33.5
24
61%
6
6
1
2
1
4
1
5
7-8
88%
7-15
7-14
47%
51%
1-1
100%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 33.6
24.8
23.7
3
38%
2
4
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
41%
1-2
50%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 29.8
23.5
20.7
10
56%
10
2
1
1
0
0
3
7
1-2
50%
3-5
1-2
60%
44%
1-3
33%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.1
21.2
22.0
12
61%
3
1
0
1
2
0
1
2
2-2
100%
5-9
4-9
56%
49%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.7
24.6
27.7
13
57%
9
1
0
0
1
0
3
6
3-3
100%
5-10
4-8
50%
50%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.8
23.2
17.9
9
56%
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
38%
1-3
33%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 30.6
19.5
17.0
2
25%
3
7
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
47%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24.2
18.9
25.1
5
56%
4
2
0
1
2
3
1
3
1-1
100%
2-2
2-5
100%
50%
0-2
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 27.5
14.3
15.0
2
36%
4
0
0
0
0
2
2
2
2-4
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.7
5.6
4.2
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.4
5.6
3.0
3
150%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
38%
1-1
100%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.7
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.1
36.2
39.4
11
43%
3
7
0
2
1
1
0
3
1-2
50%
5-8
4-9
63%
50%
0-4
0%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 30.9
34.3
31.1
8
40%
5
2
0
1
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
4-10
6-12
40%
50%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 29.8
25.6
23.4
9
35%
10
0
0
0
1
0
4
6
1-2
50%
4-12
3-5
33%
52%
0-0
-
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 19.7
23.9
21.1
9
56%
5
2
1
1
1
3
1
4
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
44%
1-2
50%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.6
6.1
27.0
4
67%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
48%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.7
29.8
26.6
16
57%
2
0
2
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
8-13
4-9
62%
51%
0-1
0%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 34.7
26.5
30.6
4
23%
2
2
3
1
0
1
2
0
2-4
50%
1-7
5-10
14%
46%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.3
24.1
25.6
9
44%
5
6
2
1
0
0
1
4
5-5
100%
2-6
3-7
33%
48%
0-2
0%
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 25.9
19.1
16.9
4
34%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
0-3
0%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 22.5
14.4
6.9
4
23%
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
2
0-2
0%
2-8
1-3
25%
51%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 28.2
12.5
0
1-1
42%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 29.0
5.0
0
0-1
46%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 24.0
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 30.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.