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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 16, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Knicks48%9685
26Bulls52%97118
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 27.5
39.0
27.6
2
25%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
42%
0-2
0%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 26.8
30.6
35.1
24
48%
12
4
1
1
0
4
5
7
4-4
100%
10-23
8-16
43%
55%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.8
28.8
35.6
10
39%
4
0
1
1
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
3-10
6-13
30%
51%
1-2
50%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.5
28.2
30.1
10
46%
3
2
2
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
3-7
2-4
43%
46%
1-3
33%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 28.2
27.3
34.5
8
82%
1
1
0
1
2
4
1
0
2-2
100%
0-0
2-4
-
47%
2-4
50%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.0
27.1
27.6
15
59%
8
3
1
1
0
3
1
7
6-6
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
49%
1-4
25%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.9
24.1
3.3
5
36%
1
1
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
47%
1-5
20%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 22.6
19.7
8.3
4
30%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
4-6
67%
0-4
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Jonathan Bender
F · 7'0" 230 · 29.0
8.4
3.2
4
43%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
4-6
67%
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Marcus Landry
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.3
6.8
1.9
3
30%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
47%
1-4
25%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 25.7
28.4
1
4-8
49%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 31.1
7.1
0
1-2
41%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.7
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 27.2
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 34.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 29.1
34.1
32.2
14
70%
8
6
0
1
1
1
0
8
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
46%
2-2
100%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.6
29.4
20.5
6
44%
10
3
2
1
3
1
1
9
0-2
0%
3-6
3-6
50%
50%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.8
27.5
35.3
18
70%
4
3
1
1
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
8-12
7-13
67%
50%
0-0
-
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.4
27.0
25.3
29
79%
3
6
1
1
0
2
0
3
1-1
100%
14-18
6-12
78%
51%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 33.8
24.8
26.7
10
71%
3
0
1
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
5-5
3-6
100%
49%
0-2
0%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.5
30.5
24.9
11
71%
8
2
3
1
3
2
0
8
3-4
75%
4-6
4-7
67%
48%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 30.2
22.9
30.2
11
80%
4
6
2
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
49%
1-2
50%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.3
18.2
9.2
12
50%
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
1-3
50%
41%
2-6
33%
Chris Richard
F · 6'9" 256 · 25.1
12.0
14.4
2
33%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
46%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.0
7.6
6.2
3
39%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
1-1
33%
49%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.1
5.9
10.5
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 39.2
2.1
0
0-0
36%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 34.3
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 25.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.