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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 16, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Mavericks46%9386
14Thunder54%9599
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 31.7
36.1
31.4
24
49%
9
6
0
1
0
2
3
6
6-6
100%
9-21
6-13
43%
49%
0-1
0%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 36.9
35.7
32.8
12
55%
8
5
1
2
2
3
0
8
1-2
50%
1-3
1-3
33%
42%
3-7
43%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 31.8
33.2
21.4
8
34%
6
1
0
1
0
1
3
3
2-2
100%
3-11
3-6
27%
52%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 29.9
31.4
40.7
13
37%
6
1
1
2
1
4
4
2
4-4
100%
3-14
6-14
21%
44%
1-2
50%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 34.6
30.7
25.0
4
50%
13
3
0
0
3
0
2
11
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
60%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.4
33.8
34.2
14
43%
2
4
1
1
0
1
0
2
3-3
100%
1-6
4-9
17%
48%
3-9
33%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 30.2
15.3
27.8
7
40%
6
0
0
0
1
0
3
3
1-4
25%
3-7
3-5
43%
51%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.6
12.3
12.7
4
34%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-4
2-3
25%
46%
0-1
0%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.6
7.0
9.5
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
0-1
0%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 28.9
4.5
7.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
39%
0-0
-
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 29.8
29.3
1
4-9
46%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 28.4
28.5
1
4-9
46%
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.6
10.5
0
1-2
50%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.0
10.1
0
1-2
46%
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 28.8
8.1
0
0-1
41%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 29.5
6.2
0
0-1
41%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 33.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.5
41.8
38.9
17
56%
6
1
2
1
2
1
1
5
3-5
60%
4-9
5-10
44%
49%
2-4
50%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 21.4
40.8
36.2
25
40%
14
2
0
1
3
1
2
12
5-8
63%
7-21
8-15
33%
51%
2-7
29%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.3
34.9
32.5
17
59%
6
8
1
1
0
1
1
5
5-8
63%
6-11
5-12
55%
44%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.8
17.6
25.6
4
41%
3
0
1
1
1
2
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.6
17.3
20.2
4
25%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-8
3-6
25%
50%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 20.5
31.4
21.8
17
97%
5
6
0
1
0
2
0
5
4-4
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
44%
3-4
75%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 29.3
29.8
25.4
8
80%
9
0
0
1
3
1
3
6
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
56%
0-0
-
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 20.4
13.4
16.2
5
46%
5
1
0
0
0
0
2
3
1-1
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
52%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.7
13.2
14.2
2
53%
1
4
0
1
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 31.9
3.5
0
0-1
52%
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 37.1
2.4
0
0-0
44%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 21.0
1.4
0
0-0
51%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 33.7
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.5
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.