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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 16, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Warriors21%9894
1Lakers79%109104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.9
43.6
39.2
11
26%
10
8
1
2
0
4
0
10
0-0
-
4-11
5-10
36%
45%
1-10
10%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.4
40.9
33.9
23
69%
3
2
2
1
0
2
0
3
3-4
75%
4-7
3-6
57%
49%
4-8
50%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 30.3
32.3
14.5
17
47%
5
5
0
0
0
6
1
4
9-12
75%
4-13
3-6
31%
49%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.9
24.1
20.3
2
50%
6
2
2
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
57%
0-0
-
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.7
22.7
35.0
9
50%
1
2
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
3-7
43%
46%
1-2
50%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 27.1
29.3
24.0
3
31%
7
3
1
0
2
1
1
6
1-2
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
49%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.8
26.6
28.3
20
69%
2
2
2
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
5-9
3-5
56%
48%
3-5
60%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.5
16.3
7.2
7
70%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
41%
1-2
50%
Chris Hunter
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 25.6
4.2
5.6
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.3
26.2
1
5-11
48%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 20.6
6.3
0
1-2
45%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.2
4.2
0
0-1
44%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.4
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 33.4
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 24.2
38.4
31.4
27
65%
10
3
2
1
1
1
0
10
4-4
100%
10-13
4-9
77%
51%
1-6
17%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 30.3
35.4
33.8
15
51%
4
6
3
1
0
1
1
3
3-4
75%
3-7
3-7
43%
48%
2-6
33%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 29.6
34.0
38.7
14
44%
9
5
0
1
2
4
3
6
4-4
100%
5-14
8-14
36%
57%
0-0
-
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 22.3
30.3
16.8
21
75%
7
0
3
0
0
4
3
4
5-7
71%
8-11
3-6
73%
59%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 35.5
28.0
27.5
11
63%
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
46%
1-2
50%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.3
29.4
32.9
9
31%
18
2
0
1
0
2
3
15
2-6
33%
2-8
4-8
25%
54%
1-4
25%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.2
20.0
21.8
7
72%
0
0
0
1
0
5
0
0
0-2
0%
2-2
3-5
100%
51%
1-2
50%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 25.9
17.4
12.4
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 25.6
7.0
3.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 31.5
27.9
1
6-12
52%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.1
9.0
0
1-3
45%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.1
3.2
0
0-1
52%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.