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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 17, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Rockets37%94127
16Bucks63%9899
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 25.1
29.0
32.1
15
56%
1
12
2
1
0
3
0
1
2-3
67%
2-6
4-10
33%
44%
3-6
50%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 31.4
28.7
33.5
20
113%
10
3
1
1
1
1
1
9
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
6-6
100%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 24.6
27.1
32.6
22
100%
1
3
2
2
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
4-8
50%
46%
6-7
86%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 29.8
25.8
28.2
10
54%
9
2
0
1
1
3
1
8
2-5
40%
4-7
6-11
57%
51%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 26.7
17.1
18.9
2
33%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 21.7
30.9
24.1
11
94%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
3-4
2-5
75%
46%
1-1
100%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 26.4
24.4
25.0
19
79%
5
2
0
1
1
0
0
5
5-7
71%
7-9
5-9
78%
54%
0-0
-
David Andersen
· 6'11" 247 · 29.7
19.4
20.5
7
56%
3
0
1
0
1
1
0
3
3-5
60%
2-4
3-6
50%
47%
0-0
-
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 23.8
19.0
14.5
11
68%
3
1
0
0
1
2
1
2
5-7
71%
3-4
1-3
75%
44%
0-1
0%
Jermaine Taylor
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.2
9.2
3.7
6
80%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
4-4
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
43%
0-0
-
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 29.2
6.5
2.0
4
34%
2
0
0
0
2
1
1
1
2-2
100%
1-3
0-0
33%
42%
0-2
0%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 26.2
2.8
4.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 29.4
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 30.7
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.9
27.3
30.2
9
53%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
45%
2-6
33%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.4
27.3
28.7
18
62%
8
1
1
1
1
1
5
3
6-8
75%
6-11
3-5
55%
50%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 27.5
25.8
33.5
11
51%
8
3
2
1
0
4
2
6
2-4
50%
3-7
3-6
43%
47%
1-2
50%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.2
24.3
30.5
12
44%
7
1
0
1
1
3
3
4
2-4
50%
5-12
7-13
42%
54%
0-0
-
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 20.4
20.0
27.5
13
72%
1
2
1
1
1
4
0
1
0-0
-
5-7
4-9
71%
41%
1-2
50%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.0
33.9
21.2
12
40%
3
6
1
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
5-14
3-6
36%
48%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.5
22.7
3.2
7
27%
6
0
1
0
0
0
2
4
3-4
75%
2-7
0-1
29%
46%
0-4
0%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.8
20.2
17.3
7
58%
2
2
2
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 37.4
17.8
8.3
8
67%
5
1
0
0
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
4-6
1-2
67%
50%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 35.3
14.8
22.7
2
17%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-3
2-5
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.0
5.9
3.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 27.6
9.8
0
2-4
51%
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.1
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 30.5
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 34.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.