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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 17, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Kings36%10598
17Warriors64%110130
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 20.4
32.3
37.7
17
60%
5
10
3
2
0
6
0
5
5-5
100%
6-11
7-14
55%
50%
0-1
0%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 22.0
29.1
25.6
15
59%
3
0
1
1
2
1
0
3
3-4
75%
3-6
3-6
50%
48%
2-5
40%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.7
29.1
31.7
11
50%
7
2
1
1
1
1
1
6
0-0
-
4-10
4-8
40%
52%
1-1
100%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 21.8
27.3
29.1
11
79%
2
4
1
1
1
3
2
0
0-0
-
4-5
5-10
80%
50%
1-2
50%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 27.0
19.1
32.1
10
45%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-5
40%
4-9
4-10
44%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 23.6
28.3
28.5
17
40%
15
1
0
1
0
2
8
7
5-7
71%
6-18
5-10
33%
49%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 28.1
22.1
10.4
9
65%
4
2
0
0
0
2
2
2
2-2
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
47%
1-1
100%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.6
18.0
20.9
4
33%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
51%
0-3
0%
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 22.9
13.9
7.8
4
58%
6
0
0
0
0
0
2
4
0-1
0%
2-3
1-1
67%
50%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 30.2
10.2
10.1
0
0%
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
0-3
0%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.5
8.5
4.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-1
0%
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 23.7
2.2
7.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-1
0%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 25.2
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 25.9
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 32.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.4
44.0
37.0
25
59%
5
5
1
1
1
3
0
5
3-3
100%
5-12
3-7
42%
52%
4-8
50%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.8
43.4
26.6
40
75%
7
6
2
1
0
1
0
7
6-8
75%
14-20
3-5
70%
52%
2-3
67%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.9
39.6
40.6
24
74%
6
15
3
2
0
3
1
5
3-3
100%
9-11
5-11
82%
49%
1-4
25%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.9
22.3
23.1
2
25%
7
0
0
1
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
1-4
3-4
25%
61%
0-0
-
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 30.3
11.9
27.7
5
26%
3
0
1
1
0
0
1
2
1-1
100%
2-9
6-11
22%
52%
0-0
-
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.7
24.7
26.1
11
63%
8
2
1
1
0
0
1
7
4-4
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
51%
1-1
100%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.5
24.6
13.8
16
80%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
44%
4-6
67%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 27.1
24.3
26.9
5
39%
7
1
1
1
1
2
1
6
1-1
100%
2-5
3-5
40%
52%
0-1
0%
Chris Hunter
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 25.6
5.2
4.9
2
29%
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0-1
0%
1-2
1-1
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.3
15.2
1
3-6
51%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 20.6
6.1
0
1-2
49%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.2
3.9
0
0-1
47%
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.2
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.4
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 33.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.