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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 19, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Spurs63%9894
2076ers37%94106
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.8
34.0
30.6
18
65%
2
5
0
1
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
5-10
4-8
50%
49%
2-3
67%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.8
33.1
31.8
10
43%
9
2
1
1
0
1
2
7
2-4
50%
4-10
7-14
40%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.8
27.0
35.3
2
11%
2
5
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-7
7-14
14%
52%
0-2
0%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 29.8
17.4
20.5
2
20%
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
0-2
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 29.9
13.6
12.8
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
53%
0-2
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 32.6
30.7
29.5
24
62%
3
4
2
1
0
2
0
3
3-3
100%
6-11
4-7
55%
50%
3-7
43%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35.5
26.1
10.9
9
48%
7
1
1
0
0
1
4
3
1-1
100%
4-9
2-3
44%
51%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 29.7
23.1
29.1
8
45%
5
2
0
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
3-6
3-7
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.4
16.9
21.7
5
47%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
3-3
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
47%
0-3
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 20.8
15.9
13.4
12
76%
4
1
2
0
0
3
2
2
2-2
100%
5-7
3-5
71%
54%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 23.3
2.1
3.1
2
114%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 37.0
4.5
0
0-1
45%
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 19.7
44.7
22.4
13
47%
6
4
0
1
0
3
3
3
1-2
50%
6-12
2-4
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.1
41.5
36.6
20
70%
9
8
4
2
2
0
1
8
5-5
100%
6-11
4-8
55%
50%
1-1
100%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 30.9
33.5
32.2
18
62%
7
2
1
1
2
2
2
5
0-1
0%
9-14
6-12
64%
49%
0-0
-
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 34.7
23.3
28.3
7
33%
8
4
0
1
0
0
1
7
5-6
83%
1-8
4-9
13%
45%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 29.8
21.6
24.8
8
80%
7
0
0
0
1
1
1
6
0-0
-
4-5
3-6
80%
51%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.7
28.9
28.1
12
56%
4
1
2
1
0
3
1
3
4-4
100%
4-8
5-9
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.3
25.3
24.5
20
76%
5
5
1
1
2
1
0
5
5-5
100%
6-8
3-6
75%
48%
1-3
33%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 22.5
15.2
11.8
8
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-8
2-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 25.9
4.8
17.6
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-1
0%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.5
1.3
16.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.6
14.0
0
2-3
48%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 29.0
2.6
0
0-0
46%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 24.0
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 34.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.