FinalWin Prob.pScore
2540%94
100
1860%97
87
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
93.510785.7
MEM logo MEM
82.110691.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

GrizzliesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT1OT29:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

GrizzliesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT1OT29:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMEM
OT2 - 0:00.0MIA100
100%
87
0%
OT2 - 0:11.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)100
99.9%
87
0.1%
OT2 - 0:13.0MEMMISS Young 24' 3PT Jump Shot100
99.9%
87
0.1%
OT2 - 0:20.0MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)100
99.9%
87
0.1%
OT2 - 0:20.0MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)99
99.9%
87
0.1%
OT2 - 0:20.0MIAArroyo Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)98
99.9%
87
0.1%
OT2 - 0:20.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)97
99.9%
87
0.1%
OT2 - 0:22.0MEMMISS Williams 29' 3PT Jump Shot97
99.9%
87
0.1%
OT2 - 0:27.0MIAArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)97
99.9%
87
0.1%
OT2 - 0:27.0MIAArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)96
99.9%
87
0.1%
OT2 - 0:36.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)95
99.9%
87
0.1%
OT2 - 0:37.0MEMMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
99.9%
87
0.1%
OT2 - 0:42.0MIAHaslem Dunk (10 PTS) (Arroyo 6 AST)95
99.6%
87
0.4%
OT2 - 1:03MEMConley Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T21)93
98.3%
87
1.7%
OT2 - 1:08MEMConley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)93
96.3%
87
3.7%
OT2 - 1:09MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot93
96.9%
87
3.1%
OT2 - 1:25MEMGasol Layup (22 PTS) (Mayo 1 AST)93
97.4%
87
2.6%
OT2 - 1:31MIAHaslem 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Arroyo 5 AST)93
98.1%
85
1.9%
OT2 - 1:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)91
96.0%
85
4.0%
OT2 - 1:48MIAMISS Arroyo 3PT Jump Shot91
94.0%
85
6.0%
OT2 - 2:05MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)91
96.2%
85
3.8%
OT2 - 2:10MEMMISS Gay 10' Pullup Jump Shot91
95.5%
85
4.5%
OT2 - 2:26MIAHaslem 7' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)91
93.2%
85
6.8%
OT2 - 2:47MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)89
91.0%
85
9.0%
OT2 - 2:49MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot89
86.3%
85
13.7%
OT2 - 3:09MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)89
88.4%
85
11.6%
OT2 - 3:11MEMMISS Gasol Layup89
86.6%
85
13.4%
OT2 - 3:24MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)89
81.4%
85
18.6%
OT2 - 3:24MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)88
80.1%
85
19.9%
OT2 - 3:28MEMGay Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T20)87
76.2%
85
23.8%
OT2 - 3:39MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P4.T20)87
60.5%
85
39.5%
OT2 - 3:55MEMConley Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T19)87
70.1%
85
29.9%
OT2 - 4:00MIABeasley Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T19)87
60.8%
85
39.2%
OT2 - 4:01MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)87
70.2%
85
29.8%
OT2 - 4:03MEMMISS Conley 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
67.5%
85
32.5%
OT2 - 4:21MIABeasley 22' Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)87
61.0%
85
39.0%
OT2 - 4:38MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
52.2%
85
47.8%
OT2 - 4:39MEMMISS Gay 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
48.9%
85
51.1%
OT2 - 5:00MEMJump Ball Gasol vs. Beasley: Tip to Gay85
41.7%
85
58.3%
OT1 - 0:02.0MEMGasol Foul Turnover (P2.T18)85
62.0%
85
38.0%
OT1 - 0:19.0MIAChalmers 10' Running Bank Shot (18 PTS)85
35.7%
85
64.3%
OT1 - 0:24.0MIAHeat Rebound83
21.3%
85
78.7%
OT1 - 0:26.0MIAGay BLOCK (2 BLK)83
12.0%
85
88.0%
OT1 - 0:39.0MEMMayo 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Gasol 4 AST)83
23.7%
85
76.3%
OT1 - 0:51.0MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#18)83
56.3%
82
43.7%
OT1 - 0:51.0MIAHeat Rebound83
72.6%
82
27.4%
OT1 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Chalmers 13' Fadeaway Jumper83
61.6%
82
38.4%
OT1 - 0:51.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)83
72.6%
82
27.4%
OT1 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Arroyo 21' Jump Shot83
61.5%
82
38.5%
OT1 - 1:15MEMConley Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)83
70.3%
82
29.7%
OT1 - 1:15MEMConley Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)83
72.6%
81
27.4%
OT1 - 1:30MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)83
78.4%
80
21.6%
OT1 - 1:47MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:3 Def:16)80
54.4%
80
45.6%
OT1 - 1:47MEMRandolph Layup (16 PTS)80
54.4%
80
45.6%
OT1 - 1:49MEMMISS Gay 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
72.8%
78
27.2%
OT1 - 2:13MIABeasley 22' Jump Shot (26 PTS)80
64.7%
78
35.3%
OT1 - 2:30MEMRandolph Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T17)78
57.6%
78
42.4%
OT1 - 2:57MIABeasley 13' Fadeaway Jumper (24 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)78
40.8%
78
59.2%
OT1 - 3:16MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)76
33.6%
78
66.4%
OT1 - 3:18MEMMISS Mayo 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
29.5%
78
70.5%
OT1 - 3:34MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)76
25.4%
78
74.6%
OT1 - 3:34MEMMISS Randolph 8' Running Jump Shot76
31.0%
78
69.0%
OT1 - 3:53MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:16)76
25.0%
78
75.0%
OT1 - 3:55MIAMISS Richardson 27' 3PT Jump Shot76
27.4%
78
72.6%
OT1 - 3:59MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
33.4%
78
66.6%
OT1 - 4:02MEMMISS Mayo 19' Pullup Jump Shot76
30.6%
78
69.4%
OT1 - 4:17MIAArroyo 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T17)76
24.7%
78
75.3%
OT1 - 4:39MEMGasol Layup (20 PTS) (Conley 7 AST)76
33.2%
78
66.8%
OT1 - 5:00MEMJump Ball Gasol vs. O'Neal: Tip to Randolph76
41.7%
76
58.3%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
62.0%
76
38.0%
Q4 - 0:02.0MEMMISS Gay 18' Jump Shot76
56.2%
76
43.8%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIABeasley 11' Pullup Jump Shot (22 PTS)76
36.9%
76
63.1%
Q4 - 0:34.0MEMConley 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS)74
21.9%
76
78.1%
Q4 - 0:47.0MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound74
39.0%
74
61.0%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Beasley 21' Jump Shot74
44.7%
74
55.3%
Q4 - 1:03MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
57.0%
74
43.0%
Q4 - 1:05MEMMISS Randolph 6' Jump Shot74
51.8%
74
48.2%
Q4 - 1:31MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)74
41.3%
74
58.7%
Q4 - 1:34MIAConley BLOCK (1 BLK)74
45.7%
74
54.3%
Q4 - 1:41MIAHeat Rebound74
55.2%
74
44.8%
Q4 - 1:42MIAMISS Beasley Layup74
45.2%
74
54.8%
Q4 - 2:02MEMGasol 8' Running Hook Shot (18 PTS)74
56.5%
74
43.5%
Q4 - 2:27MIABeasley 11' Fadeaway Jumper (20 PTS) (O'Neal 4 AST)74
64.8%
72
35.2%
Q4 - 2:50MEMConley Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)72
57.9%
72
42.1%
Q4 - 3:01MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:15)72
40.8%
72
59.2%
Q4 - 3:02MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
45.2%
72
54.8%
Q4 - 3:26MEMRandolph Layup (14 PTS) (Conley 6 AST)72
56.3%
72
43.7%
Q4 - 3:29MIAConley STEAL (2 STL)72
63.5%
70
36.5%
Q4 - 3:31MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
69.4%
70
30.6%
Q4 - 3:33MEMMISS Conley 3PT Jump Shot72
66.8%
70
33.2%
Q4 - 3:49MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:14)72
60.7%
70
39.3%
Q4 - 3:52MIAMISS O'Neal 10' Fadeaway Jumper72
63.7%
70
36.3%
Q4 - 4:17MEMGasol Layup (16 PTS) (Randolph 3 AST)72
70.3%
70
29.7%
Q4 - 4:34MEMConley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
77.4%
68
22.6%
Q4 - 4:38MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
79.6%
68
20.4%
Q4 - 5:04MEMRandolph 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Conley 5 AST)72
79.8%
68
20.2%
Q4 - 5:11MEMConley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
84.6%
66
15.4%
Q4 - 5:12MIAMISS Chalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot72
85.9%
66
14.1%
Q4 - 5:40MEMConley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)72
88.8%
66
11.2%
Q4 - 5:53MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:13)72
93.9%
63
6.1%
Q4 - 5:55MIAGay BLOCK (1 BLK)72
94.5%
63
5.5%
Q4 - 6:12MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
93.8%
63
6.2%
Q4 - 6:15MEMMISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 172
93.6%
63
6.4%
Q4 - 6:26MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)72
95.3%
61
4.7%
Q4 - 6:26MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)71
95.0%
61
5.0%
Q4 - 6:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
93.9%
61
6.1%
Q4 - 6:43MEMMISS Randolph Layup70
93.3%
61
6.7%
Q4 - 6:55MEMYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
91.8%
61
8.2%
Q4 - 6:57MIAMISS O'Neal 12' Jump Shot70
92.5%
61
7.5%
Q4 - 7:13MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
92.2%
61
7.8%
Q4 - 7:14MEMMISS Young 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
91.5%
61
8.5%
Q4 - 7:30MIAWright Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)70
89.8%
61
10.2%
Q4 - 7:34MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)68
87.2%
61
12.8%
Q4 - 7:35MEMMISS Gasol 10' Jump Shot68
86.2%
61
13.8%
Q4 - 7:52MEMYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
83.5%
61
16.5%
Q4 - 7:53MIAMISS Wright 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
84.7%
61
15.3%
Q4 - 8:10MEMGay Foul Turnover (P2.T15)68
85.0%
61
15.0%
Q4 - 8:31MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Arroyo 4 AST)68
81.6%
61
18.4%
Q4 - 8:53MEMRandolph Foul Turnover (P4.T14)65
72.5%
61
27.5%
Q4 - 9:07MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)65
65.5%
61
34.5%
Q4 - 9:08MIAMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot65
67.1%
61
32.9%
Q4 - 9:27MEMBrewer Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)65
70.6%
61
29.4%
Q4 - 9:30MIABrewer STEAL (2 STL)65
65.6%
61
34.4%
Q4 - 10:01MEMMayo Dunk (14 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)65
68.9%
61
31.1%
Q4 - 10:02MEMWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
73.4%
59
26.6%
Q4 - 10:03MIAMISS Cook 27' 3PT Jump Shot65
74.8%
59
25.2%
Q4 - 10:07MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)65
77.7%
59
22.3%
Q4 - 10:10MIAThabeet BLOCK (2 BLK)65
74.8%
59
25.2%
Q4 - 10:21MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
77.7%
59
22.3%
Q4 - 10:23MEMMISS Randolph 5' Jump Shot65
76.5%
59
23.5%
Q4 - 10:37MIAO'Neal 15' Jump Shot (15 PTS)65
73.6%
59
26.4%
Q4 - 10:59MEMRandolph 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)63
69.1%
59
30.9%
Q4 - 11:17MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)63
72.1%
57
27.9%
Q4 - 11:17MIAHeat Rebound63
76.0%
57
24.0%
Q4 - 11:18MIAMISS Chalmers 21' Pullup Jump Shot63
73.3%
57
26.7%
Q4 - 11:41MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)63
76.1%
57
23.9%
Q4 - 11:42MEMMISS Randolph 14' Jump Shot63
74.9%
57
25.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA63
72.1%
57
27.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0MEMRandolph 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)63
74.5%
57
25.5%
Q3 - 0:13.0MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)63
81.8%
54
18.2%
Q3 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 263
82.2%
54
17.8%
Q3 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 263
83.5%
54
16.5%
Q3 - 0:18.0MEMWilliams 20' Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS)63
84.4%
54
15.6%
Q3 - 0:35.0MEMMayo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)63
87.1%
52
12.9%
Q3 - 0:36.0MEMMISS Mayo 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
88.5%
52
11.5%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIAChalmers 6' Running Bank Shot (11 PTS)63
87.2%
52
12.8%
Q3 - 1:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
83.2%
52
16.8%
Q3 - 1:02MEMMISS Mayo Free Throw 2 of 261
82.9%
52
17.1%
Q3 - 1:02MEMMayo Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)61
80.7%
52
19.3%
Q3 - 1:02MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound61
83.4%
51
16.6%
Q3 - 1:04MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot61
84.2%
51
15.8%
Q3 - 1:16MIAHeat Rebound61
85.8%
51
14.2%
Q3 - 1:17MIAMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot61
84.2%
51
15.8%
Q3 - 1:35MEMMayo Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)61
85.9%
51
14.1%
Q3 - 1:53MIAArroyo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)61
83.5%
51
16.5%
Q3 - 2:22MEMMayo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Gay 1 AST)58
75.6%
51
24.4%
Q3 - 2:32MIAMagloire Foul Turnover (P1.T13)58
81.9%
48
18.1%
Q3 - 2:49MEMMayo 23' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Conley 3 AST)58
84.5%
48
15.5%
Q3 - 3:03MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)58
85.5%
46
14.5%
Q3 - 3:21MEMThabeet Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)55
80.7%
46
19.3%
Q3 - 3:21MEMThabeet Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)55
81.6%
45
18.4%
Q3 - 3:36MIAArroyo 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)55
83.2%
44
16.8%
Q3 - 3:43MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)53
80.8%
44
19.2%
Q3 - 3:44MEMMISS Conley Layup53
79.8%
44
20.2%
Q3 - 3:58MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
77.6%
44
22.4%
Q3 - 3:59MIAThabeet BLOCK (1 BLK)53
78.6%
44
21.4%
Q3 - 4:22MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)53
80.0%
44
20.0%
Q3 - 4:23MEMMISS Conley 22' Jump Shot53
78.9%
44
21.1%
Q3 - 4:27MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound53
76.5%
44
23.5%
Q3 - 4:29MEMMISS Thabeet Layup53
78.9%
44
21.1%
Q3 - 4:53MIABeasley Dunk (18 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)53
76.5%
44
23.5%
Q3 - 5:10MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
72.1%
44
27.9%
Q3 - 5:13MEMMISS Gay 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
71.0%
44
29.0%
Q3 - 5:39MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)51
68.3%
44
31.7%
Q3 - 5:51MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
61.1%
44
38.9%
Q3 - 5:52MEMMISS Mayo 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
59.7%
44
40.3%
Q3 - 6:06MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)48
55.7%
44
44.3%
Q3 - 6:08MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Running Jump Shot48
57.1%
44
42.9%
Q3 - 6:23MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)48
60.1%
44
39.9%
Q3 - 6:25MEMMISS Randolph Layup48
58.8%
44
41.2%
Q3 - 6:52MIARichardson Layup (5 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)48
55.7%
44
44.3%
Q3 - 7:12MEMGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)46
51.1%
44
48.9%
Q3 - 7:12MEMGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)46
51.9%
43
48.1%
Q3 - 7:17MIAConley STEAL (1 STL)46
54.7%
42
45.3%
Q3 - 7:30MEMGRIZZLIES Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)46
58.8%
42
41.2%
Q3 - 7:30MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound46
54.7%
42
45.3%
Q3 - 7:30MEMMISS Gay 23' Jump Shot46
57.6%
42
42.4%
Q3 - 7:53MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)46
54.7%
42
45.3%
Q3 - 7:54MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 2 of 246
55.3%
42
44.7%
Q3 - 7:54MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 246
57.9%
42
42.1%
Q3 - 7:59MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
58.9%
42
41.1%
Q3 - 8:01MEMMISS Gay 22' Step Back Jump Shot46
56.9%
42
43.1%
Q3 - 8:10MIAMayo STEAL (2 STL)46
54.1%
42
45.9%
Q3 - 8:27MEMConley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)46
58.1%
42
41.9%
Q3 - 8:40MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)46
54.1%
42
45.9%
Q3 - 8:41MIAMISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot46
55.4%
42
44.6%
Q3 - 9:01MEMGay 19' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)46
57.5%
42
42.5%
Q3 - 9:12MIARandolph STEAL (1 STL)46
61.0%
40
39.0%
Q3 - 9:32MEMMayo Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)46
64.6%
40
35.4%
Q3 - 9:35MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)46
67.8%
38
32.2%
Q3 - 9:38MIAMISS Cook 5' Jump Bank Shot46
68.8%
38
31.2%
Q3 - 9:42MIAHeat Rebound46
71.1%
38
28.9%
Q3 - 9:42MIAGasol BLOCK (1 BLK)46
68.9%
38
31.1%
Q3 - 9:58MEMGasol Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)46
71.1%
38
28.9%
Q3 - 10:18MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)46
66.9%
38
33.1%
Q3 - 10:19MIAMISS Richardson Free Throw 2 of 246
67.3%
38
32.7%
Q3 - 10:19MIAMISS Richardson Free Throw 1 of 246
69.3%
38
30.7%
Q3 - 10:19MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
70.0%
38
30.0%
Q3 - 10:21MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Running Jump Shot46
67.9%
38
32.1%
Q3 - 10:35MEMGay 21' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)46
70.1%
38
29.9%
Q3 - 10:50MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)46
73.0%
36
27.0%
Q3 - 10:51MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
73.8%
36
26.2%
Q3 - 11:11MEMRandolph Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)46
74.8%
36
25.2%
Q3 - 11:24MIACook Foul Turnover (P1.T9)46
79.6%
33
20.4%
Q3 - 11:42MEMMayo Layup (4 PTS)46
81.9%
33
18.1%
Q3 - 11:45MIAMayo STEAL (1 STL)46
83.8%
31
16.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEM46
85.7%
31
14.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound46
83.8%
31
16.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0MEMMISS Mayo 21' Jump Shot46
84.0%
31
16.0%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)46
83.1%
31
16.9%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)45
82.7%
31
17.3%
Q2 - 0:13.0MEMGay Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)44
80.6%
31
19.4%
Q2 - 0:30.0MIABeasley 18' Step Back Jump Shot (14 PTS)44
79.0%
31
21.0%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
76.1%
31
23.9%
Q2 - 0:48.0MEMMISS Gay 9' Driving Jump Shot42
75.6%
31
24.4%
Q2 - 1:12MIABeasley 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS)42
73.6%
31
26.4%
Q2 - 1:29MEMGasol Layup (12 PTS) (Randolph 2 AST)40
70.2%
31
29.8%
Q2 - 1:43MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)40
73.6%
29
26.4%
Q2 - 1:44MIAMISS Cook 19' Jump Shot40
74.2%
29
25.8%
Q2 - 2:04MEMMayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
74.9%
29
25.1%
Q2 - 2:04MEMMayo Tip Shot (2 PTS)40
74.9%
29
25.1%
Q2 - 2:07MEMMISS Randolph Reverse Layup40
78.7%
27
21.3%
Q2 - 2:11MEMConley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
77.1%
27
22.9%
Q2 - 2:12MIAMISS Beasley 23' Jump Shot40
77.8%
27
22.2%
Q2 - 2:36MEMGasol 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)40
79.4%
27
20.6%
Q2 - 2:58MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T7)40
81.4%
25
18.6%
Q2 - 3:21MEMGay 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)40
82.8%
25
17.2%
Q2 - 3:27MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)40
84.2%
23
15.8%
Q2 - 3:30MIAMISS Arroyo 9' Floating Jump Shot40
84.8%
23
15.2%
Q2 - 3:53MEMMayo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)40
86.1%
23
13.9%
Q2 - 3:55MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)40
84.2%
23
15.8%
Q2 - 3:57MEMMISS Gay 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
85.5%
23
14.5%
Q2 - 4:23MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)40
83.4%
23
16.6%
Q2 - 4:48MEMRandolph Layup (2 PTS)37
79.9%
23
20.1%
Q2 - 4:50MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)37
81.6%
21
18.4%
Q2 - 4:51MEMMISS Randolph 7' Jump Shot37
83.0%
21
17.0%
Q2 - 5:07MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)37
81.0%
21
19.0%
Q2 - 5:07MIAO'Neal Putback Dunk (13 PTS)37
81.0%
21
19.0%
Q2 - 5:10MIAMISS Richardson 8' Turnaround Jump Shot35
77.7%
21
22.3%
Q2 - 5:26MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)35
79.1%
21
20.9%
Q2 - 5:27MEMMISS Mayo 3PT Jump Shot35
78.5%
21
21.5%
Q2 - 5:46MIAHaslem Driving Layup (2 PTS)35
77.1%
21
22.9%
Q2 - 6:14MEMConley Driving Layup (3 PTS)33
74.2%
21
25.8%
Q2 - 6:26MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
76.0%
19
24.0%
Q2 - 6:27MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot33
76.7%
19
23.3%
Q2 - 6:44MEMGasol Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Conley 2 AST)33
78.4%
19
21.6%
Q2 - 7:01MIAJones Foul Turnover (P1.T6)33
79.3%
17
20.7%
Q2 - 7:14MEMGasol Layup (6 PTS) (Conley 1 AST)33
81.1%
17
18.9%
Q2 - 7:19MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)33
82.7%
15
17.3%
Q2 - 7:21MEMMISS Gay 15' Jump Shot33
83.9%
15
16.1%
Q2 - 7:45MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)33
82.8%
15
17.2%
Q2 - 7:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
79.4%
15
20.6%
Q2 - 7:56MEMMISS Arthur Reverse Layup30
78.8%
15
21.2%
Q2 - 8:14MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)30
76.1%
15
23.9%
Q2 - 8:19MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)27
72.0%
15
28.0%
Q2 - 8:20MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot27
70.4%
15
29.6%
Q2 - 8:31MEMArthur Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)27
72.1%
15
27.9%
Q2 - 8:43MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound27
69.8%
15
30.2%
Q2 - 8:44MEMMISS Conley Layup27
71.4%
15
28.6%
Q2 - 8:46MEMConley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
69.8%
15
30.2%
Q2 - 8:48MEMMISS Conley 12' Floating Jump Shot27
71.4%
15
28.6%
Q2 - 8:59MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
69.8%
15
30.2%
Q2 - 9:01MIAMISS O'Neal 12' Jump Shot27
69.5%
15
30.5%
Q2 - 9:18MEMRandolph Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)27
71.1%
15
28.9%
Q2 - 9:36MIAO'Neal 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS)27
68.8%
15
31.2%
Q2 - 9:52MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
66.6%
15
33.4%
Q2 - 9:54MEMMISS Randolph Layup25
65.8%
15
34.2%
Q2 - 10:07MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)25
63.5%
15
36.5%
Q2 - 10:07MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)24
62.9%
15
37.1%
Q2 - 10:21MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
61.3%
15
38.7%
Q2 - 10:23MEMMISS Randolph 7' Running Jump Shot23
60.4%
15
39.6%
Q2 - 10:42MIAO'Neal 7' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)23
58.5%
15
41.5%
Q2 - 10:57MEMWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)21
56.2%
15
43.8%
Q2 - 10:57MEMMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 221
56.8%
14
43.2%
Q2 - 11:14MEMMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
55.5%
14
44.5%
Q2 - 11:15MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot21
56.3%
14
43.7%
Q2 - 11:30MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
58.2%
14
41.8%
Q2 - 11:31MEMMISS Mayo 14' Jump Shot21
57.4%
14
42.6%
Q2 - 11:48MIAChalmers Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)21
55.6%
14
44.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MEM21
58.2%
14
41.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
55.6%
14
44.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot21
56.4%
14
43.6%
Q1 - 0:15.0MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
56.9%
14
43.1%
Q1 - 0:16.0MEMMISS Gay 17' Pullup Jump Shot21
56.3%
14
43.7%
Q1 - 0:33.0MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
55.0%
14
45.0%
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
55.6%
14
44.4%
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
57.0%
14
43.0%
Q1 - 0:56.0MEMMISS Williams 15' Pullup Jump Shot21
56.4%
14
43.6%
Q1 - 1:03MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
54.5%
14
45.5%
Q1 - 1:06MIAMISS Beasley 13' Pullup Jump Shot21
55.0%
14
45.0%
Q1 - 1:26MEMGay 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)21
56.2%
14
43.8%
Q1 - 1:33MIAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)21
61.5%
11
38.5%
Q1 - 1:47MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
63.1%
11
36.9%
Q1 - 1:50MEMMISS Williams 5' Floating Jump Shot21
62.6%
11
37.4%
Q1 - 1:56MIABrewer STEAL (1 STL)21
61.6%
11
38.4%
Q1 - 2:20MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
62.9%
11
37.1%
Q1 - 2:22MEMMISS Brewer 21' Jump Shot21
62.3%
11
37.7%
Q1 - 2:36MIABeasley 7' Pullup Bank Shot (10 PTS)21
61.0%
11
39.0%
Q1 - 2:55MEMGay Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)19
58.4%
11
41.6%
Q1 - 3:00MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)19
61.0%
9
39.0%
Q1 - 3:01MIAMISS Arroyo Running Layup19
61.1%
9
38.9%
Q1 - 3:06MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
62.7%
9
37.3%
Q1 - 3:08MIAMISS Beasley 6' Jump Bank Shot19
61.1%
9
38.9%
Q1 - 3:26MEMBrewer Layup (2 PTS) (Randolph 1 AST)19
62.7%
9
37.3%
Q1 - 3:43MIABeasley 20' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)19
64.8%
7
35.2%
Q1 - 3:57MEMRandolph 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T4)17
62.7%
7
37.3%
Q1 - 4:03MEMBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
59.3%
7
40.7%
Q1 - 4:06MEMMISS Brewer Layup17
60.9%
7
39.1%
Q1 - 4:15MIABeasley Layup (6 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)17
59.4%
7
40.6%
Q1 - 4:27MIAHeat Rebound15
57.4%
7
42.6%
Q1 - 4:27MEMMISS Gay 21' Jump Shot15
56.7%
7
43.3%
Q1 - 4:43MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)15
55.1%
7
44.9%
Q1 - 4:44MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 215
55.4%
7
44.6%
Q1 - 4:44MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
56.7%
7
43.3%
Q1 - 4:59MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
55.2%
7
44.8%
Q1 - 5:00MEMMISS Mayo 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
54.5%
7
45.5%
Q1 - 5:17MIAArroyo 13' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
52.2%
7
47.8%
Q1 - 5:38MEMConley Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)12
50.3%
7
49.7%
Q1 - 5:38MEMMISS Conley Free Throw 1 of 212
50.7%
6
49.3%
Q1 - 5:40MIAGasol STEAL (1 STL)12
50.0%
6
50.0%
Q1 - 5:58MEMMayo Foul Turnover (P1.T3)12
52.4%
6
47.6%
Q1 - 6:01MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
49.6%
6
50.4%
Q1 - 6:05MIAMISS Cook 19' Step Back Jump Shot12
50.3%
6
49.7%
Q1 - 6:13MEMConley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)12
51.8%
6
48.2%
Q1 - 6:21MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
49.7%
6
50.3%
Q1 - 6:24MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
50.3%
6
49.7%
Q1 - 6:32MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
51.9%
6
48.1%
Q1 - 6:34MEMMISS Randolph 9' Driving Jump Shot12
51.2%
6
48.8%
Q1 - 6:55MIABeasley 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)12
49.7%
6
50.3%
Q1 - 7:07MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
47.3%
6
52.7%
Q1 - 7:10MEMMISS Gasol 7' Running Hook Shot10
46.6%
6
53.4%
Q1 - 7:22MEMConley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
45.1%
6
54.9%
Q1 - 7:23MIAMISS Cook 20' Jump Shot10
45.8%
6
54.2%
Q1 - 7:40MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
47.3%
6
52.7%
Q1 - 7:40MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
47.8%
5
52.2%
Q1 - 7:50MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
49.3%
4
50.7%
Q1 - 7:54MIAMISS Beasley 8' Jump Bank Shot10
50.0%
4
50.0%
Q1 - 7:56MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
51.5%
4
48.5%
Q1 - 7:56MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot10
50.0%
4
50.0%
Q1 - 8:07MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
51.1%
4
48.9%
Q1 - 8:07MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
51.7%
3
48.3%
Q1 - 8:18MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
53.2%
2
46.8%
Q1 - 8:19MIAMISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot10
53.9%
2
46.1%
Q1 - 8:37MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
55.3%
2
44.7%
Q1 - 8:38MEMMISS Randolph 12' Jump Shot10
54.7%
2
45.3%
Q1 - 8:58MIACook 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)10
53.2%
2
46.8%
Q1 - 9:07MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
48.9%
2
51.1%
Q1 - 9:09MEMMISS Gasol 12' Fadeaway Jumper7
48.3%
2
51.7%
Q1 - 9:30MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)7
47.0%
2
53.0%
Q1 - 9:46MIAHeat Rebound4
42.9%
2
57.1%
Q1 - 9:47MEMMISS Gay 17' Pullup Jump Shot4
42.4%
2
57.6%
Q1 - 9:57MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)4
41.1%
2
58.9%
Q1 - 10:10MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
42.6%
2
57.4%
Q1 - 10:12MEMMISS Randolph 20' Jump Shot4
42.0%
2
58.0%
Q1 - 10:25MIAO'Neal Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
40.6%
2
59.4%
Q1 - 10:40MEMRandolph Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
39.0%
2
61.0%
Q1 - 10:58MIABeasley 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)2
37.1%
2
62.9%
Q1 - 11:15MEMGay 17' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
35.4%
2
64.6%
Q1 - 11:31MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound0
37.0%
0
63.0%
Q1 - 11:33MIAMISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot0
37.4%
0
62.6%
Q1 - 11:39MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
38.5%
0
61.5%
Q1 - 11:41MEMMISS Mayo 17' Jump Shot0
38.1%
0
61.9%
Q1 - 12:00MEMJump Ball Gasol vs. O'Neal: Tip to Randolph0
37.0%
0
63.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.94 47.2%
MEM
0.87 43.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
9
17
53%
MEM
20
32
63%
Midrange
MIA
21
53
40%
MEM
9
37
24%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
8
12.0
20
40%
60%
MEM
5
7.5
20
25%
38%
Free Throws
MIA
16
23
70%
MEM
14
18
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Beasley3054%15.0 / 28
J. O'Neal1853%9.0 / 17
M. Chalmers1869%9.0 / 13
C. Arroyo1042%5.0 / 12
U. Haslem1063%5.0 / 8
Q. Richardson844%4.0 / 9
D. Cook321%1.5 / 7
D. Wright250%1.0 / 2
J. Anthony150%0.5 / 1
J. Magloire0-0.0 / 2
J. Jones0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Gasol2273%11.0 / 15
O. Mayo1750%8.5 / 17
Z. Randolph1640%8.0 / 20
R. Gay1538%7.5 / 20
M. Conley1045%5.0 / 11
M. Williams325%1.5 / 6
R. Brewer233%1.0 / 3
H. Thabeet250%1.0 / 2
D. Arthur0-0.0 / 1
S. Young0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
89
+17
-18
106
MEM
86
+13
-20
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.94 47.2%
MEM
0.87 43.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.7
108.6
MIA 93.5 +11.4
MEM 82.1
Pace
89.6
93.4
MIA 85.7
MEM 91.0 +5.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
15.5
MIA 16.8
MEM 15.8 +1.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.6%
49.4%
MIA 46.7% +5.7%
MEM 41.0%
TO %
13.6%
15.3%
MIA 16.7% +1.1%
MEM 17.8%
ORB %
26.0%
31.3%
MIA 20.0% +2.4%
MEM 17.6%
FTrt
29.6
32.0
MIA 25.6 +5.4
MEM 20.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.9%
47.9%
MIA 50.0%
MEM 61.8% +11.8%
STL %
8.1%
8.3%
MIA 10.3% +1.8%
MEM 8.5%
BLK %
9.4%
7.6%
MIA 10.1% +1.5%
MEM 8.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.27 and 2.27.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
52.2%
MIA 47.2% +3.7%
MEM 43.5%
Rim FG%
62.0%
59.0%
MIA 52.9%
MEM 62.5% +9.6%
Mid FG%
40.8%
40.3%
MIA 39.6% +15.3%
MEM 24.3%
3P %
34.6%
33.7%
MIA 40.0% +15.0%
MEM 25.0%
FT %
75.2%
73.3%
MIA 69.6%
MEM 77.8% +8.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.8%
40.6%
MIA 18.9%
MEM 36.0% +17.1%
Mid Att. %
48.3%
44.6%
MIA 58.9%
MEM 41.6% +17.3%
3P Att. %
21.9%
14.8%
MIA 22.2%
MEM 22.5% +0.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAMEM
Possessions107106
Possession Minutes30.027.9
Points10087
Rebounds5145
Assists1921
Steals119
Blocks76
Turnovers (Team)18 (2)20 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (8)9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)42 (2)36 (3)
Field Goals38-9034-89
At-the-Rim FG9-1720-32
Midrange FG21-539-37
2-Point FG30-7029-69
3-Point FG8-205-20
Free Throws16-2314-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 200 · 31
43.4
10
42%
4
6
2
0
1
2
1
3
3-3
100%
2-9
22%
1-2
50%
F · 6'6" 228 · 30
41.5
8
44%
9
3
2
1
0
2
1
8
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
2-6
33%
F · 6'9" 235 · 21
39.9
30
54%
8
1
3
1
3
3
1
7
4-6
67%
13-25
52%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 255 · 31
35.1
18
53%
9
4
2
2
4
6
3
6
4-4
100%
7-16
44%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 23
24.9
3
21%
2
0
0
3
3
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
0%
1-3
33%
G · 6'2" 190 · 24
41.7
18
69%
7
4
2
0
4
4
2
5
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
4-7
57%
F · 6'8" 235 · 30
23.9
10
63%
6
0
0
0
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24
16.6
2
50%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
C · 6'9" 245 · 28
11.1
1
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 32
6.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29
6.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27
#3 · G · 6'4" 220 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · G · 6'2" 175 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
290
100
47%
51
19
11
7
18
0
9
42
16-23
70%
30-70
43%
8-20
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.